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Those Aren’t Unreasonable Anymore, And They’re Almost Becoming Expected By Sellers

A report from National Mortgage Professional. “Institutional owners of single-family houses for rent are selling more of their portfolios than they are adding to them, a new report finds, with selling activity clustered in three major markets. Together, selling activity in Atlanta, Miami, and Houston represent half of all institutional for-sale inventory, according to the report from Parcl Labs. FirstKey Homes dominates the motivated selling activity. With more than twice the listings of any competitor, FirstKey is cutting prices deeper and more frequently than its peers, the report says. Listings by Wall Street investors totaled 771 in Atlanta, 336 in Miami, and 269 in Houston. But Houston leads the ‘fire sales,’ with four times the local median number of listings. Miami and Atlanta also ‘significantly outpace’ their local markets. And Chicago chimes in as a ‘surprise outlier,’ according to Parcl’s data. FirstKey properties have seen price cuts averaging over 10% off original list prices, with reductions occurring every 20 or so days, the report says. ‘Atlanta has the highest institutional SFR concentration nationally; operators there are logically reducing exposure in this saturated market,’ the report states.”

“In Houston, meanwhile, institutional operators face rising competition from accidental landlords. Parcl Labs recently reported Houston had the largest year-over-year jump in homes converting from for-sale to rental listings. And Miami’s single-family rental market faces broader Florida headwinds — declining prices and growing inventory — creating clear incentives for institutions to trim positions.”

From Axios DC. “Washington’s housing market is cooling thanks to the DOGE cuts, which may have some would-be local buyers wondering — is now the time to snag a house? Housing supply is rising quicker in the D.C. area than it is nationwide, due in part to former feds trying to offload their homes, per Redfin. ‘Emotions are playing a big role in what’s happening right now,’ says real estate agent Alison Scimeca. The condo market is especially soft in D.C., says Scimeca. ‘They’re sitting. Nothing’s happening.’ This means prospective condo buyers have much more leverage than those buying a single-family home or townhouse. ‘People are more desperate to sell.’ The number of Washington listings jumped 22.7% between June 2024 and June 2025 — the third straight month of increases over 20%, found Redfin. ‘Right now feels like the Wild, Wild West,’ Scimeca says, pointing to the DOGE cuts and President Trump’s policies concerning D.C. ‘We’ve never weathered this kind of storm before.'”

ABC Action News in Florida. “ABC Action News reporter Michael Paluska sat down with a developer in Tampa and two realtors: Alex Jandick in Pinellas County, and Brian Stephens in Polk County. ‘The average days in the market right now in Lakeland is about 75-80,’ Stephens said. ‘So, homes are sitting longer, and sellers are getting a little frantic, and they want to negotiate by paying some of the buyers’ closing costs and coming down off the price.’ Stephens said incentives for new construction are even higher. ‘It might be easier to negotiate with a builder,’ Paluska asked. ‘Yes. They’re going to buy down your interest rate, give you $15K to $ 17K for the closing costs. You’re going to get a brand new home. They’ll offer a 3.99% FHA buy-down rate. Sometimes it’s for the life of the loan. Sometimes it’s a five, one buy down. They’ll buy it down for five years, and then it’ll adjust to the market rate, but then the buyer can refinance. So, they’re incentivizing people a whole lot.'”

“In Pinellas County, Jandick is seeing similar trends. ‘What would I ask for if I’m a buyer, to get the most bang for my buck?’ Paluska asked. ‘You might want to ask for $5K to $10K in closing credits, which will reduce your overall out-of-pocket cost at the closing table. After your inspection, you may find that the house needs a new roof or a new AC. You can also ask the seller for those things. Those aren’t unreasonable anymore, and they’re almost becoming expected by sellers that the buyers are going to ask for these things to get to the closing table. Now is the time to be picky, have options, have all the things you dreamed of in a house, and I don’t just say that I am in real estate. I say that if I were personally looking for a house, now would be the time to buy 100%,’ Jandick said.”

