They Need $4-Million To Get Out And They’re Not Worth $4-million
It’s Friday desk clearing time for this blogger. “Wildfires spared Tim Scanlon’s Altadena home as of Wednesday afternoon. But the music licensing executive worried that the firestorms rampaging across Los Angeles County still will affect his pocketbook, pushing already rising insurance premiums even higher. ‘After this, who knows if I’m insurable anymore,’ Scanlon said. ‘If we can’t get insurance up here, our property values will plummet, and in California, that’s our nest egg.'”
“Even before the fires were sparked, millions of homeowners in the Golden State, especially those in the path of the L.A. infernos, faced double-digit insurance-rate increases, nonrenewals or a dearth of any available private coverage. State Farm last year announced plans to nonrenew 30,000 property policies in California, including 69% of those in Pacific Palisades. Brett Dedeaux, whose house went up in flames, wondered Wednesday, ‘What’s going to happen to insurance now.’ Dedeaux, a commercial real-estate developer who built the home seven years ago, said few home insurers were willing to offer coverage in fire-prone areas. ‘Does it even make sense to own a house here when the insurance is so much?’ It was an attitude echoed by some of the area’s prominent residents. Actor James Woods posted on X that a major insurer ‘canceled all the policies in our neighborhood about four months ago.'”
“As the market for documentaries and other content slowed and work dried up in Hollywood, producer Kourtney Gleason was already worried about making the mortgage payments on the home she bought last year with her boyfriend. Now, as raging fires have halted film and TV production in Southern California and many in the industry have lost homes, she’s terrified that the entertainment business will be set back yet again. Though she’s been in the industry for 12 years, Gleason is now reluctantly looking at restaurant jobs to get by. The complications with fire insurance, combined with the region’s problems with housing affordability and supply, will only be exacerbated by these fires, said Kevin Klowden, executive director of the Milken finance institute, leading some to reconsider whether they can stay in California. ‘It adds up,’ he said. ‘How many more people decide they can’t afford to stay?'”
“A Braintree couple has joined the list of more than a dozen people suing the owner of Success Real Estate weeks after he abruptly shuttered the business. Stacey and Christian Ballerino filed a lawsuit in Norfolk Superior Court this week against Stephen Webster, who had real estate offices in Marshfield and Braintree. Webster last month abruptly closed the real estate business, which employed approximately 140 agents. According to the lawsuit, Webster and Success have faced ‘serious financial difficulties’ in recent years due to a slowing real estate market, outdated business model and overleveraged expenses. In order to fund the business and his own life, Webster started borrowing money from friends, business associates and agents who worked for him. The lawsuit states that he received the loans by falsely representing that he would have the ability to repay them in full.”
“‘In actuality, Webster obtained these loans no different than a ‘Ponzi’ scheme as he was simultaneously embezzling over $1 million from Success’ coffers in order to fund business operations and support his extravagant personal lifestyle,’ the lawsuit reads. The Ballerinos are also seeking an ex parte real estate attachment of $157,000 on three properties owned by Webster to prevent him from selling the property while the lawsuit is ongoing. “
“Southwest Florida builder Beattie Development has collected dozens of lawsuits and millions of dollars in debt. He has left many with unfinished homes and drained bank accounts. In September, we told you Beattie said his company was in $11 million of debt. In October, in a liquidation court hearing, he blamed the downfall of his company on his CFO. Since then, dozens of customers have filed what’s called a ‘proof of claim.’ It’s a way to try and get some of their money back. The Lee County Clerk of Courts website shows 48 proof of claims filed. Others not listed on the website also say they filed. Those asking for money are homeowners and subcontractors, even the City of Cape Coral filed a proof of claim.”
“David Bucci, a former customer of Beattie Development hopes for results after filing the claim saying, ‘Anything is better than nothing.’ Bucci said he knows, he probably won’t get much. ‘We just don’t think there’s just crunching the numbers and doing the math real fast. We don’t think there’s going to be, I mean, he’s $11 million in debt. I mean, I don’t think there’s anything left. You know, it’s just like, I don’t know. We’re just gonna have to see how that pans out. But I just don’t think the money is there,’ Bucci said. It’s still a mystery where the money went. As of now, Paul Beattie is no where to be found. Neither is the money. “
“Fairfax County has tens of thousands of federal workers and a huge government contracting sector, leaving it vulnerable to potential spending cuts from the incoming Trump administration. Trump tapped business leaders Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to lead the Department of Government Efficiency, an advisory body that will find places to cut government spending. The president-elect said in December that federal employees who did not return to the office would be fired, and in a Wall Street Journal opinion piece in November, the DOGE team wrote that the wave of terminations such a policy would ignite would be ‘welcome.'”
“There are also expectations that the Trump administration could again try to move some agencies out of the D.C. region, as it did under the last administration. ‘I actually had a nightmare about the DOGE. I’m not kidding you,’ Cityline Partners Managing Director Donna Shafer said said at the Bisnow event. ‘I have no idea what the impact will be, when, how, how much, but it definitely keeps me up at night.'”
“Canada’s lacklustre real estate market may see a rebound in 2025, Bay Street forecasts, but so far buyers in the Toronto area are not bringing the heat. The homes that have been sitting tend to be built on speculation, says Patrick Rocca, broker with Bosley Real Estate. Builders bought teardowns a couple of years ago as interest rates and construction costs were climbing, he says. Meanwhile, home prices have softened. The sellers insist on setting an asking price that will give them a profit on their investment but the market has shifted, Mr. Rocca says. ‘They need $4-million to get out and they’re not worth $4-million.’ One such builder consulted Mr. Rocca, who evaluated the house at about $3.4-million. The seller listed with another agent for $3.9-million. ‘It hasn’t sold,’ says Mr. Rocca. ‘That’s one of dozens.'”
