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You Don’t Have To Walk Very Far These Days To See A For Sale Sign

A report from the Washington Post. “Until recently, Prince George’s ranked as the wealthiest majority-Black county in the United States, fueled by middle-class workers who gravitated to the federal sector for its promise of stability and benefits. The federal government is the largest employer in Maryland, and more than 65,000 federal workers live in Prince George’s County, making up 17.4 percent of the county’s total workforce. Alvin Thornton, a former Prince George’s County school board member, said the Black middle class is relatively new and generally spans two generations: ‘grandfathers, grandmothers and their children’ who were the first in their families to build equity. This instability, he said, means they may now have to tap into savings or even consider selling their homes to get by.”

“Jonathan Hairston, an artificial intelligence specialist for the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, received the email he was dreading on Valentine’s Day. Like so many other federal workers in Prince George’s County, his once-stable family life was upended. He spent hours on the phone with creditors and mortgage lenders. On March 17, Hairston learned he and thousands of other probationary employees had been reinstated temporarily thanks to an order from a federal judge. Meanwhile, Hairston is still locked out of his phone. ‘It’s unnerving,’ Hairston said. ‘We grew up understanding the security that comes with the federal government. Now, that’s up in flux.'”

The Globe and Mail. “Mark Hintz began flying the Canadian flag outside of his Florida home in January, after U.S. president-elect Donald Trump ratcheted up his talk about annexing Canada. The flag must have offended someone in Mr. Hintz’s gated community, because he received an unpleasant letter from his homeowners’ association telling him to take it down in three days or face fines of US$25 a day. Mr. Hintz, a 56-year-old dual citizen who has lived in the United States with his 78-year-old mother for the past 12 years, was incensed. It affirmed that leaving his prim neighbourhood near Sarasota, Fla., and heading back to the Toronto area was the right move. Mr. Hintz says his home, which he lives in with his mother, has lost roughly US$100,000 in value in the past couple of years, and they only expect to break even when it sells. It has already been on the market for more than two months. ‘Sarasota is a real hotbed for the MAGA movement and it’s pretty disconcerting when you see the guys in pickup trucks with big Trump flags,’ he said.”

“In the past two months, some Florida realtors say they’ve been inundated with Canadian sellers who are hoping to offload their properties as quickly as possible. The timing is hardly ideal: Previously competitive real estate markets such as Clearwater, Naples and Sarasota are all facing a glut of properties after the region was hit hard by Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton last autumn, which led to an unaffordable spike in insurance and condo fees. Alexandra DuPont, broker at DuPont International Realty in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., and a dual citizen who specializes in working with Canadians, said she may have worked with 10 Canadian sellers in a busy year before. She’s currently working with about 35. ‘I’ve never had a season like this,’ said Ms. DuPont. Ms. DuPont says conversations among her clients have changed from revolving around the dollar to political views in the past few weeks. ‘They’re very expressive of their political views. I’ve had clients tell me they feel like they’re being hypocrites if they were to come back to Florida and there’s some sense of shame or guilt about returning,’ she said.”

The Los Angeles Times in California. “The Coachella Valley has long been a favorite destination for Canadian snowbirds, who pump millions of dollars into the local economy every year. Now, its desert towns are bracing for a major financial blow as northerners — citing Trump’s aggression toward Canada — cancel flights, ditch hotel and Airbnb reservations and put their second homes up for sale. Kenny Cassady, director of business development for Acme House Co., which manages vacation rental properties in Palm Springs, said Canadians often book stays of one to three months a full year in advance, returning to the same properties annually. ‘But when it comes to rebooking for next year? They’re just declining,’ said Cassady. ‘It’s going to be most noticeable come next season. It could have a ripple effect beyond guests not booking to come back and spending rental dollars.'”

“Paul Kaplan, a Palm Springs real estate agent, said that, as of February, he and his team started getting calls from snowbirds looking to sell their second homes. He has at least five listings from Canadians and expects more in the coming weeks as the so-called high season for tourists comes to a close. ‘They’re saying, ‘We just don’t feel welcome any more,’ Kaplan said. He added that ‘financially, it makes sense’ for Canadians to sell their American property now, because the Canadian dollar is weak compared with its American counterpart. According to the Bank of Canada, the current exchange rate is roughly 1.40 Canadian dollars per U.S. dollar.”

Times of San Diego. “California tourism could lose billions of dollars because of President Donald Trump’s policies on tariffs, immigration and gender identity, as well as his talk of annexing Canada. Nancy, who asked that her last name not be published because she fears the Trump administration will target dual citizens like her, is a ‘snowbird.’ She and tens of thousands of Canadians, many of them retired, stay in California and other warm U.S. states during the winter months. Nancy is American-born but has mostly lived in Canada since the early 1970s. She and her husband are selling their condo in Rancho Mirage, a decision they made because of what she calls the headache involved in owning property in two countries, even before all this ‘bullying and nonsense.’ Now she has heard others like her talk about selling their properties in California, too.”

“Anna Kelly, a White House spokesperson, doubled down on Trump’s annexation remarks in an email response to CalMatters’ questions about the decline in international travel, especially from Canada: ‘The United States is a great destination for international travelers, and Canadians will be unburdened by the inconveniences of international travel when they become American citizens as residents of our cherished 51st state.'”

Memphis Commercial Appeal in Tennessee. “While some activity is underway at The Lake District, work remains halted on the townhomes portion of the project. Notable local commercial real estate firm Cushman & Wakefield continues its effort to attract tenants for unfilled spaces at the mixed-use development in Lakeland. However, behind the retail district is the unfinished townhomes portion of the project. The Lake District was touted by former developer Yeuda Netanel to become one of the largest retail and residential projects in the Memphis area. But with Netanel mired in financial troubles, lender TIG Romspen US Master Mortgage LP acquired part of the development for roughly $26 million after it received no bidders during a May foreclosure sale. The residential portion of The Lake District, called The Willows at The Lake District, is owned by Washington-based major private construction lender Builders Capital, which took back that property from Netanel in January 2024.”

