There’s Some Uncertainty That Happens When You’re Coming Down From Great Heights
A report from Mansion Global. “The gap between homes’ listing prices and sales prices is widening in a number of markets. The California Association of Realtors, for instance, found that the state’s sales-to-list-price ratio hit its lowest point in 20 months in October. A large disparity between listing and sales prices can indicate that sellers are increasingly out of step with a changing market, and it may be time for a reality check—as well as discounts on listing prices.”
“‘We often see houses listed with the expectation of sellers that pricing has been continuing upward, and a lot of times, they price their homes by extrapolating continued upward market movement,’ said Paul Habibi, professor at the UCLA Ziman Center for Real Estate. ‘But once the market stalls out, those houses sit on the market for longer, there’s a scarcity of buyers, and lower bids. Sellers start to lower their asking prices or else accept offers below list.'”
“However, real estate analysts say, a decrease in sales-to-list-price ratios does not forebode a significant downturn. ‘If you look at the broader economy, the fundamentals are still strong,’ said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist with Redfin. ‘The GDP is growing, and unemployment is low. Sales prices are still growing. In order for it to be a real reason to worry, prices would have to start going negative.'”
“The hot Seattle real estate market seems to have reached a turning point, with the average home selling for 0.6% below listing price in October, the first time prices were below asking since 2014.”
“‘Prices have gone up so much recently in Seattle that buyers have reached a point where they’re saying they’re not going to accept these,’ Ms. Fairweather said. ‘And with mortgage interest rates going up, more people are thinking of renting instead of buying.'”
“Seattle is not the only market experiencing a slowdown in sales and sales prices. In Los Angeles, too, 23.8% of sellers sold their homes for below the listing price this September, while the median home price in Los Angeles County saw a 3.6% gain, the smallest in three years.”
“‘We’ve had double-digit annual price increases in several of the years after the recession,’ Mr. Habibi said. ‘Now we’re seeing the market start to slow down because the pace of annual increases is generally unsustainable at that rate.'”
“Third quarter market reports also reflected a cooling of home sales in Manhattan. The borough is experiencing its most significant slowdown in a decade, with sales declining by 11% compared to quarter three of last year, according to Stribling & Associates. As in Seattle and Los Angeles, this is leading to an increase in disparities between asking and sales prices.”
“‘On the whole, there is more negotiability, and an increase in inventory,’ said Elizabeth Ann Stribling-Kivlan, president of Stribling & Associates. ‘We had a real run, but we’re definitely seeing a slowdown. But I don’t think that’s a bad thing.'”
“Nationwide, home sales are decreasing, and property is lingering on the market for longer. But other real estate experts agree with Ms. Stribling-Kivlan that this does not presage a major economic downturn. Instead, they say, the trend represents a normalizing of the market after moving for several years at a frenetic pace.”
“‘There are consistent clues that we’re seeing a shift in the velocity of the market, and moving away from an extreme sellers market,’ said Javier Vivas, director of economic research for Realtor.com. ‘There’s some uncertainty that happens when you’re coming down from great heights. But those higher-priced, historically hot markets are really now getting more of that correction and moderation.'”
From the Foundation for Financial Education. “Over the last several weekends, the nonprofit, Boston-based brokerage Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America (NACA) partnered with big banks and hosted events all across the country, attracting tens of thousands of attendees. These events are meant to help people apply for subprime home loans.”
“But instead of being shocked by the fact that these risky loans are making a comeback, and rather than advising the public to proceed with caution, media outlets and financial institutions are looking at this resurgence as if it is somehow a good thing for the American economy. Many are even claiming that this time will be different than the last.”
“During the housing crisis, Magdalene Altidor lost her home to foreclosure. And yet, she was one of the first people in line when NACA hosted an event in Miami. ‘I left home, it was about 4 a.m. I’m ready to purchase a home,’ she told CNBC. She later added that ‘Homeownership is freedom.'”
“Bruce Marks, CEO of NACA, commented on these non-prime loans saying, ‘It’s a national disgrace about the low amount of homeownership, mortgages for low- and moderate-income people and for minority homebuyers.'”
Comments are closed.
‘In order for it to be a real reason to worry, prices would have to start going negative’
First of all Daryl, speaking for myself, I’m not worried at all. But thanks for your concern.
Secondly, if you think shack prices haven’t gone negative you may want to start looking for another job.