“Work on Tadpole Garden Village began just over a decade ago and it has since seen hundreds of homeowners move in. Recently, a sign welcoming visitors to Tadpole Garden Village and advertising Crest Nicholson’s involvement in its construction has had a smaller notice stuck onto it which highlights problems with the area. It lists unfinished and unmarked roads, ‘non-existent’ street lighting, building and construction material dumped ‘on every corner,’and sewerage that is ‘not fit for purpose.’ One unhappy neighbour told the Adver: ‘Residents have had enough of the countless broken promises by Crest! We need to hold these building firms accountable.’ This is not the first time that these issues have been raised.”
“The average Australian property investor will lose money in their first year, with those in the nation’s two largest capitals likely to be more than $23,000 out of pocket in just 12 months. With a mix of stamp duty and land tax outstripping rental returns and major capitals thought to be approaching home value peaks, in many cases it could be years before landlords turn a profit. Property Investors Council of Australia director Ben Kingsley’s figures show that after 12 months owning a $937,289 investment in Melbourne, out of pocket expenses are likely to leave an investor there $26,798 in the red — the worst figure in the country.”
“In Adelaide the $811,059 typical house purchase would leave an investor $17,144 out of pocket a year on, while in Brisbane there would be a $5114 shortfall after investing in the city’s $937,479 median home price. ‘If your capital gains return is 5-6 per cent in Sydney, those numbers look okay,’ Mr Kingsley said. ‘But we know Sydney has run out of puff. And Melbourne is retreating.'”
“A liquidation petition was filed against indebted developer Sunac China Holdings in Hong Kong amid its efforts to restructure its offshore debt for the second time, marking the latest drama for China’s cash-starved property sector. Sunac’s Hong Kong-listed shares slumped 21 per cent to HK$1.38 at the noon break on Friday, after falling nearly 29 per cent in the morning session. The company has told some of its bondholders that it may not be able to meet deadlines for repayment on a dollar bond maturing in September, which was part of the first tranche of the restructured notes.”
“More than 700 billion yuan (US$95.5 billion) worth of property bonds are due for repayment in 2025, down from the 770 billion yuan that matured in 2024, according to the China Academy Index. But home sales of the top 100 developers in China fell 28 per cent in 2024 from a year earlier, according to data compiled by the China Real Estate Information Corporation. A series of bond defaults led to a surge in liquidation lawsuits in 2024 with a total of 13 cases – all related to property bonds – entering the courts, according to a report published by S&P Global Ratings in November. No cases ‘were able to settle out of court,’ as the property downturn and slowing growth pushed defaulters into deeper distress, while about 56 per cent of legal cases related to defaulted property bonds remain unresolved, the ratings firm said.”
Realtors are liars.
‘It lists unfinished and unmarked roads, ‘non-existent’ street lighting, building and construction material dumped ‘on every corner,’and sewerage that is ‘not fit for purpose.’ One unhappy neighbour told the Adver: ‘Residents have had enough of the countless broken promises by Crest! We need to hold these building firms accountable’
This is in the Swindon newspaper so I guess that’s where unhappy neighbour is being schlonged. It’s in the UK.
God save the king!
‘‘Does it even make sense to own a house here when the insurance is so much?’ It was an attitude echoed by some of the area’s prominent residents. Actor James Woods posted on X that a major insurer ‘canceled all the policies in our neighborhood about four months ago’
This is what I was saying about insurance and mortgages yesterday. When the SHTF you find all sorts of things shouldn’t have been.
At least it was cheaper than renting*
* My renter’s insurance policy went up 60% on the last renewal, and I don’t live in a “Wildland-urban interface” environment. Must be some combination of inflation, price gouging, and the consequences of living adjacent to a sanctuary city where fentanyl and meth are now legal.
“This is what I was saying about insurance and mortgages yesterday. When the SHTF you find all sorts of things shouldn’t have been.”
– This quote is about the stonk market, but I would say generally applies to all asset classes and especially in asset bubbles. For example, market crashes are when we find out about Ponzi schemes, since no new investors.
“You never know who’s swimming naked until the tide goes out.” – Warren Buffett
– Oh yeah, there’s a lot of mortgage fraud out there, but I’m told that “it’s different this time.” I think that there’s a lot of fraud out there in everything right now.
– Property insurance has been the elephant in the room that nobody wanted to talk about. Well, that elephant just became visible again… 🐘
– Socialism / DEI / ESG is working out well, as per usual…
“If socialists understood economics they wouldn’t be socialists.” – Friedrich Hayek
“In practice, socialism didn’t work. But socialism could never have worked because it is based on false premises about human psychology and society, and gross ignorance of human economy.” – David Horowitz
“When the righteous thrive, the people rejoice;
when the wicked rule, the people groan.” – Proverbs 29:2
“They sow the wind
and reap the whirlwind. – Hosea 8:7
“Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.” – H L Mencken
“Toute nation a le gouvernement qu’elle mérite.” (Every country has the government it deserves.) Lettres et Opuscules Inédits (1851) (letter of August 15, 1811). – Joseph de Maistre
“The government you elect is the government you deserve.” – Thomas Jefferson
“An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.” – Benjamin Franklin
I think this current fire with it’s vast destruction of homes shows that any smart insurance company would have exited years ago considering that many areas with houses are extremely vulnerable.
When it was decided that Pacific Palisades et al were not going to clear their excess Chaparral resulting from the previous year’s precipitation the insurance companies decided to deny renewal of property policies.
Lots of owner-occupancy fraud!
Prop13 windfall? [no pun intended]
‘As the market for documentaries and other content slowed and work dried up in Hollywood, producer Kourtney Gleason was already worried about making the mortgage payments on the home she bought last year with her boyfriend. Now, as raging fires have halted film and TV production in Southern California and many in the industry have lost homes, she’s terrified that the entertainment business will be set back yet again. Though she’s been in the industry for 12 years, Gleason is now reluctantly looking at restaurant jobs to get by’
Well it’s still cheaper than renting Kourtney.
“Though she’s been in the industry for 12 years, Gleason is now reluctantly looking at restaurant jobs to get by.”
Yeah, I’m sure that’ll take care of that $7000 mortgage payment.
“Though she’s been in the industry for 12 years, Gleason is now reluctantly looking at restaurant jobs to get by.”
