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Get Rich Quick Equals Lose Money Fast

A report from Sarasota Magazine in Florida. “The Sarasota and Manatee real estate markets are recalibrating as 2024 draws to a close, with cooling sales, dropping prices and more inventory. It’s a complete shift from the pandemic-fueled frenzy of recent past. The median price for a single-family home in Sarasota County was $490,000, unchanged from October 2024. However, in Manatee County, the median sale price dropped to $430,000, compared to $479,990 in October 2024. Condominiums and townhomes, once hot commodities, are seeing a big shift, too. In Sarasota County, the median sale price for townhomes and condos fell 31.8 percent year-over-year, to $373,700. Manatee County saw a more modest decline of 11.8 percent, with a median price of $309,900. Inventory for these property types also surged in both counties, pushing the months’ supply of inventory beyond six months—a hallmark of a buyer’s market. ‘The market is shifting, and for some, this could be an excellent time to buy. Sellers are more open to creative offers, like lease purchases, which weren’t even on the table a few years ago,’ said Anita Lambert, a local real estate agent with Premier Sotheby’s International Realty.”

The Oregonian. “An updated 1907 Foursquare house in Northeast Portland sold for its revised asking price of $985,000 on Dec. 6. The original listing price for the property on Northeast Clackamas Street was $1,050,000 in May and the price dropped $65,000 two months later. The neighborhood has a variety of housing types from single-family homes to condos, townhouses and apartments, but listing agent Joe Spanish said it ‘tends to attract a smaller buyer pool’ and is often overlooked by the broader market. ‘I believe that’s unwarrante’d,” Spanish told The Oregonian/OregonLive. ‘The area offers fantastic nearby amenities, and Irvington is just three blocks north. If this home were located there, it would easily be valued at $1.2 million.’ Redfin found the median sale price in Sullivan’s Gulch was $294,750 in November 2024, a year-over-year decrease of 17.6% over the 12-month period.”

The Baltimore Banner in Maryland. “An already rocky year for Chasen Cos. is closing with more legal trouble. First National Bank of Pennsylvania moved last week to foreclose on one of the firm’s properties on the border of Fells Point and Harbor East — a development that Brandon Chasen, the company’s founder and CEO, projected this summer would be finished by the end of the year. The bank also has taken steps to file a judgment of more than $28 million in Montgomery County Circuit Court, claiming the company defaulted on its loan for the building at 1400 Aliceanna St. Meanwhile, four contractors claim Chasen Cos. owes them more than $1.3 million for their work on the Aliceanna Street project, court records show.”

“Chasen Cos. planned to convert the former warehouse into a luxury apartment building with 12,200 square feet of commercial space. It’s on the same block as another major Chasen Cos. development, the former Meyer Seed Co. building — which also faces legal problems. Work at both sites has ground to a halt. The company’s financial and legal struggles spill beyond those neighborhoods. Earlier this fall, Sandy Spring Bank moved to foreclose on the downtown skyscraper known as One Calvert Plaza. In court documents, the bank alleged that the company failed to make payments on a nearly $34 million loan. A string of contractors started filing lawsuits alleging that the company owed them money. Chasen stopped talking to reporters. Several employees left, and a new website appeared, promoting Chasen as a ‘noted entrepreneur, real estate developer, investor and speaker.’ Chasen Cos. owns about 2,000 residential units, mostly in the city, and it purchased about 10% of the available multifamily properties in Fells Point alone, according to a Banner data analysis of property records in June. The company also owns apartment buildings in Florida and Virginia.”

From Bisnow. “Big Tech’s heartland was once firmly entrenched as one of the world’s most critical data center markets. Now, it’s barely an afterthought for the developers and tech giants driving the artificial intelligence data center building boom. Now, an unprecedented wave of data center development to support AI is all but skipping Northern California. ‘Silicon Valley was arguably the second most important market in the industry, but it doesn’t even register in the top 10 anymore from a pure development perspective,’ Foundation Data Centers’ CEO Arman Khalili told DICE West. The biggest challenge, by far, is power.”

“Not only did power shortages hit Northern California earlier and with greater severity than other markets, but there is also widespread skepticism that utilities, developers and state officials have a pathway out of the crisis. California’s regulatory landscape is also perpetuating the market’s power woes by slowing down the buildout of energy infrastructure, experts say. ‘Getting building permits takes years here when the market is signaling that the most important thing is speed,’ Crane Data Centers CEO Matt Pfile said. ‘California is just not a place that’s business-friendly if you’re building anything, and we think that’s going to continue to be a constraint.'”

The Desert Sun in California. “Desert Hot Springs’ homeless access hub is now a 90-day ‘crisis stabilization facility’ instead of an overnight shelter. Martha’s Village & Kitchen began operating the hub when it first opened October 2023 and continued to do so for a year. But city staff observed that the number of homeless people in Desert Hot Springs did not decrease over that period and not many people the hub helped went on to obtain housing. This led the city to enter a limited term agreement with Social Work Action Group, another nonprofit organization that assists homeless people, in October 2024 to transition the hub into a 90-day crisis stabilization facility.”

“Councilmember Jan Pye said the city is doing something different with SWAG operating the hub. ‘When SWAG got in there, it’s tough love. It was something totally different. But the homeless people — I said ‘What do you think?,’ she said. ‘They’re doing the right thing,’ is what they told me. They told me, ‘Riffraff is not in charge anymore.’”

The Waterloo Record in Canada. “A City of Kitchener requirement for affordable units in some new projects — hailed as a bold step when it was approved in March — is being delayed by a year. The decision to postpone the introduction of inclusionary zoning rules until 2026 came during a council meeting Monday night, where councillors heard from 10 delegates arguing for and against the move. The development industry sought a delay until market conditions improved, warning the additional cost of providing affordable units could stifle new projects, and a consultant’s report prepared for the city agreed.”

“Mayor Berry Vrbanovic noted the city achieved 139 per cent of its housing target in 2023 in terms of housing starts, but will struggle to hit 80 per cent of this year’s target. ‘The reality is we have to trust the data that says the market is ice-cold,’ Davey said. ‘The developers, if they’re not going to make money, they won’t build.'”

Coventry Live in the UK. “Hundreds of rooms have gone empty at one student accommodation development in Coventry, as owners attempt fling open the doors for the general public to take on short-term lets – and Coventry Live readers in our comments section say that the rush to throw up more students digs has gone much too far. Paradise Student Village, a 1,040-bed accommodation, opened six years ago. The building has been more than a fifth empty since 2020, rising to over a third empty in the last academic year. The managers have sent an application to the council to rent out the spare rooms on a short-term basis, but the letter that came with it had a dire warning. It said the building’s high vacancy rates are down to changes in demand affecting student accommodation throughout the city. It said the problem is an inefficient use of land, and warned it can also cause financial difficulties which could force the building to be sold or closed.”

“Readers have had enough of hearing about troubled student digs. Commenter Covkid says: ‘Why are the council approving new student accommodation when the university can’t fill the rooms already built?’ Mouse111 says: ‘Surprise surprise, everyone has been saying for years that there is far too much student accommodation in this city and guess what… the bubble has finally burst. But for CCC to continue to build more is so so wrong on all levels.’ On our Facebook page, Colin Tullock writes: ‘I’m not surprised. There seems to have been an enormous amount of student accommodation built in recent years, and Covid proved that many lectures can be attended from home!'”

