It’s Important For A Seller To Understand They Must Not Chase The Market With A Higher Price Right Now
It’s Friday desk clearing time for this blogger. “Earlier this week, dozens of probationary employees at the Department of Education, Office of Personnel Management, and the Small Business Administration were fired. Keri Shull, founder of the real estate firm KS Team, says her firm is launching a program that helps workers who purchase a home in the next two months sell that property if they lose their job over policy changes, and won’t take a commission. Shull has worked in the DMV’s real estate industry for 20 years, and says while the changes to the federal workforce are unlikely to create a stall in the market, the stress on individual buyers and sellers can’t be overlooked. ‘There are people who need to move, their family’s growing, their life circumstances are changing, and they feel this anxiety of what if my income changes?’ she pointed out.”
“‘I love this location, which is why I stayed here all this time, through the ups and downs,’ Winter Park Woods condo owner Lorraine Roy said. For Roy to keep living in her three-bedroom condo of more than three decades, her new monthly HOA fee has tripled to $3,371.79. ‘This is way too high,” she said. ‘We underfunded the reserves. That has been happening.’ After his monthly HOA fee jumped from $634 to more than $2,100 a month, Winter Park Woods condo owner Shane Costa received what he considers a low offer of $70,000 for his one-bedroom. The offer came from an investor who appears to have purchased other condos in the complex. ‘I’m in a little bit better circumstance than most people right now, but there’s people losing their homes,’ Costa said.”
“‘There are people who live here no more, and they just they just couldn’t withstand the pressure and had to sell out for a much lower price than they feel was fair,’ Steve Fieldman, an owner of several condos at the Stone Creek at Wekiva complex in Altamonte Springs. A lawsuit filed by Fieldman’s attorneys accuses the condominium association of wanting to ‘terminate the condominium form of ownership and convert the Association into an apartment complex.’ ‘We should have, stronger laws to protect the people who they have their entire livelihood, all their future is in their condominium,’ Fieldman said. Jeff Brandes, a former state senator, said lawmakers are struggling to come up with a solution to provide relief for condo owners. ‘I don’t think that people living in single-family homes think that their tax dollars should go to condo owners who deferred maintenance for 30 years,’ Brandes said.”
“Driving around the New Orleans metro area, thousands of homes are for sale and have sat on the market for months. Real estate agent Linda Babineaux says the time for homes getting multiple bids is over. ‘It’s important for a seller to understand they must not chase the market with a higher price right now. That is not the market to do that in. There are fewer bidding wars. But, if something is priced right it will move,” she says.”
“Herbert ‘Bert’ Whalen, 50, was sentenced Tuesday in federal court in New Jersey after pleading guilty nearly three years ago to one count of conspiracy to commit wire fraud. Whalen ran what prosecutors described as a multi-million dollar Ponzi scheme in which he sold run-down homes to investors, many living out of Indiana, with a promise to fix them up and rent them out. In many cases he failed to make the repairs and then hid the poor condition of the homes. In some cases, he sent investors fake leases and a few months of rent money to dupe them into believing he was renting out the homes on their behalf. Brian Freeman, a California investor, said he was relieved that Whalen will finally spend time in prison, but that it took far too long. ‘It’s better than nothing,’ said Freeman, who purchased a property and received rent checks for about five months before a city inspector told him the home had been vacant for a long time and was infested with rats.”
“A new housing development taking shape in Bayport would use the open land once eyed by GreenHalo Builds, the troubled home-building company that collapsed in 2023 when it was revealed to be little more than a debt-ridden shell plagued by allegations of shoddy construction and unfinished homes. Two years ago, builder John Sharkey said he would build 46 houses on the site. The City Council was considering the deal when Sharkey was instead pushed out of town as numerous creditors said they couldn’t get him on the phone and were threatening legal action. He filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy protection and had at least 46 creditors, according to court records.”
“Known as ‘the birthplace of biotechnology,’ South San Francisco is coping with a worsening life sciences real estate market compared to last year’s already sluggish numbers. Supply pinches that plagued biotech markets across the country are a thing of the past, with even South San Francisco struggling with inflated inventories and increased vacancies. That led to a striking 27.4% vacancy rate for South San Francisco in the fourth quarter, up from 15.7% just a year ago. The submarket is filled with brand-new trophy assets that will struggle to find tenants this year as the existing supply glut slowly gets filled amid a challenging time for landlords. ‘South San Francisco remains slow, as we have predicted for a long time,’ Alexandria Real Estate Equities Chairmen Joel Marcus said during the REIT’s January earnings call. ‘Kind of a reckless oversupply there by people who really didn’t know what they were doing.'”
“When Toronto real estate agent Ruchi Jain was helping a couple look for rentals last week, one detail stood out: nearly every unit had clearly been vacant for months. Landlords, meanwhile, have been signalling to her that they’re open to finding a way to come to an agreement with prospective tenants. Negotiating rents or shorter terms? It’s all on the table. ‘I’ll be very honest, people are scared right now,’ said Ms. Jain, who said landlords are dealing with downward pressures in the rental market in a way that hasn’t been seen for years.”
“It’s a big change from just a year ago when Toronto’s overheated market had prospective tenants outbidding each other for apartments with sky-high prices. Rentals.ca spokesperson Giacomo Ladas said listed rents have been dropping for 12 consecutive months in Toronto and 14 months in Vancouver. Average Toronto apartment rents have dropped 7.6 per cent from their peak to $2,615, and Vancouver rents have fallen by 13 per cent from their peak to $2,896.Ms. Jain says she is already hearing from landlords, especially those who are part of Toronto’s beleaguered condo market, that are struggling to fill their units at advertised prices.”
“One month in and QV operation manager James Wilson says 2025 is already shaping up to be an intriguing year for the housing market – though you wouldn’t necessarily know it from looking at the latest figures. The average home is now worth $913,567, which is just 1.3% less than the same time last year and 14.1% below the market’s peak in late 2021. ‘On the surface, we’re seeing a continuation in 2025 of the overwhelmingly flat theme that we saw throughout much of last year. “This is to be expected, given the economic factors at play – namely high interest rates and credit constraints, sustained weakness in the labour market, and an oversupply of properties available for sale.’ Of the main urban areas QV monitors across Aotearoa New Zealand, only three have recorded modest reductions this quarter.”
“One of Melbourne’s most notorious addresses, The Gatwick Hotel, which had a Block makeover in 2018, has a penthouse back on the market — for less than it sold on the show’s auction day. The three-bedroom penthouse was listed in 2022 with a $3.4m-$3.7m price guide, then later returned in July 2023 for $2.8m-$2.9m — but failed to find a buyer. Now its on the market again with a $2.6m-$2.7m price tag, it could sell for $159,000 less than it sold on the renovation show’s auction day more than six years ago.”
“A BlackRock Inc. fund forfeited a Shanghai office complex to Standard Chartered Plc after it didn’t make a loan payment for the property, according to people familiar with the matter. A fund unit of the New York-based asset manager opted not to make a payment for a syndicated loan led by Standard Chartered due at the end of September, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. BlackRock’s fund took out the loan of about 780 million yuan ($107 million) for two towers it bought in 2018 at Waterfront Place in China’s financial hub, the people added.”
“It’s the latest sign that China’s yearslong property downturn has swept up even the world’s largest financial institutions. The development came as BlackRock failed to sell the property even after offering a 30% discount to its purchase price, according to the people. China’s biggest cities are seeing a growing array of gleaming skyscrapers that are barely half-full, triggering rent cuts and a slump in value as the world’s second-largest economy slows. Institutional investors are offloading distressed commercial real estate from Shanghai to Hong Kong amid weak demand and as part of a global trend to reduce exposure to everything from offices to shopping malls. Prime office values have tumbled about 30% from their pre-Covid high in some of the nation’s major cities including Shanghai last year, according to Colliers International Group Inc.”
“The distress is now spilling over to Hong Kong, where average prices of office buildings, shopping malls and other properties have fallen more than 40% from their highs in 2018, eroding the value of the collateral backing many bank loans. Defaults are also rising as more property owners and developers run into cash flow difficulties.”
You will own nothing.
‘There are people who need to move, their family’s growing, their life circumstances are changing, and they feel this anxiety of what if my income changes?’