– “Do you want fries with that?” 🍔 🍟 🙃
I wonder if they’ll let her wear a badge that says, “I have a 7k mortgage…please tip accordingly.”
In some kitchens dishwashers don’t get tips.
Dave Ramsey say NEVER buy a house if you are not married….now she will find out how serious the BF was. maybe Karma will get you…..go woke go broke
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4oPDfEKf2pQ
‘marking the latest drama for China’s cash-starved property sector. Sunac’s Hong Kong-listed shares slumped 21 per cent to HK$1.38 at the noon break on Friday, after falling nearly 29 per cent in the morning session. The company has told some of its bondholders that it may not be able to meet deadlines for repayment on a dollar bond maturing in September’
I guess they are still playing the charade that the gringos are going to get their money back. This ‘dollar bond’ thing was hailed as yet another mastermind financial innovation at the time by globalist scum media, like bloomberg. Now everybody is fooked and they have to pay lawyers to try and get back pennies on the peso.
The only valuable asset on this property is the wooden cross hanging on the wall:
https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3041-Hunter-Fish-Camp-Rd-Marianna-FL-32446/45287659_zpid
‘Webster last month abruptly closed the real estate business, which employed approximately 140 agents. According to the lawsuit, Webster and Success have faced ‘serious financial difficulties’ in recent years due to a slowing real estate market, outdated business model and overleveraged expenses…‘In actuality, Webster obtained these loans no different than a ‘Ponzi’ scheme as he was simultaneously embezzling over $1 million from Success’ coffers in order to fund business operations and support his extravagant personal lifestyle’
All Time High Larry.
Poor little rate daters. When will the schlongings cease? 10yr closing in on 4.8. Hello 8% mortgage rates.
+1
That must have been fun all those FB parents explaining to their kidz that Christmas wasn’t happening this year, because they had to buy now or be priced out forever.
At least it was cheaper than renting.
“That must have been fun all those FB parents explaining to their kidz that Christmas wasn’t happening this year, because they had to buy now or be priced out forever.”
– Realtors have no fiduciary responsibility that I’m aware of. I don’t think they can be sued for giving bad advice or guidance, but someone please correct me here if I’m wrong. They’re not certified financial planners, for example; they’re salespersons looking to preserve their (ridiculously high) sales commission. Think used car salespersons and you won’t be far wrong. Caveat emptor.
The difference between a 7% and an 8% 30-year mortgage rate might resemble the difference on the Richter scale between a magnitude 7.0 and magnitude 8.0 earthquake. What is it…. ten times as powerful?
“What is it…. ten times as powerful?”
https://sciencenotes.org/richter-scale-and-earthquake-magnitude/
Richter Scale and Earthquake Magnitude
This entry was posted on July 19, 2023 by Anne Helmenstine (updated on July 30, 2023)
“The Richter scale is a logarithmic scale that measures the magnitude of an earthquake, originally developed by Charles F. Richter in 1935. It provides an objective measure of the energy an earthquake releases by quantifying the seismic waves produced. Prior to the invention of the Richter scale, the severity of earthquakes was subjective, often described based on the damage caused or eyewitness accounts, making comparisons across events and over time challenging.”
“Because the Richter scale is logarithmic, each whole number increase in scale is a 10x increase in the amplitude of the seismic waves.”
– BTW, in the economic equivalent, and because of the huge debt load in the U.S. currently – both public and private – higher interest rates are kryptonite here. For example, the U.S. .gov is facing higher interest payments on the national debt as the debt continues to grow. The situation is similar for consumers with high debt also. Even low rates are a problem in a highly leveraged world. High rates = game over.
Does it seem like Santa Ana conditions have developed in the stock market?
S&P down 1.6% less than an hour after opening.
“This sucker could go down” — George W. Bush
This sucker could go up…in smoke.
Barrons
Markets | The Barron’s Daily
Global Bonds Infected By Soaring U.S. Treasury Yields. The Fallout for Stock Markets and 5 Other Things to Know Today.
L.A. wildfires projected to be costliest In California history, Musk lowers the bar on government spending cuts, and more news to start your day.
Jan. 10, 2025 7:07 am ET
It seems as though when the U.S. sneezes, the world catches a cold. The financial malady of the season is soaring bond yields and Uncle Sam looks like patient zero.
…
https://www.barrons.com/articles/bonds-treasury-yields-stock-market-and-what-to-know-today-36826fe3
Yahoo Finance
JOBS REPORT
US jobs market blows past expectations, adding 256,000 jobs in December
LIVE
Updated 8 mins ago
Yahoo Finance
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq sell off amid jobs report surprise, inflation worries
Karen Friar and Hamza Shaban
Updated Fri, January 10, 2025 at 7:27 AM PST 2 min read
US stocks plunged on Friday as investors digested a final 2024 jobs report that blew past expectations on hiring, raising more uncertainty about the path of interest rates this year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) sank 1.3%, or over 600 points, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 1.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) tumbled 2.3%, leading the sell-off. The three major gauges have erased all year-to-date gains to stand below where they started the year.
…
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-sell-off-amid-jobs-report-surprise-inflation-worries-143101557.html
You have to admire the bond vigalantes’ ability to sniff out news indicating higher inflation ahead before it is even reported.
Note that this article does not once mention open borders. Not once.
The Hill — U.S. overdose deaths far outpace other countries (1/9/2025):
“The United States has the highest rate of drug overdose deaths out of 30 countries, according to a new report from the health nonprofit the Commonwealth Fund.
There are multiple reasons why the U.S. has far more overdose deaths than any of the other nations examined in the report.
One possible reason is that other countries have more harm reduction essentials like Naloxone access and drug consumption rooms than the U.S., according to Evan D. Gumas, the research associate at The Commonwealth Fund responsible for the report.
Another is that the U.S. has a larger supply of fentanyl than the other countries listed in the report.”
^ So close, but you JUST CAN’T SAY IT.
“In the report, the U.S. earned the bottom spot with 324 overdose deaths per 1 million residents in 2022”
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5078221-us-highest-overdose-deaths/
Denver Mayor Mike Johnston and your 50,000 pink p*ssy hat Highland Moms, your “resistance” shows you only want more of this.
