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Market Crash Or Market Correction?

This Post Has 25 Comments
  1. From the first 11 minute video:

    Local Home prices down 7% so far
    Joshua G Hicks – Roseville,CA
    Sep 15, 2022

    The second 5 minute video:

    Sacramento Housing Market Crash or Market Correction? 2008 vs. 2022
    Adopt a Dog Realtor – Tim Pantle – Sacramento
    Sep 15, 2022 Are we in a housing market crash or a market corrections? Let’s look at the numbers. Comparing the numbers from the 2008 housing crash to the current numbers on 2022.

    The last 15 minute video:

    How Much Did Home Prices Drop In Vaughan, Richmond Hill & Markham Real Estate? – September 7
    Team Sessa Real Estate
    Sep 15, 2022
    Vaughan Home Prices, Richmond Hill Home Prices & Markham Home Prices for the week of Sept 1 – Sept 7, 2022.

      1. Migrants on an island with insufferable elitists. One could argue that’s cruel and unusual punishment.

  2. House prices across Canada may be tumbling, but housing affordability hasn’t been this bad since the final months of 1990, when Brian Mulroney was still prime minister, a new tax called the GST was winding its way through Parliament and, somewhat ominously, Jon Bon Jovi’s Blaze of Glory blanketed the airwaves.

    The Bank of Canada’s housing affordability index, a measure of the share of disposable income of the average household that gets gobbled up by housing-related expenses such as mortgage payments and utility fees, surged to 48.2 per cent in the second quarter, the most recent figures show.

    That’s the steepest figure since the fourth quarter of 1990, when the Bank of Canada had hiked interest rates to more than 13 per cent to fight inflation and the housing bubble of the late 1980s began to pop.

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-housing-affordability-is-the-worst-its-been-in-32-years/

  3. After a week of church services, coffin processions, gun salutes and other official mourning ceremonies for Queen Elizabeth, Avena Madeo has had enough.

    Ms. Madeo runs a street food outlet in London’s Petticoat Lane and she rolled her eyes on Thursday when asked about the Queen’s long farewell, which continues until her funeral at Westminster Abbey on Monday.

    “It’s too much,” she said as she prepared a jerk chicken wrap for a customer. No one is talking about the war in Ukraine anymore or the soaring cost of living or energy shortages, she added. “It has shut out everything else. And do you know how much they spent on this?”

    Bashi Abdi nodded in agreement as he waited for a box of asun lamb. He stopped watching the television coverage days ago and he’s ambivalent about the monarchy in general. His main complaint was that the Queen’s death had led to the postponement of soccer matches. “I just hope the football comes back to the way it was,” said the diehard Arsenal fan. “That’s one thing you look forward to on the weekend.”

    Their views reflect a sharp divide that’s developed in London and across Britain since the Queen died on Sept. 8. While millions of people have been glued to their television sets or waited in line for hours to catch a glimpse of the Queen’s casket, many others have shrugged off the occasion or even railed against the 10-day period of mourning.

    “All of a sudden their grief is greater than anyone else’s grief,” said Craig Alldrett as he served coffee in a café in London’s south end on Thursday.

    Queen Elizabeth’s death spurs Caribbean Commonwealth realms to referendums on republicanism

    “It’s not just propaganda for the monarchy, it’s propaganda for the British establishment,” added one the café’s patrons Ben Morgan who also had little time for Elizabeth’s successor, King Charles. All of it is an effort to build a “national mythology around the monarchy” and paint a “positive image of Charles because he’s not the same as Elizabeth.”

    The decision by the government to declare Monday a national holiday in honour of the royal funeral has had serious consequences for Charlotte Rushton. She had a 20-week pregnancy scan scheduled for that day and it has now been cancelled. “I was really quite upset,” said Ms. Rushton who lives in Littlehampton, near Brighton. It was the last scan before her due date and she was already worried about it.

    The inconveniences caused by the official mourning only highlight the disconnect between the monarchy and its subjects, she added. Many of her friends were initially sentimental about the Queen in the aftermath of her death, but that has changed as the interruptions to daily life increased. “It’s really disillusioned them further about the Royal Family and what the point of them is,” Ms. Rushton said.

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-queen-elizabeth-lying-in-state/

  4. Such a dynamic is destined to keep the yen falling, and the fact that it is “super-undervalued” already on many metrics means nothing until the BOJ shifts policy, said Tohru Sasaki, head of Japan markets research at J.P. Morgan Securities in Tokyo.

    “We’re riding in a car down a slope with broken brakes… unless we fix the brakes, it will just keep going down,” Sasaki said. “There is no reason to think the yen will stop at 145 or 150 as long as all the fundamental factors remain the same.”

    Masayuki Kichikawa, chief macro strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management, agrees that a dovish BOJ will imply a persistently weak yen. “Once the dollar crosses the 145 yen line, the next target should be 150”, he said.

    The BOJ is the last remaining dove among the Group of 10 central banks. New Zealand’s Reserve Bank was one of the first out of the gate nearly a year ago and even holdouts like the Swiss National Bank have tightened policy.

    https://www.msn.com/en-ca/money/topstories/analysis-its-a-car-with-broken-brakes-investors-see-unrelenting-yen-descent/ar-AA11Twcb

  5. Bradenton, FL Housing Prices Crater 19% YOY As Mortgage And Appraisal Fraud Ravages Sarasota Area

    https://www.movoto.com/fl/34210/market-trends/

    As one national broker explained, “Paying multiples of construction cost (lot, labor, materials and profit) for a rapidly depreciating asset like a 20 year old house is the shortest path to poverty.”

  6. Any thoughts on whether the summer rally was the start of a new bull market or more of a bull trap set by the bears?

    1. Updated Fri, Sep 16 2022 8:31 AM EDT
      Dow futures tumble 200 points and head for big losing week as FedEx shares drop 19%
      Sarah Min

      U.S. stock futures fell on Friday as Wall Street headed toward a big losing week, and traders absorbed an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

      Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped by 276 points, or 9%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures declined 1% and 1.2%, respectively. On Thursday, the Dow dropped 173 points, or 0.56%, for its lowest close since July 14

      Shares of FedEx plunged 19% after the shipments company withdrew its full-year guidance and said it will implement cost-cutting initiatives to contend with soft global shipment volumes as the global economy “significantly worsened.” Transport stocks are typically seen as a leading economic indicator, so FedEx’s announcement could contribute to broader declines on Friday.

      “It very much is a bellwether, certainly traditionally,” Robert Teeter of Silvercrest Asset Management said on CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange.” ”[But] I think one of the things we’ve seen in this pandemic and post-pandemic economy is that different sectors are having different cycles.”

      “No doubt the news the was not positive, and it certainly is a tell on the importance of margins going forward, which we think is a company by company issue,” Teeter added.

      The three major averages were on pace to notch their fourth losing week in five as a comeback rally looks increasingly like a bear market bounce. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined 3.70% this week, while the S&P 500 is 4.08% lower. The Nasdaq Composite is down 4.62%, headed toward its worst weekly loss since June.

      https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/15/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

      1. Ha, I did not notice the white pocket. He seems pretty certain that he’s right, that if you don’t buy NOW in Boston you’re missing out on a big opportunity. It seems to me that the “correction” is just getting started…but what do I know, I’m a lowly renter.

        1. He laid out a pretty complex series of events he believes will happen to get there. Calling the top for mortgage rates within six months?

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