The Denver Gazette in Colorado. “After steady increases in the number of homes for sale in a year when sales haven’t kept pace, the Denver area’s housing market offered up a drop in price last month, according to a new Metro Real Estate Market Trends Report on the July market issued Tuesday by the Denver Metro Association of Realtors. Agent Andrew Abrams with Guide Real Estate, who reports on the lower ranges of the market, noted that inventory and sales had each climbed over the month in the below-$500,000 range. ‘However, with 5.04 months of inventory, the attached market has officially tilted toward buyers,’ Abrams said. He added that condos, in particular, were facing sales challenges, and speculated that insurance regulations could be adding to buyers’ hesitancy on those products.”

“‘There’s a growing perception that listings simply ‘won’t sell,’ Abrams said about the lower range. The average days on the market in that range had increased from 33 to 40. ‘This reflects a change in buyer behavior,’ Abrams added. ‘Today’s buyers want homes that are move-in ready, ample time to do due diligence, and the ability to move at their own pace.’ West+Main Homes agent Michelle Schwinghammer, who reports on the mid-upper range of $750,000 to $1 million, notes that completed sales had dropped almost 19% for that price range and were down over 10% from summer 2024. ‘As a result of growing inventory and longer time on the market, prices are beginning to adjust,’ Schwinghammer added. A fall in prices, she said, could signal that the Denver market was becoming ‘unstuck.'”

NBC Palm Springs in California. “Rich Darius has lived at Ramona Villas in Palm Springs for more than two decades, but his homeownership journey has turned into a financial and emotional nightmare. His condo has flooded three times due to a water main in his backyard — a main maintained by the homeowners association (HOA). The most recent flooding caused extensive damage. Darius was out of town when it happened. When he returned, he found a large excavation hole in his yard and water damage throughout his home. Even more frustrating: the HOA never contacted him — not when the pipe burst, and not when they dug into his yard. ‘It had been sitting for over a week,’ he said. ‘By the time I got back, there was water damage, mold, and a huge mess.’ According to the HOA’s own water intrusion policy, damage caused by HOA-owned infrastructure is their responsibility. But despite repeated emails, Darius says the HOA’s management company has gone silent.”

“With no response from them, Darius turned to his insurance — and his own wallet — to pay for cleanup and repairs, now totaling around $70,000. ‘It’s not just water. It’s mold, walls, flooring — everything,’ he said. While the HOA remains unresponsive, Darius continues repairing his home, unsure if he’ll ever be reimbursed for damage he says isn’t his fault.”

The Financial Post. “Canada’s condo market has taken a beating recently, but nowhere more so than in the suburbs. Prices in communities surrounding Toronto such as Halton Hills, Ont., have plummeted by more than 50 per cent from their peak, says a report by Moody’s Analytics. Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville have also suffered ‘significantly’ steeper losses than the City of Toronto itself. White Rock, B.C. and West Vancouver have seen peak-to-trough declines of 30 to 40 per cent compared with the national condo price drop of about 8 per cent. ‘Given the booming supply, proximity is commanding a premium, and periphery markets are giving back their pandemic gains,’ said Brendan LaCerda, director of economic research at Moody’s. By the first quarter of 2025, condo sales in the Toronto area had dropped 75 per cent from their peak in mid-2022, said Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation in a separate report. Months of inventory for pre-construction condominiums here hit a record high, 14 times higher than in 2022. Pre-construction sales were driven by low interest rates, but as these are reset at a higher rate, distressed borrowers could be forced to sell, putting more pressure on prices. ‘With a wave of new supply poised to hit the market and interest rates remaining elevated, the downward trend in condo prices is likely to endure,’ said LaCerda.”

The Lancashire Telegraph in the UK. “‘Raw sewage’ and ‘pungent smells’ on a street are making residents’ lives a nightmare on a Blackburn housing estate. Homeowners said they had raised complaints over the issue two years ago, and a year on since it was reported in the Lancashire Telegraph, the matter appears to have gotten worse. McDermott Homes, which built the Highgate development off Ramsgreave Drive, said it had been contacted over the issue and had been on site and would continue to work until the matter was resolved. A resident on the estate, who did not wish to be named, said people were frustrated with the problem in what has been described as one of the most sought-after housing estates in the region. He said: ‘Honestly, for the prices of these houses, the aftercare is abysmal. We feel like second-rate citizens. Essentially on the tail end of Moore Avenue, it’s been one thing after another.’ He added: ‘I feel like we have been made a joke of. We were the first residents to move into the estate. It’s been issue after issue, and each time I’ve had to chase them down multiple times to get the work done.'”

