The Days Of Dizzying Price Highs Are Firmly Behind Us
A report from the Canadian Press. “Real estate broker Alexandra DuPont, who sells properties largely to Quebecers in southeast Florida, says she’s juggling twice her typical workload with 30-plus listings. ‘I’ve never had this much in a decade. I picked up three new listings on Monday. That’s never happened to me in one day,’ she said last week. Properties used to last on the market for a day or two before being snapped up, said her father and real estate partner, Sylvain DuPont. ‘Now the minimum in southwest Florida is 90 days, and they’re still not selling. Inventory’s growing by the day,’ he said, noting most of his clients are Ontarians and Quebecers. ‘We feel that the market is going to collapse pretty soon … People are panicking now.'”
The Miami Herald in Florida. “Rep. Mike Caruso, a Republican from Delray Beach said elderly residents in condominiums will be soon foreclosed on because they ‘could no longer afford the triple reserves or the quadrupled dues’ caused by legislation that went into effect at the end of last year requiring full funding of maintenance reserves for buildings. Ronni Drimmer, the condominium board president of a 55-and-older association in Clearwater said she just had to pay $7,200 for her part of a new roof required by insurance. The cost of insurance also went up by $25,000 over the association’s 2025 budget. And now the association’s HOA fees are projected to go up by $100 a month on average for 2025 for building maintenance. Drimmer said she and other unit owners won’t be able to afford the monthly increase. ‘Feels like a freight train has run over me,’ Drimmer, 72, said. ‘I have no idea what will happen.'”
Honolulu Star Advertiser in Hawaii. “Sumithra Balraj is moving back to her fire-ravaged Lahaina condominium before completing reconstruction after getting a letter from the Federal Emergency Management Agency seeking $2, 300 in monthly rent for a unit that was once free since she was displaced from her housing by the Aug. 8, 2023, Maui wildfires. ‘What FEMA is going to start charging for a 600-square-foot unit is more than my mortgage, which I already am struggling to pay because of the downturn, and that’s on top of my HOA (homeowners association ) fees rising another $252 to $700,’ said Balraj, who worked three jobs before the fire but, as a result of Maui’s economic downturn, is now down to just one as a caregiver for her partner.”
“Sen. Angus McKelvey (D, West Maui-Maalaea-Waikapu-South Maui ) said a Maui fire-related foreclosure moratorium ended Jan. 1. He said that next, on Feb. 4 a state-issued eviction ban ends, and on March 1 FEMA will begin charging rent for its direct housing program. ‘The FEMA cliff is huge. Everybody was led to believe that when the continued resolution (federal Community Development Block Grant Disaster Recovery ) was passed, ($1.6 billion ) was being made available for housing until 2026. Now we are hearing that FEMA is communicating with people and saying, ‘Hey, oh, no, no. You have got to pay.’”
From CBS News. “Roberto Covarrubias and his family of six have lived in Altadena, California, for 10 years. Their American dream had four bedrooms, four bathrooms and 2,400 square feet. But disaster struck when the Eaton Fire swept through their neighborhood. Now they’re facing a second disaster — a financial one. ‘You’re underinsured when it comes to the policy, there’s clearly not going to be enough to make you whole again,’ said Alex Traslavina, a state-insured, independent insurance adjuster hired by fire victims to negotiate with insurance companies. Although Covarrubias’ homeowners insurance policy covers more than $1 million in losses, it won’t be enough.”
“‘Based off your numbers, it’s anywhere between $500,000 to $1 million short,’ Traslavina said. Traslavina estimates that many of the residents who lost their homes in the Los Angeles-area fires are underinsured, meaning the total cost of rebuilding will outpace what their insurance policies can afford them. For some victims, the loss is both total and totally out of pocket. Nationally, 12% of American homeowners have no home insurance, according to the Insurance Information Institute. With premiums soaring, many of them dropped their coverage, rolled the dice and lost big in the disaster.”
“After Colorado’s Marshall Fire in 2021, a roughly $2 billion disaster, an estimated three-fourths of victims discovered they were underinsured. ‘If your home is completely destroyed, it’s very difficult for most insurance policies to cover the complete rebuild of a property. So there’s a second layer of revictimization,’ said Dr. Jeremy Porter, who studies property values after natural disasters. That’s where Covarrubias finds himself. His savings now compete with a million dollars in uninsured losses.”
From KSL.com. “Beckie Gregg picked up her new puppy after her ex had walked out on her and Zoe followed her from Panguitch to her new home in Tropic, Garfield County. Gregg was renting the home in a program put on by Utah Housing Corporation called CROWN, for credits-to-own, that allowed low-income renters to build up equity in the homes they rented for 15 years and then have the opportunity to buy them and earn the equity. But three years later that water would resurface as a much bigger issue when it was finally time to buy her home. A home inspector found puddles of murky water pooled around the base of the foundation, so she asked Utah Housing for an engineer to look at it. She worried she wouldn’t be able to get a loan on the home.”
“The good news, they were told, was that a new nonprofit wanted to buy the homes and would still offer the renters the chance to buy the homes from the new owner. Gregg found out that was not true — after she lost the opportunity to close on her home. She was 70 then and now is a 74-year-old renter uncertain how she will stay in the home into the future. Tammy Bowman was another frustrated renter in the program. ‘They stole our equity and they didn’t give us the opportunity to go forward,’ she said. David Damschen, Utah Housing’s president, is the former state treasurer. He said selling the homes to the nonprofit was the agency’s Plan B. Plan A was always to sell to the renters. ‘We’re planning for Plan A, we want to create homeowners,’ Damschen said. ‘And then we get into year 15, 16 and we’ve got to fish or cut bait.'”
“‘I do not have any family. I am really struggling, still having to work, to pay rent on a house that was supposed to be mine, supposed to be my safety net,’ Gregg wrote in an email.”
The New Haven Independent in Connecticut. “For the first time in more than two decades, a vacant lot and an incomplete apartment building on Winchester Avenue are no longer controlled by NFL cornerback-turned-housing developer Kenny Hill. Last Wednesday, Stormfield Capital Funding I LLC filed a certificate of strict foreclosure for those properties on the city land records. The 12-unit apartment building at 201 Winchester, meanwhile, has received a partial certificate of occupancy for its residential units, according to city spokesperson Lenny Speiller. But, when the Independent swung by Monday morning, the property appeared to be unfinished and empty. Hill declined an interview with the Independent in July 2022. He did say at the time that he hoped to resume construction at 201 and 235 Winchester, and said he had lost millions of dollars ‘trying to do good things for the city. There is a lot of nonsense going on downtown. I have gotten totally screwed.'”
The Bay Observer in Canada. “Plans for a twin tower condo development on the site of Philpott Memorial Church appear to have hit a snag. The congregation of Philpott have asked the city for more time to conclude a deal with the builder, Empire homes to secure the property. The condo market is in a significant slump at present with lenders backing away from projects, amid a glut of units on the market and purchasers unwilling to pay the current market prices. At Hamilton General Issue Committee this week, Mike Collins-Williams of the West End Homebuilders predicted a difficult year for his industry. The congregation planned to use the proceeds from the sale of the church to relocate into more modern quarters on King Street. The developer presented expert evidence that the building was not salvageable, and instead, proposed the incorporation of some architectural features into the proposed development.”
The Delta Optimist in Canada. “Let’s do a throwback to see how house prices really shot through the roof over the past few years, making owning a single-family house simply out of reach for many. The 2020 year-end numbers by from the Greater Vancouver Realtors (GVR), and Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVRB) indicated another robust year, despite COVID-19. The REBGV noted that residential home sales in the region that year saw a 22.1 per cent increase from the sales recorded in 2019. A single-family house in Ladner in December of 2020 had a benchmark of $1,070,000, a 14.7 per cent increase from December 2019, while the benchmark for a house in Tsawwassen was $1,200,000, up 12.7 per cent from the previous year. Over the decade, the benchmark for a house in Ladner had increased just over 87 per cent, and just over 105 per cent in Tsawwassen.”