A large disparity between listing and sales prices can indicate that sellers are increasingly out of step
In my experience the UHS tells the seller what the listing price should be, so who is out of step?
That’s not actually how it works. A lot of greedhead sellers already have a number in their heads. Other people get an appraisal. REALTWHORES are not appraisers.
people get an appraisal.
Maybe so, but I never did as a seller. The UHS pulled together some comps. They do have the tools to do this.
And sellers are always happy to have the realtors come up with comps that show the value is higher than the seller thought it would be.
Just human nature.
Just as people would be upset when I told them that the valuation was not what they think it should be, but if they want the house why worry what I thought it was worth. After all they were buying it, I wasn’t.
The comps are too high when prices are already falling.
It looks like the realtors are working to talk asking prices down. They only get paid on a transaction. Presumably the lie today is lets price it aggressively, and get a bidding war going. Then after a few weeks with only one offer the seller wises up and accepts. Realtor gets paid
Yep. The quagmire for realtors is that even if they know better, they might be unlikely to contradict the owners desired list price in order to obtain a signed listing agreement.
‘the median home price in Los Angeles County saw a 3.6% gain, the smallest in three years’
The median is a lagging statistic. It can be going up even when foreclosures are flooding in.
‘We’ve had double-digit annual price increases in several of the years after the recession…Now we’re seeing the market start to slow down because the pace of annual increases is generally unsustainable at that rate’
And now you are several years too late to do anything about it.
Framingham, MA Housing Prices Crater 12% YOY As Double Digit Price Declines Emerge Across Boston Area
https://www.movoto.com/framingham-ma/market-trends/
HA! finally found a movoto w lower p per sq ft and increasing inventory
mornin’ Rip.
Again. $/sq ft valuation is a poor performer as it excludes all items in the transaction except for the structure and the area of dirt directly under it.
Salem, OR Housing Prices Crater 20% YOY As Panic Sets In And Sellers Slash
https://www.movoto.com/salem-or/market-trends/
Not even that. It only equates the living area to the sales price. No dirt is ever factored into the equation as well as garages, pools, outbuildings, wells, septic system, impact fees, fences, driveways, etc.
Price per sf is a very rough measure and not used as a metric in any serious real estate analysis. It can be used in certain limited macro analytical processes as the larger the sample size, the more that differences iron out.
So does any of that support the conclusion that just price is a better metric than price per square? Part of this blog has an educational function.
any serious real estate analysis.
This topic is amusing. Thorough analysis of construction costs or price/ft2 would only be useful if housing wasn’t in an advanced stage of mania. It doesn’t show up on your mortgage statement, merely how deeply you are in debt.
“Price per sf is a very rough measure”
It works ok for estimating and bidding. It doesn’t work at all post construction unless a detailed take off of other items in the transaction that aren’t captured in sq/ft metric. As always, depreciation must be factored in post construction.
The price per sf is the only relevant statistic presented and almost none of the cratering posts show a decline in the price per sf, only a decline in the median home sf. It is as if the crater poster is only selecting the markets with anomalous declines in median sf size.
anomalous declines
Outliers.
Again while $/sq ft isn’t perfect it is better than $.
I bought some meat for 11$ today last week meat cost $12 ergo the price of meat is falling.
Wait you have to correct for $/lb to see if meat is getting more expensive or cheaper
Yes but that doesn’t account for the cut.
Indeed it doesn’t but it is a better measure than just price
last week meat cost
Perhaps John’s ability and willingness to buy a nice steak has waned.
“During the housing crisis, Magdalene Altidor lost her home to foreclosure. And yet, she was one of the first people in line when NACA hosted an event in Miami. ‘I left home, it was about 4 a.m. I’m ready to purchase a home,’ she told CNBC. She later added that ‘Homeownership is freedom.’”
She sure has impeccable timing on purchasing the peak, lucky for her, she can simply “walk away” as she did the last round her home was foreclosed. I guess these type of “freedom” seekers are what make it better for us more savvy buyers as they just add to the pool of soon to be foreclosed homes
Emancipation for Magdalene Altidor is financial slavery.
“‘Homeownership is freedom.’”
Sure, if you actually own the house outright and don’t pay taxes, or have very low taxes. That still ignores the maintenance and repair issues that plague all “homeowners.” Personally, I think renting is “freedom.” You can decide on a whim to go someplace else, pull up stakes and leave.
decide on a whim
Even more so if your home has motors.