At least you *owned* Orange Man Bad.
“‘After this, who knows if I’m insurable anymore,’ Scanlon said. ‘If we can’t get insurance up here, our property values will plummet, and in California, that’s our nest egg.’”
Is it still safe to assume that California real estate always goes up in value?
But California Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara insisted Wednesday, Jan. 8, that this week’s conflagrations won’t make insurance harder to get. “Insurance companies are pledging their commitment to California, and we will hold them accountable for the promises they have made,” Lara said in a statement.
Now that’s a knee slapper!
Los Angeles fires expose inflated US home prices
By Robert Cyran
January 10, 2025 4:59 AM PST
Updated 4 hours ago
…
https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/los-angeles-fires-expose-inflated-us-home-prices-2025-01-09/
Suck a joke how these useless California Gov overpaid administration worker go on the News patting themselves on the back for their lack of success in the CA fire disasters.
And if history repeats itself , the insurance Companies will probably sue State Agencies for neglect practices, and the Ins Companies will get off the hook. And CA Fair Plan only has 200 million, when the liabilty is over 10 billion.
And what about collection of taxes on the fire destroyed properties? This is going to be a mess for a long time.
And imagine living in homeless shelter or a Hotel and try to function by going to work when you might have no car, clothes etc. if you were a fire victim.
Really snarly for a long time. Makes buying real estate a big unknown or even if places with be able to get insurance or how high it will be.
[This article isn’t housing-related but I like the way it has been written and thought I would share. Enjoy.]
The last American Banker rats are leaving the UN Net Zero Banking club.
https://www.joannenova.com.au/
A few years ago they were all going to save the world from the sixth mass extinction, but now they just want to avoid an anti-trust suit.
Such is the phase change of the Trump win, the largest banks in the USA, JP Morgan and Morgan Chase have now joined Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo the Bank of America, and Citigroup.
Six big US banks quit net zero alliance before Trump inauguration
– The Guardian.
Analysts have said the withdrawals are an attempt to head off “anti-woke” attacks from rightwing US politicians, which are expected to escalate when Trump is sworn in as the country’s 47th president in just under a fortnight.
The giant super-squid of asset management is also thinking of leaving the UN Net Zero Alliance.
BlackRock may exit woke business climate group Net Zero Alliance as backlash over ESG investing widens
By Charles Gasparino, New York Post
BlackRock — which for years has courted controversy with its focus on so-called ESG, or Environmental Social Governance investing — is considering an exit of the so-called “Net Zero” coalition of top corporations who pledge to reach zero-carbon emissions by 2050, The Post has learned.
BlackRock’s likely departure is more significant [than all the other banks]. The world’s largest investment fund, with more than $10 trillion in assets under management, was a leader in ESG investing, with its top executives including Fink evangelizing on the need to use the company’s investing might to force corporations to reduce their carbon footprint.
Mum’s the word:
BlackRock press officials declined comment. A rep for State Street and JPMorgan didn’t return a call for comment. A press official for the alliance declined to comment.
Their lawyers will have beaten them into silence. If the world is facing a crisis they look like cowards, and if the world isn’t facing a crisis they look like crooks for abusing clients funds for ideological quests or worse, traitorous sell-outs to the global oligarchs.
As I said, the Net Zero Banking Alliance was the UN-banker cabal that were colluding to use $130 trillion dollars in assets to bully the first world into sabotaging their economies by buying expensive, unreliable Net Zero electricity. It was dangerously close to being a proto World Government. The club effectively could decide national policies on who could build competitive electricity grids, and who had to do the fantasia plan to control the storms of 2100 with their electricity grid in 2024.
They wouldn’t be jumping ship if Kamala had won.
Pacific Palisades fire may spell an end to cheap homeowners insurance in California
The Pacific Palisades area ravaged by wildfires in Los Angeles is one of the most expensive neighborhoods in the U.S., home to Hollywood A-Listers and multimillion dollar mansions. And ahead of this week’s disaster, its insurance costs were among the most affordable in the country, according to a Reuters analysis of insurance and real estate industry data.
That may be about to change. The scale of losses anticipated in the wildfires now ringing Los Angeles, as well as regulatory changes enacted late last year, could spell an end to relatively cheap homeowners’ insurance in areas like the Palisades that are at elevated risk for wildfires, four analysts told Reuters.
Measured against home values, insurance costs are cheaper in the Palisades than in 97% of U.S. postal codes, according to a Reuters analysis of a national database of price data collected by Mulder and University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School professor Benjamin Keys as well as home-value data calculated by Zillow, a real-estate firm.
The relatively low cost of insurance in the Pacific Palisades reflects the vagaries of a homeowners’ insurance market in the United States where prices can vary widely because of differing regulatory polices from state to state. Consumer-friendly regulations in California have kept a lid on prices, even in high-risk areas, but have prompted many insurers to scale back coverage.
Sangmin Oh, a finance professor at Columbia Business School, and other researchers found that homeowners in more loosely regulated states effectively subsidize homeowners in states like California, where the industry has been more tightly regulated – despite higher levels of risk.
Compared to home values, the average statewide premium in 2023 was the lowest among all 50 states, according to the Reuters analysis. California’s high property values may make that insurance seem relatively cheap, but even on an absolute dollar basis residents the average annual premium of $2,200 was less than residents paid in 30 other U.S. states.
Homeowners in Pacific Palisades paid a median insurance premium in 2023 of $5,450, according to the data compiled by Mulder and Keys. That’s less than residents paid in Glencoe, Illinois, an upscale suburb of Chicago where homes are two-thirds cheaper and the risk of wildfire is minimal.
It’s also less than residents paid in New Orleans’ Lower Ninth Ward, the poor and historically Black neighborhood submerged by floods waters during Hurricane Katrina in 2005 – even though the typical Ninth Ward home is worth less than 1/20th of the typical home in Pacific Palisades, according to Zillow.
Patrick Douville, a vice president of insurance with Morningstar, said insurers will try to continue to offer coverage in California, which is one of the most lucrative markets in the country. But they will struggle to provide affordable coverage in areas like Pacific Palisades that will remain risky even after this fire dies out.