The Khaleej Times on India. “When JE, a Dubai-based mother of two, paid Rs 6 million (around Dh251,000) in 2018 for a flat in Ozone Urbana, she imagined annual visits to Bengaluru, a peaceful retirement, and a secure home for her children. Instead, seven years later, she’s staring at an empty plot, rising debt, and a fading dream. ‘There’s no house. Nothing has moved at the site in years,’ she said. ‘But I still have to pay the bank over Rs 13 million (Dh544,000) for something that doesn’t even exist,’ she told Khaleej Times. JE is one of several Indian expats in the UAE who say they were misled by Bengaluru-based Ozone Group into buying homes in a massive integrated township that was never delivered.”

“Among them is Errol John Noronha, a former Dubai resident and president of the Ozone Urbana Buyer Welfare Association, which represents affected buyers, including many from the UAE. ‘The stories in our group are heartbreaking. People have lost their savings, taken loans they can’t repay, and are now stuck with nothing to show for it,’ Noronha said. ‘The builder failed us, yes. But where were the banks, the regulators? Everyone just looked the other way.’ On August 1, the Enforcement Directorate (ED), India’s financial crime watchdog, conducted raids at 10 locations linked to Ozone Urbana Infra Developers Pvt Ltd and its key executives, including promoter Satyamoorthi Vasudevan, in Bengaluru and Mumbai.”

“The action, taken under India’s anti-money laundering law, follows dozens of complaints alleging cheating, criminal conspiracy, and fund diversion. Authorities say they seized documents showing that money collected from homebuyers for the Ozone Urbana project was diverted to unrelated group entities and individuals. The developer is also accused of selling at least 65 flats to multiple buyers. Sharjah-based private pilot Sunil Sequeira, who booked a three-bedroom apartment in 2018 for Rs 10 million (approximately Dh420,000), said he was sold a dream under a subvention scheme, a financing model where the buyer takes out a home loan, but the developer agrees to pay the EMIs (equated monthly installments) and PMIs (pre-EMI interest payments) until possession. According to Sequeira, the developer initially kept up the payments but later stopped without warning. ‘That’s when the bank came after me. I ended up with an arrest warrant for defaulting on a loan for a house that doesn’t exist.'”

“Moiz Abdulhussain, an early investor from Mumbai, booked an apartment in 2016 under a buyback scheme that promised him double the booking amount at handover. ‘I paid Rs 750,000 (Dh31,500) upfront and took a Rs 5.7 million (Dh239,000) loan. The bank has already released Rs 3.6 million (Dh151,000) to the builder. The site is still flat ground.’ For years, he says, the developer cited Covid-19 delays and regulatory approvals. ‘They made it sound routine. Then in 2018, I joined a WhatsApp group of buyers and realised the truth. I was blindsided. But what about the banks? Why release funds when there was barely any structural work on site?’ Moiz has since secured a RERA order asking the developer to pay him Rs 8 million (Dh335,000). ‘It’s on paper. No one’s enforcing it.'”

“The crisis at Ozone isn’t limited to Bengaluru. In Chennai, the Metrozone project launched in 2008 remains unfinished. In Mumbai and Goa too, complaints are mounting. The pattern is familiar: grand promises, large sums collected, construction delayed, and buyers left scrambling. Back in Dubai, JE still hopes something might change. ‘I invested everything I had,’ she said. ‘I followed the rules. I believed in the system. And yet here I am, still waiting, still paying. Will my children grow up repaying a loan for a house we never got?'”