The Daily Mail. “A property investment expert has urged Aussies to think carefully before buying real estate and says the move shouldn’t be seen as a ‘get rich quick’ scheme. Open Corp Founder and CEO Cam McLellan said its important for people to identify their financial goals before they invest in property. ‘If you’re looking to get rich quick, property is not the thing for you,’ Mr McLellan, who bought his first investment property when he was in his 20s, told Daily Mail Australia. ‘[Investors] should be conscious that [the concept of] get rich quick equals lose money fast.'”

“Mr McLellan said a good property investment provides long-term financial results. He said people can’t afford to think that the move is as easy as buying a bunch of properties that will set them up financially for life. ‘Investing is about building a safe slow portfolio to give you a long-term growth result so don’t think you’re going to get into it and set and forget,’ he said.”

South China Morning Post. “Thailand’s property market is booming and so is fraud. Mainland Chinese buyers, who accounted for nearly half of the purchases by foreigners last year, are among the victims. Zoe Yu, a 45-year-old photographer from Ningbo in southeast China, encountered trouble when investing in Thailand’s second-biggest city of Chiang Mai. She signed a contract in January 2023 to buy a 10 million baht (US$293,000) villa following an introduction by a Chinese celebrity. However, Yu soon found out that foreigners are prohibited from owning land or individual houses in Thailand. Even though her contract lacked legal protection, she fought and won a refund in July this year, but not before losing more than a third of her investment in expenses and renovations.”

“The market has unfortunately become a hotspot for fraud, as it attracts new investors with poor knowledge of the regulations, according to House Condo Lawyer, a Thai law firm specialising in property investment. Falsified title deeds and illegal land sales can lead to huge losses. One investor lost as much as 400 million baht, according to the firm. It also highlighted the issue of illegal nominee structures, where foreign buyers are led to believe they can own land by registering it under a Thai nominee. This practice is illegal and can result in the foreign investor losing their investment if the nominee claims ownership or if authorities investigate.”

“Yu is not alone. In June 2023, British investor David Edward Chappelle made headlines after learning that a developer, from whom he bought a flat on Koh Samui for 15 million baht, failed to register the property in his name. He was among several foreign buyers caught in this scheme. In September this year, two Australians filed a fraud complaint in the southern tourist town of Phuket after paying over 5 million baht for a flat that was never delivered. Although they won a civil court case, they have yet to receive compensation.”

“Meanwhile, Yu wants Chinese nationals to tread cautiously and hopes that her story serves as a cautionary tale for foreigners interested in buying property in Thailand. ‘My husband tried and failed to talk me out of the property purchase,’ she said. ‘I was blinded by my vanity, as I was only thinking of living in the same community as a Chinese celebrity.'”

This Post Has 58 Comments
  1. ‘The median price for a single-family home in Sarasota County was $490,000, unchanged from October 2024. However, in Manatee County, the median sale price dropped to $430,000, compared to $479,990 in October 2024. Condominiums and townhomes, once hot commodities, are seeing a big shift, too. In Sarasota County, the median sale price for townhomes and condos fell 31.8 percent year-over-year, to $373,700’

    It’s a good thing everybody put 40% down! It’s interesting that they didn’t have the YOY price numbers for shacks. I think this is a UHS paid story.

  2. ‘When SWAG got in there, it’s tough love. It was something totally different. But the homeless people — I said ‘What do you think?,’ she said. ‘They’re doing the right thing,’ is what they told me. They told me, ‘Riffraff is not in charge anymore’

    The bums are saying this is the better way. All that money and all those dead people were for nothing. Get yer lives together smelly a$$holes and get a job.

  3. ‘The market is shifting, and for some, this could be an excellent time to buy.

    “Buying into a bursting housing bubble would be financially ruinous,” said no realtor ever.

  4. But city staff observed that the number of homeless people in Desert Hot Springs did not decrease over that period and not many people the hub helped went on to obtain housing.

    What an astute observation. Those city staffers earned their taxpayer-funded salaries with such keen powers of discernment. So how exactly did the hub “help” the junkies & vagrants?

  5. ‘Surprise surprise, everyone has been saying for years that there is far too much student accommodation in this city and guess what… the bubble has finally burst.

    This Christmas, remember the less fortunate, like the idiot “investors” who thought gouging students & their parents was a viable long-term wealth-building strategy.

    1. the idiot “investors” who thought gouging students & their parents was a viable long-term wealth-building strategy

      Work is for the little people and losers.

  6. She signed a contract in January 2023 to buy a 10 million baht (US$293,000) villa following an introduction by a Chinese celebrity. However, Yu soon found out that foreigners are prohibited from owning land or individual houses in Thailand.

    Hey Zoe, maybe you can recoup yer losses by “investing” in Hawk Tuah girl’s meme coin. To the moon, Alice!

    1. “foreigners are prohibited from owning land or individual houses”

      And why doesn’t this country do the same thing? Could it be that it encourages and relies upon reckless speculation? What a joke!

  7. Democrat fundraiser Lindy Li talked big-money donors into contributing to Kamala Harris’s disastrous campaign by assuring them a win was a sure thing – which given the 15 million fraudulent votes the DNC & Deep State mustered in 2020, probably convinced these donors they’d recoup their “investment” by being first in line at the trough under a Harris-Walz administration. Now Li is blasting the delusional Democrats and their utter lack of accountability.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14211941/Dnc-fundraiser-lindy-li-kamala-harris-democrats.html

  8. In June 2023, British investor David Edward Chappelle made headlines after learning that a developer, from whom he bought a flat on Koh Samui for 15 million baht, failed to register the property in his name.

    I loves me a good “speculator scum getting defrauded by REIC sharpies” story the first thing in the morning. Gets the whole day off to a positive start.

    1. The Wall Street Journal
      Housing
      The Fed Cut Rates. Mortgage Costs Went Up.
      Surging Treasury yields have pushed borrowing costs higher
      By Sam Goldfarb
      Dec. 20, 2024 5:30 am ET

      Hopes were high that the Federal Reserve could make homes more affordable by cutting interest rates. So far, mortgage rates are rising instead.

      Average 30-year mortgages have climbed to around 6.7% from roughly 6.1% since the Fed started lowering rates in September, according to Freddie Mac. And they are only poised to rise further. That is because mortgage rates move with the yield on the 10-year Treasury, which has surged this week.

      https://www.wsj.com/economy/housing/the-fed-cut-rates-mortgage-costs-went-up-25d3b756

  9. Sheinbaum Is Ready to Receive Mexicans If Trump Deports Them

    Mexico is prepared to receive its nationals living in the US if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his deportation pledges, but it won’t serve as a “safe third country” for migrants of other nationalities.

    President Claudia Sheinbaum’s administration “is prepared to work in coordination with federal, state and local authorities in the face of possible mass deportations,” the Foreign Affairs Ministry said in a statement in response to questions from Bloomberg News.