Changes as in zero Keri?
‘A new housing development taking shape in Bayport would use the open land once eyed by GreenHalo Builds, the troubled home-building company that collapsed in 2023 when it was revealed to be little more than a debt-ridden shell plagued by allegations of shoddy construction and unfinished homes’
This sh$thole is in Minnesota.
‘South San Francisco remains slow, as we have predicted for a long time,’ Alexandria Real Estate Equities Chairmen Joel Marcus said during the REIT’s January earnings call. ‘Kind of a reckless oversupply there by people who really didn’t know what they were doing’
That’s some sound lending right there.
“I don’t think that people living in single-family homes think that their tax dollars should go to condo owners who deferred maintenance for 30 years”
B-b-but muh fixed income?
At least it was cheaper than renting.
I don’t think that people living in single-family homes think that their tax dollars should go to condo owners who deferred maintenance for 30 years
Perfectly said. You made your bed now lie in it.
Paul Krugman muh best economy ever.
CNBC — Retail sales slumped 0.9% in January, down much more than expected (2/14/2025):
“Retail sales slipped 0.9% for the month from an upwardly revised 0.7% gain in December, even worse than the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.2% decline. The sales totals are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation for a month in which prices rose 0.5%.
With consumer spending making up about two-thirds of all economic activity in the U.S., the sales numbers indicate a potential weakening in growth for the first quarter.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/14/retail-sales-slumped-0point9percent-in-january-down-much-more-than-expected-.html
Potential weakening?
I’m surprised the article didn’t reference “exhausted their pandemic era savings” or related line of BS. Money printing has consequences. After the hyperinflationary economic carnage of the last four years, half this country are living in their cars and dumpster diving for food.
Related article.
CNN (via Archive) — Americans are finding it harder and harder to pay off their debt (2/13/2025):
“In the fourth quarter of last year, overall debt levels increased by 0.5% to $18.04 trillion, according to the Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit.
Thursday’s report also showed that Americans appear to be having more difficulty dealing with that debt — specifically for auto loans and credit cards.
The share of households becoming seriously delinquent (a missed payment for 90+ days) on their auto loans and credit cards are at 14-year highs.
The increase in the percentage of loans transitioning into serious delinquency partly reflect the higher-balance loans that resulted from cars becoming significantly more expensive following the pandemic and related supply chain disruptions, New York Fed researchers noted.”
https://archive.ph/24BhG
Money printing has consequences? Must be one of those “two weeks to flatten the curve” things, right?
“There is a basic lesson on financial crises that governments tend to wait too long, underestimate the risks, want to do too little. And it ultimately gets away from them, and they end up spending more money, causing much more damage to the economy.” —Timothy Geithner
Make America Healthy Again.
New York Times — Louisiana Health Department Says It Will Stop Promoting ‘Mass Vaccination’ (2/13/2025):
“On Thursday, Dr. Abraham also issued a pointed public statement with his deputy surgeon general, Wyche T. Coleman, criticizing how state and federal health authorities had responded to the pandemic.
Dr. Abraham and Dr. Coleman wrote that the implementation of vaccine mandates had been “an offense against personal autonomy that will take years to overcome.”
https://archive.ph/s2ZGV
Offense against personal autonomy? That’s quite an understatement. Threatening to get you FIRED FROM YOUR JOB for not getting injected with deadly experimental mRNA poison, who did that? Democrat Party, that’s who.
“says while the changes to the federal workforce are unlikely to create a stall in the market”
Apparently you haven’t been paying attention. We’ve been in a “stall” or some time now. I believe they’re calling it a “frozen market” these days.
I’d be petrified to buy in an area where large numbers of federal workers are getting laid off. Who knows how many homes will soon hit the market?
Think of all the yard sales with near-new goods, and maybe there’s a hottie ready to monkey-branch?
You have a point… there’s always an upside, if you look for it.
an area where large numbers of federal workers
Aren’t they mostly dispersed with Pretend to Work from Home?
Washington Post — Trump administration directs agency heads to fire most probationary staff (2/13/2025):
“The Trump administration on Thursday moved swiftly to fire thousands of workers and directed agency heads to terminate most trial and probationary staff — a move that could affect as many as 200,000 employees, according to four people familiar with internal conversations who, like others interviewed for this report, spoke on the condition of anonymity because they are not authorized to speak publicly.
Agencies appeared to move quickly on Thursday to carry out the directive, according to interviews with dozens of federal employees and records obtained by The Washington Post. Thousands of workers were laid off in messages delivered through prerecorded videos and on group calls. Some were ordered to leave the building within 30 minutes.”
https://archive.ph/E7KG5
WTF do these parasites think happens in a private sector mass layoff? Or that because they live off of the taxpayer they should be immune from that?
I love reality slapping these entitled POS’s in the face. I feel pretty confident I”m not alone in this.
welcome to the en$hitification that all those .gov grifters caused.
I love reality slapping these entitled POS’s in the face. I feel pretty confident I”m not alone in this.
I got laid off twice and almost laid off a third time. I got out just in time to avoid that one. In the 2000 it seemed that banks were being merged at a incredible rate. I also had to relocate to keep my job once. No big deal guys, ya gotta roll with in.
‘For Roy to keep living in her three-bedroom condo of more than three decades, her new monthly HOA fee has tripled to $3,371.79. ‘This is way too high,” she said.’
Ar least it’s cheaper than renting…or not.
“…her new monthly HOA fee has tripled to $3,371.79…”
She missed her opportunity with the burning Christmas Tree.
Do you plan to jump in and buy now, or wait to see how low home prices drop after the big inventory increase underway plays out?
Is a Big Housing Market Shift Underway in 2025?
February 12, 2025 by Marco Santarelli
Are you thinking about buying or selling a home? Or maybe you’re just curious about what’s happening in the real estate world? Well, let’s dive into what the housing market trends in 2025 are shaping up to be. Based on the latest data, the market is showing signs of cooling down, offering a bigger selection of homes for buyers and more price negotiation opportunities. However, the affordability issue continues to persist.
Is a Big Housing Market Shift Underway in 2025?
For a long time, it felt like sellers had all the power. But the tide seems to be turning, ever so slightly. One of the biggest shifts I’m seeing is an increase in the number of homes being listed for sale. According to a recent Redfin report, new listings rose by 7.9% compared to last year. That’s the biggest jump we’ve seen in quite a while!
…
https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/is-a-big-housing-market-shift-underway-in-2025/
REMIX – Retired Russian colonel claims Trump ‘has dirt’ on Zelensky that will force him to compromise.
Such allegations have been around for a while, but when will hard evidence be uncovered?
https://rmx.news/ukraine/retired-russian-colonel-claims-trump-has-dirt-on-zelensky-that-will-force-him-to-compromise/
[Here is a snip from the article …]
“Today, Trump is skillfully dealing with everyone who once spoke out against him,” Matviychuk noted. “Among them are Zelensky and Yermak. I am sure that Trump has more than enough dirt on them.”
These may have to do with the embezzlement of money. “It is not surprising that it has now become clear that about 100 billion dollars have sunk into oblivion,” the intelligence officer noted. “I believe that in fact the U.S. knows very well where these billions ended up…”
Matviychuk claims the money ended up in Zelensky’s Spanish, Italian and British real estate. However, he also went after Zelensky’s wife.
[Hit the link to read the rest of the story.]
And the stories of U.S. arms that were sold to Mexican cartels?
From the article …]
Tucker Carlson headlined a recent episode of his podcast by claiming “Ukrainian military is selling American weapons systems on the black market, including to drug cartels on the (American) border.” His guest U.S. Col. Daniel Davis said that Zelensky had even recently made a point of denying such allegations, and “the media just reports what he says.” The colonel then added that this has been “an open secret for almost the duration of (the war).”
Trust TheScience™
Washington Post — Federal judge blocks Trump order on health care for transgender youth (2/14/2025):
“U.S. District Judge Brendan A. Hurson granted a temporary restraining order after a hearing in federal court in Baltimore. The government is expected to appeal the decision, which legal experts said could ultimately go to the Supreme Court.