This Post Has 25 Comments
  1. ‘The most recent flooding caused extensive damage. Darius was out of town when it happened. When he returned, he found a large excavation hole in his yard and water damage throughout his home. Even more frustrating: the HOA never contacted him — not when the pipe burst, and not when they dug into his yard. ‘It had been sitting for over a week,’ he said. ‘By the time I got back, there was water damage, mold, and a huge mess.’ According to the HOA’s own water intrusion policy, damage caused by HOA-owned infrastructure is their responsibility. But despite repeated emails, Darius says the HOA’s management company has gone silent…With no response from them, Darius turned to his insurance — and his own wallet — to pay for cleanup and repairs, now totaling around $70,000. ‘It’s not just water. It’s mold, walls, flooring — everything’

    I want to thank Rich for today’s HBB Pitfalls of Commie Urban Living™.

  2. ‘Back in Dubai, JE still hopes something might change. ‘I invested everything I had,’ she said. ‘I followed the rules. I believed in the system. And yet here I am, still waiting, still paying. Will my children grow up repaying a loan for a house we never got?’

    Bargaining <- JE you are here.

  3. ‘Prices in communities surrounding Toronto such as Halton Hills, Ont., have plummeted by more than 50 per cent from their peak’

    I’ve kept a running idea of how far off these igloo clusters have fallen and 50% is a minimum for the ‘cottage country.’ I’d bet some of them are off 70%. But they doubled in the previous two years.

    ‘Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville have also suffered ‘significantly’ steeper losses than the City of Toronto itself. White Rock, B.C. and West Vancouver have seen peak-to-trough declines of 30 to 40 per cent’

    First time I’ve heard of White Rock, but Vancouver isn’t close to the ‘trough.’ It’s not surprising. Tiff cut interest rates three times in March 2020 alone!

    1. “I say that if I were personally looking for a house, now would be the time to buy 100%,’ Jandick said.”

      They are not experts. Just pros at the con.

    2. I say that if I were personally looking for a house, now would be the time to buy 100%,’ Jandick said.”

      Realtors are liars. The financial imperative of Always Be Closing means “now” is always “the time to buy 100%” even though the real cratering hasn’t even started yet.

  4. Real Journalists refer to finance or “financiers” as if it’s some kind of noble profession, when all you really are are Coin Clippers with computers.

    You shave precious metal from the edges of coins. That’s your net contribution to society, because you are all parasites.

  5. “Institutional owners of single-family houses for rent are selling more of their portfolios than they are adding to them, a new report finds, with selling activity clustered in three major markets.

    Institutional investors should be barred by law from competing with legitimate homebuyers in the residential real estate space, but since private equity locusts own “our” lawmakers, that’s a forlorn hope. But I predict rising public hostility against these rapacious parasites from those priced out of decent housing by corporate greed.

    1. “rapacious parasites”

      Parasites, did you say?

      Like leeches, tapeworms, mosquitoes? Parasites that invade or attach themselves to the body, and suck your blood?

      Luigi has a solution to that problem.

  6. The condo market is especially soft in D.C., says Scimeca. ‘They’re sitting. Nothing’s happening.’

    Then get to sawin’ and slashin’ like you mean it, greedheads.

    1. “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” ― Upton Sinclair,

  7. FedGov just told employees they no longer have to write those weekly “five bullet point” emails. I’m guessing that this was an artifact of Elon and they don’t want to keep track of it anymore. And IIUC, it was mainly to root out fraudsters.

  8. HHS Cancels $500 Million in mRNA Vaccine Development Contracts

    Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced on Aug. 5 that 22 mRNA vaccine development contracts are being canceled and redirected “because the data show these vaccines fail to protect effectively against upper respiratory infections like COVID and flu.”

    The mRNA development activities are spearheaded by the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA), which is managed by Global Health Investment Corporation (GHIC).

    The 22 projects are worth nearly $500 million, according to the Aug. 5 HHS press release.

    The news release explained that the decision “follows a comprehensive review of mRNA-related investments initiated during the COVID-19 public health emergency.”

    “We reviewed the science, listened to the experts, and acted,” Kennedy said in a statement. “We’re shifting that funding toward safer, broader vaccine platforms that remain effective even as viruses mutate.”