‘I left home, it was about 4 a.m. I’m ready to purchase a home,’ she told CNBC’
‘The hot Seattle real estate market seems to have reached a turning point…the first time prices were below asking since 2014’
It was late in 2014 many markets were rolling over. Then Mel Watt and the boys started easing loan standards and kept that up since. So now we are seeing really obvious stuff like this woman in Miami. IMO, these things show up when they are out of buyers.
May 25, 2018
“In his corner of American finance, where hard selling meets hard luck, Angelo Christian is a star. Each time Christian sells a home loan, the company he works for, American Financial Network Inc., takes as much as 5 percent. Many of Christian’s customers have no savings, poor credit, or low income—sometimes all three. Some are like Joseph Taylor, a corrections officer who saw Christian’s roadside billboard touting zero-down mortgages. Taylor had recently filed for bankruptcy because of his $25,000 in credit card debt. But he just bought his first home for $120,000 with a zero-down loan from Christian’s company. Monthly debt payments now eat up half his take-home pay. ‘If he can help me, he can help anyone,’ Taylor says. ‘My credit history was just horrible.’”
“Christian can do this kind of deal because he is, in effect, making the loan on behalf of the federal government through its most important affordable housing program. It’s a sweet deal: He gets his nearly risk-free commission. Taylor puts no money down. If things go south, the government ultimately bears the risk. Many borrowers ‘are living paycheck to paycheck and, if they lose their jobs, they go into default immediately,’ says John Burns, a housing consultant.”
http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=10443
Taylor puts no money down. If things go south, the government ultimately bears the risk. Many borrowers ‘are living paycheck to paycheck and, if they lose their jobs, they go into default immediately,’ says John Burns, a housing consultant.”
Good thing these are gov backed loans. It’s almost like the gov wants the defaults…
Borrowers Are Tapping Their Homes for Cash, Even as Rates Rise
Wall Street Journal-58 minutes ago
Cash-out refis played a big role in the decade-ago housing crisis, when many … Borrowers who miss mortgage payments can end up in foreclosure. Also …
Also…can qualify as victims worthy of bailouts when the next foreclosure crisis hits.
Bethany McLean and Joe Nocera found that people were using their cash-out refinance to maintain their standard of living because household wage gains had been flat for years.
Where will the next supply of borrowed money come?
What happens when there isn’t any more?
Buy popcorn and earplugs.
‘I left home, it was about 4 a.m. I’m ready to purchase a home,’ she told CNBC’
No, Magdalene. Thanks to government meddling in the housing market, driven by patronage and graft rackets, you are going to go deep in debt for a house you can’t afford and won’t be able to hang onto, with the inevitable losses transferred to taxpayers. Again.
“Why couldn’t you guys just leave our dear btc alone?!”
That’s a great idea. Since Bitcoin is (supposedly) a standalone, peer2peer currency system that operates independently of central bank issued fiat currency, there’s no further need to exchange Bitcoins for dollars, or vice versa. You’ll be on your own, HODLers, after the Cryptxit…good luck!
News
November 25, 2018 07:38
Bitcoin Op-Ed: Welcome Darkness, My Old Friend
For those doubting price could go lower, this month has been rather interesting. More than 90B in marketcap burn. Gone like the wind. A literal bloodbath.
I don’t know if I should laugh or cry. Honestly.
In one hand, great, I can purchase more Bitcoin at cheaper prices. On the other, goddamn it.
Did we seriously need another beating?
Why didn’t the stock markets continue to crash instead? Why couldn’t you guys just leave our dear btc alone?!
https://www.ccn.com/bitcoin-op-ed-welcome-darkness-my-old-friend/
Ideas
Is a Recession Coming?
If you’re going to worry about the economy, tumbling stocks are the least of America’s financial troubles right now.
Nov 23, 2018
Derek Thompson
Staff writer at The Atlantic
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on November 20, 2018.
Brendan McDermid / Reuters
In December 2007, Larry Kudlow, then a talking head for the business network CNBC, proclaimed, “There’s no recession coming. It’s not going to happen.” That same month, the economy plunged into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression.
…
cry
All these idiots care about is how many dollars they are worth. Their precious bitcoin means nothing. Ironic.