“Ten years earlier, in December 2014, the benchmark price for a house in Ladner was $658,500, and it was $772,300 for Tsawwassen. Today, although the market cooled and prices over the past couple of years have stabilized, house prices are now at a level making it difficult for many to enter the market. According to a Metro Vancouver report, the region had seen an increasing gap between incomes and housing costs, as over the past 20 years the ratio of home prices to income increased dramatically. Before the year 2000, the sale price of a two-storey detached home was around 3.2 times the median annual household income, but by 2015, the cost of an average home was more than 19 times higher than income, the Metro report noted.”
GB News in the UK. “Luxury homes across London’s commuter belt are selling for around £150,000 below their asking prices, marking a dramatic shift in the property market. Sale prices for properties worth £1million or more in the home counties fell by nine per cent on average last year, according to a new report from Investec. Carlos Mendes, a private banker at Investec, said buyers ‘were able to secure some great deals last year, with average reductions of over £150,000 compared to their initial listing price.’ Kent has emerged as the hardest-hit area, with luxury properties selling for 9.7 per cent below asking prices – equivalent to a reduction of £156,344. Hertfordshire homeowners fared slightly better, though still faced significant losses, with properties selling for £133,333 less than their initial listing prices.”
“Jamie Freeman of Haringtons UK said: ‘While some sellers remain overly ambitious, listing properties at inflated prices, the buying frenzy of 2021 and 2022 – when homes often sold overnight with ease – has subsided. The home counties will always appeal to buyers but the days of dizzying price highs are firmly behind us. The market is now settling into a more balanced and realistic phase.’ Nigel Bishop, of buying agency Recoco Property Search, offered insight into seller behaviour, noting: ‘We have seen some sellers who, after failing to sell last year, are now more driven to close a deal and therefore more willing to lower their asking price.'”
The View in Australia. “The number of homes for sale is on the rise, giving buyers a better position to get in the market. Listing numbers have risen across major capital cities including Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane according to latest data from CoreLogic. ‘Melbourne is a firm buyers market and Hobart is also still a buyers market but we are starting to see stock levels adjust there,’ said CoreLogic’s Head of Reseach Eliza Owen. The country’s most expensive housing market and strong performer Sydney is also undergoing change. ‘For Sydney, which is more of an emerging buyers market we’re really starting to see a loosening up.'”
“While the news that markets such as Sydney are now starting to turn a corner buyers agent Michelle May said getting a better deal today depended on the type of home you were interested and in what part of the city. She said that for higher density apartments ‘the tide had well and truly turned.’ ‘What I’ve been seeing is more investor property coming onto the market , the newer apartments are selling for less than what they paid for a number of years ago,’ she said.
The first article is about Hallandale Beach, Florida.
Hallandale Beach, Florida.
I lived near Hallandale Beach FL 20 years ago and there were lots and lots of Canadians living there then. I have been wondering when the Canadians would have to start selling due to resets on their primary homes. Looks like that is finally starting to happen.
I expect o see that lots of Canadians selling their AZ homes in the near future. Lots and lots of Canadians were in Yuma 15 years ago and guessing there still are.
‘Before the year 2000, the sale price of a two-storey detached home was around 3.2 times the median annual household income, but by 2015, the cost of an average home was more than 19 times higher than income’
That’s some sound lending right there.
Canada is not running around the planet playing referee to religious wars like the U.S., so why is their government creating inflation via easy credit policies, which is destroying their middle-class?
As the K-dn central banker said about igloo prices during minor respiratory illness, ‘we need the growth.’
‘That’s where Covarrubias finds himself. His savings now compete with a million dollars in uninsured losses’
It was still way cheaper than renting Bob.
Most of these houses in cali were just regular suburbia homes, built a long time ago (60’s/70’s/80’s). It doesn’t cost a million bucks (even in cali) to slap up a 3/2 on a tiny lot. Yeah, your possessions aren’t ever going to equal what you paid for them, but they aren’t brand new either so they aren’t worth much.
And you still got foundation, water and gas taps, etc, stuff that costs a LOT to put in. No way, even in Cali you couldn’t put up a 3/2 on an existing foundation for under half a million. It’s not like there’s a ton of debris to haul away either. bunch of ashes
yeah, sure the big houses of movie stars and stuff, those are gonna cost a few million bucks to replace and are probably under-insured, but regular houses? by regular people? (who have probably lived in them for years and years) probably not.
I think part of he problem is that the replacement construction will have to meet all sorts of new requirements. Say like mandatory solar panels or EV charging stations in the garage. And I’ll bet that pricey environmental impact reports will be needed, plus exorbitant permit fees, etc. I recall reading that some infrastructure in the Marshall fire (in Colorado) was ruined and would need to be replaced. meaning the old stuff would have t ripped out.
Still, the cost is ridiculous. I wonder how many will take the net proceeds from the insurance money and just leave for greener and cheaper pastures in another state. Of course, if one has a sweet gooberment job with the state one might think twice before leaving, as those jobs will be next to impossible to replace.
yea I don’t get that high price to rebuild either, the land is worth half the home value according to my tax bill.
I was thinking the same thing. If they are uninsured, then just build a smaller home to begin with (3/2) and add on as you’re able to.
Realtors are liars.
New home inventory is piling up out West, and in a big way. And don look for it on your favorite real estate site. You’ll get about 3 or 4 listings out of every development when there’s actually 10 to 20 unsold homes and piling up. Currently the clever trick is to continue to list at last summers pricing. But watch the closings. Locally they’re closing 50k to 100k off list price.
From today’s MarketWatch article…
“The number of newly built homes for sale on the market is at the highest level since 2009.
Home builders are having a hard time finding buyers, and they’re upping discounts and perks in an attempt to sell more.”
If you told someone 30 years ago that this would actually become real they wouldn’t believe you and would think you are crazy. And yes, federal income taxes.
HuffPaint — Trans Women Notified Of Removal From Women’s Prisons Days After Trump’s ‘Two Sexes’ Executive Order (1/27/2025):
“Several trans women incarcerated in federal women’s facilities have been moved into isolation and notified they will be transferred to men’s facilities, advocates told HuffPost. The women were moved in the days following President Donald Trump’s signing of a sweeping executive order that redefines sex and excludes transgender people from sex discrimination protections.
The order, signed during Trump’s first few hours in office, declared there are only “two sexes, male and female” and called on government officials to ensure that no transgender women are in women’s detention centers and that no federal funds are used to provide gender-affirming care to incarcerated people.”
Gender-affirming care, a thing that doesn’t exist, and is as relevant to actual medicine as leeches, bleeding out patients, lobotomies, 19th century patent medicines, etc.
“You can’t just wave your hand or sign an executive order to limit or take away these protections,” Richard Saenz, a criminal justice attorney at Lambda Legal, told HuffPost. “My personal fear as an attorney who represents and works with incarcerated people is that this will put so many people in harm’s way. It feels like the president is saying that it is OK to villainize and marginalize specific populations, which is just wrong.”
In 1976, the U.S. Supreme Court held that the Eighth Amendment requires prison authorities to provide adequate medical care for prisoners’ serious medical conditions. To prove a constitutional violation, individuals have to show they have a serious medical need and that prison officials demonstrated “deliberate indifference” to that need.
Over the past 30 years, federal courts in nearly every judicial circuit have recognized that for trans people, gender-affirming treatment is a “serious medical need,” Lewis said. Blanket bans on gender-affirming medical care and so-called “freeze-frame policies” — which allow hormone therapy only for trans people who were already receiving it before entering prison — have been struck down by federal courts, although two circuit courts of appeal have held that blanket bans do not violate the Constitution. The issue has not yet made its way to the Supreme Court.”