    As part of the wind-down, BARDA’s award to Moderna/UTMB for an mRNA-based H5N1 vaccine will be canceled, HHS noted. Contracts with Emory University and Tiba Biotech will also be terminated. Pre-award solicitations from Pfizer, Sanofi Pasteur, CSL Seqirus, Gritstone, and others, as part of BARDA’s Rapid Response Partnership Vehicle and VITAL Hub, will be canceled or rejected.

    There will be a “de-scoping of mRNA-related work” in three existing contracts and a restructuring of collaborations with the Department of Defense, impacting nucleic acid-based vaccine projects with AAHI, AstraZeneca, and HDT Bio, HHS reported.

    “Let me be absolutely clear: HHS supports safe, effective vaccines for every American who wants them. That’s why we’re moving beyond the limitations of mRNA and investing in better solutions,” Kennedy said.

    “Technologies that were funded during the emergency phase but failed to meet current scientific standards will be phased out in favor of evidence-based, ethically grounded solutions–like whole-virus vaccines and novel platforms,” according to the press release.

    In recent months, HHS also dismissed all 17 members of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention vaccine advisory panel, ended the CDC’s COVID-19 vaccine recommendations for pregnant women and healthy children, and ordered the removal of mercury from influenza vaccines.

    On Aug. 1, Kennedy announced more repeals of federal policy that rewarded hospitals for reporting staff vaccination rates.

    Created under the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services inpatient payment rule in August 2021, the policy linked hospital reimbursement to staff vaccination reporting.

    https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/hhs-cancels-22-mrna-vaccine-development-contracts-5897223

    1. Someday, mRNA might be good for other medical treatments possibly including vaccines. But trumpeting it as the panacea for everything is a bad idea.

  9. City Council Hands Over Ash Street Tower to Development Team of Kelly Moden, Chair of the Planning Commission — No Conflict of Interest There, Oh No!

    Tuesday, the 29th of July, witnessed another vote by the San Diego City Council. This vote — a unanimous one — crystalized the city handing over, as Jennifer Van Grove at the UT, described as “its asbestos-plagued office tower at 101 Ash St.” for a 60-year lease to the development team headed by none other than Kelly Moden, the chair of the City’s Planning Commission. She heads MRK Partners and Create Dev LLC.

    Moden gushed, “Today’s council approval gives us the green light to transform a city-owned liability into a legacy. We are honored to have the trust and confidence of the San Diego City Council as we turn our attention to meeting September’s state and federal affordable housing deadlines, which will keep our timeline and financing moving forward.”

    As Van Grove reported:

    The project presumably raises ethical concerns because of Moden’s involvement.

    Michael Aguirre and Maria Severson, partners at Aguirre & Severson LLP who have sued the city over its past dealings with the building, threatened additional litigation. They alleged violations related to public noticing requirements and argued that Moden’s financial participation in the deal is illegal.

    Moden stands to collect a portion of the $32.7 million developer fee. The fee is calculated using a state formula for the low-income housing tax credit program, which allows the developer to take home 15% of the eligible basis. Eligible basis is the total amount of project costs eligible for generating tax credits. The development team will pocket nearly $3.8 million up front and collect the rest when the project is refinanced.

    “The chairperson of the city Planning Commission is perpetrating a fraud on the people of San Diego … . She has a prohibited financial interest,” Aguirre said. “I’m going to have to go back into court, because this is a fraud.”

    San Diego’s Ethics Commission said last year that there is no conflict of interest because the project did not go before the Planning Commission.

    Alas, many commenters and writers have complained that this is just ‘business as usual’ for San Diego.

    https://obrag.org/2025/07/city-council-hands-over-ash-street-tower-to-development-team-of-kelly-moden-chair-of-the-planning-commission-no-conflict-of-interest-there-oh-no/

  10. Stanford University to lay off more than 300 employees; blames federal policy changes

    STANFORD, Calif. (KGO) — Stanford University announced on Tuesday they will lay off more than 300 employees this fall.

    University leaders say they “face significant budget consequences from federal policy changes and those changes will cost Stanford $140 million.”