“This is a population with an extremely higher rate for suicide, poverty, unemployment, drug addiction,” Hurson said during the hearing. Abruptly stopping their health treatments, he said, would be “horribly dangerous for anyone, for any care, but particularly for this extremely vulnerable population.”
https://archive.ph/t355g
Saying the quiet part out loud, eh, Judge Hurson?
Have you EVER read an article from the Washington Post, New York Times or other globalist scum media that advocates for psychiatric therapy instead of irreversible mutilation?
You haven’t?
I’m under the impression that the vast majority of suicides come after remorse over the surgery steps in.
[The science has been settled. Oh, wait, maybe it hasn’t.]
The Washington Post – Scientists have a new explanation for the last two years of record heat.
Rising temperatures are fueled, in part, by declining cloud cover — which could be a potential climate feedback loop.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2025/02/14/global-warming-acceleration-clouds/
Rising temperatures
“Warming” according to climate nuts is higher nightly lows. Clear skies would result in lower nightly lows.
Clear skies would result in lower nightly lows.
Absolutely correct because the clouds can’t keep the heat in if they aren’t there.
ICE Director Tom Homan Announces He Has Referred Rep. Ocasio-Cortez to the Department of Justice for Investigation (2/14/2025):
“On Thursday night ICE Director Tom Homan joined Laura Ingraham on The Ingraham Angle on FOX News. During their discussion Homan announced that he had referred socialist open-borders Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez to the Department of Justice.
This comes after AOC proudly announced that she was holding webinars to teach illegal aliens how to avoid ICE agents in New York City.
Laura Ingraham: But Tom, you got AOC out there, Alexander Ocasio-Cortez, Congresswoman, putting out a webinar, doing a webinar to help illegals avoid, I guess, apprehension, giving tips about how to continue to remain in the country and ultimately gain the system.
Tom Homan: I sent an email today to Deputy Attorney General. At what level is that impedement? Is that impediment? I’m not an attorney. I’m not a prosecutor. Is that impediment? Is that impeding our law enforcement efforts. If so, what are we going to do about it? Is she crossing the line? I’m working with the Department of Justice and finding out where is that line that they cross.”
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/02/ice-director-tom-homan-refers-rep-ocasio-cortez/
Aiding and abetting a criminal invasion.
Related article.
NPR — Immigration poll shows growing support for restrictions, but deep divisions remain (2/14/2025):
“The poll shows growing approval for restrictions on immigration, like expanding the wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. And a plurality of respondents say they support Trump’s call for mass deportation of all immigrants living in the U.S. without legal status.
The president’s supporters have largely welcomed his first steps to restrict illegal and legal immigration. In the Trump administration’s first weeks, it has ramped up arrests of immigrants without legal status, suspended admissions of refugees and asylum-seekers at the southern border and rolled back legal protections for more than a million recent migrants from South and Central America.
For the most part, Republicans stand united behind the White House’s immigration agenda. Three out of 4 support denying federal funds to sanctuary cities that limit their cooperation with immigration authorities; nearly as many back using the U.S. military to arrest and detain immigrants without legal status.
Four out of 5 Republicans support deporting all immigrants without legal status and characterize the record numbers of recent migrant encounters at the southern border as an invasion.
“So as far as I’m concerned, that was an invasion. It was not an armed invasion, certainly, but it was an invasion,” said poll respondent Thomas Dunkelberger, a longtime Republican voter from western Michigan”
https://www.npr.org/2025/02/14/nx-s1-5294637/immigration-crackdown-poll-deep-divisions
It was not an armed invasion YET, Thomas.
They’re working on it…
WSJ Opinion – So You Want Proof of Government Fraud.
The press says Elon Musk has no evidence. Well, here’s some.
https://archive.ph/BsL8L#selection-5759.0-5763.60
Remember when eliminating government waste, fraud and abuse was a bipartisan goal? Well, now that Elon Musk is trying to do that, Democrats and their friends in the press say his Department of Government Efficiency is tilting at windmills.
“At Oval Office, Musk Makes Broad Claims of Federal Fraud Without Proof,” said a New York Times headline this week. The White House retorted: “Apparently, the Times and other like-minded outlets lack access to a newfangled research tool called Google.”
No proof of fraud? How much do you want?
[Click on the link to read the rest of the article.]
[Here is another WSJ Opinion piece from several days ago relating to government fraud …]
Trillion-Dollar Fraud.
A rare bipartisan consensus in Washington acknowledges that the amount of theft is massive.
https://archive.ph/wfiEm#selection-5763.0-5767.91
Some of us can recall a time when both of America’s major political parties applauded efforts to root out government waste, fraud and abuse. One could always question the sincerity of such applause, but at least in public there was a broad bipartisan consensus against taxpayer fleecing. So it’s rather disorienting to see leaders of one of those parties now embrace resistance to the Trump efficiency drive as their top priority. It’s especially disturbing given that there’s so much more fleecing than there used to be.
This morning at a House Oversight subcommittee hearing on improper payments and fraud in government, Democrats attacked President Donald Trump and his adviser Elon Musk for their efforts to reform and reduce federal spending. But interestingly, even as they offered harsh partisan criticism, Democrats on the panel could not pretend that the level of fraud isn’t gigantic. It may be even more gigantic than they’ll admit.
Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D., N.M.) said at the hearing, according to a transcript from Congressional Quarterly:
I grew up working for small mom and pop family businesses and understand the necessity of balancing the books, making sure we can deliver, and fiscal responsibility. And that’s why today’s hearing is focused on making sure that the federal government is doing what it’s supposed to and digging into the more than $236 billion in improper payments that we see going out the door every single year, and we need to get to the bottom of that.
We sure do. Ms. Stansbury’s fellow Democrat Rep. Gerald Connolly represents a swampy district in the Virginia suburbs of D.C., but even his many constituents on federal payrolls did not prevent him from providing an even higher estimate for improper federal payments, which he said are “now in the range of $280 billion a year.”
But he too may be lowballing. Last year, Congress’s Government Accountability Office pegged the annual fraud losses of the federal government at somewhere between $233 billion and $521 billion.
But wait, there’s more. One of the witnesses at the hearing was Haywood Talcove, CEO of LexisNexis Risk Solutions for Government. He said that “for over a decade a silent war has been waged against American taxpayers” and added:
We continue to pay benefits to deceased and incarcerated individuals, direct money to bad actors flagged in the Do Not Pay list, and overlook duplicate Social Security numbers by not following best practices.
During the pandemic, a simple cross-check of PPP loan recipients against IRS records would have exposed massive fraud and prevented payments to transnational criminals, who sold their, quote/unquote, sauce on the dark web. To stop this, we must reclaim control of our systems not just from the criminal syndicates, but the flawed systems enabling them…
The private sector has fraud rates below 3 percent. Meanwhile, the public sector operates at a 20 percent fraud rate.
This suggests that even the staggering $521 billion fraud estimate might also be too low. It’s also more than reason enough for President Trump to honor his campaign promise to task Elon Musk with identifying such taxpayer fleecings. Underlining the virtue of selecting Mr. Musk, the appropriate application of technological expertise appears to be the most valuable intervention.
Here’s more of the CQ transcript of today’s hearing featuring Rep. Tim Burchett (R., Tenn.):
TIM BURCHETT:
How much money do you calculate is wasted due to waste, fraud, and abuse in the entitlement programs each year?
HAYWOOD TALCOVE:
Yeah. My number right now between federal, state, and local government is you can save $1 trillion a year by simply putting in front-end identity verification, eliminating self-certification, and monitoring the back-end of the programs that are providing the benefits, those three things.
“This suggests that even the staggering $521 billion fraud estimate might also be too low”
Half a trillion dollars?
Just imagine had Democrat Party been able to steal the 2024 election (just like 2020!) this would all be continuing business as usual.
Does it seem like inflation is finally contained, and interest rates are set to drop any day now to levels the rate daters will love?
US inflation report points to impending recession
By John Rapley
A bear market is underway.
Credit: Getty
February 12, 2025 – 7:10pm
If the DeepSeek breakthrough was what ended the US bull market in stocks, today’s inflation report may have helped it turn the corner into a bear market. From the lofty highs US stocks have reached, there could now be a long way down.