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/transgender-woman-sues-trump-administration-removal-womens-prison_n_67982285e4b038f1c403eafe
Democrat Party has controlled the White House for 12 of the past 16 years, this is TheScience™ you are ordered to believe.
It’s Marxism.
Is now a good time to buy the dip in NVDIA and other chip stocks? Of course it is. Back up the truck, people, these stocks may never go on sale again!
The Ratings Game
Nvidia and other chip stocks are bouncing. Is now the time to buy?
Multiple analysts saw Monday’s sharp semiconductor pullbacks as overdone. One said they could prove ‘a buying opportunity in hindsight once the dust settles.’
By Emily Bary
Published: Jan. 28, 2025 at 9:02 a.m. ET
Fears about DeepSeek shaved about $600 billion off Nvidia’s market cap on Monday. The stock is bouncing on Tuesday. Photo: Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
Many semiconductor stocks are bouncing on Tuesday following a sharp selloff on fears about Chinese artificial-intelligence startup DeepSeek.
There’s still fervent debate on Wall Street on how DeepSeek’s advancements will impact the red-hot semiconductor sector. DeepSeek was able to build an AI model in a more cost-effective way than people had imagined. Does that mean companies will need far less computing hardware than expected, or will it fuel an explosion of AI demand now that the technology is becoming more accessible?
…
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nvidia-and-other-chip-stocks-are-set-to-bounce-is-now-the-time-to-buy-e8eace02
Investors are flocking back to bonds for safety as DeepSeek sends risks spiraling
Filip De Mott
Jan 27, 2025, 11:38 AM PST
– The 10-year Treasury yield hit its lowest level of the year as stocks plunged on Monday.
– Fears about a new AI tool from China are sending investors to safe havens.
– The Fed’s policy meeting this week is also likely to affect the bond market.
China’s DeepSeek AI tool ignited a panic on Wall Street on Monday, sparking a race for safety as investors assessed fresh risks to tech-sector dominance.
US Treasury yields fell steeply as investors fled to safe-haven trades, seeking shelter from the massive fall in stock prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury rate dropped early on Monday by as much as 10 basis points, to 4.5%, marking its lowest level this year.
“This suggests that investors are putting the proceeds of dumped stocks straight into the bond market for now,” David Morrison, a senior market analyst at Trade Nation, said in written commentary. “It could also imply that equities could have more downside, given opportunists don’t appear to be in any rush to buy at cheaper levels.”
…
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/treasury-bond-yields-deepseek-ai-tech-stock-magnificent-7-fed-2025-1
“… Fears about a new AI tool from China are sending investors to safe havens….”
Interesting to see stocks such as NVDA or AVGO drop nearly 20% (hundreds of billions in market cap) in a single day.
A real litmus test as to how much hysteria FMO / speculation there really is in some of these AI centric equites.
Can the housing markets be far behind?
“Can the housing markets be far behind?”
Yes. The same market adjustment that can play out over days or months in the stock market can require years to play out in the housing market, due to illiquidity and the lack of a central exchange.
The slow motion train wreck is rounding the grade and heading faster and faster downhill..
Here is an interesting quote from todays HBB posting
“….We feel that the market is going to collapse pretty soon … People are panicking now….’”
Of course, no one could of seen it coming (except the HBB and its readers).
As a sidebar, just wait until those burned out in the recent California wildfires find that they are grossly under insured (some estimates 80%) and that its going to take many years before any meaningful re-construction can begin. The term “fire sales” of distressed properties are going to take on a whole new meaning.
Does it seem like Wall Street’s memory cycle is under 24 hours long now. Drugs will do that…
Are you a risk asset investor who suffers from amnesia?
Business
Stock market today: Nvidia and other tech stocks win back some of Monday’s sharp losses
The New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Jan. 27, 2025, in New York. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
By STAN CHOE
Updated 2:31 PM PST, January 28, 2025
NEW YORK (AP) — Rebounding tech stocks drove U.S. indexes higher Tuesday, a day after they tumbled on doubts about whether the artificial-intelligence frenzy really needs all the dollars being poured into it.
The S&P 500 climbed 0.9% to claw back more than half of its earlier drop. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 136 points, or 0.3%, and the Nasdaq composite rallied 2% after sliding 3.1 % the day before.
The spotlight remained on Nvidia, whose chips are powering much of the move into AI and whose stock has become a symbol of the surrounding frenzy. It rose 8.8% after plunging nearly 17% the day before, which was its worst drop since the 2020 COVID crash.
Other AI-related companies also held steadier, including chip company Broadcom, which rose 2.6%. Constellation Energy picked up 1.4% after plummeting nearly 21% on Monday. It had earlier rallied on expectations it will help supply the electricity that vast AI data centers would gobble up.
Such revenues are threatened after DeepSeek, a Chinese company, said it was able to develop a large language model that can perform as well as big U.S. rivals but at a fraction of the cost. That raises questions about whether all the spending expected for AI chips and electricity will need to happen.
…
https://apnews.com/article/stock-markets-technology-ai-rates-trump-99e7eabd9e71dfe8f3cd37d8afecdf77
“Constellation Energy picked up 1.4% after plummeting nearly 21% on Monday. It had earlier rallied on expectations it will help supply the electricity that vast AI data centers would gobble up.”
That may be a piece of evidence that dead cats actually don’t bounce.
10,000 Federal Workers Could Be Headed Back To DTLA Offices After Trump Order
President Donald Trump’s day-one executive order that federal workers return to full-time, in-person work could give a boost to Downtown Los Angeles foot traffic.
There are an estimated 10,000 federal workers based in Downtown and if they were to come back into the office every day, their presence could help build momentum for a wider, private sector return to Downtown’s office towers, The Real Deal reported.
Some of the federal government’s office space is at Deka Immobilien’s 915 Wilshire Boulevard, where it occupies roughly 140K SF or approximately one-third of the property. The government occupies another 94K SF at EY Plaza.
“The president is following in the footsteps of J.P. Morgan and Amazon,” Newmark co-Head of Capital Markets Kevin Shannon told TRD.
“The trend is clearly headed in this direction,” Shannon said. “Three days per week will become four days and then five.”
https://www.bisnow.com/los-angeles/news/office/10000-federal-workers-could-be-headed-back-to-dtla-offices-after-trump-order-127739
“There are an estimated 10,000 federal workers based in Downtown”
That’s amazing. It’s hard to deny the Pandemic is over.
The Office Personnel Management (OPM) just sent out a Gov-wide email saying basically this [paraphrase]: “You will return to the physical office 5 days/week, even if you are a remote worker. If you don’t like it, here’s a template resignation letter for you. If you resign by Feb 6, you can telework until September 30 after which time good-bye.”
At least in the short term, this memo will likely go nowhere. The exec order can’t touch existing bargaining agreements; only a law from Congress can do that. So teleworking will go on as usual. However, when the CBAs are up for renewal, agencies and departments can negotiate to remove telework.
I think that this letter is an initial sweep of the federal workforce. They want to see how many people will resign in disgust.
The exec order can’t touch existing bargaining agreements
From over here, it doesn’t look like such a sure thing.
The executive order says “in accordance with applicable law.” Applicable law recognizes the current agency-specific collective bargaining agreements for the full term. The EO doesn’t apply until it’s time to renew the individual CBAs.
The place to watch is Congress. They could pass a new law, which requires new telework terms and demands that all CBA be immediately renegotiated and renewed. In that case, no more wiggle room. See you in the office.