    Trump’s transition team has contacted the governments of Mexico and El Salvador through back channels about taking in some of the millions of undocumented migrants set to be expelled under his deportation plan, Bloomberg News reported Monday, citing people familiar with the matter.

    Trump’s team and informal advisers have had detailed conversations with representatives of the two Latin American governments, in some cases via businesspeople, about taking back migrants, according to the people.

    The incoming administration is seeking to prepare broad understandings so that detailed work on deportations can begin immediately after he takes office.

    Trump will have the difficult task of getting countries with which the US doesn’t have good relations — such as Venezuela, Nicaragua or Cuba — to receive their migrants, as many of these countries don’t generally accept deportation flights.

    Mexico, the Foreign Affairs Ministry said, “will not be a safe third country” for people of other nationalities, reiterating a position it held during Trump’s first term.

    “We reaffirm the responsibility and obligation of the Mexican State to our fellow citizens so that they can have the confidence that they will be received in the manner they deserve in the face of present and future challenges,” the ministry said.

    As part of its preparations for Trump’s presidency, Mexico is also getting its consulates in the US ready to support citizens living there, in case the mass deportations do in fact take place.

    Foreign Minister Juan Ramon de la Fuente — one of Sheinbaum’s close, longtime allies — has traveled to the US several times in the last few weeks to fill empty consular slots and prepare a strategy of legal and consular advice for that scenario, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter.

    The Mexican government is taking Trump’s threats seriously and wants to be prepared. De la Fuente said on Wednesday from El Paso, Texas, that he’s working on a legal defense strategy for Mexicans in the US, as well as on a process to simplify procedures and digitize the documents they may require in case of deportations. That includes documents such as birth and marriage certificates, he said in webcast remarks to Sheinbaum’s daily press conference.

    Mexico will look to continue showing Trump the progress it’s making to stop migrant caravans going north and reduce border crossings to the US —as well as the increase in fentanyl seizures — because Sheinbaum’s administration believes Trump’s threats could diminish if he sees progress in these areas, the people added.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/sheinbaum-is-ready-to-receive-mexicans-if-trump-deports-them/ar-AA1wb8TX

    1. Mexico, the Foreign Affairs Ministry said, “will not be a safe third country” for people of other nationalities, reiterating a position it held during Trump’s first term.

      Enjoy those tariffs, Ms. Sheinbaum.

  10. NDP says it will vote no confidence in Liberal government as Trudeau shuffles his cabinet

    New Democrats pulled their support for the minority Liberal government on Friday, throwing the beleaguered Prime Minister’s tenure into further doubt just minutes before Justin Trudeau shuffled his cabinet.

    As Liberal MPs walked into Rideau Hall to be sworn in as part of Mr. Trudeau’s front bench, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh released a letter on social media in which he committed to vote non-confidence in the government after the House returns on Jan. 27.

    The announcement is a marked change from the position his party took this fall when it repeatedly gave confidence in the government and the one he staked out earlier this week, where he said the NDP would leave all options on the table when deciding whether to still support the minority Liberals after deputy prime minister Chrystia Freeland quit cabinet.

    “The NDP will vote to bring this government down, and give Canadians a chance to vote for a government who will work for them. No matter who is leading the Liberal Party, this government’s time is up,” said Mr. Singh in the Friday letter.

    His letter was silent on how the NDP would vote on non-confidence motions from other parties. Mr. Singh’s office said the NDP will table a non-confidence motion during the party’s first and only opposition day in the next parliamentary sitting. The government gets to decide when to schedule opposition days and has not yet assigned them for the winter term.

    On Friday, three more Liberal MPs added their names to those who have publicly called for the Prime Minister to resign. The tally was at just a few before Ms. Freeland’s resignation and scathing attack on his leadership, but it now sits at 21 – about 18 per cent of Mr. Trudeau’s back bench.

    Toronto MP Rob Oliphant posted a letter on social media Friday morning urging the Prime Minister to “relinquish the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada” and called for a robust leadership race.

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ndp-say-they-will-vote-no-confidence-in-liberal-government-as-pm/

    1. As Liberal MPs walked into Rideau Hall to be sworn in as part of Mr. Trudeau’s front bench, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh released a letter on social media in which he committed to vote non-confidence in the government after the House returns on Jan. 27.

      I still think he’s using that threat as a bargaining chip with Trudeau to get some commie legislation passed before Poilievre takes over next October. Plenty of opportunities to grift until then.

  11. Image file for Jeff — Thank You Pueblo Edition:

    https://ibb.co/C5MxG4N

    Unlike Denver, most people in Southern Colorado know how to vote.

    Denver voted 79 to 19 in the last election, because those voters hate America, and they want you dead.

    Passing this sign on southbound I-25 is such a great feeling, it means I’m now 100+ miles away from the woke cancer of Denver and its Marxist vermin voters.

  12. Poilievre to Trump: ‘Canada will never be the 51st state’

    Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is responding to U.S. president-elect Donald Trump’s ongoing suggestions that Canada become the 51st state, saying it will “never happen.”

    “I have the strength and the smarts to stand up for this country and my message to incoming President Trump is that first and foremost, Canada will never be the 51st state of the U.S.,” Poilievre said in an interview with CTV’s Your Morning on Friday.

    Most recently, Trump posted to Truth Social on Wednesday(opens in a new tab), writing “Many Canadians want Canada to become the 51st State. They would save massively on taxes and military protection. I think it is a great idea. 51st State!!!”

    Asked if he thinks Trump’s comments are funny, Poilievre said, “No, I don’t. I think it’s an example of how Justin Trudeau is a total joke. He’s lost control of everything.”

    https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/poilievre-to-trump-canada-will-never-be-the-51st-state-1.7153798

    1. C’mon Pierre, you know he’s trolling Fidelito and that there’s no way that will happen. Heck, it’s the last thing we would want: a whole bunch of new electoral votes for the Dems. Just worry about getting your house in order and bilateral relations will be just fine.

  13. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau added eight Liberal MPs to his front bench and reassigned four ministers in a cabinet shuffle in Ottawa on Friday. But as soon as they were sworn-in, they faced questions about the political future of their government, and their leader.

    Making several changes to his ministerial roster now comes after a tumultuous week for the federal Liberals, and was framed as a bid to inject some stability, exactly one month before U.S. president-elect Donald Trump takes office.

    Though, before the ceremony even got underway, Trudeau was dealt a major blow to the last remaining pillar of parliamentary support his embattled minority was relying on to stay in power. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh dropped a letter declaring his party will be moving a motion of non-confidence in the new year.

    Ontario MP Nathaniel Erskine-Smith becomes Canada’s next housing, infrastructure and communities minister, taking over for Sean Fraser, who announced on Monday that he wouldn’t be running again.

    Erskine-Smith, who is known on the Hill for having an independent streak, said he’s taken on this new responsibility with the awareness that it may be time-limited.