“Insurers need randomness,” he said in an interview. “If it’s always the same folks who are targeted, you need to charge them an astronomical premium.”
https://www.aol.com/news/pacific-palisades-fire-may-spell-182853086.html
FHFA Director Thompson to Step Down on Eve of Trump Inauguration
Sandra Thompson, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, will step down on Jan. 19, an agency spokesperson said.
The FHFA oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two key players in the US housing market, as well as the Federal Home Loan Bank system.
If Thompson had opted against resigning, President-elect Donald Trump would have been able to fire her quickly after his Jan. 20 inauguration due to a US Supreme Court decision that made it easier to remove the FHFA director.
Fannie Mae has soared 258% since Trump’s election in November, in large part due to the promotion of Bill Ackman. The Pershing Square Capital Management founder has said the Trump team’s renewed vow to shrink the role of government will help finish what his first administration started in releasing Fannie and Freddie from conservatorship.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/fhfa-director-thompson-to-step-downg-on-eve-of-trump-inauguration/ar-BB1ra3eh
“During Thompson’s tenure, some FHLBanks experienced heightened scrutiny after they had extended loans to other banks that later collapsed as part of a 2023 regional banking crisis.”
As many of you probably know, on March 10, 2023, SVB, with $209 billion in assets at year-end 2022, was closed by the state banking authority, who appointed the FDIC as receiver. Stress at the firm had become apparent a few days earlier, on Wednesday, March 8, when Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) announced a $1.8 billion loss on sale of securities, experiencing the consequences of unrealized losses on those securities, and a concurrent plan to raise $2 billion in capital to shore up its balance sheet. Then, on Thursday, March 9, shares of SVB fell 60 percent, and it experienced a run by uninsured depositors.
LA fires underscore how much California has to lose if Trump withholds disaster aid
As wildfires erupted in Southern California, so did a years-long feud between incoming president Donald Trump and Gov. Gavin Newsom.
On the campaign trail, Trump repeatedly threatened to cut off disaster funding for California.
He stopped short of that on Wednesday, but in a social media post, he called Newsom “Newscum” and blamed his water policies for the three fires that have destroyed hundreds of homes, killed at least five people and displaced tens of thousands of Californians. Due to environmental regulations, he said, not enough water has reached Southern California and fire hydrants went dry as a result.
“Now the ultimate price is being paid,” he said. “I will demand that this incompetent governor allow beautiful, clean fresh water to FLOW INTO CALIFORNIA. He is to blame for this.”
The bigger question looming over California is whether Trump’s feud with Newsom will cause him to act on his promise to cut federal disaster aid to the state when he takes office on Jan. 20.
On the campaign trail last year, Trump vowed that “we won’t give (Newsom) money to put out all his fires” unless the Democratic governor agreed to divert more water to California farmers. A president can slow down the process of approving aid, or not declare a disaster, a decision critical to a state receiving federal relief funding.
Federal funding typically pays for around 75% of the costs of rebuilding public infrastructure such as roads, sewers, water systems, parks and fire stations, officials say. That means California would have to come up with billions of dollars in additional money after major disasters if Trump follows through on his campaign rhetoric.
In communities such as Paradise and Santa Rosa that suffered through similar catastrophic fires within the past decade, officials there said their communities wouldn’t have been able to rebuild without federal help.
“If we hadn’t had those types of funds to do the basic infrastructure that we’ve already done and are currently doing, I don’t think we would have recovered at all. It is such a significant piece of recovery,” said Collette Curtis, the recovery and economic development director for the town of Paradise.
Curstis estimates that Paradise has received at least $375 million in federal aid since the fire. A year before the Paradise fire, thousands of homes in the city of Santa Rosa and surrounding communities burned in the Tubbs Fire – another wind-driven inferno that killed 22 people.
The federal government provided at least $366 million in direct aid to communities affected by the Tubbs Fire and other fires that year, according to estimates from the office of U.S. Rep. Mike Thompson, a Democrat who represents the region. Santa Rosa alone received $218 million, said Assistant City Manager Jason Nutt.
Without that much federal help, Santa Rosa wouldn’t have recovered, said the city’s former mayor, Chris Rogers, who was just sworn in as the region’s Democratic Assemblymember.
“Without the help of the federal government, not only would we potentially not have been able to rebuild, but we certainly wouldn’t have been able to rebuild as quickly,” Rogers said.
https://calmatters.org/environment/wildfires/2025/01/california-fires-donald-trump-money/
Condo owners don’t deserve low-interest loan bailouts. It rewards bad behavior. | Letters
Low-interest loans proposal just a bailout
The editorial encouraging our Florida state government to step in and provide low interest loans to people living in condominiums that have insufficient reserves to fund long needed maintenance is rewarding bad behavior. These people and their HOAs made a series of poor decisions. Can I get a low-interest loan to fund repairs on my single-family home that I did not do because I did not want to spend my money keeping my home safe? Also, can I get some emotional support so I don’t have to take any responsibility for my selfish actions?
Yes, I know from personal experience that as we get older, life gets harder. I also know that it takes a village to raise a child and protect a grandmother. A government, on the other hand, exists to protect the commons. Our state government needs to address the property insurance house of cards and not get diverted by making laws and earmarking my tax dollars to encourage people to continue to make bad decisions.
John Peebles, North Palm Beach
https://www.yahoo.com/news/condo-owners-dont-deserve-low-183912804.html
Canada’s top economists call for structural rethink in face of Trump’s tariff promise
Donald Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on Canadian imports poses huge risk to the country’s economy. But it also provides an opportunity to address structural problems that hold back economic growth, and to double-down on sectors in which Canadian companies can thrive in an increasingly protectionist world.
That’s according to the chief economists at five of Canada’s largest banks, who delivered their 2025 outlooks at an Economic Club of Canada event in Toronto on Thursday.
Beata Caranci, chief economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, said that Canada should start by improving the competitiveness of its corporate tax structure, to keep pulling investment into the country despite the risk of a thicker border with the U.S.