    The layoffs take effect September 30. 363 positions will be impacted. But it’s unclear which departments will be affected by the layoffs.

    Stanford’s president and provost stated in a letter to faculty and staff last Thursday :

    “…The university is making a $140 million reduction in the general funds budget for the upcoming year. This is the product of a challenging fiscal environment shaped in large part by federal policy changes affecting higher education…these are difficult actions that affect valued colleagues and friends who have made important contributions to Stanford.”

    The federal government has slashed millions of dollars in research grants and higher education funding. Under President Donald Trump, the government is also increasing the tax on the university’s endowment.

    President Trump’s spending bill passed by the House in May proposed a 21% tax on some university endowments. Stanford’s current endowment tax rate is 1.4%, according to the Stanford Daily student newspaper. The proposed endowment tax would cost the university about $750 million a year.

    San Mateo County Board of Supervisors President David J. Canepa issued a statement, responding to the layoffs, writing:

    “Stanford’s announcement that it is laying off hundreds of hardworking employees is a gut punch to our local economy and to families already struggling to make ends meet,” Canepa said. “Make no mistake, these cuts are the direct result of the so-called ‘Big Beautiful Bill’, a devastating piece of federal legislation that prioritizes politics over people. Raising the endowment tax from 1.4% to 21% isn’t reform, it’s economic sabotage. I stand with the workers, not with the ivory towers or reckless federal overreach.”

    https://abc7news.com/post/stanford-university-lay-off-more-300-employees-blames-trump-administrations-federal-policy-changes/17445515/

  11. Carney unveils lumber sector plan amid ‘costly uncertainty’ of trade war

    Prime Minister Mark Carney on Tuesday unveiled his plan to address the “costly uncertainty” that Canada’s lumber industry faces because of its dependence on the U.S.

    Speaking at a lumber mill in British Columbia on Wednesday, Carney said certain sectors are going to face the brunt of U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war against Canada. These sectors include autos, steel, aluminum, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and softwood lumber, Carney said.

    Carney said two-thirds of Canadian lumber production and nearly 90 per cent of Canadian lumber exports currently go to the United States.

    Carney said the government would also launch a reskilling program for lumber workers who are affected by layoffs during this trade war.

    “For the forest products sector alone, we will provide $50 million in upskilling and reskilling investments, as well as new support for over 6,000 affected lumber workers,” he said.

    When asked if he and Trump had spoken recently, Carney said, “I haven’t spoken to the president in recent days. We’ll speak when it makes sense.”

    Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre criticized the Liberal government for presiding over years of increased U.S. softwood lumber duties and accused Carney of not fighting back.

    “Mark Carney promised us that he would put ‘elbows up,’ that he would handle Trump, and that he would negotiate a win by ending the tariffs. He’s broken all of those promises,” he told reporters in Drumheller, Alta. “Under Mark Carney’s leadership, it has been elbows down and tariffs up.”

    On Friday, after the U.S.-imposed target date for a trade deal between Canada and the U.S. expired, Trump increased the tariffs on Canadian goods from 25 per cent to 35 per cent.

    Some in Canada have called for further retaliation.

    “Canada shouldn’t settle for anything less than the right deal. Now is not the time to roll over. We need to stand our ground,” Ontario Premier Doug Ford said in a statement. “The federal government needs to hit back with a 50 per cent tariff on U.S. steel and aluminum.”

    https://globalnews.ca/news/11318656/donald-trump-tariffs-mark-carney-questions/

    1. Prime Minister Mark Carney on Tuesday unveiled his plan to address the “costly uncertainty” that Canada’s lumber industry faces because of its dependence on the U.S.

      Is there ANY sector of the Canadian economy that isn’t dependent on the US?

  12. Trade Negotiations: Did Mexico Really Win?

    Behind claims of diplomatic success, Mexico faces mounting pressure, cartel-linked corruption, and looming political reforms that may deepen its democratic decline.

    Morena’s propaganda machine was busy last week. It was tasked with the impossible: Portraying Mexico as a winner in the latest the latest round of what seems to be an endless loop of tariff threats, narco-political compromises, and calls for nationalism, and political reforms.

    Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum’s declaration of “having achieved a good deal” after her phone conversation with U.S. President Donald Trump was a “save face” effort, and it comes after weeks of strong statements from Donald Trump portraying her administration as incompetent and ineffective. He went as far as stating that Mexican cartels have a strong control over the country and that its government is petrified.

    In the backdrop of these statements, Sheinbaum and Trump were scheduled to have a phone conversation to discuss trade, national security and immigration. With the White House having announced sweeping global tariffs that would impact more than 70 countries, Sheinbaum’s main objective was to delay the tariffs on Mexico, which were scheduled to start on August 1st.

    The other two subjects will have to wait. They will be part of the political compromises that will undoubtedly unravel this week.

    Mexico is being bullied, and it is under immense pressure from this administration to fight its internal corruption. This pressure can have tremendous political repercussions for Mexico, some that could even threaten its financial stability.

    On this upcoming September 4th, U.S. financial institutions will be prohibited from conducting business with CIBanco, Intercam Banco, and Vector Casa de Bolsa. These Mexican financial institutions are under investigation by the US Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network for being the “primary money laundering concern” in connection with fentanyl trafficking.

    Complicating matters for Sheinbaum is that at least one of these financial institutions has close ties to AMLO, her political mentor. She owes him her political career. The question is, how much can she and Morena protect their own corrupt institutional and party leadership? The outcome of the Treasury Department’s investigation will determine that.

    In one of her recent daily press conferences, Sheinbaum remarked that the U.S. only thinks of Mexico in relation to crime. It’s hard not to though. If you were to think of the current political events happening in Mexico in the context of U.S. politics, you’d think the country was about to collapse.

    Take the case of Adán Augusto López Hernández; he is the Senate Party Coordinator, or Senate Majority Leader if compared to U.S. politics. His position was just ratified by the party despite a developing political scandal.

    Imagine the U.S. Senate Majority Leader caught in a scandal where two of his top security officials, who he appointed as governor, were now wanted by Interpol on charges of leading a criminal group involved in drug trafficking and murder.

    Imagine the governor of any U.S. state being accused of having attended a meeting where the most powerful drug lord in the world was betrayed, kidnapped, and ultimately extradited.

    Then having the state police admit to creating a fake video where a person who could have testified to his presence at the meeting was murdered. All while he was supposedly in the United States, or not. But he’s managed to remain governor for more than a year, with the support of President Sheinbaum.

    Imagine being the president of Mexico and being baited to publicly respond to the accusations of a drug dealer’s loudmouth lawyer, who claimed you wanted to know the details of the plea deal with “El Chapo’s” son.

    Imagine a national sports figure turned politician who would use his name and fame to become governor, only to now be accused of corruption, money laundering, illicit enrichment, and domestic violence.

    Imagine being the former president of Mexico, wondering how this situation got out of control, and what you’ll need to do if the U.S. decides it will not be satisfied with one or two headline arrests.

    If you consider these examples, their circumstances, and the fact that the U.S. has testimony that it will use in criminal cases against corrupt Mexican officials, you have a ticking time bomb fueled by testimony obtained from Ovidio Guzman, El Mayo, and other notable figures who are looking to cut deals and reduce their sentences.

    Mexico must look at itself in the mirror. It must face the ugly truth that time is running out on its institutional corruption. It cannot continue to survive as a truly sovereign country when you are living deadline by deadline.

    You cannot govern under the threat of lists of high-ranking political figures tied to cartels being made public. You can’t be going through this cycle every 90 days.

    https://mitsloanreview.mx/colaborador/trade-negotiations-did-mexico-really-win/amp/

  13. Ukrainian refugees face uncertain future as U.S. work permits are set to expire

    Liana Avetisian and most of her family fled Ukraine in 2023 and have built a new life in the U.S., resettling in DeWitt, Iowa, which calls itself the Crossroads to Opportunity.

    The town has been just that for more than 75 Ukrainians, welcomed by people like Angela Boelens, who has helped many of the refugees with housing and jobs, at first on her own and then through an organization she helped found called Iowa Nice.