    “Look, I understand there’s going to be a short runway. I’m not blind to that. But if I can make a small difference, if I can make a big difference, I want to make the biggest difference that I can,” he said. “That’s why I joined politics in the first place…it wasn’t an easy decision, by any means.”

    https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/i-understand-there-s-going-to-be-a-short-runway-new-minister-says-after-trudeau-shuffles-cabinet-1.7153105

    1. I want to make the biggest difference that I can,” he said. “That’s why I joined politics in the first place

      Nope. You joined politics out of a lust for power.

  14. Failed asylum seekers at risk of destitution, say charity

    A Birmingham charity has warned asylum seekers are ‘struggling’ to access ‘basic accommodation’ whilst appealing rejections to their claims. Migrant Voice, a migrant-led charity, have called for more Home Office support for failed asylum seekers navigating the appeals process, saying many are forced to rely on charities and friends for housing.

    Asylum seekers can be housed in Home Office accommodation while their claim is assessed, although on a ‘no choice’ basis, with many forced to move away from family and friends. If a person’s claim for asylum has been refused, they are no longer an asylum seeker and are cut off from Home Office support, often given only seven days’ notice to leave their asylum support housing.

    Two failed asylum seekers from the West Midlands told how they being forced into ‘destitution and homelessness’ due to a lack of government support. When approached, The Home Office it was delivering a major uplift in removals of people with no right to be in the UK, but asylum seekers could still access support if they are temporarily unable to leave the UK because of a practical or legal obstacles.

    Maria* is currently receiving section 4 support and is being housed at a temporary accommodation facility for women. Originally from Zimbabwe, her asylum case was rejected in September 2024 and she is in the process of appealing the decision.

    She told BirminghamLive: “The problem with Section 4 is that you can be placed anywhere in the country, and you have to move whenever they say. I’ve been put in Birmingham, Derby, Stoke and Coventry so you can’t build any sense of community.

    “A lot of the time the houses are not up to scratch – they are mouldy, old and cramped. No one listens to your complaints, that’s just the way things are. People think you get luxury as an asylum seeker in the UK, but it’s not true.”

    “The Home Office is making us suffer. If we were given leave to remain, we could work and find our own accommodation. I’m trying to appeal my refusal but without a stable home, it’s very difficult.”

    Anna*, originally from South Africa, is currently squatting at a friend’s house after her asylum claim was rejected earlier this year. She does not qualify for section 4 support.

    She said: “I’m 53 years old and I don’t have anything. I move my bags everywhere I go. It’s difficult, you feel like you don’t have any space or privacy.”

    “I’m not allowed to work, apply for benefits or get anything from the government. To qualify for asylum accommodation you have to have the right status, which I don’t have because I’ve been rejected. I’ve had to rely on friends and charities for support.”

    The Home Office said it funds Migrant Help to assist refused asylum seekers with information about the Voluntary Return Service and support them in making plans to move on after their asylum claim is refused. At the same time, the government has significantly increased removals, returning nearly 10,000 people with no legal right to remain in the UK over the past five months.

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/newsbirmingham/im-53-and-have-nothing-failed-asylum-seekers-at-risk-of-destitution-say-charity/ar-AA1wgbZO

    1. Two failed asylum seekers from the West Midlands

      From the West Midlands? More like from Africa or Asia.

      The sense of entitlement is huge. And these people just don’t get that there isn’t a bottomless barrel of money to spend on them and British taxpayers, while socialists at heart, are at their breaking point and aren’t interested in paying more taxes.

    2. Anna*, originally from South Africa

      Why did she leave the ANC’s paradise? And speaking of South Africa, other than the bush people, there were no natives when the Brits and Dutch first arrived. It was after they built a solid economy that the illegal immigration from other parts of Africa began. And we know how that turned out, don’t we?

  15. Nora Vargas’ Abrupt, Unexplained Resignation Shocks County

    San Diego County Board of Supervisors Chair Nora Vargas abruptly resigned on Friday, shocking the county’s political establishment and ushering in a period of instability as county leaders grapple with homelessness, immigration, an incoming presidential administration and other major challenges.

    Vargas, who won re-election to the board just one month ago, said in a statement that she was stepping down due to unspecified “personal safety and security reasons.”

    Vargas had faced a torrent of hateful online comments after spearheading a recent county policy that aimed to limit cooperation with federal immigration officials in advance of incoming President-elect Donald Trump’s promised crackdown on undocumented immigrants. She has spoken often of her dismay at mounting public disruptions in Board of Supervisors meetings and said she has faced death threats and other extreme forms of harassment.

    “I have stalkers, I have people who harass me on phones, there’s all sorts of things,” she said during a recent Board of Supervisors discussion about changing meeting rules to prevent disruptions.

    But Vargas also had alienated a growing number of onetime supporters in her district and received a surprisingly low number of votes in her re-election race against an underfunded and virtually unknown Republican opponent.

    Though she took office in 2021 with great fanfare as the first Latina on the Board of Supervisors, she proceeded to engage in a series of high-profile disputes with organized labor groups who once supported her and was broadly perceived by residents near the Tijuana River as ineffective in responding to the region’s ongoing sewage crisis.

    Multiple legal claims accused her and members of her staff of making racist comments about prospective employees and engaging in backroom maneuvers to prevent Michael Vu, a longtime county administrator, from landing a coveted role as the county’s chief administrative officer because, according to a claim filed by Vu, Vargas wanted “a Hispanic or Black” candidate instead. Vargas and members of her staff have denied that they discriminated against potential employees.

    Vargas’ departure from the Board of Supervisors comes as county leaders face a series of difficult decisions about cooperating with the incoming Trump administration, addressing the San Diego region’s acute lack of affordable housing and implementing controversial state reforms aimed at expanding and toughening drug and mental health treatment.

    Republican Supervisor Jim Desmond, who also recently tangled with Vargas over county immigration policy, had a droller take on the day’s news. “Never a dull moment in the county…” he posted on the social media site X shortly after Vargas’ announcement.

    https://voiceofsandiego.org/2024/12/20/nora-vargas-abrupt-unexplained-resignation-shocks-county/

      1. Here’s the puddle watching link in the VoSD article:

        No coverage from @KUSINews of course, but Fox News is reporting it at the national level.

        Sup. Nora Vargas is actively working against the United States and San Diego County.

        Shoutout to @SupervisorJimDesmond for continuing to lead the opposition to these insane policy proposals

        https://x.com/RightOnNewsX/status/1865078451579031999

        20 second video. I’m not a puddle watcher so I can’t see the replies.

  16. From Liberal Icon to MAGA Joke: The Waning Fortunes of Justin Trudeau.

    https://dnyuz.com/2024/12/21/from-liberal-icon-to-maga-joke-the-waning-fortunes-of-justin-trudeau/

    Justin Trudeau’s career is the stuff of 21st-century political drama, with an arc that has taken him from glamorous liberal standard-bearer to the butt of jokes by President-elect Donald J. Trump and his acolytes.

    He burst onto the international scene in 2015, a newly elected young leader of Canada.

    And he spent the next decade building a brand around being a feminist, an environmentalist, a refugee and Indigenous rights advocate, pursuing the same message of change and hope as Barack Obama.

    While he drew fawning reviews in the news media — including over his poster boy looks — his honeymoon with Canadians really lasted only about two years; by 2017, a series of controversies had already tarnished his picture-perfect image.