Policy makers also need to do more to accelerate the development of natural resources, especially critical minerals, she said. That would give Canada products that are in high demand in the U.S. as it tries to wean itself off Chinese battery supply chains. And it would help build out an industrial base that is less susceptible to U.S. attempts to reshore manufacturing industries.
“There’s nothing stopping the U.S. from building a car from beginning to end. They can do it. It requires a restructuring of their labour market; it would lead to higher end-user costs. But there’s nothing stopping them from doing that,” Ms. Caranci said. “What we ultimately have to do is think through the structure of our economy, look at our competitive advantage, what we have, what they don’t, and move our economy in that way.”
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-canadas-top-economists-call-for-structural-rethink-in-face-of-trumps/
‘What are we talking about?’ Trump’s ‘economic force’ comments cause worry, disbelief
Incoming U.S. president Donald Trump’s escalating rhetoric around implementing tariffs on Canadian products are sparking worry and disbelief, though some of the companies potentially most affected are staying quiet.
Speaking at a press conference Tuesday, Trump threatened to use “economic force” to annex Canada, while also once again raising issues with the trade deficit and saying the U.S. doesn’t need to buy Canadian lumber, dairy or automobiles.
“They send us hundreds of thousands of cars, they make a lot of money with that. They send us a lot of other things that we don’t need. We don’t need their cars and we don’t need the other products. We don’t need their milk,” said Trump to reporters at his Mar-a-Lago club in Florida.
Along with threatening tariffs, Trump claimed in his press conference that the U.S. had no need for Canadian goods. He once again raised issue with the U.S. trade deficit with Canada, characterizing it as a subsidy.
“We lose in trade deficits, we’re losing massive,” he said. “We don’t need anything. So why are we losing $200 billion a year and more?” he said.
Canada’s best strategy for now is to take a “wait and see” approach publicly, while avoiding any threats of retaliation, said Fen Hampson, an international affairs professor at Carleton University and co-chair of its expert group on Canada-U.S. relations.
He said Canada benefits when it remains below the radar and does not take the bait.
“When you’re the smaller party, you don’t make threats, which first of all aren’t going to be credible because the big guy can stomp on you like a mess. So we’ve got to be a lot more nimble, we’ve got to be a lot smarter and our Prime Minister should keep his mouth shut.”
https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/what-are-we-talking-about-trump-s-economic-force-comments-cause-worry-disbelief-1.7168246
Heated words about sovereignty and U.S. trade? Sounds a lot like 1988
Donald Trump’s repeated musings about Canada becoming part of the United States have — unsurprisingly — raised hackles in Ottawa.
“There isn’t a snowball’s chance in hell,” shot back Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, while the Finance Minister Dominic Le Blanc noted, “The joke is over.” Opposition leaders are similarly irked, with Conservative Pierre Poilievre asserting “Canada will never be the 51st state” and New Democrat Jagmeet Singh telling the incoming president to “cut the crap.”
Yet the U.S. president-elect keeps pushing Canada’s buttons. He has suggested the highly integrated economies and trading relationship between the two countries is overrated, and has claimed a trade imbalance means U.S. is subsidizing its northern neighbour’s economy.
In doing this, Trump has highlighted a persistent concern raised by some on this side of the border: namely, that Canada’s national sovereignty is jeopardized by being too closely tied to the United States.
This isn’t a new concern — in fact, it will be familiar to anyone who remembers when Canada first eyed a free-trade deal with the U.S. back in the 1980s, long before Trump’s influence extended beyond the Manhattan real estate sector.
“If we move towards a free trade arrangement with the United States, I think the political consequences are very clear,” said Bob Rae, then the leader of the New Democrats in Ontario. “Don’t ask people who are elected provincially or federally to do a great job in managing the economy because all those decisions are going to be made in New York and Chicago and Washington and we are going to simply become a client of the United States.”
Nonetheless, Ottawa entered into negotiations with Washington. A proposed deal was reached in October 1987, and the free-trade agreement was signed by Mulroney and U.S. President Ronald Reagan in January 1988.
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/trumps-power-play-ignited-debate-000024663.html
Elon Musk praises Poilievre, mocks Trudeau as he steps into Canadian politics
As a giant of industry and the world’s richest man, Elon Musk wields influence across the global economy. He’s now leveraging that success to extend his influence into the democratic process in Canada and elsewhere.
In the past week alone, Musk has dipped into Canadian politics on his social media platform several times; endorsing Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, showering him with praise, reposting his tweets and applauding his speeches and media interactions.
At the same time, he has mocked Prime Minister Justin Trudeau over his resignation, borrowing president-elect Donald Trump’s language to refer to him as a “governor.” He’s even called Trudeau an “insufferable tool.”
“It’s about positioning yourself on the global stage as a thought leader, in inverted commas, who can rise above politics but also be aligned with it when it suits him,” said Andrew Chadwick, professor of political communication at Loughborough University in the United Kingdom.
“I think with Musk [his advocacy has] become aligned with what he sees as political movements around the world that share his libertarian anti-state, anti-regulation, anti-legacy media ideology,” Chadwick told CBC News.
In Germany, Musk has endorsed the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leader, Alice Weidel, who’s a fierce critic of multiculturalism. Some prominent AfD members have been ostracized for their failure to condemn the war crimes of the Nazis.
Last year a German court said the AfD was officially suspected of extremism, allowing the German security services to continue monitoring their activities and communications.
Musk has been accused in Germany of interfering in that country’s upcoming elections on Feb. 23 for his endorsement of the AfD and promise to host a live interview on X with Weidel on Jan. 9.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/musk-canada-poilievre-trudeau-influence-1.7426954
This Calgary newcomer wants to go back home. She isn’t alone
A year and a half after moving to Canada from the Philippines, Ali Quina is strongly considering moving back home. Life here is just so much harder than people made it out to be, she said.
Quina came to Calgary looking for opportunities and a better quality of life. But even after moving here with work experience in marketing and completing a certificate at the University of Calgary, she’s struggling to find a job in her field.
So she’s working part time as a server and said she’s barely getting by.