What a joke that this author is ok suffering the loss all the way down back to zero. A true HODLer / stubborn optimist. When I first heard about crypto from colleagues I asked how could any currency not controlled by government ever become mainstream and the response was that whole “decentralized / free market” currency BS. Not saying I know what could happen with it or if it could become the new future of currency but I still can’t wrap my head around how it would ever be allowed by our government unless they took it over. The “idea” of a decentralized money system doesn’t jive well with our puppet masters. Emperors New Currency (cryptonick?)
Did you BTFD, now that Cryptogeddon has ended and it’s safe again to go long?
Bitcoin recovers above $4,000 after dropping to over one-year low
Janna Herron | USA TODAY Updated 20 minutes ago
…
The cryptocurrency’s most recent troubles began in mid-November, when it dropped below $6,000. That was a turnaround from its relatively steady October when U.S. stocks got hammered.
Bitcoin enthusiasm has waned dramatically since the last holiday season. The cryptocurrency jumped from $6,088.35 in mid-November 2017 to $19,326.49 on Dec. 17, 2017. Year to date in 2018, bitcoin has declined almost 70 percent.
Cryptocurrencies in general are facing increased regulatory scrutiny, putting pressure on their values.
In mid-November, the Securities and Exchange Commission handed down its first civil penalties against a cryptocurrency company. Both CarrierEQ, which does business as Airfox, and Paragon Coin settled with the agency for registration violations as part of a wider SEC crackdown on fraud and abuse in the industry.
…
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2018/11/25/bitcoins-and-other-cryptocurrencies-get-hammered-post-thanksgiving/2108033002/
Bitcoin has lost 40 percent of its value in the last two weeks
A dramatic turnaround from 2017’s gains
By Andrew Liptak
Nov 25, 2018, 4:29pm EST
Stop Motion by Michele Doying / The Verge
Bitcoin is in the middle of an astounding price drop, reaching prices as low as $3,520 in recent days and wiping out all gains from coins purchased this year. As of press time, the price was hovering around $3,900, a roughly 40 percent drop from two weeks ago. The result is the worst price drop since April 2013, refreshing old doubts about the soundness of bitcoin as an investment vehicle.
It’s a dramatic turn from 2017, when the value passed $15,000 in the beginning of December to peak just below $20,000. After that, prices plummeted. By January of this year, it lost half of its peak value, and continued to drop. The drop has been particularly dramatic in the last couple of weeks.
https://www.theverge.com/2018/11/25/18111261/bitcoin-crash-lost-40-percent-of-value-november-2018-cryptocurrency
Opinion
Only a fool would have bought into bitcoin late last year. So guess what I did?
Arwa Mahdawi
A little voice in my head told me that maybe cryptocurrency was the future, and I should have a stake in it. That voice was wrong …
Sun 25 Nov 2018 10.00 EST
Last modified on Sun 25 Nov 2018 15.41 EST
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/25/only-a-fool-would-have-bought-into-bitcoin-late-last-year-so-guess-what-i-did
The cryptocrash is good for the planet.
Bitcoin slumped on Tuesday to its lowest this year as prices fell as much as 10 per cent to breach US$4,300, coinciding with broader drops in the world’s financial markets. Photo: Agence France-Presse
Start-ups
As bitcoin prices fall, mining cryptocurrencies is no longer profitable for many
– Bitcoin prices fell nearly 30 per cent over the past week, hitting a 13-month low of about US$4,500
– Loss-making cryptocurrency miners are dumping plenty of their mining rigs
Zheping Huang
UPDATED : Thursday, 22 Nov 2018, 9:10AM
https://m.scmp.com/tech/start-ups/article/2174388/bitcoin-prices-fall-mining-cryptocurrencies-no-longer-profitable-many
I don’t understand bitcoin, I truly don’t. I have a question though, isn’t one function of bitcoin mining the verification of transactions? If mining isn’t profitable and stops, then transactions can’t be verified?
I have heard it takes 10 min or so to verify a transaction.. My $100 bill gets accepted faster than that.
Why do MSM journalists routinely provide “visual representations of the bitcoin digital cryptocurrency”, given that it’s imaginary and doesn’t physically exist? Are journalists in on the scam?
Note that while Bitcoin has fallen much farther since the article posted below was published, the main points remain timely.