    His party went on to lose the popular vote in two elections, in 2019 and 2021, requiring him to form minority governments propped up by a small opposition party. That support, too, has now evaporated.

    Today, Mr. Trudeau finds himself — like other Western leaders — facing an angry constituency and losing control.

    He will soon either call elections that he’ll most likely lose, or he’ll step down as leader of his party and as prime minister, and let a different leader take the Liberals to the ballot box next year.

    The Prince
    In Stephen Maher’s 2024 biography of Mr. Trudeau, the author recalls separate occasions in which Mr. Trudeau’s family members called him a “prince.”

    “I’ve always known my whole life that this would be available to me if I want,” Mr. Maher quotes a young Mr. Trudeau as saying about entering politics.

    When deciding where to start telling Mr. Trudeau’s political story, chroniclers have several choices.

    There’s a 2012 charity boxing match, that he, then a young member of Parliament, won against a tough Conservative who had black belt in karate — people still bring up the fight.

    Or the moment, in 2015, when he, as prime minister, unveiled the country’s first gender-balanced cabinet and — asked why this mattered — quipped: “Because it’s 2015.” Male leaders around the world were put on notice.

    One might also look back to the eulogy he delivered in 2000 for his father, former prime minister Pierre Elliot Trudeau, for an early glimpse of Justin Trudeau the politician.

    “We have gathered from coast to coast to coast. From one ocean to another, united in our grief to say goodbye,” Mr. Trudeau, then 29, told a packed cathedral of mourners. “But this is not the end.”

    Mr. Trudeau, who turns 53 on Christmas Day, was born while his father was in his first of four terms in office.

    The elder Trudeau had swept Canada off its feet in the late 1960s, in what came to be called “Trudeau-mania.” Eventually, voters soured on him too, though he stayed in power for 16 years, and his legacy helped launch his son’s career.

    “There was this nostalgia that was associated with the name that really worked for Justin,” said Darrell Bricker, a seasoned pollster and chief executive of Ipsos Public Affairs.

    “We were coming out of the time of tempestuous Canadian politics run by a lot of old men,” he added, “and even young men who just seemed old, so Justin was like a breath of fresh air.”

    Liberal Icon
    The “Because it’s 2015” comment on his cabinet’s gender parity catapulted Mr. Trudeau to global political renown.

    Glossy magazines swooned; Vogue ranked him as one of 2015’s 10 “convention-defying hotties,” referring to him as a “Canadian politician-dreamboat.”

    One former European leader from the Group of 7 industrialized democracies said early meetings with Mr. Trudeau were marked by people lining up to take selfies with him and treating him like some kind of rock star. The former leader asked not to be identified discussing past diplomatic meetings.

    As the United States switched from the Obama to the Trump presidencies in 2016, Mr. Trudeau seemed to offer continuity with Mr. Obama’s politics. Few moments exemplified this more than Mr. Trudeau’s decision to offer refugees an open welcome in 2017, as Mr. Trump cracked down on immigrants.

    “To those fleeing persecution, terror & war, Canadians will welcome you, regardless of your faith,” Mr. Trudeau posted on X, then known as Twitter. “Diversity is our strength.”

    At the time, Mr. Trump had issued his so-called Muslim ban curtailing travel to the United States for people from some Muslim-majority nations. Mr. Trudeau even went to the airport to personally welcome Syrian refugees arriving in Canada.

    Mr. Trudeau was also at the forefront of post-colonial nations reckoning with the legacy of their treatment of Indigenous populations. While Mr. Trudeau has been criticized for not going far enough, it has been during his tenure that a reconciliation with Indigenous populations in Canada began in earnest.

    Change All Around
    But starting in 2017, his political fortunes at home had already started fading.

    As he headed to the polls in 2019, Mr. Trudeau was rocked by scandal, including a luxurious free vacation he took that he failed to declare and videos from the 1990s and 2001 that surfaced showing him dressing up in blackface.

    It took a toll: He could secure only a minority government, leaving his party dependent on allies to pass legislation.

    And then came the pandemic. Critics describe Mr. Trudeau’s push for restrictive measures as a key reason for the animus against him.

    Within two years, in the middle of the pandemic, Mr. Trudeau called an early election believing it might return him to a majority government; he was wrong. He ended up again commanding only a minority of representatives in the House of Commons.

    By that point, the Western world’s center of political gravity was already shifting to the right over vaccine and restrictive mandates. In Canada that set off protests in various parts of the country that came to be known as the Freedom Convoy, including weeks of demonstrations in Ottawa, the capital, that paralyzed the city’s downtown.

    Canadians found themselves battered by persistent inflation, setting off an affordability crisis, while an open migration policy to bring in workers backfired, turning one of the world’s most immigrant-friendly societies against newcomers.

    Mr. Trudeau also faced turmoil on the family front, last year separating from his wife of 18 years, with whom he has three children.

    A Walk in the Snow
    Mr. Trump’s election victory in November has brought into sharp focus Mr. Trudeau’s weakened position. Mr. Trump has threatened to impose blanket 25 percent tariffs on Canadian goods, which would devastate Canada economically. Mr. Trump has also been mocking Mr. Trudeau online, referring to him as a governor, and to Canada as the 51st state.

    This time being a leader prepared to challenge Mr. Trump isn’t working for Mr. Trudeau. “He caught a wave on his way in, and when you catch a wave, it can lift you up,” Mr. Bricker said. “But on the other side, if you don’t get off, it will ground you.”

    With elections required by October because of Canada’s electoral rules, Mr. Trudeau’s departure is increasingly seen as a foregone conclusion. The question is where this leaves his Liberal Party. The latest Ipsos poll, published Friday, found that the Liberals trail the Conservatives by 25 percentage points.

    On Monday, his deputy prime minister and finance minister Chrystia Freeland resigned with a bombshell letter, accusing him of engaging in “costly political gimmicks” and being ill-prepared to face the challenge posed by Mr. Trump.

    Then on Friday, the small opposition party that has propped up his Liberal minority said it would bring a vote of confidence against it after Parliament resumes in January.

    “Like most families, sometimes we have fights around the holidays,” Mr. Trudeau mused at a party for Liberal staff in Ottawa on Tuesday, in a nod to Ms. Freeland’s departure. “But of course, like most families, we find our way through it. You know, I love this country, I deeply love this party, I love you guys.”

    But the party, like the country, may no longer love him back. Mr. Trudeau’s allies say the prime minister will take time over the holidays to decide his next steps.

    A growing chorus is asking Mr. Trudeau to “take a walk in the snow,” a phrase that became part of political lore after his father, in February 1984, facing calls to resign, took a long walk in the snow.

    When he came back, he had decided to resign.

  17. Is California living worth the costs and taxes?

    California’s seemingly lofty paychecks look relatively run-of-the-mill when considering the state’s costly lifestyle and tax burdens.

    The annual “price parity” report from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis gives us a snapshot of relative differences among the 50 states in costs and incomes. My trusty spreadsheet reviewed the latest stats for 2023, which detail how expenses squeeze California’s incomes.

    Look, it comes as zero surprise that California is the priciest place to live.