    But for Avetisian and her teenage daughter, the opportunity in Dewitt could be slipping away.

    As the war in Ukraine continues, most European countries are renewing work permits of Ukrainian refugees. The Trump administration has not, pausing all immigration applications filed by migrants from Latin America and Ukraine earlier this year.

    “They were promised to stay until it’s safe to return. It’s not safe to return. It’s not even close,” Boelens said. “And when we make a promise to people, I feel we keep it.”

    Boelens says many more work permits are about to expire, leaving Ukrainian refugees in limbo. They may not be forced to leave. But without a job, they can’t afford to stay.

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ukraine-refugees-work-permits-not-renewed/

  14. ICE Is Pressuring People in Custody to Self-Deport. Many Are Giving Up.

    On an afternoon in early July, Immigration Judge Guy Grande appeared on a television on a wall of the courtroom inside Otay Mesa Detention Center in San Diego and called a man from Mexico up to the front to hear his case.

    “I held your case over from this morning because you wanted to just take a removal order,” Grande said, a hint of confusion in his voice. “Is that still the case?” “Yes,” the man responded in Spanish.

    According to Grande, the man had entered the United States in August 2023 using CBP One — a phone application created by the Biden administration that asked asylum seekers to wait for lottery-style appointments to come to ports of entry to request protection — and had a pending asylum application in which he claimed a fear of return to Mexico. Still, he wanted to give up and leave.

    The man’s was not an isolated case. Crystal Felix, an immigration attorney and the legal representative of the San Diego Immigrant Rights Consortium, said that many are giving up legitimate asylum claims because conditions for immigrants in the U.S. have grown so dire. She said policies including arrests at immigration courts, and the government’s push to keep as many people as possible in immigration custody, make asylum seekers and other immigrants who might qualify to stay feel too hopeless to try.

    “There’s just a lot of desperation,” Felix said.

    Several people that day in early July asked Grande to deport them. A week later in the same courtroom, Capital & Main saw at least eight more say they also wanted to give up their cases to stay in the U.S. Many had entered using the CBP One app, and at least one was among those recently arrested in immigration court hallways.

    “The officers make people afraid and stressed by telling them that they’ll be in there for a year,” a man who was recently released from Otay Mesa Detention Center said in Spanish. He noted that conditions inside the facility are enough to make anyone want to give up.

    In the cases observed by Capital & Main, most of the people requesting to leave asked to sign for voluntary departure, but not all of them qualified.

    Among those who ended up with a regular deportation order was the man from Mexico who told Judge Grande that he no longer wanted to pursue his asylum case. Because he had come through the port of entry using CBP One, he could not request a voluntary departure, Grande said.

    Grande carefully questioned the man about his decision. “Are you afraid to return to Mexico or not?” Grande asked. “To Mexico, no, but to my town, yes,” the man responded. “I’m not going back to my town.”

    Grande then asked whether anyone was forcing the man to self-deport. No, the man said. He wanted to go back to Mexico. “This is a decision you’re making voluntarily?” Grande asked, putting his question another way. “Yes,” the man said. Grande then issued the deportation order. The entire conversation had taken just over 15 minutes.

    In more recent court hearings, Grande appeared to have streamlined his questions. Still, each time he asked the person if they were afraid to go back to their homeland. One man from Mexico who asked for voluntary departure to Tijuana said he had been in the U.S. since 2009.

    “Do you promise you will only return to the United States with legal permission and not try to sneak back into the United States?” Grande asked him. “Ya no vuelvo,” the man said. I’m not coming back.

    As hearings wound down for the day, a Venezuelan woman and man chatted for a moment across the court aisle before CoreCivic guards hushed them. Both said they wanted to leave, but the woman was worried about being able to get access to her phone before her deportation flight landed in her home country so that she could erase comments critical of the Venezuelan government from her social media accounts.

    Despite her concerns that her own government might retaliate against her for her political opinion, she said going there would be better than staying as an immigrant in the U.S. “It’s only going to get worse here,” the woman said in Spanish.

    https://capitalandmain.com/ice-is-pressuring-people-in-custody-to-self-deport-many-are-giving-up

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