Project Syndicate economists
Blockchain isn’t about democracy and decentralisation – it’s about greed
Nouriel Roubini
Cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin result in the concentration of wealth, not greater equality
Mon 15 Oct 2018 06.20 EDT
Last modified on Mon 29 Oct 2018 11.16 EDT
Visual representation of the bitcoin digital cryptocurrency
With the value of bitcoin having fallen by about 70% since its peak late last year, the mother of all bubbles has now gone bust. More generally, cryptocurrencies have entered a not-so-cryptic apocalypse. The value of leading coins such as Ether, EOS, Litecoin and XRP have all fallen by over 80%, thousands of other digital currencies have plummeted by 90%-99%, and the rest have been exposed as outright frauds. No one should be surprised by this: four out of five initial coin offerings (ICOs) were scams to begin with.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/oct/15/blockchain-democracy-decentralisation-bitcoin-price-cryptocurrencies
If it continues its recent ongoing losses of over $100/day, Bitcoin will bottom out at $0 by early 2019.
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/cryptocurrency/btcusd?mod=MW_story_quote
Can anybody who gets it explain why $4000 is the “psychological mark” for Bitcoin, given that it’s crashed through $19,000, $18,000, $17,000, … , $5,000, and now $4,000? Is $4,000 different than all those other multiples of $1,000 it’s crashed through?
Nov 26, 2018,3:00 am
Bitcoin, Ripple (XRP), And Ethereum Got Roasted Over Thanksgiving–Here’s Why
Billy Bambrough, Contributor
Crypto & Blockchain
I write about how bitcoin, crypto, and fintech are changing the world.
Bitcoin fell sharply over the Thanksgiving weekend, dragging the wider cryptocurrency market down with it, including ripple (XRP) and ethereum’s ether, as last week’s huge sell-off surged back, destroying hopes the bitcoin market had found a floor.
The bitcoin price dropped to a low of $3,604 according to CoinDesk’s bitcoin price tracker, before rebounding back over the psychological $4,000 mark. The bitcoin price is currently hovering around $4,000 on the Luxembourg-based Bitstamp exchange, as the volatility seen throughout November continues to cause chaos for traders, investors, and exchanges.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2018/11/26/bitcoin-ripple-xrp-and-ethereum-got-roasted-over-thanksgiving-heres-why/#313627f44430
Just like any multiple of 1000 is a psychological mark for the Dow or S&P, and any multiple of 100 is so for any stock, these round numbers force humans to buy (never sell) the underlying instrument with renewed vigor. The sentiment is similar to that which causes us to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, etc by generally burning money for no tangible return other than nostalgia, which is in the mind anyway and could be experienced to a large degree without spending a dime.
Much of investing these days is based on psychology anyway, not reason or results. These “marks” serve as periodic jolts of that persuade the irrational hordes to become even more so.
Ms. Fairweather said
for reals?
still steady in 22151 as trump and congress continue to spend big
When housing losses we must eat
Let us stamp our little feet
That would make a great bumper sticker!
If you want to get your car keyed by bitter FBs.
‘If you look at the broader economy, the fundamentals are still strong,’ said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist with Redfin. ‘The GDP is growing, and unemployment is low.
Daryl neglects to mention that after ten years of QE, household and pubic debt has tripled, and housing, along with just about every other asset class, is a bursting bubble. And 93 million people are “out of the work force” but not counted as unemployed in another statistical sleight of hand. Wages for the proles have been stagnant since the ’70s in real terms due to globalism and the Fed’s debasement of the currency, and living wage jobs are scarcer than work boots at a Hillary Clinton rally. So what’s that malarky about strong fundamentals, Daryl?
I am a non(FB) I think. In any case I bought in 2011 when both prices and interest rates where at temporary lows. If I had to buy my same house today per Zillow (not perfect I know) and present interest rates. My monthly nut would be triple. The economy has being doing well, but not that well. So correction has to happen.
my same house
Depends on how much you owe and whether the price goes below that by the time you need to sell.
Sure but it has to 1/2 before I am “in trouble”, I don’t think it will do that.
Bothell, WA Housing Prices Crater 31% YOY As Brokers Concede Seattle Housing Market “Is Collapsing”
https://www.movoto.com/bellevue-wa/market-trends/
Remember the days when no prudent person would’ve signed a mortgage on a shack that was more than 3X their income?
Neither do I.
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2018/nov/24/mortgage-deal-income-darlington-clydesdale
Might as well offer a 100-year loan that your grandkids inherit while they are at it.