“My everyday routine would be waking up in the morning, sending applications and then after I would break down and cry.… I can barely afford to pay for my groceries, to be honest,” said Quina. “I’m just basing it off my experience, but Canada is not the land of opportunity anymore.”
Now, she’s sharing a message with other newcomers who feel like the hardship isn’t paying off: “It’s OK if Canada isn’t for you.”
She isn’t the only one who feels that way, according to a new CBC News survey about newcomers’ experiences, conducted by Pollara.
While eight in 10 newcomers have an overall positive experience in Canada, over 40 per cent of newcomers surveyed said they’d be likely to leave Canada if they were given the choice.
They said they struggled with homesickness, discrimination and difficulties finding quality housing and work. Nearly a third said they would leave Canada to return to their home country, while others (20 per cent) said they would go to the United States next.
As for Quina, she’s giving herself a few more months before making a final decision about whether she’s going to leave. She’s leaning toward pulling the plug and moving back home when her post-graduation work permit expires in November, instead of finding another avenue to stay.
In the meantime, she’s sharing her experience on social media, in the hope other newcomers facing the same challenges don’t feel alone.
“It’s OK to give up,” said Quina. “It’s not going to be the end of everything, but rather the start of a new chapter.”
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/leaving-canada-poll-calgary-1.7424400
“while others (20 per cent) said they would go to the United States next”
Um, NOPE.
Border closes in 10 days. Go home.
Between the huge numbers allowed to enter and Fidelito’s wrecking the Canuck economy, there should be more sob stories like this.
And don’t come to the USA, FJB has also done a Trudeau to the economy.
The great pretender: Looking back at Trudeau, we see our initial judgment of him when he first entered politics was correct
Ashes to ashes, dust to dust. The Liberal Party of Canada was near death when Justin Trudeau took over as leader. He leaves it near death again. The years between have been a roller-coaster ride, much like his father’s time in office, from the giddy, even nauseating public and media enthusiasm of the early months to the quite unreasoning hatred his name now evokes in certain quarters.
It isn’t as if we did not know what we were getting into. More than most prime ministers, Justin (as he was often called, and is to this day) was a known quantity by the time he took office, having grown up in the public eye – twice, in fact. There was his natural childhood, much of it spent in the prime ministerial residence at 24 Sussex Drive. And there was his political childhood, as it were, between entering politics in 2008 and becoming prime minister in 2015.
Though in his late 30s/early 40s, he seemed strangely adolescent, unformed, unaware: part flower child, part dudebro. He had done little with his life before politics; certainly little that would prepare him for it. There was no evidence that he had thought deeply about any subject, and plenty of evidence that he had not, especially the peculiar public statements to which he was prone: That if he thought Canada were really “the Canada of Stephen Harper” he would become a Quebec separatist himself; that as a Liberal “of course” he preferred the country were governed by Quebeckers rather than Albertans; that the country whose government he most admired was “actually” China, with its “basic dictatorship.”
And of course there was the pouting, the theatrical head-tosses, the costume changes, the breathy displays of sincerity. But there were also, as time went on, signs of an emerging self-discipline. The celebrated 2012 boxing match with Senator Patrick Brazeau looks more bizarre and insensitive with each passing year, but there can be few figures in public life who would have gotten into that ring, or done the training for it beforehand. His handlers gradually reined in some of the self-dramatizing, trimmed his hair, gave him some talking points.
The suspicion that the whole thing was a cynical façade was reinforced by the rapidly growing pile of broken promises. The platform contained a slew of commitments – more than 350 of them, by one count – not all of them well considered or, one suspects, honestly intended. The promise of “two annual deficits of no more than $10-billion” had already become a bitter punchline by the time of the government’s first budget. The promise not to buy the F-35 stealth bomber, but to hold an “open and transparent competition” – only to buy it in the end – was another classic.
But nothing topped the Prime Minister’s spectacular backflip on electoral reform, early in 2017. No promise was spelled out more starkly, with less room for ambiguity, in the platform: The 2015 election would be “the last … conducted under the first-past-the-post system.” No, millions of Canadians did not base their vote on that specific promise. But it was there for a reason – to signal a certain idealism, even radicalism, especially tailored to NDP-leaning voters – and it is no coincidence that the government’s long descent in the polls began then.
The more ruthless and unprincipled Mr. Trudeau, notwithstanding his smiling persona, appeared to be, the more his government’s relentless pursuit of identity politics, its readiness to fire off a volley of trite social justice clichés at the least provocation, came to seem, not mere pious dogma (”Because it’s 2015″), or even a calculating sop to target demographics, but something altogether more sinister: a shield, more than a sword, providing cover for Mr. Trudeau’s own “problematic” predilections.
If, for example, you have worn blackface so many times you cannot remember the exact number – it seems to have been something of a hobby – and you are afraid it will come out some day, what better defence than to advertise your passionate commitment to racial justice at every turn? Credibly accused, in the same vein, of groping a young female reporter? Reinvent yourself as an ardent feminist. As it turns out, people will be less inclined to dismiss you as a hypocrite than to resolve their own cognitive dissonance in your favour.
It worked for a time, until at some point a lot of the things that raised doubts about Mr. Trudeau – the self-centredness, the constant desire for attention, the fake cultural sensitivity – converged. That point was the India trip, and the jaw-dropping series of costumes and performances it produced. It wasn’t exactly racist – the Indians seemed more perplexed than insulted – but it told you of the insular world Mr. Trudeau inhabited, that he could have imagined people would still find this sort of thing charming, as if it were still 2015 and not 2018.
Carbon pricing was another signature achievement, but tainted both by its timidity – carbon pricing was supposed to replace existing regulatory and subsidy schemes, not be tacked on top of them – and by the many carveouts and exemptions that were granted to particular interests, of which the last, on home heating oil, proved politically ruinous.
The alarming deterioration in the government’s finances, on the other hand, never did seem to penetrate Mr. Trudeau’s skull, and in the end cost him his finance minister.