Investors, market analysts and the Federal Reserve had all been expecting inflation to fall further this year, or at least level off, enabling the Fed to make further cuts to interest rates in 2025. Instead, this month’s consumer price index ticked back up to 3%. Meanwhile, any hopes that this might just be a blip were dashed when core inflation also rose to 3.3%, suggesting further pain for shoppers lies ahead.
Bond yields, which had fallen briefly after touching new highs in January, resumed rising. Long-term interest rates have returned to close to where they stood at their recent peak, and are approaching levels last seen early this millennium. Although Donald Trump is calling for the Fed to reduce interest rates, Fed futures show that investors now expect little monetary easing for the remainder of the year.
…
https://unherd.com/newsroom/us-inflation-report-points-to-impending-recession/
Mortgage Rates Highest in Nearly a Month After Inflation Report
By: Matthew Graham
Wed, Feb 12 2025, 3:36 PM
Today’s mortgage rate movement is very straightforward. Unfortunately, it’s also marked by a straight line toward higher levels–in this case, the highest since January 14th.
Incidentally, January 14th was the day before the last instance of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the same inflation report that caused rates to surge higher today. Back in January, inflation was a bit better than the market was expecting. Today, it was much worse (i.e. “higher”).
Rates are based on bonds, and inflation is an arch enemy of the bond market. To understand this, consider the fact that bonds are “fixed income” investments in that they pay out on a fixed schedule that is determined at origination. An investor buying a mortgage at any given interest rate is doing to get the same number of dollars in interest regardless of inflation.
In a hypothetical scenario on an extremely small scale, imagine the investor earns 3 dollars this month–enough to buy 12 eggs back in the olden times. Fast forward to the present and the investor still earns 3 dollars, but inflation means they’ll have to settle for half as many eggs.
In response to the inflation impact, investors effectively require higher interest payments before deciding to invest in fixed income debt like the mortgage market.
The average lender moved up by nearly an eighth of a percent, which is actually not as bad as it could have been, all things considered.
…
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/markets/mortgage-rates-02122025
Market Updates
Mortgage rate lock no longer holding back home sellers – Zillow
More homeowners are willing to sell as market conditions shift, giving buyers more options
By Candyd Mendoza
13 Feb 2025
For the past two years, many homeowners have been hesitant to sell, unwilling to part with their ultra-low mortgage rates in a high-interest environment. But that hesitation is starting to fade.
The latest Zillow housing report shows that more homeowners are returning to the market, driven by strong home equity and life events pushing them to move.
At the same time, buyers are still facing affordability challenges, as mortgage rates climbed to 7.04% in January, significantly higher than the mid-6% range seen at the same time last year. That has made it harder for many to close deals, with newly pending sales dropping 3.6% year over year.
…
https://www.mpamag.com/us/mortgage-industry/market-updates/mortgage-rate-lock-no-longer-holding-back-home-sellers-zillow/524655
We are falling off a cliff for permits compared to this time last year.
Residential? Commercial? Mixed-use?
I will soon be starting a large commercial project that has had its start date repeatedly pushed back, but also found out yesterday that the projected schedule for the electricians will likely be extended.
The only thing that is keeping us busy is some commercial. The new home builders have go from 10 to 12 releases at a time to 2 to 4 (releases are when they actually pay the permit fees and are issued the permit for that particular home. They don’t pay for all the permits of a master plan up front for obvious reasons.) What’s really dead is the home improvement stuff. It’s apparent that most are tapped. And the ones forced to do a new HVAC or roof are doing it with financing. Also hearing a lot more stories from contractors who aren’t able to collect. It’s not good.
Just had my electrician call me (combined plumbing, heating, hvac company we use). For a work order we put in over 2 years ago. (gave up long ago and did it myself).
Said he’s the new service boss and going thru these.
Ok, that’s probably true cuz it was a mess
but it also makes me think they are looking for work.
but it also makes me think they are looking for work.
Exactly, When you first called them your project was too small for them. Now no one is calling them.
“but it also makes me think they are looking for work.”
Yep, they’re cold calling.
The most Important News – 7 Examples That Show Why There Is Such A Conspiracy To Stop Elon Musk
https://themostimportantnews.com/archives/7-examples-that-show-why-there-is-such-a-conspiracy-to-stop-elon-musk
Politicians are screeching at the top of their lungs, there have been threats of extreme violence, and Washington D.C. has never seen a tsunami of lawsuits of this magnitude. Amazingly, all of this is happening just because Elon Musk and his team are targeting waste, fraud and abuse in our federal agencies. The left suddenly hates Elon Musk with a passion, and that is because he is coming after their money. It has now become clear that multiple federal agencies have been used as giant money laundering operations, and billions upon billions of dollars are at stake. If they cannot put an end to what Musk is doing, it will be an unmitigated financial and political disaster for the left, and many of them will likely end up in prison. The following are 7 examples that show why there is such a conspiracy to stop Elon Musk…
[Click on the link to read the rest.]
Zero Hedge – Broken Beyond Repair? Barely Anyone Trusts Politicians.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/broken-beyond-repair-barely-anyone-trusts-politicians
Arguably the biggest driver behind Donald Trump‘s political rise in the run-up to the 2016 presidential election and his recent return to power is the fact that he is not a politician, at least not in the traditional sense.
He doesn’t speak like a politician, he doesn’t act like a politician and as a consequence, he doesn’t face the same level of distrust that many career politicians face these days.
As Statista’s Felix Richter reports, according to Statista Consumer Insights, people in the United States have shockingly little faith in politicians, with only 5 percent of U.S. respondents saying they trust politicians in their country.
That makes politicians the least trusted profession in the country, trailing even online influencers, celebrities and financial services professionals who all face low levels of trust as well.
The same can be observed in other countries included in the survey, with respondents from Germany, Japan and the UK expressing similarly low confidence in politicians.
[There’s more to this article. Click on the link to read it.]
That’s the nicest way I have ever heard anyone say sit down and shut up in my life.
@RapidResponse47
President Trump absolutely TORCHES Fake News CNN’s
@kaitlancollins for rudely interrupting: “Excuse me, we haven’t asked you to speak yet”
🔥
4:16 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/1890147944269246531
From the Breitbart comments section on this story. 🙂
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The first 2 minutes is pretty entertaining.
HILARIOUS VIDEO: Moronic Fraudster Maxine Waters Doesn’t Know The Federal Reserve Is Private In An Idiotic Exchange With Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
Feb 13, 2025
https://madmaxworld.tv/watch?id=67ae2fa8e02deded20205415
Moronic Fraudster
She is 86 years old, which does explain the moronic part, and a Dem which explains her being a fraudster
The estate of James Brown called. They want his wig back.
[People are stupid.]
Modernity News – Watch: Democrat DEI Brain Rot Is A LOT Worse Than You Think…
https://modernity.news/2025/02/14/watch-democrat-dei-brain-rot-is-a-lot-worse-than-you-think/
Democrat Illinois Representative Jan Schakowsky suggested in a Congressional hearing that the word ‘Manufacturing’ is sexist.
Yes, really.
Because it begins with ‘man’ it is somehow holding back women from going into the manufacturing industry.
Schakowsky, the ranking Democrat member on the House Commerce, Manufacturing and Trade Subcommittee, for some unfathomable reason, posited that only around 13 percent of people in manufacturing are female because the word itself just “sounds like a guy.”
[Hit the link to read the rest.]
[I find this to be a bit humorous …]
Semafor – Zelenskyy ‘ready’ for talks with US and allies over Russia.
[So, who asked you?]
https://archive.ph/Cukmg
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Friday that he is “ready” to begin peace negotiations with the help of the US, European allies and would potentially then talk with Moscow.
“We are ready for any conversations with America and our allies. If they provide us with specific answers to specific requests from us and a common understanding of the dangerous Putin, then, with our unified understanding, we will be ready to talk with the
Russians,” AFP reported Zelenskyy as saying.
Trump said Wednesday that he had spoken with Russian President Vladimir Putin and that the two countries would begin talks to end the nearly three-year war — but without consulting Ukraine or Europe.
[snort]
US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth also stated earlier that day that Ukraine could not expect to revert to its 2014 borders or join NATO as part of a peace agreement, claims that were met with widespread backlash from Ukraine’s European allies.