    The state’s cost of living is 11.2% higher than the national norm, according to BEA math. After California came New Jersey at 8.2% above average, followed by Hawaii and Washington state at 7.9% and Massachusetts at 7.6%.

    Arkansas is the nation’s bargain spot, with life costing 15.6% less than the typical American’s. Mississippi is next, at 14.5% below average, South Dakota is at 13.5%, and Louisiana and Oklahoma are at 13.3%.

    And how do California’s big economic rivals fare by this cost metric?

    Florida was 11th most expensive, 3.4% above average. Texas had the 21st highest costs at 2.9% cheaper than the norm.

    But this cost-of-living score is just one slice of the overall “affordability” equation. Sky-high expenses are somewhat offset for the typical Californian thanks to their employer’s generous pay.

    Ponder that the state’s per capita income in 2023 ranked sixth-highest at $81,300. The typical US income was $69,800 – 14% less. California’s incomes are also challenged by the fourth-highest tax burden, according to BEA math.

    California’s effective tax cost for 2023 – that’s personal taxes paid as a share of income, per capita – was 14.9% vs. the nation’s 12.2% rate. Take those lofty paychecks, minus the elevated cost of living and taxes, and you get a relative spendable income of $61,400 for each Californian in 2023. That’s a middling 26th-best among the states and just $100 above the nation’s $61,300.

    Golden State critics will argue that this theoretical income does not add up for many residents, especially those who earn below-average wages. These crazy expenses are why California struggles to attract residents from other states.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/is-california-living-worth-the-costs-and-taxes/ar-AA1weBxe

  18. Boston’s Club Quarters Hotel Sells After Blackstone Foreclosure

    A downtown Boston hotel that was part of a portfolio Blackstone lost to foreclosure has found a new owner.

    Arch & Devonshire LLC bought the 178-room Club Quarters Hotel property and obtained a $45M bridge loan from Seven Hills Realty Trust along with the acquisition, the lender announced Tuesday.

    Blackstone had held a $275M senior loan and $61M mezzanine loan on a four-property portfolio of Club Quarters hotels in Boston, San Francisco, Chicago and Philadelphia. It had acquired the 1,228-room portfolio for $283M in 2016. The loan matured in 2020 and was transferred to special servicer CWCapital after Blackstone went into default.

    https://www.bisnow.com/boston/news/hotel/bostons-club-quarters-hotel-sells-after-blackstone-foreclosure-127293

  19. There have been many close calls this year in Boston. From Mayor Michelle Wu’s controversial property tax proposal being killed in the state senate to the downfall of a hospital system that put several local facilities at risk, the industry was holding its breath at times.

    The once-booming life sciences sector has been slow for the last couple of years, but as more available inventory continues to deliver, the threat to the Boston real estate market has increased.

    Time is ticking on vacant assets, especially those in the suburbs that were built or converted to meet the needs of life sciences firms when demand was soaring. Now, these projects are running out of time to attract tenants and satisfy their lenders and investors, which are getting impatient. In the second quarter, 37 life sciences buildings — about 9% of the total inventory in the Greater Boston market — were completely vacant.

    Other properties fully halted development. At least two developers filed notices indefinitely to pause construction on new life sciences projects in Somerville. Leggat McCall Properties and DLJ Real Estate Capital Partners halted their 262K SF 15 McGrath Highway project in July, and Federal Realty Investment Trust filed an extension on its special permit for its 381K SF lab project at 350 Assembly Row, citing an “oversaturation” in the market.

    MetLife’s 109K SF office-to-lab development that had traded for $103M in 2022 was set to sell around roughly $30M to $35M, with the sale being driven by the property’s lender, Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Co., the Boston Business Journal reported last month. The markdown comes after the building lost two tenants.

    Some landlords of soon-to-be distressed assets are also thinking of converting their properties back to office space in an effort to attract other tenants.

    https://www.bisnow.com/boston/news/commercial-real-estate/the-7-biggest-stories-of-2024-in-boston-cre-127321

  20. Cityview Pays $36M For Franklin Hills Apartment Building

    Cityview bought a 112-unit apartment complex in Franklin Village at a discount.

    The $35.5M price tag was $5.2M less than the $40.7M that Raintree Partners paid to acquire the property in 2018, Commercial Observer reported. Cityview announced its acquisition but did not disclose a price.

    The property at 1950 Tamarind Ave. was built in 1974 and is 96% occupied, according to a Cityview release. The property has been updated over the last six years through upgrades to amenities and renovations of some of the units. Cityview is planning a more comprehensive upgrade program that will improve more units as well as energy efficiency at the building.

    Los Angeles’ multifamily market has slowed due to financing difficulties, high construction costs and investor hesitation attributed to Measure ULA. Still, the Los Angeles market surpassed $4B in sales volume in 2024 through Q3, second in the nation only to Dallas and beating out Atlanta, a Newmark report found.

    https://www.bisnow.com/los-angeles/news/multifamily/cityview-candela-franklin-hills-127347

  21. After $290M debt, SF investor bails on city’s sixth largest hotel

    In a move reminiscent of the board game Monopoly, a New York-based hospitality investor forfeited ownership of a major downtown San Francisco hotel while scooping up operation for another in a shakeup that reflects the continuous ups and downs in the city’s hotel industry.

    The San Francisco Business Times first reported Highgate’s latest shifts in the San Francisco hotel market. Through property records, the publication revealed that Highgate was handing over the Hyatt Regency San Francisco Downtown SoMa to its lender. Meanwhile, also this month, Highgate takes over managing the 2-year-old Line Hotel, which is folding into the Hilton Curio Collection this week.

    It’s not clear why the company forfeited one hotel to a bank while taking control of another, but Highgate did not return an SFGATE request for comment by publication.

    On Dec. 11, Highgate filed a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure transferring the Hyatt Regency in SoMa to the bank, Blackstone Mortgage Trust. The move includes a forgiveness of about $290 million in unpaid debt, among other costs. Earlier this year, Highgate missed a payoff deadline for a $250 million debt on the hotel, reported by the Real Deal.

    “This was not an easy decision, but it was a heartfelt one, made with immense gratitude for the memories we’ve shared with our guests and the San Francisco community,” the Line wrote on its website. The Business Times reported that the ownership change could result in the loss of 86 jobs.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/popular-trendy-san-francisco-hotel-changes-ownership/ar-AA1wbucF

  22. Hey Media, Remember in 2017 When an Iceberg in Antarctica Freaked You Out? Science now says: ‘Never Mind’

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/12/21/hey-media-remember-in-2017-when-an-iceberg-in-antarctica-freaked-you-out-science-now-says-never-mind/

    In July 2017, CNN and a number of other media outlets posted stories about iceberg A-68 calving off of Antarctica’s Larsen C Ice Shelf, with CNN suggesting we should be “freaked out” about it because of climate change. CNN was wrong. It was based on an incomplete understanding of iceberg formation and calving, driven by a rush to judgement to further the false climate disaster narrative.

    For example, CNN’s John D. Sutter wrote in this article: That huge iceberg should freak you out. Here’s why:

    This doesn’t NOT look like climate change.