Foreign policy, on the other hand, revealed a prime minister still in the grip of his father’s illusions, notably with regard to China. Liberals came to power besotted with the idea of China as the rising power in the world, and Canada as its beneficiary. There was talk of a free trade deal, even an extradition treaty.
That all came crashing down with the Two Michaels affair, and even more with the revelations of China’s extensive interference in Canada’s domestic politics – interference the Trudeau government seemed strangely reluctant to confront. The evaporation of the China strategy, moreover, did not appear to cause any deep rethink at Global Affairs, which spent two years failing to prepare a coherent Indo-Pacific strategy.
The rest is a blur of incompetence and futility: the rapid expansion of the civil service, yet with measurable declines in service quality (passports, anyone?); the endless bottlenecks, in things like judicial appointments, that came from flowing every decision through a clearly overwhelmed Prime Minister’s Office; quixotic policy choices like trying to regulate the global internet. All spoke of a government that emphasized intentions over action, symbols over substance, ideological hobby horses over practical improvements in people’s lives. A government that looked very much like the man who led it.
The demise of Justin Trudeau was not the product of any one thing, but of a series of incidents – the electoral reform about-face, the India trip, SNC-Lavalin, COVID and its aftermath, the triple-crisis of inflation, housing and immigration. It was the accumulating sense that he was not what he pretended to be – that what he was looked less and less like what people hoped he might become and more and more like what everybody knew he was from the start.
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-the-great-pretender-looking-back-at-trudeau-we-see-our-initial/
Trump’s mysterious relationship with Zuckerberg — and the real reason behind Meta’s shift | Opinion
Meta’s CEO Mark Zuckerberg (wearing a $900,000 watch) announced yesterday morning that across their over-7-billion-user-strong social media empire — Facebook, Instagram, Threads, WhatsApp — they’ll be dialing back on fact-checking. They’re also preparing to promote more “political” content (among other changes that support those two moves, like no longer filtering out trash-talking women, queer people, or immigrants, and moving what’s left of their Trust & Safety team from liberal California to conservative Texas).
Here’s the problem: Republican politicians rely on lies, distortions, and falsehoods to sell most of their policies and candidates.
They must do this because the reality of their actual goals (cut billionaire taxes, increase pollution, gut worker and consumer protections, defund schools and medical care, privatize and cut Social Security and Medicare, subsidize oil companies, outlaw abortion, etc.) are so repellent to most Americans.
The Democratic Party, on the other hand, has been shockingly scrupulous for decades about telling the truth, at least with regard to policy. The last “big lie” I can remember coming from the Dems was LBJ’s claiming that North Vietnam had attacked us at the Gulf of Tonkin. And that was 60 years ago!
Seriously, can you think of any major Democratic Party lies in the past few decades that Democratic politicians repeated regularly on cable TV shows, op-eds, and in campaign commercials? Particularly, lies about important public policy debates and the structure of our government and its programs?
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/politics/elections/trump-s-mysterious-relationship-with-zuckerberg-and-the-real-reason-behind-meta-s-shift-opinion/ar-BB1r9CzU
This opinion generator’s comments belong over at Babylon Bee.
Lifelong Jacksonville Democrat (now in California) gets why Trump was re-elected | Opinion
I’ve been a Democrat for as long as I can remember. Growing up in Jacksonville, my parents — Indian immigrants — instilled in me a simple truth: Democrats care about working people and help lift families out of poverty. That belief has guided me throughout my life.
Yet as Donald Trump returns to the White House, driven by a multiracial working-class coalition, I can’t ignore the reality: The Democratic base has clearly revolted. How did we get here? The answer may lie in San Francisco.
For the past decade, I’ve raised my family in this Democratic stronghold. What I’ve seen is a toxic combination of bad governance, patronage and privilege that has turned San Francisco into the perfect foil for Trump’s populist message. Trump and the GOP’s warnings about “San Francisco values” resonated with many Americans — even with me, a Democrat.
San Francisco’s leaders have failed at the basics of governance, creating a cautionary tale that many Americans are eager to avoid. Despite a staggering $18,000 budget per resident — more than most states — the city’s core issues (crime, education, cost of living and homelessness) have only worsened.
In large part, it’s a talent and incentive issue. The local Democratic Party values loyalty, staffing highly unqualified people to important roles. Nonsensical environmental permitting rules make it nearly impossible to build new housing. A nonprofit industrial complex distributes stipends (even drugs) to people struggling with addiction, without real plans for recovery or public safety.
High-performing charter schools that deliver better outcomes for kids of color are blocked in the name of “racial justice,” even as traditional public schools struggle with enrollment and achievement gaps. These policies not only fail to help the marginalized communities they claim to protect, but actively harm them.
Meanwhile, San Francisco’s affluent liberals seem largely insulated from the city’s worsening conditions. Well, except for the car break-ins — San Francisco leads the nation in those. Around 32% of the city’s children attend private schools (compared to 8% nationally) at an average cost of $41,000 a year.
To secure spots at these schools, families normalize a rigorous process of interviews, recommendations and donations — for kindergarten. This creates an elite bubble where most people’s work and social circles are devoid of the struggles facing everyday Americans. Conversations about child care costs, job security or juggling grocery coupons are nonexistent.
Instead, the same people who post “Black Lives Matter” signs in their windows see themselves as morally superior while dismissing those who disagree with them as ignorant or bigoted. The ethos of unity that once defined Democrats has been replaced by an attitude of self-preservation and entitlement. This hypocrisy fuels Republican criticism of “out-of-touch elites.”
San Francisco’s disconnected leaders are creating a distorted, self-centered image of our party that’s damaging Democrats nationally. To win back working Americans, we need bold changes, starting here in San Francisco.
Let’s start with the belief that America is a wonderful place with amazing people — not a broken system to be discarded. I’m reminded of my 6-year-old daughter who, after spending a week with her grandparents in Jacksonville, asked: “Daddy, every house there has an American flag. Why don’t we ever see flags at home [in San Francisco]?”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/lifelong-jacksonville-democrat-now-in-california-gets-why-trump-was-re-elected-opinion/ar-BB1rdF8Y
Democrats care about working people
Only if you aren’t white, and most of the time not even then.