Call it a hunch, but I don’t think Bitcoin is going to make “analyst” Tom Lee’s target of $15,000 by the end of 2018.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y-pX6GbRbwc
Why do these shills behave as though there’s an unlimited number of greater fools with money to throw away on Bitcoin? Isn’t it obvious that they have run out of greater fools?
Denver craigslist apts/housing filtered on “month free” returns 3,000 results:
https://denver.craigslist.org/search/apa?query=month+free&availabilityMode=0&sale_date=all+dates
wow, what was it a year ago?
how about 2 months free rent ?
Naples, FL Housing Prices Crater 12% YOY As Rising Retiree Death Rate Floods Market With Excess Housing
https://www.zillow.com/naples-fl-34110/home-values/
*Select price from dropdown menu on first chart
‘Homeownership is freedom.’
Well that got orwellian quickly….
Debt: A Love Story
https://www.wealthsimple.com/en-ca/magazine/money-diary-couple-debt?fbclid=IwAR24Cr_qPycTcJCqZU6F8FfmcE3ABDJjzNejE4XCwqBtuSzXq_j0_cbemNc
Uncontained eee-bola epidemic spreads to San Diego!
Sunday November 25, 2018
The San Diego Union-Tribune
BUSINESS
S.D. HOME SELLERS SLASHING PRICES
Area leads the nation with the most price reductions this year
BY PHILLIP MOLNAR
A year ago the three bedroom Craftsman home on 2873 Upas St. would have been one of the hottest on the market, receiving multiple offers and selling within days of its listing.
But today, after sitting on the market for 44 days and four price reductions later, the remodeled 1943 home in the popular North Park-Morley Field neighborhood doesn’t have an offer.
That isn’t a sign that the bottom is falling out of the market. Instead, after years of rapid price increases, experts say the market is becoming more stable and for the first time in a long time, it is shifting in favor of buyers.
That shift is most evident when you look at the number of times sellers have reduced prices. The share of home listings with a price cut grew to its highest level in at least eight years, says a recent analysis from Trulia. San Diego had the most reductions, 20.5 percent, of the 100 biggest metro areas in the United States so far this year. (It tied with Tampa, Florida, which also saw 20.5 percent of homes with a price cut.)
“Three months ago, the feeling was, ‘I better make an offer on that house, and how high do I need to go?'” said Gary Kent, a La Jolla-based real estate agent. “The psychology has really changed to, ‘You know what, how much can I get off from the price?'”
…
“A year ago the three bedroom Craftsman home on 2873 Upas St. would have been one of the hottest on the market, receiving multiple offers and selling within days of its listing.“
A year ago the Chinese specuvestors were in full money laundering/ shell game mode. That’s been shut down and anyone that is willing to spend over a mil on a home is SoCal would likely want to live somewhere else. The price history on that shack is interesting to say the least and that upstairs 2nd kitchen does not seem to make much sense. The realtor who wrote that highlight failed to mention “2nd unit up the stairs from your living room, enjoy the sounds of your renters opening your front door and galloping up the stairs”. I just don’t see the potential in that shack which is probably why it keeps changing hands.
upstairs 2nd kitchen
Mother-in-law suite?
Here’s a link.
So far the experts don’t foresee price declines…just a slowing of the rate of appreciation.
This time is obviously different. From now on, San Diego real estate can only go up.
“This time it’s different, this time it’s different, this time it’s different ” – shaking realtor
Abandon hope, all ye who enter here.
Markets
No Refuge for Investors as 2018 Rout Sends Stocks, Bonds, Oil Lower
The failure of so many investment strategies is viewed by some as a warning of what could come following years of above-average returns
By Akane Otani and
Michael Wursthorn
Nov. 25, 2018 9:10 a.m. ET
Stocks, bonds and commodities from copper to crude oil to burlap are staging a rare simultaneous retreat, putting global markets on track for one of their worst years on record and deepening a sense of unease on Wall Street.
By one measure, global stocks and bonds are both on track to finish the year in the red for the first time in at least a quarter-century, said Belinda Boa, head of active investments for Asia Pacific at BlackRock in Hong Kong. Major stock benchmarks in the U.S., Europe, China and South Korea have all slid…
To Read the Full Story
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…
Investors have been chasing yields and returns for all that QE money slushing around for a decade now. Every sector has been saturated – equities, commodities, real estate, International and anything that is the new hotness like crypto has seen the same thing happen – discovery quickly followed by a flood of (cheap) money all hoping to get in before things ‘blow up’.