On a related note, 1/3 of the federal workforce is old enough to retire. I think we’re going to see massive retirements in the next few months. The senior folks got very spoiled by telework and they would rather bow out than go back to commuting.
Abolish the CFPB
Picture this: a government agency that operates with little accountability, spends taxpayers’ money without congressional oversight, and enforces regulations based on flimsy theories about consumer behavior. That’s the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), an institution so misguided in both mission and execution that it does not deserve mere reform—it should be abolished outright.
Heralded as the savior of consumers after the 2008 financial crisis, the CFPB has instead become a regulatory monster that stifles innovation and drives up costs for the very people it claims to protect.
When the CFPB was created, Congress transferred authority to it for approximately 50 existing rules and orders coming from 20 different statutes. For fiscal year 2024, it has an estimated budget of $762.9 million, a 9.5 percent increase from the previous year. The agency’s funding structure allows it to operate independently of the congressional appropriations process: The bureau’s budget is funded through transfers from the Federal Reserve System.
This funding mechanism has been a point of contention, with critics pointing out that it grants the agency excessive autonomy and insufficient accountability. In October 2022, the Fifth Circuit Court ruled the funding structure unconstitutional, but the U.S. Supreme Court reversed this decision in May 2024.
The CFPB isn’t just unaccountable—it’s practically untouchable. Because it receives its funding directly from the Federal Reserve rather than from Congress, it operates outside the normal checks and balances that keep most government entities in line. The agency isn’t even required to comply with Office of Management and Budget guidelines. Even the agency’s leadership structure was designed to concentrate power: Until the Supreme Court stepped in, it was headed by a single director with sweeping authority and little oversight.
What was the CFPB given all this power to do? In theory, it is to protect and empower consumers, promote fair and competitive markets, and stabilize the financial system. In practice, it has reduced access to credit cards for lower-income consumers and jacked up bank fees and mortgage costs. CFPB bureaucrats also love price controls and excessive regulations, and they despise financial arrangements that they view as unconventional.
At the heart of the CFPB’s misguided decisions is its leaders’ apparent belief that consumers are helpless, irrational beings incapable of making good financial decisions without bureaucratic intervention. Armed with this condescending mindset, the CFPB justifies heavy-handed regulations based on what George Mason University professor Todd Zywicki calls “trendy behavioral-economics theories to ‘nudge’ consumers toward decisions central planners favor.” The CFPB dreams up consumer biases and creates rules to fix problems that often don’t even exist. Instead of relying on empirical evidence of actual harm, the CFPB crafts policies based on theoretical assumptions.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/abolish-the-cfpb/ar-AA1xXkhM
Immigration officers are operating with a new sense of mission. Now, ‘nobody gets a free pass’
SILVER SPRING, Md. (AP) — A week into Donald Trump’s second presidency and his efforts to crack down on illegal immigration, federal officers are operating with a new sense of mission, knowing that “nobody gets a free pass anymore.”
A dozen officers from Immigration and Customs Enforcement gathered before dawn Monday in a Maryland parking lot, then fanned out to the Washington suburbs to find their targets: someone wanted in El Salvador for homicide, a person convicted of armed robbery, a migrant found guilty of possessing child sexual abuse material and another with drug and gun convictions. All were in the country illegally.
“The worst go first,” Matt Elliston, director of ICE’s Baltimore field office, said of the agency’s enforcement priorities.
That is no different from the Biden administration, but a big change has already taken hold: Under Trump, officers can now arrest people without legal status if they run across them while looking for migrants targeted for removal. Under Joe Biden, such “collateral arrests” were banned.
The number of collateral arrests has fluctuated, he said. By the end of Monday across Maryland, ICE had arrested 13 people. Of those, nine were targets and the other four were people ICE came across during the course of the morning.
Of those “collaterals,” one had an aggravated theft conviction. Another had already been deported once, and two others had final orders of removal.
But getting rid of the sensitive locations policy does affect ICE in more subtle ways.
For example, at one point Monday, the team stopped at a parking lot in hopes of catching a Venezuelan gang member who was believed to be working as a delivery driver at a nearby business. Across the street was a church, and one street over was an elementary school, which under the previous guidance would have made it off limits to do surveillance.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/immigration-officers-say-the-worst-go-first-but-now-theres-no-free-pass/ar-AA1xYCOC
Silver Spring is illegal central, probably 80% Central American. When they finish their “worst go first” policy, there’s plenty more.
The lessons for Canada, Mexico, and China from Trump’s 10-hour trade war against Colombia
President Donald Trump hit send on a Truth Social post at 1:28 p.m. ET Sunday that seemed to be the start of 25% tariffs on Colombia.
But it was all apparently over about 10 hours later, with White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt saying the South American nation “has agreed to all of President Trump’s terms.”
The abbreviated trade war holds several important lessons for how future conflicts might unfold ahead of a key Saturday deadline for tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.
It showed that Trump intends to use a strategy of threatening tariffs first and then asking policy questions later, with some of the core issues with Colombia apparently still to be hammered out.
It also confirmed that his administration aims to use a much-watched tariff authority from a 1977 law that grants the president the power to declare an economic emergency and act quickly to achieve its ends.
Lastly, the episode made clear that the president has free tariff rein.
Capitol Hill’s “Republican conference, despite mostly still declaring themselves as ‘free traders’ will not stand in the way of Trump imposing tariffs via executive order, without input from Congress,” said Henrietta Treyz of Veda Partners in a note about the standoff.
The overall picture, noted Capitol Economics in a Monday morning note, is that Trump’s first week in office “has poured some cold water on the idea, still lurking in some parts of the market, that the threat to impose tariffs was bluster.”
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-lessons-for-canada-mexico-and-china-from-trumps-10-hour-trade-war-against-colombia-152446064.html
But it was all apparently over about 10 hours later, with White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt saying the South American nation “has agreed to all of President Trump’s terms.”
Sounds like the hacienda lords, e.g., the coffee cartel sent a memo to Gustavo Petro, or else!
And the cut roses – right before Valentines day. They produce something like 80% of the world supply.
I thought it was over in 45 minutes, not 10 hours.
I think that what is frightening all these countries is how prepared Trump was for this. This wasn’t the usual quick Trump trolling on Twitter and Truth. 100%, I think he had a dozen of these tariff memos ready-to-go, specific to each country. The moment one of them refused, 47 picked the appropriate memo and blasted it out. They must be thinking: What else does this guy have planned? America is back, baby!
Canada’s steel industry moving up shipments, postponing investment in advance of possible Trump tariffs
Canada’s steel industry is preparing to cushion the blow from American tariffs that may be imposed this weekend, including potentially moving up shipments into the United States.
U.S. President Donald Trump said after his inauguration that his threat of blanket 25-per-cent tariffs on Canadian goods could begin on Saturday.
Canada’s steel industry is no stranger to facing the wrath of Mr. Trump. During his first term, he imposed 25-per-cent tariffs on imports of Canadian steel and kept them in place for nearly a year.
The tariffs imposed in May, 2018, took a heavy toll on the domestic steel industry: Exports to the U.S. quickly fell by 38 per cent. A year later, the value of Canadian steel exports had fallen to its lowest level in almost a decade.
The tariffs imposed in May, 2018, took a heavy toll on the domestic steel industry: Exports to the U.S. quickly fell by 38 per cent. A year later, the value of Canadian steel exports had fallen to its lowest level in almost a decade.
This time around, steel producers are pro-actively taking measures to minimize the pain. Francois Desmarais, vice-president, trade and industry affairs with the Canadian Steel Producers Association, said companies are moving up shipments into the U.S. in an attempt to book as much revenue as possible ahead of the potential tariffs.
Companies are also looking at pausing new investment, and taking a look at their product mixes to see if something can be adjusted to minimize the possible financial damage. Canadian steel makers produce a wide range of products including blocks, pipes, rebars, coil and billets.