The Ukrainian president also acknowledged these goals — long-held conditions for a potential ceasefire may not be possible: “Do we want to be in NATO? Yes. But is it just about the word ‘NATO’? No – it’s about security guarantees,” he said on Friday, The Guardian reported.
However, Zelenskyy said his “red line” was that Ukraine would never recognize occupied Ukrainian territories — which make up about 20% of land compared to 2022 — as Russian.
Trump said Wednesday that he had spoken with Russian President Vladimir Putin and that the two countries would begin talks to end the nearly three-year war — but without consulting Ukraine or Europe.
There must be a lot of small feet stamping in Brussels and European capitals. Zelensky is probably already packing his bags before heading into a comfy and well funded retirement, perhaps on the French Riviera. He’ll likely lay low at first, out of the spotlight for a few years, hoping to eventually become yesterday’s news and mostly forgotten.
From Politico – How Trump blindsided Europe as he schmoozed with Putin.
Top European officials had no clue Donald Trump was about to announce a peace plan for Ukraine, after a world-changing call to the Kremlin.
https://archive.ph/OPV0o#selection-1457.5-1738.0
LONDON — Europe just found out what some have known for a while: Donald Trump doesn’t ask first.
The U.S. president ripped up Western consensus by calling Vladimir Putin to open peace talks over Ukraine, offering a sweet basket of concessions to the Russian leader before negotiations had even begun.
And it seems he didn’t bother to consult America’s allies in the European Union or the U.K. over what he was about to do.
[Click the link to read the rest.]
‘However, Zelenskyy said his “red line” was that Ukraine would never recognize occupied Ukrainian territories — which make up about 20% of land compared to 2022 — as Russian’
The dancing cowgirl is delusional. The US can cut him off in a hour. Russians would be on his doorstep in a week. Wasn’t such a good idea to shell civilians for years was it? I’m sure it was suggested by the neocon scum in DC, ask them to help you out. Oh right, they aren’t even a dogcatcher anymore. Good luck avoiding assassination, yer gonna need it.
Good luck avoiding assassination, yer gonna need it.
He’s gonna have to disappear for a long time.
Zelenskyy (who isn’t ukrainian) is such a patsy he doesn’t even know he’s a patsy.
Perhaps the only safe place for him is in Israel, and maybe not eve there.
Maybe the latex scene in the Netherlands?
Zelenskyy
I’ll take the BVI.
Trump administration begins sweeping layoffs with probationary workers, warns of larger cuts to come
The Trump administration on Thursday intensified its sweeping efforts to shrink the size of the federal workforce, the nation’s largest employer, by ordering agencies to lay off nearly all probationary employees who had not yet gained civil service protection — potentially affecting hundreds of thousands of workers.
The decision on probationary workers, who generally have less than a year on the job, came from the Office of Personnel Management, which serves as a human resources department for the federal government. The notification was confirmed by a person familiar with the matter, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss it publicly.
Even workers in the personnel office itself were not immune: Dozens of probationary employees at OPM were told on a Thursday afternoon group call that they were being dismissed and then instructed to leave the building within a half-hour, according to another person who likewise spoke on condition of anonymity.
It’s expected to be the first step in sweeping layoffs. President Donald Trump signed an executive order Tuesday that told agency leaders to plan for “large-scale reductions in force.”
Elon Musk, whom President Trump has given wide leeway to slash government spending with his Department of Government Efficiency, called Thursday for the elimination of whole agencies.
“I think we do need to delete entire agencies as opposed to leave a lot of them behind,” Musk said via a videocall to the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. “If we don’t remove the roots of the weed, then it’s easy for the weed to grow back.”
Trump has praised Musk’s work to slash federal spending.
The Republican president has also been sharply critical of federal workers, especially those who want to keep working remotely, though his administration is simultaneously working to cut federal office space and ordering the termination of worksite leases throughout the government.
“Nobody is gonna work from home,” Trump said Monday. “They are gonna be going out, they’re gonna play tennis, they’re gonna play golf, they’re gonna do a lot of things. They’re not working.”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-administration-lays-off-probationary-government-workers-warns-others-of-large-cuts-to-come/ar-AA1z0E8y
‘I don’t think that people living in single-family homes think that their tax dollars should go to condo owners who deferred maintenance for 30 years,’
exactly
“they had to sell for prices they don’t think are fair”. Then they should just wait I suppose, I’m sure it will get better. (not)
All these people are in dreamland. $3000/month HOA means either luxury penthouse or the place is worth zero.
“…$3000/month HOA…”
That’s $2k/month for repairs, and $1k/month for skim!
After the party, Mexican agave farmers face tequila hangover
From George Clooney to LeBron James, American celebrities have cashed in on tequila’s soaring popularity. But in Mexico, producers of the agave plant used to make the country’s most famous liquor are nursing a nasty hangover.
Instead of bringing a long period of prosperity for farmers of the spiky succulent, the tequila boom has created a supply glut that sent agave prices slumping.
Fast-rising demand initially led to a shortage of agave, forcing tequila producers to pay 35 pesos — around US$1.70 at the current exchange rate — per kilo, said Francisco Javier Guzman, head of the Barzon Agavero organization of some 5,000 traditional tequila producers.
The problem is that the high prices lured more producers who planted agave “all over the place,” according to Guzman, an 80-year-old farmer from the Los Altos region of the western state of Jalisco.
“Some people sold their factories, hotels, land and ranches to start growing agave,” he told AFP.
The frenzy saw the number of registered agave producers leap from 3,180 in 2014 to 42,200 in 2024, while areas under cultivation more than doubled between 2018 and 2023, according to Mexican government figures.
The ensuing oversupply has seen agave prices crash to an average of eight pesos — around 40 US cents — per kilo, according to producers.
Traditional growers are urging buyers to pay about 60 US cents per kilo to at least cover their production costs, said Martin Franco, vice president of Barzon Agavero.
The United States consumes about 85 percent of tequila with the denomination of origin label, “so of course I’m concerned,” Guzman said.
To counteract the coyotes, the Tequila Regulatory Council has launched a digital platform for traditional growers.
It enables them to seek orders from tequila companies at prices that guarantee “reasonable profitability.”
At La Iberia, a bar in Jalisco’s state capital Guadalajara filled with the sound of mariachi music, manager Martin Martinez estimated that tequila prices have doubled over the past six years.
He said that he had been forced to reduce his profit margins to avoid losing customers.
Sipping a drink in the nearly 150-year-old establishment, customer Salvador Magana said he had seen no benefit from the agave production boom.
“If prices went down, the liquor should have been a bit cheaper, but no,” the 55-year-old lamented.
https://www.msn.com/en-xl/africa/kenya/after-the-party-mexican-agave-farmers-face-tequila-hangover/ar-AA1z1idR
“Some people sold their factories, hotels, land and ranches to start growing agave,” he told AFP.
Ooops!
sold their … land
Always the first step to growing things.
Probably non agricultural land. Tracts in the city.
The article makes no mention of cartel shakedowns, which we know there are.
Bristling at ‘Gulf of Mexico’ name change on maps, Mexico says it might sue Google
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said Thursday that her government wouldn’t rule out filing a civil lawsuit against Google if it maintains its stance of calling the stretch of sea between northeastern Mexico and the southeastern United States the “Gulf of America.”
The area, long named the Gulf of Mexico across the the world, has gained a geopolitical spotlight after President Donald Trump declared he would change the Gulf’s name.
Sheinbaum, in her morning news conference, said the president’s decree is restricted to the “continental shelf of the United States” because Mexico still controls much of the Gulf. “We have sovereignty over our continental shelf,” she said.
Sheinbaum said that despite the fact that her government sent a letter to Google saying that the company was “wrong” and that “the entire Gulf of Mexico cannot be called the Gulf of America,” the company has insisted on maintaining the nomenclature.
It was not immediately clear where such a suit would be filed.
As of Thursday, how the Gulf appeared on Google Maps was dependent on the user’s location and other data. If the user is in the United States, the body of water appeared as Gulf of America. If the user was physically in Mexico, it would appear as the Gulf of Mexico. In many other countries across the world it appears as “Gulf of Mexico (Gulf of America).”
This is not the first time Mexicans and Americans have disagreed on the names of key geographic areas, such as the border river between Texas and the Mexican states of Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas. Mexico calls it Rio Bravo and for the United States it is the Rio Grande.