    There is no disagreement among climate scientists about whether humans are warming the Earth by burning fossil fuels and polluting the atmosphere with greenhouse gases. We are. And we see the consequences.

    The climate chicken littles of the media blamed it on climate change then, but today, it looks like an Emily Litella moment has just occurred, as a new peer-reviewed scientific study says it wasn’t anything abnormal, nor should we worry about it. The new study published in Geophysical Research Letters tosses ice-cold water on those overhyped media claims. The study, MacKie et al. (2024), analyzed 47 years of observational satellite data from Antarctica and found that there has been no trend in annual Antarctic maximum calving size between 1976 and 2023.

    The key findings of the study are:

    There has been no detectable upwards trend in the annual maximum iceberg area in Antarctica since 1973, based on satellite measurements.
    The break-off of Iceberg A-68 from the Larsen C Ice Shelf was not statistically notable.
    Calving events several times larger than anything observed in the modern record could occur, and still, it would not necessarily be due to climate change.
    To be clear, the calving of the A-68 iceberg was “statistically unexceptional” in the historical satellite record. Let that sink in. The authors write:

    This finding suggests that extreme calving events such as the recent 2017 Larsen C iceberg, A68, are statistically unexceptional and that extreme calving events are not necessarily a consequence of climate change.

    The authors also underscore that calving of ice sheets and glaciers is indicative of a healthy cycle of glacier advance and retreat, rather than signaling that a glacier or ice sheet is unstable, stating,

    As such, our results reveal that extreme calving events should not automatically be interpreted as a sign of ice shelf instability, but are instead representative of the natural cycle of calving front advance and retreat.

    What’s more, based on results the results of the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution model used in the study, the scientists concluded that it is statistically possible for there to be calving events several times larger than anything observed so far in the satellite dataset. For example, the authors say, “A once in a century calving event would yield an iceberg surface area approximately the size of Switzerland.”

    This is backed by other historical paleoclimate data and studies such as Bentley et al., 2005 which suggest that such extreme calving events have happened previously throughout the Holocene, which the authors make note of in their discussion.

    In other words, the media made a big ado about nothing.

    Will this new study by MacKie et al. disproving the climate alarm noise in 2017 get a lot of press? Probably not. It doesn’t fit the sensationalistic narrative of pending climate doom promoted by the media. They’d just as soon sweep this inconvenient truth under the rug than admit they weren’t just wrong, but wildly so.

  23. U.K. men who came to Southwestern Ontario for ‘crime tourism’ deported

    A Sarnia judge had a farewell message for a pair of U.K. men who, apparently unsuccessfully, tried scamming several local homeowners out of money with fraudulent cleaning and repair jobs while on a vacation in Canada.

    “Go home,” Justice Paul Kowalyshyn said Thursday in a Sarnia courtroom. “Don’t let the door of the plane hit you on your backsides as you board.”

    Thursday marked the end of a short-lived, bizarre criminal case in Sarnia that saw Jim Wall, 22, from Shirenewton, Wales, and Ned Myers, 21, also from the U.K., convicted of fraud and theft less than two weeks after their arrests. The men, who came to Canada on vacation Dec. 6 and started committing crimes the next day, were escorted out of the Sarnia courthouse in handcuffs by Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) officers to be deported after spending 10 days in jail.

    Sarnia police first said the duo was arrested Dec. 9 after a woman on Franklin Avenue called them about an attempted fraud that involved eavestrough cleaning that wasn’t actually done and a quote for repairs that weren’t needed. The pair had U.K. passports on them and spoke with accents, but investigators had questions about the validity of the documents and police released their mug shots to see if the public could help uncover their true identities.

    Court records said their names were Wall and Myers and they were charged in Sarnia with attempted fraud, fraudulently identifying themselves for monetary gain, and obstructing police, along with one additional count of theft in Hamilton. After border officials confirmed that’s who they were, the pair was brought handcuffed into a Sarnia courtroom Thursday, where they pleaded guilty to fraudulently identifying themselves for monetary gain and theft.

    Assistant Crown attorney Sarah Carmody told the judge they intended to defraud and steal from Canadian citizens and jail was needed to send a message.

    “That Canada doesn’t tolerate those who come here for crime tourism,” she said.

    With five uniformed border officers sitting in the gallery waiting to take custody of them, both men apologized, but added they were traumatized by this experience and were looking forward to being deported.

    “I won’t be going on any more planes ever again,” Myers said.

    “I’ll never go on holiday again. I’ll never leave the U.K. as long as I live,” Wall said.

    “If you’re happy to be deported I can assure you that that feeling is felt by the citizens of Sarnia,” Kowalyshyn said, calling what they did deplorable.

    The court heard after arresting the men on Dec. 9 following the Franklin Avenue woman’s complaint, Sarnia police spoke to several neighbours who said Wall and Myers approached them and tried to solicit work. One person said they posed as City of Sarnia employees and another said they claimed to be from a company called A1 Concrete and gave a quote for $2,500.

    “There were no tools found in the truck that would be able to help facilitate the work in which they were quoting,” Carmody said.

    The men, who don’t have steady jobs at home, first arrived in Canada on Dec. 6 at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Myers’ lawyer, Terry Brandon, said they came here on vacation and met someone – she didn’t say who – who suggested they could make money through this type of scheme.

    “Regrettably, they went along with that and it sounded like a good idea at the time,” she said. “It wasn’t.”

    “It’s very regrettable,” Wall’s lawyer, Joseph Stoesser, agreed.

    As soon as the men had their handcuffs removed and were released from the courtroom’s prisoner’s box, they were whisked into another room by border officers, put back in handcuffs and told they were being deported. While waiting to be loaded onto the elevator, Wall sarcastically told people sitting in the lobby looking at them to take a picture as it lasts longer.

    Then, he pointed and smiled enthusiastically and got Myers’ attention as a reporter took their photos on the way out of the courthouse.

    https://lfpress.com/news/local-news/u-k-men-who-came-to-southwestern-ontario-for-crime-tourism-deported

    1. They got off easy. A year or two in the slammer would have been more fitting. Instead they spent about a week in custody and got sent home at the taxpayers expense.

      The message has been sent: Come to Canada, commit fraud and if caught all that will happen to you is you’ll be sent home, and we will pay for it.

  24. With Europe’s southern economies on the mend, Germany has turned into the problem child

    A little more than a dozen years ago, Athens was overwhelmed by mass anti-austerity protests that sometimes turned violent. Clouds of tear gas often filled Syntagma Square in front of the parliament building, sending tens of thousands of protesters stampeding into the surrounding streets. On one night in February, 2012, some 45 buildings were torched by rioters. The flames made the city centre look like it had been hit by napalm.

    A couple of years later, Greece was on the verge of leaving the euro zone, and Germany, the European Union’s ruthless fiscal enforcer, seemed to be encouraging “Grexit.” The other countries on the EU’s Mediterranean fringe, notably Italy, Spain and Portugal, were also suffering from crippling sovereign borrowing costs. If economies as large as Italy and Spain had gone bankrupt, the EU would have shattered like a crystal vase dropped onto a travertine tile floor.