“Just the threat of tariffs creates quite a lot of disruption in our industry,” Mr. Desmarais said.
The domestic steel sector is highly dependent on the U.S., with 99 per cent of Canada’s exports going there. The industry has little option to sell to other countries because a global glut caused by Chinese overproduction means no other countries will buy Canadian steel, Mr. Desmarais said.
Zekelman Industries, the largest independent steel pipe and tube manufacturer in North America, is hoping for the best but is prepared for a hit in the event Mr. Trump moves ahead on tariffs. The privately-held company is the largest buyer of flat rolled steel in North America, with annual sales in excess of US$5-billion. Zekelman Industries has 22 plants in the U.S., but its plant in Canada is one of its biggest.
U.S. tariffs “would create a lot of chaos and service aspects to our customers. It would affect purchases of steel here, within Canada, and it would have effects on our work force,” said Barry Zekelman, the company’s chief executive.
But Mr. Zekelman is optimistic that Mr. Trump won’t end up targeting the Canadian steel industry. That’s in large part because the U.S. already wrung significant concessions out of Canada as part of the talks that culminated in the 2019 removal of tariffs by both countries on their steel sectors.
Canada has also mostly been abiding by the terms of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which includes monitoring for disruptive surges in import volumes in the steel sector.
“Mexico is probably the bigger fish to fry,” Mr. Zekelman said.
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-canadas-steel-industry-moving-up-shipments-postposing-investment-in/
Organization representing Alberta doctors says provincial COVID report is ‘anti-science’
The organization representing Alberta physicians is calling out a government panel’s COVID-19 report as “anti-science.”
Dr. Shelley Duggan, head of the Alberta Medical Association, says the report sows distrust by going against proven preventive health measures while promoting fringe methods.
She says the report is “anti-science and anti-evidence,” and its recommendations have the potential to cause harm.
“It advances misinformation. It speaks against the broadest and most diligent international scientific collaboration and consensus in history,” she said in a statement Monday.
Duggan said in an interview the vast majority of studies show that the COVID vaccines are safe and that they prevented a lot of deaths during the pandemic.
She added that misinformation has real consequences, pointing to concerns about vaccine hesitancy at time of measles and other outbreaks.
“When we have another pandemic, we are going to need the public to be able to trust the science that we are giving them,” she said.
Her predecessor at the medical association, Dr. Paul Parks, said on social media that the report was “fully a slap in the face” to all the health-care workers who struggled to care for Albertans during the pandemic.
Alberta NDP Leader Naheed Nenshi called the report “authoritarian” and “quackery.”
“Does [Danielle Smith] believe in this kooky stuff, or was she pandering to an audience?” he said in an interview.
“The review of this report is pretty straightforward: throw it in the trash.”
Dr. Gary Davidson, who led the review, was the former head of emergency medicine for the province’s central zone and chief of the emergency department at Red Deer Regional Hospital.
Appearing on a podcast Friday, Davidson said there is no such thing as consensus in science. “Science is about questioning everything, experimenting and proving whether it’s true or not,” he said.
The Canadian Press was unable to reach Davidson for comment Monday, but the government provided a written statement from him.
“I’m proud that Alberta’s government had the courage to review the data and decision-making we relied upon for our COVID-19 response and trust that these recommendations will help ensure that Alberta better protects the health, well-being and rights of Albertans during the next public health emergency.”
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-organization-representing-alberta-doctors-says-provincial-covid-report/
LA relied on teen volunteers for years despite fire chief’s warning, but leaders can’t be sued: lawyer
Los Angeles Fire Chief Kristin Crowley warned board members in writing two years ago that her department needed to create a pair of fully staffed crews dedicated to clearing brush and maintaining wildfire lines to bolster the part-time team it had, consisting of mostly young volunteers.
But despite her plea for funding, the City Council authorized only a fraction of it and hiring stalled, caught up in the red tape of L.A. bureaucracy, according to a new report.
While some residents have sued the government over alleged missteps that played a role in the expansion of the devastating wildfires this month, residents have little recourse beyond electing new city leadership, according to a local lawyer whose clients include homeowners looking elsewhere for relief after the fires leveled their communities.
“It’s a political disaster and may result in Bass being recalled,” Neama Rahmani, a Los Angeles-based attorney who is representing multiple local clients in lawsuits in the aftermath of the destruction, said about Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass. “But there is nothing that can be done legally.”
Despite the missed warning, city leaders are likely immune from civil litigation under state laws that protect authorities from liability, Rahmani said.
“Government entities have broad immunity under the Government Code and can’t be sued for failing to prevent fires,” he told Fox News Digital. “The lawsuits against the City and DWP will be dismissed.”
“The one significant area of weakness in our arsenal is that of a regularly staffed wildland hand crew,” Crowley wrote to the Los Angeles Board of Fire Commissioners, asking for a full-time staff of professionals. The city had been relying on mutual aid from the state and county, both of which had staffing shortages, and a volunteer “Cadet Crew” that consisted mostly of teens and young adults led by active firefighters.
“The wildland hand crew is the make-or-break resource in ensuring fire lines are strong and secure,” she added. “Without this resource methodically creating and supporting [a] fire line on a wildland fire, weakness in the line can mean the [difference] in containment or out of control spread.”
The Cadet Crew met twice a week with between 10 and 26 people, working on labor-intensive projects like clearing brush. The program was designed to train future firefighters, and as a result, suffered high turnover as members were hired into the department and transferred to other units, Crowley wrote.
“The LAFD will need to expand staffing to meet the demands of a new normal, year-long fire season and a rapidly decreasing availability of mutual aid/auto aid Hand Crews State wide,” she wrote.
She urged the board to create two new hand crews, staffed with a handful of firefighters and dozens of paid fire suppression aids that would cover the city for seven days a week. She asked for $7 million to get it done, with nearly $4 million for salaries and the rest for a fleet of vehicles to carry them to the front lines over rugged terrain.
While some of the money has been approved and hiring is underway, the crews are reportedly not yet operational.
While city officials may be safe from legal repercussions, separate lawsuits against insurance companies and those who may have been responsible for igniting the wildfires remain on the table, Rahmani said.
“The only real viable case is against Edison,” he told Fox News Digital.
Southern California Edison, a utility company, is facing several lawsuits alleging that its equipment helped start the Eaton Fire, which has scorched northern parts of Los Angeles County, including Altadena. Rahmani’s firm is involved in the litigation against the utility and is also representing victims with insurance claims and seeking aid from government programs pro bono, he said.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/public-safety-and-emergencies/health-and-safety-alerts/la-relied-on-teen-volunteers-for-years-despite-fire-chief-s-warning-but-leaders-can-t-be-sued-lawyer/ar-AA1xW3wr
Los Angeles wildfires exposed the failings of California’s leadership
Gov. Gavin Newsom and Democratic lawmakers are sure to lecture us again this session about the need to step up our efforts to combat climate change. Here’s a fun fact you can use to counter them, courtesy of University of Chicago research: 2020’s wildfires emitted “close to double (the state’s) emissions reductions achieved over 16 years.”
That’s right, one wildfire year obliterated decades of costly, painstaking efforts to reduce our carbon-dioxide emissions. And 2020’s fires were far less severe than the horrific ones we’ve recently witnessed in the Los Angeles area. We get wildfires nearly every year, which are constantly incinerating our climate goals. So there’s no need to argue over climate science, something – if we’re honest with ourselves – few of us know much about.
But any midwit can realize the state’s $54-billion climate-action budgets, $100-billion-plus effort to build a bullet train and policies to outlaw internal-combustion engines are for naught if it doesn’t get serious about wildfire prevention. California emits an almost imperceptible amount of the Earth’s emissions (thank you, India and China!), but whatever cutbacks we make are literally going up in smoke.