This week, the White House barred Associated Press reporters from several events, including some in the Oval Office, saying it was because of the news agency’s policy on the name. AP is using “Gulf of Mexico” but also acknowledging Trump’s renaming of it as well, to ensure that names of geographical features are recognizable around the world.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/bristling-at-gulf-of-mexico-name-change-on-maps-mexico-says-it-might-sue-google/ar-AA1z0yrs
Mexico’s president is an exceptionally ignorant person. Depending on a users location, Google Maps shows different names for disputed areas.
This is well documented.
She’s posturing, trying to create an image in Mexico that “she is standing up to Trump”, when she is actually bending the knee.
U.S. deporting African, Asian migrants to Panama
The U.S. is deporting unauthorized migrants from nations in Africa and Asia to Panama, a major diplomatic breakthrough for the Trump administration’s mass deportation efforts, internal federal documents obtained by CBS News show.
On Wednesday, an American military flight deported Asian migrants who were in U.S. immigration custody to Panama, the first known deportation of its kind under the Trump administration. They included adults and families with children from Afghanistan, China, India, Iran and Uzbekistan, according to the documents.
The ministry said Wednesday’s deportation flight included 119 deportees from Afghanistan, China, India, Iran, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Uzbekistan and Vietnam. The costs of the deportations under the agreement will be covered by the U.S., the ministry added.
The deportations to the Central American country, a corridor for the mass migration that has gripped the region in recent years, represent a significant diplomatic win for President Trump and his government-wide crackdown on illegal immigration.
The U.S. has long had difficulty deporting migrants from Africa and Asia, due to the long distances involved in deportations to the Eastern Hemisphere and decisions by governments in those continents to limit or reject American deportations flights. The New York Times first reported Wednesday’s deportation of Asian migrants.
The flights also underscore how aggressively and quickly the Trump administration is moving to convince countries across the region to accept migrants who are difficult to deport, even though they are not citizens of their nations.
The governments of El Salvador and Guatemala have already agreed to accept migrant deportees from the U.S. who are not from their countries. El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele has even offered to accept and detain suspected members of the Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua who are expelled from the U.S.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/us-deporting-african-asian-migrants-to-panama-in-diplomatic-breakthrough/ar-AA1z0w0O
How did people from outside of the Western Hemisphere get to the U.S. southern border in the first place?
Who paid for it?
#Noticing
Most of them flew into Ecuador, which lets pretty much anyone in, and travelled by ground the rest of the way, unless FJB flew them in. As to how they paid for their airfare, we all know.
I wonder why they were deported to Panama and not Ecuador. As for who will pay to cover their final flight to get home, I have no idea. I don’t think Panama wants to get stuck with them. Maybe they will hitch passage on container ships passing through the canal?
‘The deportations to the Central American country, a corridor for the mass migration that has gripped the region in recent years, represent a significant diplomatic win for President Trump and his government-wide crackdown on illegal immigration’
You let them in, you take them back.
You let them in
Hopefully they are considering not letting more in.
‘Don’t want to go back’: Asylum seekers face deportation anxiety in Chicago
Immigration advocates say mass deportations are adding stress for people who want to settle in Chicago legally.
Asylum seekers in the Chicago area often come to the federal building on Clark Street for court appearances. But many say they wonder whether they’ll be deported before the process begins.
“I’m scared, and I don’t want to go back to Mexico,” said Edith Sanchez Delacruz, the 12-year-old daughter of Briseda Delacruz, who is part of a Waukegan family seeking asylum.
Immigration attorney Martin Perez states that most asylum seekers attempt to escape bad situations.
“They’re not here to do anybody harm,” Perez said. “They’re just here to make a better life for themselves and their families.”
However, Perez explained that for migrants who fear coming to court, that decision could lead to severe consequences.
“If they don’t come to court, they’re going to be ordered removed,” Perez says, “and it’s going to be a lot easier for enforcement to get them out of the country.”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/government/don-t-want-to-go-back-asylum-seekers-face-deportation-anxiety-in-chicago/ar-AA1z19mt
“They’re just here to make a better life for themselves and their families”
At the expense of U.S. taxpayers.
I’m sure there are about 6 billion people who could “make a better life for themselves” if they came here. It’s no small wonder that when word got out that FJB was letting everyone in that the caravans became non stop.
“I’m scared, and I don’t want to go back to Mexico,” said Edith Sanchez Delacruz
Curiously, there is no civil war in Mexico. And while the cartels shake down businesses for the most part they leave the average Mexican alone.
As for not showing up for their asylum hearings, I suspect that what they really fear is having their request denied and having ICE take them into custody for deportation. Most likely they will try to disappear and become vanilla illegals,
‘My biggest fear’: Undocumented Louisville man leaving U.S. to avoid deportation
For one undocumented Louisville man from Guatemala, sitting back and risking deportation isn’t an option.
The man said he and his 13-year-old daughter, who is also undocumented, are returning to his home country before Immigration and Customs Enforcement can deport him. LPM News is not naming the man to protect his privacy.
He said came to the United States to provide for his wife and other daughter in Guatemala, and he’s lived in Louisville since 2018.
“In Guatemala, I was a farmer and I didn’t make enough to support my family,” he told LPM, speaking through a translator. “It was me and my daughter’s decision to come to the U.S.”
He made 25 quetzales a day as a farmer, or about $3.50.
“Sometimes it was just two or three days a week,” he said.
He said he borrowed $8,000 from his family to help get here. He and his daughter spent 25 days traveling, facing hunger and thirst, before making it to Arizona.
When he arrived, ICE gave him some papers and a court date to get a work visa. He said he never showed up because he didn’t know where to go, didn’t know anyone and didn’t have a way to get there.
“My biggest fear is, if I get detained, they’re gonna do a fingerprint, and then they’re gonna know that I didn’t show up to court and I have a case pending,” he said.
The man said he is certain no one would be able to take care of his daughter if he were deported without warning.
“I’m afraid because of my daughter, because I don’t want her to suffer,” he said.
Through tears, he described his daughter’s journey. After they arrived in Kentucky, she started school, then learned how to read, write and speak English. Now, she can do multiplication and she loves her teachers.
“Donald Trump is saying that they’re gonna send immigration to the school and the churches,” he said. “So we don’t want to stay in this country like this.”
He said he and his daughter plan to return to Guatemala by bus by the end of this month. He’s leaving behind his friends, his home and the job where he works six days a week.
“I’m leaving my job because of the actions of Donald Trump,” he said. “It’s bothering us a lot, and so before it happens, me and my daughter, we better go.”
At a recent solidarity protest, Jose Ramirez said he’s noticed some Latinos are scared to leave their homes or go to work out of fear. Ramirez owns a tire shop in Louisville, and he said his customers have dwindled since last month.
“People are not shopping or not buying, and so we aren’t making our living,” Ramirez said.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/my-biggest-fear-undocumented-louisville-man-leaving-us-to-avoid-deportation/ar-AA1z2R4X
If you are starving, stop reproducing or at least slow down? Meanwhile white American couples are not having kids cuz the economy. Its as if there is some sort of correlation between race and intelligence.
+1
You are being replaced.
FWIW, Mexican births have dropped below the replacement rate. Don’t know about Guatemala
What is not being said here: If they are caught and deported, they can never apply for legal status. This is why many are self deporting.
I also find it odd that he brought one of his daughters with him. It would be much cheaper to support her back in Guatemala than in the US, unless they’re getting fraudulent EBT or something.
Courier package of fentanyl sent from Canada to U.S. seized by border agents in Seattle
A package containing about a pound of fentanyl sent by courier from Canada to a person in the United States has been seized by customs officers after they opened it en route in Seattle, U.S. officials said.
A spokesperson for U.S. Customs and Border Protection said plastic bags containing brown rocks, which when tested were found to contain the deadly synthetic opioid, were discovered on Feb. 6 by U.S. officers at a facility where courier packages are processed.
Spokesperson Jason Givens said the fentanyl, sent from an individual in Canada to someone in the U.S., was found at a Seattle facility that processes parcels sent by international courier companies.
The U.S. border agency did not provide details of where the drugs originated or their destination, or about any arrests.