There’s nowhere left, and the rush for the exits is on.
There’s nowhere left
There are a few things left, but they’re unpleasant.
Bitcoin, the “magnificent scam,” craters closer to its intrinsic value: zero.
https://wolfstreet.com/2018/11/25/bitcoin-plunges-to-3738-whole-crypto-scam-melts-down-hedge-funds-stuck/
Bitcoin plunged to $3,738 at the moment. Down nearly 40% from two weeks ago, and down 81% from peak-mania of $20,078 on December 17, 2017. It’s back where it had first been on August 12, 2017. It looks like a magnificent bubble that is imploding, but “bubble” is a misnomer; it’s a magnificent scam, where people paid a lot of money – many billions of dollars – to get an essentially useless digital entity whose price then dissolved into where it had come from.
7 minute read
Beware of cryptocurrency
There are more than 1,300 cryptocurrencies worldwide.
By SALLEH BUANG
November 26, 2018 @ 10:00am
SALLEH BUANG
LATE last week, a good friend suggested that I revisit the subject of cryptocurrency in the light of recent expressions of interest by our government leaders.
She said since my earlier article on the subject (Are we ready for bitcoin? NST, June 15, 2017), several new issues had cropped up — not all of which had cast a positive light on the subject.
The https://cointelegraph.com portal describes crytocurrency as a digital or virtual currency designed to work as a medium of exchange, using cryptography to secure and verify transactions as well as to control the creation of new units of a particular cryptocurrency.
Also referred to as “digital currencies”, virtual currencies are known as bitcoins, ethereum, litecoin, ripples, etc. What is now causing concern to many quarters is their current “extreme daily price volatility”, which makes them unsuitable as “a store of value”, while problems of access, scale, and lack of legal tender status reduce their utility value as either a medium of exchange or a unit of account. They are also susceptible to price manipulation.
https://www.nst.com.my/opinion/columnists/2018/11/434594/beware-cryptocurrency
Now that housing bubbles are bursting left and right, the schemes and scams perpetrated by REIC hucksters are starting to come to light.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-24/largest-ever-overseas-real-estate-investment-scam-fleeced-investors-100-million
Who allowed this to be published?
“there’s a limited pool of people who can afford studios that run upward of $3,000 a month”
Unpossible. Add a karaoke room and you’ll get at least $4,000 a month.
https://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-apartment-co-living-20181125-story.html
Geeze.. the pic of the partitions for that one guy’s “bedroom”. Negative privacy. Not that many people will put up with those room share accommodations for long.
Not surprised to see so many investor back companies in the market of offering spaces like those.
What is is with this WeWork company, what am i missing here i know 2 people who use it but that’s all
Lord & Taylor prepares to say goodbye to Fifth Avenue after 104 years
WeWork and several investors aim to close the $850 million deal to buy the Fifth Avenue building by the end of January.
https://1010wins.radio.com/articles/ap-news/lord-taylor-prepares-say-goodbye-fifth-avenue-after-104-years
Here at Sanctuary Belize, we make money the old fashioned way… we steal it from you.
The article about list price to sales price ratio is somewhat misleading . It depends on how their mls calculates. In some mls systems it is based on the list price at the time of contract. If there had been list price reductions prior to contract then the actual ratio would be lower. It is a matter of accepted convention. If a property had an original list price of $120k, later reduced to 100k and sold for 99k, then the ratio is 99%. Obviously does not quite reveal the real market conditions in play or actual gap between seller expectations and market reality.
Regards.
Not to mention pulling it off the MLS, only to return a couple days later with a new, lower price, but resetting the starting point.
And no way to track it other than screenshots or personally archieving them, which I do on local homes I watch sit, reduce price, then disappear only to come back as a new listing soon after. I would be interested to see a site that offered such pricing visibility
Las Vegas, NV housing Prices Crater 8% YOY As Industry Massages Data To Conceal Correction
https://www.zillow.com/las-vegas-nv-89103/home-values/
*Select price from dropdown menu on first chart
Gibs denied to the FSA in Tijuana earlier today. Tear gas photo ops provided to support #TheNarrative.
“‘If you look at the broader economy, the fundamentals are still strong,’ said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist with Redfin.”
Never trust an economist with a name like Fairweather, especially if they work for an employer in the real estate industrial complex. They are paid to provide an overly sunny assessment.