California should, then, follow a University of Chicago conclusion: “Wildfire emissions need to be a key part of climate policy if California is going to meet its emission reduction goals.” Instead, Newsom and company use climate change as an excuse, suggesting in essence that their hands are tied until we reverse the Earth’s climate trajectory.
In their view, increased heat is leading to more wildfires so the state should double down on its policies to reduce emissions. They have it roughly backwards. State policy makers need to embrace policies that control wildfires, which are rendering useless our climate agenda. But to do so would expose state leaders for their incompetence.
I’m not talking about their specific reactions to the latest fires, although Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass’ deer-in-the-headlights response to a reporter’s questions as she exited a plane from Ghana will surely be a “what not to” example in crisis-public-relations training. I’m referring to the confluence of years-in-the-making California policies that have exacerbated the wildfires and the state’s response to them.
First, the Newsom administration has talked on occasion about the need to step up brush clearance to remove the tinder. True to form, he hasn’t done much about it other than earmark some dollars. The state clears maybe 125,000 acres of brush from its 19 million acres of forest (plus another 14 million that are federally owned). The state requires multiple lengthy approvals for forest-clearing projects and impedes property owners who want to fire-harden their homes.
Second, the state shrugs at its water problems. Water is only tangentially related to the fires, but had it built additional reservoirs to trap more water during storm years it might have kept the hydrants from running dry. The California Coastal Commission rejected a privately funded desalination plant in Orange County. Newsom continues to delay on water-infrastructure projects. His anti-fossil-fuel campaign makes it tough for water districts to get generator permits to help move water around.
The LA nightmare also raised an issue involving something homeowners desperately need but rarely think about: insurance. In 1988, California voters approved Proposition 103, which created a prior-approval system whereby the insurance commissioner (which then became an elected official) had to approve rate changes. Elected officials typically campaign to “protect” consumers and the rate-review process morphed into a long, bureaucratic process.
Over decades, insurers were unable to adjust prices to reflect their risks, so they quietly (and then not-so-quietly) exited the state rather than risk shareholders to uncontrollable risks. Even after this turned into a crisis several years ago, state officials slow-walked some solid reforms that finally let insurers use forward –looking catastrophe models.
They went into effect right before the fires hit, so all bets are off whether they’re enough to save the system. Meanwhile, the state-created insurer of last resort, the FAIR (Fair Access to Insurance Requirements) Plan is overburdened and could collapse. These are self-inflicted problems that Newsom and legislators have known about for years.
A quick note about firefighting budgets, which now are under the microscope. No one wants to criticize firefighters so most analysts neglect eye-popping salaries earned by these LA-area public employees. You’ll see plenty of annual compensation packages above a half-million dollars, and one as high as $900,000. If agencies based pay on market conditions rather than union power, they could obviously hire more firefighters.
Finally, the fires reinforced the difficulty in building – or rebuilding – anything in this state. Newsom was right to suspend California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and Coastal Act rules, but he knows these rules impede everything and have done so for decades.
Why has there been no appetite for fixing these problems before disaster strikes? In fact, why hasn’t the state dealt with any of these festering problems? That’s the $150-billion question.
https://www.rstreet.org/commentary/los-angeles-wildfires-exposed-the-failings-of-californias-leadership/
DeepSeek just revealed a huge risk to the stock market
Grace L. Williams
Updated Tue, January 28, 2025 at 5:36 AM PST 3 min read
…
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/deepseek-just-revealed-a-huge-risk-to-the-stock-market-133601753.html
New York magazine shows progressives are losing the culture war.
https://archive.ph/13lU3
What began as investments by the likes of Peter Thiel in “anti-woke” art festivals and alternative media has evolved into a full-throated youth movement. As this week’s New York magazine cover story explores, this trend has particularly taken off among a subsection of educated urbanites who view progressive orthodoxy as the new establishment to rebel against. The scene today, housed in glamorous DC spots, marks a cultural shift every bit as significant as the transition from Sixties counterculture to Eighties yuppie excess.
As the New York dispatch, written by Brock Colyar, argues, these aren’t the stereotypical MAGA warriors of liberal imagination. They’re young, well-connected, and very online — crypto nerds, influencer e-girls, and what Colyar calls “gays of all stripes”. Many come from liberal backgrounds, including former Bernie Sanders supporters and Joe Biden voters who now see themselves as cultural rebels. They refer to themselves not as Republicans but as members of “the movement”.
Just as Wall Street’s “greed is good” ethos eventually displaced and mocked the earnest idealism of the hippie and New Age generations which preceded it, today’s young Right has learnt to wield irony like a weapon, turning woke-scold pieties into punchlines. The old Left-winger went from being a moral authority to a figure of mockery in less than a decade, and today’s progressive activists are headed for a similar fate.
The money men behind this cultural shift understand exactly what they’re doing. An investment in making “anti-woke” attitudes fashionable, like investments in attacking critical race theory or steering kids away from college, has helped disconnect the next generation from ossified power structures saturated with progressive rhetoric. When Thiel bankrolled early experiments such as the New People’s Cinema Club in 2022, he wasn’t just funding art — he was seeding a movement.
The strategy has worked. When one partygoer tells New York that she’s excited about “rounding up illegals”, the laughter conceals a truth that many progressives find hard to swallow. Recent polling shows 66% of Americans now support deporting illegal immigrants, including shocking numbers of young urban voters who would have rushed to cancel each other for supporting such policies a few years ago. The late conservative tastemaker Andrew Breitbart knew the score: first you change how people talk, then you change how they think, then you change how they vote. Arynne Wexler, a conservative influencer with over a quarter of a million Instagram followers who is quoted in the New York story, has little trouble echoing Breitbart: “Culture is upstream of politics.”
What makes this moment different from previous attempts at conservative cool is that it has authentic cultural credibility. “You can be urban, live in a condo, go to Casa Cipriani, and still be normal and vote for Donald Trump,” according to one partygoer in the New York article. Even institutions that were once reliable bastions of progressivism are adapting. TikTok, long viewed as a Gen-Z liberal stronghold until Donald Trump became an unlikely champion of its continued existence, recently became an official sponsor of conservative influencer events. The platform’s shift mirrors broader changes in youth culture, where transgression against progressive orthodoxy has become its own social currency.
The Left seems to have been caught flat-footed by all this, still operating on an outdated playbook where conservative automatically equals cringe. While Democrats chase celebrity endorsements from ubiquitous but hardly transgressive stars like Taylor Swift and Beyoncé, the Right has built an entire ecosystem of podcasters, artists, and tastemakers who make rebellion against progressivism feel thrilling and new. As one conservative publicist told New York: “MAGA is MTV for Gen Z […] Meanwhile, Democrats sound like ’80s Republicans protesting rap songs.” As with all trends, the tide comes in then goes out.
Of course, this whole scene could implode tomorrow. Movements built on irony and transgression have a way of eating themselves. While the Right’s long-term investment in culture is paying unexpected dividends, the real question is what happens next. What’s particularly striking in New York‘s reporting is how these new conservative influencers relate to Trump himself. He’s their Beyoncé, not their Reagan: more ageing cultural icon than avant-garde messiah. Whether you find all of this thrilling or terrifying probably depends on your politics. Either way, it’s working.
The transformation of American culture in the Eighties showed how quickly seemingly permanent social changes can be reversed when the right combination of money, media, and generational ennui align. Today’s young Right-wingers appear to have not just studied that playbook carefully, but iterated and improved on it. They’re doing something more important than winning elections — they’re winning the culture war by making their opponents look like the establishment squares the Left once mocked. What’s more, they’re discarding the old trappings of this decaying worldview, like DEI programmes, even as they keep the party going.