    Today, the picture is essentially reversing itself. It is the EU’s southern countries, especially Spain and Greece, that have emerged from the economic and financial hell zones, though their turnarounds were slow and often painful. Today, their economic growth rates are fairly strong – Spain’s economy is on fire – and their borrowing costs have plummeted. Germany and France are in political chaos. Germany, whose bickering coalition government collapsed last month, is on the verge of recession and might be in one already. At best, Europe’s biggest economy is stagnating, and the expected barrage of U.S. tariffs on EU imports, from BMWs to chemicals, could rob it of growth for years to come.

    You can forgive the Mediterranean countries for their Schadenfreude moment. Germany, the old disciplinarian, needs to smarten up after years of economic mismanagement under the governments of chancellor Angela Merkel and her successor Olaf Scholz.

    The yield on 10-year Spanish government bonds is 3 per cent, only 70 basis points north of Germany’s. France’s debt is more expensive than Spain’s. In 2012, at the peak of the euro zone crisis, the Spanish yield was almost 7 per cent, and its banking system had to be bailed out.

    Germany is now the EU’s problem child.

    Its fundamental problem is debt, though not in a Greek sense. While Greece spent too much money, living way beyond its means in the precrisis party era, Germany spent way too little – and made a false virtue of it. There is debt and then there is debt. Spending on giveaways to buy votes – Justin Trudeau’s GST cheques come to mind – does nothing to improve an economy’s efficiency and productivity; spending on innovation and infrastructure, from bridges and high-speed trains to digital networks and energy efficiency, does.

    Germany is allergic to debt. Its “debt brake” constitutional amendment, adopted in 2009 by the Merkel government, limits deficit spending to 0.35 per cent of GDP, except in emergencies such as the COVID-19 crisis. So the country spent little on fixing itself up when it could have done so cheaply, since its borrowing costs are low by European standards.

    It compounded its shabby investment strategy problem by going whole hog on cheap Russian natural gas. Coddling Moscow worked until Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The Kremlin turned off the gas flows to Germany in retaliation for Berlin’s support of Ukraine. Energy prices soared, and some factories closed. There is no doubt high energy prices are partly behind the rapid retrenchment of Germany’s auto industry.

    The energy crisis was compounded by the borderline-insane decision, taken under the Merkel regime, to close the country’s fleet of nuclear power plants, even though they were fairly modern and had never suffered major breakdowns or accidents. Then there was the overreliance on one market, China, which is no longer consuming German products such as cars like it used to.

    Add it all up and Germany is in a mess, predictably so, and is the author of its own misfortunes. The EU’s southern fringe, once dismissed as the “peripheral” economies, where EU subsidies went to die, are now doing a credible job of underpinning the whole EU show. Nice reversal.

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-with-europes-southern-economies-on-the-mend-germany-has-turned-into/

  25. B.C. man wins hotly contested Stick of the Year contest with piece of driftwood from Cowichan Valley

    A piece of driftwood from Vancouver Island has narrowly won the title of “Stick of the Year” in an inaugural contest that saw thousands of votes cast for competitors from around the world.

    To earn the accolade, the sword-like piece of wood had to beat sticks from Portugal, the Dominican Republic and Germany, among other countries.

    But Marcus Barrick, a Duncan, B.C.-based musician and author, believed in the power of the stick he found while walking through the woods.

    “This thing’s like the most majestic piece of driftwood I’ve ever seen,” he said in his official submission video for the contest, moving it through the air while calling it an “ancient energy sword.” “Clearly hosts a ton of energy and just handles so nicely.”

    He won’t say exactly where the stick came from, but disclosed it was found in a river bed in the Cowichan Valley, around 60 kilometres northwest of Victoria.

    “I like to scramble through rivers and rocks. It was kind of low water season so I just found that stick perched up on a rock,” he told CHEK News.

    The contest was hosted by Official Stick Reviews, an Instagram, TikTok and YouTube account that allows stick enthusiasts to share their favourite wooden finds with thousands of “Stick Nation” enthusiasts.

    The winner was announced by Grammy-nominated musician Noah Kahan, a self-described “stick lover, stick aficionado” whose breakthrough hit was called Stick Season.

    “Your stick is fantastic,” Kahan said after naming Barrick the winner.

    But the result was close: Barrick received 51.2 per cent of the final vote, just ahead of a club-like stick from Poland. According to Official Stick Reviews, the Canadian stick had a healthy lead until a major Polish Instagram account posted about the contest, leading to a surge of votes for the runner-up, some of which came in after polling had closed.

    T-shirts are now being made with an image of the winning stick on them and Barrick is going to receive a championship belt, according to Official Stick Reviews.

    As for the stick itself, it’s currently mounted on Barrick’s wall and he has no plans to give it away.

    “I’m not interested in the monetary aspect of it,” he told CHEK News, saying he hopes the contest winner will get more people to pay attention to the importance of forests and wilderness, “especially here in B.C.”

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/stick-of-the-year-winner-vancouver-island-bc-1.7416530

  26. Home
    Investing
    Real estate investors weigh in on how passive rental income really is: ‘It’s like having an expensive puppy’
    Kathleen Elkins
    Jul 25, 2024, 3:59 AM PDT

    – Not all rental income can be considered passive.

    – The job of a landlord means being on call, dealing with unexpected issues, and managing tenants.

    – However, there are strategies that can reduce the workload, such as screening tenants.

    If you google “passive income ideas,” one of the first strategies that pops up is to buy a rental property.

    After years of speaking to real estate investors who own rentals, I’m not convinced the strategy can be considered passive. Tenant turnover, evictions, and fielding maintenance requests on Thanksgiving Day are just a few of the on-the-job responsibilities that have come up in conversations with landlords. Even those with property managers have described having to “manage the property manager.”

    “People don’t know that getting into the business really is work. It really is a job,” New Hampshire-based investor Matt, who prefers not to share his last name for privacy reasons, told me when I asked about misconceptions about the job of a landlord.

    https://www.businessinsider.com/real-estate-investors-experts-passive-income-long-term-rental-properties-2024-7

    1. Landlording seems like an expensive side gig unless a bubble is making the value of your HODLings rapidly increase.

      In contrast, playing music gigs on the weekend is a business which generates revenue with very low cost. I recommend it to those who are sick of the headaches and expenses of landlordship.

    1. The Wall Street Journal
      More Men Are Addicted to the ‘Crack Cocaine’ of the Stock Market
      Gamblers Anonymous meetings are filling up with people hooked on trading and betting. Apps make it as easy as ordering takeout.
      Emil Lendof/WSJ, iStock
      By Gunjan Banerji
      Updated Dec. 20, 2024 12:01 am ET

      A new type of addict is showing up at Gamblers Anonymous meetings across the country: investors hooked on the market’s riskiest trades.

      At Gamblers Anonymous in the Murray Hill neighborhood of Manhattan, one man called options “the crack cocaine” of the stock market. Another said he faced hundreds of thousands of dollars in trading losses after borrowing from a loan shark to double down on stocks. And one young man brought his mom and girlfriend to celebrate one year since his last bet.

      https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/stock-market-trading-apps-addiction-afecb07a

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