The seizure comes as U.S. President Donald Trump uses allegations that fentanyl is trafficked from Canada into the U.S. to argue in favour of 25-per-cent tariffs on Canadian goods, which he has paused until at least March 4.
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-courier-package-of-fentanyl-sent-from-canada-to-us-seized-by-border/
The premiers asked to be humiliated in Washington. Wish granted
“The Tank” is the nickname for the Pentagon conference room reserved for meetings of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the senior leadership of the U.S. Armed Forces. I got a tour of the Pentagon during the first Trump administration, and in addition to learning many fascinating things from the lieutenant-colonel who was our guide – the world’s second-largest building was erected in just 16 months, and has so many bathrooms because it was designed as a racially segregated facility – I even went into The Tank. It was (obviously) not in use at the time.
As tales of privileged access go, I admit it’s not much of a story. But it’s more than Canada’s premiers can say about their “hearing” at the White House.
They came out crowing like they’d pulled off a diplomatic coup. “People don’t get last-minute meetings like this and we’re very grateful,” said Ontario Premier Doug Ford, flanked by Quebec Premier François Legault and Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe. “It just shows the relationship that we have and the respect they have for Canada.”
That spin didn’t last the afternoon. It turns out this was more like that scene in American Psycho when Patrick Bateman tried to pretend that he’d somehow landed a table at Dorsia. Spoiler alert: He hadn’t.
Our provincial and territorial heads of government spent an hour going through security, just like the other hicks from the sticks on the tourist hop-on/hop-off bus. Then they had their VIP meeting with … hang on, let me check my notes … ah yes, the “White House deputy chief of staff for legislative affairs” and the “White House director of personnel.”
Gosh, was the deputy director of catering services (desserts and canapés) otherwise occupied?
Anyone who thinks the people they met are the decision-makers on tariffs is a prime customer for a new condo in the Trump Mar-a-Gaza casino. Hurry, get your deposit in now, this deal won’t last.
The premiers would have done better to have taken the public tour. They might have learned some valuable trivia, like how we burned the place down in 1814. And they wouldn’t have been humiliated by this follow-up from their junior varsity host, deputy chief of staff James Blair, who, clearly in fear of his boss, tweeted: “To be clear, we never agreed that Canada would not be the 51st state.”
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-the-premiers-asked-to-be-humiliated-in-washington-wish-granted/
Could get ‘rough’ — Trump tariff threats dominate Windsor mayor’s state of the city speech
In the face of American tariffs that could sink Canada into a deep recession and devastate his border city, Mayor Drew Dilkens is calling on Windsorites to stand united.
Rather than the traditional listing off of his and the city’s accomplishments over the past year, Dilkens on Wednesday spent the majority of his State of the City address discussing the 25-per-cent levy U.S. President Donald Trump plans to impose on Canadian goods and the damage that would do to the region. Trump has even mused about tariffs of up to 100 per cent on the Canadian auto industry.
“We are going to need to lock arms right now in this moment and not let go if it gets rough,” he told a packed ballroom at the Windsor-Essex Chamber of Commerce sponsored luncheon.
“I’m not going to sugarcoat it for anyone in this room, and I hope I’m dead wrong, but it may get rough, and if it does, we’re going to need to stick together.”
Dilkens even referred to the “madness” of the situation, which could cost the countries hundreds of billions of dollars through the dismantling of our integrated system.
The mayor urged folks to buy Canadian, wear the maple leaf with pride, and fly the flag this weekend, as five former Prime Ministers this week urged Canadians to do.
“Do all the little things that send signals that we won’t be taken advantage of by a bully,” Dilkens said. “Stand tall. Be proud to be Canadian, but please — and I know this can be hard — don’t boo at the U.S. national anthem.
“We are better than that, and we like our U.S. neighbours too much to hold them accountable for the actions of a single American.”
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/canada/could-get-rough-trump-tariff-threats-dominate-windsor-mayors-state-of-the-city-speech/ar-AA1yZ7PQ
Chaos, Harassment, and Unpaid Bills: Inside Elon Musk’s War on USAID
Early in the morning of January 29, a few dozen US government employees and their families, clutching pets, small children, and whatever they could fit in a carry-on, left their homes in Kinshasa, the capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and began an exhausting evacuation—by van, boat, and two planes—back to the United States.
Staffers at the mission had spent the first week of the Trump administration grappling with a series of confusing and debilitating new directives from Washington. They struggled to get answers to basic questions, like how to wind down programs they had been ordered to stop, and what kinds of work, if any, they were allowed to pay for. But the USAID workers in Kinshasa now had more pressing issues. The previous afternoon, demonstrators had attacked embassies in the city, and overrun the home of a USAID employee. Staff had been given an hour to pack their things.
When they landed at Dulles International Airport 48 hours later, State Department and USAID employees did their best to make the arrivals feel welcome. People were on hand with food, clean clothes, and balloons. But while the evacuees spent the weekend recovering at a Marriott near the airport, the message from the highest levels of the government was far less inviting. Staffers who had left almost all of their possessions behind and were scrambling to find housing and schools for their kids followed the news in horror, as Elon Musk bragged about “feeding USAID into the wood chipper” and called the agency’s civil servants “radical-left Marxists who hate America.”
“We’ve given up everything to serve our country overseas,” one evacuated USAID employee recalled thinking, “and we’re being maligned by the richest asshole in the world.”
Above all, their experiences—working in what they describe as a culture of fear and mass confusion—reflect a world in which the complaints about waste and inefficiency have become self-fulfilling. DOGE was sold as a plan to fix bureaucracy. The story of USAID offers a glimpse of how to break one.
The blitzkrieg, magnified by Musk’s own social media platform, blindsided people in development circles. “We always joke that you come armed to an interagency knife fight with a spreadsheet,” said a former USAID employee who worked, until recently, as an agency contractor. “We’re like, ‘but the data say,’ and ‘the evidence shows.’”
Musk, on the other hand, was lobbing accusations at their work while stripping them of the tools to defend themselves. Much of the agency’s senior leadership had been put on leave early on—ostensibly for “insubordination.” The USAID website has been down for nearly two weeks. Many employees couldn’t even respond to their emails. “We can’t even fact-check,” complained one foreign service officer, who has worked in missions in multiple African countries.
While their marching orders were perplexing, staffers did their best to follow them. “An analogy I’ve heard a few times is nobody wanted to be the tallest blade of grass,” one employee in Washington, DC, said. “Everyone was trying to lay low, thinking, ‘Okay, if we actually go through this review process, and this is in earnest, maybe we can get back online.’ And I think it’s very clear a lot of that was a farce. There is no review process.”
In the meantime, USAID employees who are not on leave are still without a place to work. The few dozen employees who showed up at the Ronald Reagan Building in downtown Washington on Monday were turned away by security. USAID didn’t have a lease there anymore, they were informed. Black plastic bags had been draped over agency signage, and the windows inside had been papered over.
The space “will be repurposed for other government needs,” a Government Services Agency spokesperson told Mother Jones, but declined to say what might take its place. But USAID staffers who stuck around on Monday discovered a prospective new tenant was already eyeing the complex. It was an agency better suited to the administration’s relationship with the rest of the world: Customs and Border Protection.
https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2025/02/donald-trump-elon-musk-doge-war-on-usaid/
They are lucky they got a ride back. They should have just stopped paying them and let them find their own way back.
Who in their right mind takes their family to the Congo? Kinshasa is well known to be dangerous.
Perhaps they figured that as long as they could distribute US largesse that they would be safe?
But the largesse is over. We can’t keep running multi trillion dollar deficits. Those people should have seen the writing on the wall last November and repatriated themselves in an orderly fashion.
“We’ve given up everything to serve our country overseas.”
Oh really? Show us your pay stubs and your bank accounts. What was your cost of living for your mud hut in africa? And now you are ‘recovering’ at a fancy hotel?
Where is my tiny violin??
“But the USAID workers in Kinshasa now had more pressing issues. The previous afternoon, demonstrators had attacked embassies in the city, and overrun the home of a USAID employee.”
Sounds like all that taxpayer money bought a ton of goodwill.
Covid vaccines are poison.
The Atlantic (via Archive) — Why the COVID Deniers Won (2/12/2025):
“Anti-vaccine beliefs started on the fringe, but they spread to the point where Ron DeSantis, the governor of the country’s third-most-populous state, launched a campaign for president on an appeal to anti-vaccine ideology.