66% of Americans now support deporting illegal immigrants, including shocking numbers of young urban voters who would have rushed to cancel each other for supporting such policies a few years ago.
This isn’t really the culture shift like they say it is. If we had stayed at, for example, Bush-era levels of immigration of peaceful working illegal immigrants, the culture would still be pro-migrant. But instead, Biden and the globalists pushed their luck and imported too many migrants, too fast. The migrants crashed the cars, burned the subway passengers, swarmed the schools, raped the girls, took the jobs, took the money, and ate the cats. That’s what shifted the culture.
Illegal immigration levels have been far too high for more than 30 years.
Tren de Aragua ‘ringleader’ busted in NYC immigration raids on kidnapping warrant from Aurora, CO
New York Post
53 minutes ago
A violent Tren de Aragua ringleader sought in an infamous, caught-on-camera break-in in Aurora, Colo., was nabbed Tuesday in a dramatic pre-dawn raid in New York City — across from an elementary school, sources said. NY Post reporter Kevin Sheehan shares this story.
Anderson Zambrano-Pacheco, 25, was taken into custody as part of the Trump administration’s first promised immigration raids in the Big Apple, law-enforcement sources told The Post.
He was caught by heavily armed Homeland Security Investigations officers who stormed an Ogden Avenue apartment building in The Bronx in the early hours, the sources said. The building is across the street from PS 11, a k a the Highbridge School.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9OEBxCSVCI
2:36.
[This non-housing related article is from The New York Times, of all places. How amazing is that?]
D.E.I. Will Not Be Missed.
https://archive.ph/fdz2z
In December 2015, the Obama administration decided to allow women to serve in all combat roles. “There will be no exceptions,” Ashton Carter, then the secretary of defense, announced. Women would be accepted as “Army Rangers and Green Berets, Navy SEALs, Marine Corps infantry,” among other demanding roles previously open only to men.
As for physical standards, those would not change: “There must be no quotas or perception thereof,” Carter said.
In some ways, the policy has produced inspiring results. More than 140 women have completed the Army’s elite Ranger School and a few have passed the Marines Corps’ Infantry Officer Course (though none, as yet, has become a SEAL). Women serve with distinction in other combat roles, including as fighter pilots and tank commanders.
In other ways, however, the policy has realized the worst fears of its early critics. While elevating women who meet the same physical standards as their male counterparts, it has also led to an erosion of standards. From the initial laudable goal — equality of opportunity for all, regardless of gender — the military has been sliding toward something else: equality in outcomes. That is what today is usually meant by the word “equity,” at least in the context of diversity, equity and inclusion, or D.E.I.
Take the Army’s efforts to create gender-neutral fitness requirements, known as the Army Combat Fitness Test. The test, developed over a decade, was designed to be rigorous, requiring soldiers of either sex to meet physical standards appropriate to the roles they might perform — with the toughest requirements for jobs like artillery soldiers, which require a lot of muscle.
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But that caused a problem: Women were failing the test at noticeably higher rates, according to a RAND study. Among active-duty enlisted soldiers, the fitness test had a pass rate of 92 percent among men but only 52 percent among women. (Women officers did better, with a pass rate of 72 percent.) Democratic senators, including New York’s Kirsten Gillibrand, were also putting pressure on the Army to delay implementation of the test, arguing, as The Washington Post reported in 2020, that it “could undermine the goal of creating a diverse force.”
The Biden administration yielded to this complaint.
The issue flared in a tense May 2022 exchange in the Senate Armed Services Committee between Christine Wormuth, the Biden administration’s Army secretary, and Tom Cotton, the Arkansas Republican.
“We wanted to make sure that we didn’t unfairly have standards for a particular subgroup that people couldn’t perform,” she said. “We didn’t want to disadvantage any subgroups.”
Wormuth also insisted that the new standards were “much more challenging” than the previous ones. Cotton, a former Army officer, was having none of it. “The new standards,” he said, “are absolutely pathetic.”
Among other details: To qualify for any job in the Army, according to Cotton, a young female soldier would only have to be able to complete 10 push-ups (down from 13 push-ups in the previous test) and run two miles in 23 minutes and 22 seconds — a slow jog. Standards for men had also been lowered. For the sake of inclusion and fairness, toughness would have to go.
What befell the Army has happened, in different ways, to other services. Last year, the Navy dropped its previous standard of terminating the careers of sailors who failed two consecutive fitness tests. That’s partly because the service is facing a recruitment crisis and doesn’t want to lose more people. But it’s also, as the chief of naval operations, Lisa Franchetti, wrote last year, “to acknowledge our diverse population.”
There’s also been a push to reinstate photo requirements, dropped during the first Trump administration, as part of the application process for promotion. Why? “We look at, for instance, the one-star board over the last five years, and we can show you where, as you look at diversity, it went down with photos removed,” said Vice Adm. John Nowell Jr. in 2021. In other words, where the application process was blind and candidates were judged on merit alone, diversity suffered.
All this raises the question of what a military is for. There’s no doubt the military has served to advance important moral and social values, never more so than in President Harry Truman’s 1948 order to desegregate the military or President Barack Obama’s 2010 decision to eliminate “don’t ask, don’t tell.” But those demands for equality did not require the Pentagon to lower standards or compromise lethality.
The difference with D.E.I. is that, almost inevitably, it does. It asks the military to become a social justice organization that happens to fight wars. In other walks of life, adulterated standards can lead to mediocrity — bad teaching in classrooms, bad medical care. In combat, it can mean death.
What’s happened in the military is only the most vivid example of the rot that sets into any institution that abandons merit for diversity, equality for equity, expectations for inclusion. In the whirlwind that has been the first few days of this administration, the long overdue ban on D.E.I. is, at least, a solid cause for hope.
[A Leftist journalist reluctantly acquires a taste for crow …]
Former CNN ‘Journalist’ Makes a Stunning Admission About Believing Fauci Over Trump.
https://pjmedia.com/robert-spencer/2025/01/28/former-cnn-journalist-makes-a-stunning-admission-about-believing-fauci-over-trump-n4936447
Throughout Chris Cillizza’s long career as a “journalist” and “political commentator,” he has shown himself repeatedly to be a dutiful propagandist for the left, never daring to get even close to an independent thought and instead faithfully reflecting whatever the political and media elites wanted him to think. And that is still largely the case, but these are unusual times, and even Cillizza has demonstrated a shocking level of independence for a leftist journo, even daring to say that Donald Trump, the veritable focus of evil in the modern world, may have been right about something. Et tu, Cillizza? Yes: for the left, it has come even to this.
Cillizza wrote on X Monday: “I screwed up. Back in May 2020, I wrote how Anthony Fauci had ‘crushed’ Donald Trump’s lab-leak theory for how Covid-19 originated The CIA said over the weekend that they now believed the virus leaked from a lab.”
To get an idea of how big this admission is, consider that Cillizza’s Substack bears a heading that boasts about Trump’s disdain for him: “So What: Donald Trump once called me ‘one of the dumber and least respected of the political pundits.’ So I got that going for me. I write about politics — mostly — with humor, transparency, and authenticity. 2-3 posts a day.” Well, he writes about politics, anyway, and actually approached some transparency and authenticity in his Monday thread on X.
Cillizza noted a recent assessment from the CIA — and they wouldn’t lie to us, now, would they? “Here’s a CIA spokesperson: ‘CIA assesses with low confidence that a research-related origin of the COVID-19 pandemic is more likely than a natural origin based on the available body of reporting.’” Since this so sharply differs from what the CIA and the entire political and media establishment were telling us at the time, it is worth crediting, even though it does come from the CIA. And Cillizza was man enough to recognize its implications for his previous “reporting.”
