What's your housing bubble prediction? From six months ago. "The end of the year is going to be very different from the beginning of the year. The year will start off well, and those in defensive positions (cash, The Precious) will take a hit. Then the shenanigans — low interest rates, repo market, globalist manipulations, Brexit, overdue commercial/multi RE loans, inverted yield curve, etc. — will finally catch up with the economy. I expect a recession/crash between Memorial Day and Election Day. It won’t be as serious as 2008, maybe along the lines of 2001."

A reply. "I respectfully disagree. The next crash is going to exceed the Great Depression in terms of economic devastation to the real economy as well as the rigged Wall Street speculative casino."

From one year ago. "Lots of peak bubble talk last few days. Over heard two co -worker Engineers today talking about the second homes they are trying to buy for investments. Also my plumber was telling me to never sell my house. All this money has to go away to money heaven soon it always does. Prediction by the end of 2020 a recession."

One said. "The other factor is homebuilding is half of what it was before the last collapse. Consequently home building is less than half the share of the economy as then. This means it is unlikely to trigger the same magnitude of a recession as last time."

A reply. "The supply side is only half the story. The current market has record investor penetration, and that share of demand seems certain to evaporate in the face of cratering prices. As investors reposition themselves from the demand side to the supply side of the market, downward pressure on prices will sizably increase. Once flipper demand is gone, fundamental demand will take over, but given crushing consumer debt loads, this will prove a paltry substitute. And if the widely anticipated recession comes to pass, you can stick a fork in US housing demand."