Five years later, one side has seemingly triumphed. The winner is not the side that initially prevailed, the side of public safety. The winner is the side that minimized the disease, then rejected public-health measures to prevent its spread, and finally refused the vaccines designed to protect against its worst effects.
Ahead of COVID’s fifth anniversary, Trump, as president-elect, nominated the country’s most outspoken vaccination opponent to head the Department of Health and Human Services. He chose a proponent of the debunked and discredited vaccines-cause-autism claim to lead the CDC. He named a strident critic of COVID‑vaccine mandates to lead the FDA. For surgeon general, he picked a believer in hydroxychloroquine, the disproven COVID‑19 remedy. His pick for director of the National Institutes of Health had advocated for letting COVID spread unchecked to encourage herd immunity.”
https://archive.ph/hzdgu
The side of public safety?
All of the gyms were closed. Liquor stores, weed dispensaries, and McFood drive thru goyslop all stayed open. It was never about public safety.
The deniers won because the believers ripped the mask off and revealed themselves as the sort of people we supposedly fought a world war to be rid of eighty years ago.
It’s telling they crammed “debunked,” “discredited,” and “disproven” all into one paragraph, and two into one sentence. That pitch of REEEE is the sound of someone who’s been caught a lion too many times.
Article for Valentine’s Day.
Liberal women ‘least happy and loneliest’, according to new survey (2/14/2025):
“New evidence in the 2024 American Family Survey, found that 37 percent of conservative women from the ages of 18-40 reported being satisfied with their life.
Only 12 percent of liberal women in the same group said they felt the same way, while 28 percent of moderate said they were satisfied.
The findings also say that liberal women are nearly three times more likely than conservatives to say they experienced loneliness at least a few times a week.
It also broke down the relationship status of those surveyed, saying that 40 percent of liberal women reported being single, while 31 percent were married.
For conservative women, 33 percent reported being single, while 51 percent were married.
Sociology professor Brad Wilcox at the University of Virginia told Fox that he believes there are several explainers for the rift between conservative and liberal women.
He said: ‘We’ve seen in the research that conservative women tend to be more likely to embrace a sense of agency and to have the sense that they are not, in any way, the victim of larger structural realities or forces.
‘They’re also less likely to catastrophize about public events and concerns and more likely to think of themselves as captains of their own fate.’
The final analysis added: ‘This ideological divide does not appear to be just a consequence of negative thinking; it also seems to flow from the fact that liberal young women are less likely to be integrated into core American institutions—specifically marriage and religion—that lend meaning, direction, and a sense of solidarity to women’s lives.”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/wellness/liberal-women-least-happy-and-loneliest-according-to-new-survey/ar-AA1z43GH
‘new monthly HOA fee has tripled to $3,371.79. ‘This is way too high,” she said. ‘We underfunded the reserves. That has been happening.’ After his monthly HOA fee jumped from $634 to more than $2,100 a month, Winter Park Woods condo owner Shane Costa received what he considers a low offer of $70,000 for his one-bedroom. The offer came from an investor who appears to have purchased other condos in the complex. ‘I’m in a little bit better circumstance than most people right now, but there’s people losing their homes’…‘There are people who live here no more, and they just they just couldn’t withstand the pressure and had to sell out for a much lower price than they feel was fair,’ Steve Fieldman, an owner of several condos at the Stone Creek at Wekiva complex in Altamonte Springs. A lawsuit filed by Fieldman’s attorneys accuses the condominium association of wanting to ‘terminate the condominium form of ownership and convert the Association into an apartment complex.’ ‘We should have, stronger laws to protect the people who they have their entire livelihood, all their future is in their condominium’ …‘I don’t think that people living in single-family homes think that their tax dollars should go to condo owners who deferred maintenance for 30 years’
This is exactly what happened in the 2000’s with old Florida airboxes. Except now you got the assessment law and the airboxes are 20 years older.
‘Whalen ran what prosecutors described as a multi-million dollar Ponzi scheme in which he sold run-down homes to investors, many living out of Indiana, with a promise to fix them up and rent them out. In many cases he failed to make the repairs and then hid the poor condition of the homes. In some cases, he sent investors fake leases and a few months of rent money to dupe them into believing he was renting out the homes on their behalf. Brian Freeman, a California investor, said he was relieved that Whalen will finally spend time in prison, but that it took far too long. ‘It’s better than nothing,’ said Freeman, who purchased a property and received rent checks for about five months before a city inspector told him the home had been vacant for a long time and was infested with rats’
If it seems like there is more of this thing going on now, it’s because it it. Obammie opened that door with his SEC changes.
‘Jain was helping a couple look for rentals last week, one detail stood out: nearly every unit had clearly been vacant for months. Landlords, meanwhile, have been signalling to her that they’re open to finding a way to come to an agreement with prospective tenants. Negotiating rents or shorter terms? It’s all on the table. ‘I’ll be very honest, people are scared right now,’ said Ms. Jain, who said landlords are dealing with downward pressures in the rental market in a way that hasn’t been seen for years…It’s a big change from just a year ago when Toronto’s overheated market had prospective tenants outbidding each other for apartments with sky-high prices’
Gosh Ruchi I hope no one overpaid in such an environment!
‘One of Melbourne’s most notorious addresses, The Gatwick Hotel, which had a Block makeover in 2018, has a penthouse back on the market — for less than it sold on the show’s auction day. The three-bedroom penthouse was listed in 2022 with a $3.4m-$3.7m price guide, then later returned in July 2023 for $2.8m-$2.9m — but failed to find a buyer. Now its on the market again with a $2.6m-$2.7m price tag, it could sell for $159,000 less than it sold on the renovation show’s auction day more than six years ago’
The reality TV shows over there are so bad they’ll get caught having a ‘producer’ buy all the shanties while it’s being made and then take a huge a$$ pounding a year later. People still watch it.
‘A BlackRock Inc. fund forfeited a Shanghai office complex to Standard Chartered Plc after it didn’t make a loan payment for the property, according to people familiar with the matter. A fund unit of the New York-based asset manager opted not to make a payment for a syndicated loan’…It’s the latest sign that China’s yearslong property downturn has swept up even the world’s largest financial institutions..The development came as BlackRock failed to sell the property even after offering a 30% discount to its purchase price.’
They have the money but tossed the keys. Sound lending!
‘China’s biggest cities are seeing a growing array of gleaming skyscrapers that are barely half-full’
The skyscrapers look good from a drone. IMO that’s by design. But every building in Chinaron is crap and apparently half empty.
Lowball Offers Causing Some Drama (Peel Region Real Estate Market Update)
Team Sessa Real Estate
12 minutes ago MISSISSAUGA
This episode shows the current Brampton, Mississauga, Ajax, Whitby, and Pickering Real Estate home prices and market trends for the week ending Feb 5, 2025. We also discuss why it’s best not to get emotional when submitting or receiving lowball offers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVEhxgTroO0
12:35.
Is China’s property crisis finally contained?
China’s Property Crisis:
Global Impact
Rescue Plan
Evergrande-Sized Problem
Investor Pain
A China Vanke Co. property development in Nanjing, China, in Sept. 2024.Photographer: Fang Dongxu/VCG/Getty Images
Markets
The Big Take
China’s Property Crisis Enters a Dangerous New Phase
Risks grow as authorities are forced into a first mainland rescue and iconic Hong Kong developer New World’s bonds sink into distress.
By Bloomberg News
February 11, 2025 at 4:00 PM CST
Updated on February 12, 2025 at 2:51 AM CST
It was the moment China’s leaders finally blinked.
After four years of standing by as property developers like China Evergrande Group spiraled into default, Communist Party officials decided in late January that China Vanke Co. — one of the country’s last surviving real-estate giants — was, for now at least, too big to fail. Faced with a collapse in Vanke’s bond prices and the company’s warning of a record $6.2 billion loss, officials from the developer’s hometown in Shenzhen stepped in to take operational control. Authorities are working on a proposal to help Vanke plug a funding gap of about $6.8 billion this year.
…
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-02-11/china-s-real-estate-crisis-property-sector-debt-is-getting-worse