Cillizza followed up the CIA assessment with this: “Which, if you’re keeping track, is what Donald Trump and lots of prominent conservatives — most notably Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton — have been saying for a very long time now. And, candidly, they have taken a lot of s**t for it. Including from me.” He even added: “My belief back then was that if this was a debate between Donald Trump and Anthony Fauci on the origins of a pandemic-level virus, I was going to go with the guy who spent his entire career studying this stuff, not the reality TV-star-turned-president.” And: “Except, it now appears that the reality TV-star-turned-president was right. And Anthony Fauci was wrong.”
Wow! Is Cillizza independently wealthy? Does he plan to retire and never work in the left’s propaganda mills again? Or are the facts of the COVID hysteria now virtually impossible to deny, such that even ferociously partisan hacks such as Cillizza have to admit that or risk losing whatever tattered shreds of credibility they may still have left?
Cillizza goes on to explain why he came to the conclusions that he did at the time and adds a word of caution that all leftist “journalists” would do well to take to heart: “The lesson: Be skeptical — of experts or anyone else — when dealing with a rapidly-developing and changing situation where no one has the ability to see a 360-degree view.”
And regarding Trump: “The other major mistake I made was that I let my belief that Trump just, well, said stuff, get in the way of the possibility that he could be right.” And: “My belief at the time was that Trump was just making it up. Like, he wanted to blame China for the virus. And it having leaked from an infectious disease lab — whether accidentally or intentionally — made that case much easier to make.”
These admissions are remarkable, but they’re likely to remain unique. Other leftist propagandists are likely to prefer the world of shadows and echoing the party line to the world of light and simply reporting the facts accurately. Nevertheless, Cillizza’s willingness to admit his error is a noteworthy crack in the left’s propaganda edifice. Dare to dream! Maybe Cillizza will be the harbinger of a new trend of leftist propagandists remembering that they’re supposed to be journalists and starting to report the facts without spin.
Yeah, you’re right: too outlandish to happen. Still, more and more people every day are catching on to their game. If Cillizza had to admit all this, more admissions could follow, until the whole propaganda machine grinds to a halt. Talk about big dreams!
This Market Turned Many Dreams Into Nightmares (Toronto Real Estate Market Update)
Team Sessa Real Estate
18 minutes ago
In this episode, we look at the current Toronto Real Estate Market specifically the detached home prices and market trends for the week ending Jan 22, 2025. We also discuss how not saving beyond your home could be disastrous.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96RdGd_01Q8
13:15.
‘Feels like a freight train has run over me,’ Drimmer, 72, said. ‘I have no idea what will happen’
Better get some boxes Ronnie.
‘The FEMA cliff is huge. Everybody was led to believe that when the continued resolution (federal Community Development Block Grant Disaster Recovery ) was passed, ($1.6 billion ) was being made available for housing until 2026. Now we are hearing that FEMA is communicating with people and saying, ‘Hey, oh, no, no. You have got to pay’
Everything guberment touches turn to sh$t Angus.
‘I do not have any family. I am really struggling, still having to work, to pay rent on a house that was supposed to be mine, supposed to be my safety net’
Ennio Morricone – Ecstasy of Gold (The Good, the Bad, the Ugly)
Don Kanalje
17 years ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNGe7iK1O-4
3:39.
‘said he had lost millions of dollars ‘trying to do good things for the city. There is a lot of nonsense going on downtown. I have gotten totally screwed’
How do those 5% cap rates look now Kenny?
‘The condo market is in a significant slump at present with lenders backing away from projects, amid a glut of units on the market and purchasers unwilling to pay the current market prices. At Hamilton General Issue Committee this week, Mike Collins-Williams of the West End Homebuilders predicted a difficult year for his industry’
K-da still has a lot of these independent newspapers that never towed the REIC line. One only finds such gems when searching the intertubes. Puddle watchers won’t put in the work.
‘While some sellers remain overly ambitious, listing properties at inflated prices, the buying frenzy of 2021 and 2022 – when homes often sold overnight with ease – has subsided. The home counties will always appeal to buyers but the days of dizzying price highs are firmly behind us. The market is now settling into a more balanced and realistic phase’
The lending was sound Jamie, at the time.
Return to work or accept buyout: Trump offers federal workers ultimatum | LiveNOW from FOX
48 minutes ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9wyNYxkVfs
3:21.
Levon Helm & Garth Hudson- Don’t Start Me Talkin’
dylanpresley
14 years ago
Levon & Garth backstage before a Band concert jam on Sonny Boy Williamson’s Don’t Start Me Talkin’. This would be 1983.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DAiXxaNM5mQ
1 minute.
Does it worry you to know that U.S. credit card defaults are soaring?
Personal Finance·Debt
U.S. credit card defaults soar; total debt hits 12-year high
BY Alicia Adamczyk
January 23, 2025 at 2:38 PM PST
More Americans are increasingly financially stressed and taking on debt that they cannot pay off.
Jordi Salas
The stock market may be hitting record highs, but not all is well for the U.S. consumer. In fact, more Americans are increasingly financially stressed and taking on debt that they cannot pay off, according to a new report from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve.
The share of credit card holders making only minimum payments on their bills rose to 10.75% in the third quarter for 2024, the highest it’s been in 12 years, the Fed’s data shows. That percentage has been on the rise since 2021, amid increasing inflation and higher interest rates.
And total debt is the highest it’s been since 2012, when the Fed started capturing this data. Revolving card balances—the amount left at the end of a billing cycle that is not paid off—stood at $645 billion in the third quarter of 2024, an increase of over 50% since the second quarter of 2021. Total card balances have grown to $914 billion.
At the same time, delinquencies—balances more than 30 days past due—rose to 3.52% of borrowers. While that might not sound like much, it is more than double the delinquency rate of 1.57% in the second quarter of 2021.
“Consumers are not only spending more, leading to higher balances, but paying off less, increasing revolving amounts,” the Fed’s report notes.
The data highlights a growing trend: Owing to an increasing cost of living driven by inflation and rising interest rates, more Americans have been increasingly strapped for cash over the past three-plus years, forcing many to lean on credit cards to get by.
Unfortunately, many households have also spent down any excess savings they accumulated during the earlier days of the COVID-19 pandemic, previous Fed research has found.
…
https://fortune.com/2025/01/23/credit-card-defaults-debt-levels-increasing/
“Revolving card balances—the amount left at the end of a billing cycle that is not paid off—stood at $645 billion in the third quarter of 2024, an increase of over 50% since the second quarter of 2021. Total card balances have grown to $914 billion.”
Sounds to me like credit card companies are collecting beauceau buckaroos in interest payments, courtesy of these revolving card balance carriers. It’s a sweet deal if you are on the receiving end of credit card interest payments.
Remember those stories back in the “dotcom crash” days when unemployed techies lived off credit cards? They didn’t know how to cook, fix simple things on their car, etc., so they were totally reliant on credit cards.
“Consumers are not only spending more, leading to higher balances, but paying off less, increasing revolving amounts,” the Fed’s report notes.
Janet Yellen’s consumer is still kicking!
What strange statements from people who fled their country to escape violence and persecution.
“One man said he was happy to be back in Colombia.”
“We really miss being here and the truth is that some of us regret having left.”
Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
NEW: Illegal immigrant tells other migrants not to go to the United States, says it’s not worth it after they were deported back to Colombia.
“Don’t go. Don’t go because they are deporting all of you… They have already sent soldiers to the border.”
Video:
@RichiMalagonS
0:03 / 2:12
5:18 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1884365505714348272
Heard from a friend who has a relative who works for one of those refugee relocation groups. Most of their funding has been from the fedgov and now it has been cut off. Am told that they have whole families ready to fly into the USA who are now on hold, and there is even fear that they can’t make their own payrolls without the fedgov money.