“‘Both owners that have properties in The Lake District, which is Builders Capital for the townhomes and Romspen for the remainder of the project, are actively looking for buyers for some or all of their holdings,’ said Lakeland City Manager Michael Walker. ‘In the case of Builders Capital, they seek to sell all of their holdings.'”

From Bisnow. “Two years after the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank touched off waves of panic over the concentration of commercial real estate loans held by regional banks, financial institutions are making a dent in their balance of bad debt. Concerns about regional banks’ ability to absorb declining real estate values became pervasive despite a pullback from CRE lending in the wake of the banks’ failures. ‘We’re going through somewhat of a purgatory process right now for those loans that were originated at the height of market exuberance — call it the zero-interest-rate phenomenon,’ said Tom Taylor, senior manager of research at Trepp. Conversations about loan extensions also start with questions about how much new capital the owner is bringing in, Taylor said. ‘Lenders are definitely willing to work with borrowers, but they’re requiring borrowers to come to the table with some sort of additional skin in the game,’ he said.”

Toronto.com in Canada. “As Canada’s automotive, steel and aluminum industries grapple with the threat of job losses due to U.S. tariffs, bidding activity has reached a standstill in several Ontario housing markets. A recent Wahi analysis found nearly two-thirds (65 per cent) of GTA homes sold for less than the list price in March. Condominiums were especially likely to sell for below asking (75 per cent), compared to single-family homes (58 per cent). According to that analysis, the softest market last month was Halton region, where only one quarter of homes sold at (3 per cent) or above (22 per cent) asking. In some cases, homes in the Greater Toronto Area are being relisted for up to $400,000 below their original sale price, according to Zoocasa.”

“Sales in the Hamilton, Burlington, Haldimand County and Niagara North market areas fell to 701 units in March, marking the lowest level reported for that month since 2009. Some onlookers may be wondering whether we’ll see an end to bidding wars. For example, in a common scenario, a realtor may intentionally underprice a property to attract multiple purchasers, setting off a bidding war. ‘I don’t think we’ll ever see an end to that in Toronto,’ said Benjy Katchen, CEO of RPS-Wahi. ‘It’s just a question of the cycle. It might be a pause for three or four months, but I don’t think we’ll ever see an end to that. It’s just so culturally ingrained to how real estate is in this city.'”

Scoop New Zealand. “QV operations manager James Wilson said market conditions remained ‘pretty soft’ across Aotearoa. ‘Residential property values continue to bubble up and down slightly from month to month but have been kept virtually motionless as a whole throughout the first quarter of 2025.’ ‘Job worries and a rise in unemployment are causing many to be cautious and play it safe right now, which is understandable. This is one factor that has helped to keep the brakes on throughout the first quarter of 2025 – a sizeable surplus of properties for sale is another,’ he said. ‘It seems sellers are out in force across Aotearoa today. You don’t have to walk very far around the neighbourhood these days to see a ‘for sale’ sign. Ample properties for sale and a lack of meaningful competition are helping keep prices really flat for now.'”

Western Australia Today. “One of Western Australia’s largest home builders has raised eyebrows after it bought vacant blocks of land in popular housing estates and built houses on them in less than 12 months – even as it faces a class action over thousands of building contracts that have languished for years. A BGC spokesman said the properties were part of a small program of ‘shell homes’ the company constructed as part of a trial of alternative, faster methods. ‘While appearing complete externally, these homes are literally structural shells, with no internal finishing, to avoid competing with the already high demand for finishing trades in Perth,’ he said.”

“BGC customer Amanda was handed the keys to her new traditionally constructed home in Brabham in February this year, nearly three years after signing a contract in July 2022. ‘It’s been nothing but a circus,’ she said. ‘We were told the delays were due to labour shortages, but our neighbours’ house was completed in eight months.’ Amanda said she and her husband were currently undertaking processes with regulator Building and Energy after reporting more than 100 defects.”

“‘We had a broken window from when the bricks went up, drainage and roofing issues, issues with the paint, the doors didn’t line up and flues were attached with duct tape and cable ties. Only 5 per cent of the problems have been fixed, out of 151 defects,’ she said. ‘100 per cent I will never build again. I’m pissed BGC is building and selling houses built so quickly.'”

This Post Has 126 Comments
  1. ‘Thornton, a former Prince George’s County school board member, said the Black middle class is relatively new and generally spans two generations: ‘grandfathers, grandmothers and their children’ who were the first in their families to build equity. This instability, he said, means they may now have to tap into savings or even consider selling their homes to get by’

    Do what you must Alvin, but don’t screw up the comps!

    BTW, this post article is incredible. Having a guberment job is apparently a racial, multi generational right:

    Cheryl, 66, and David, 72, are retired from their long federal careers. But they’re still feeling the effects of the Trump administration’s purge.

    They canceled a trip to see California’s giant sequoias over concerns about how the country’s national parks will fare after hundreds of workers were laid off. They worry about their Social Security, too, and other promised federal benefits.

    Most of all, they worry about their 41-year-old daughter, a microbiologist. After working years in the private sector, she started her first federal job in December.

    Cheryl still remembers the advice they gave their daughter before she applied: “You need to get into government. You know, security and all that.”

    “Now, as soon as she gets in the job,” Cheryl said, “this happens.”

    1. I once had a job at a large, stable company. My parents were so proud. I even turned down another offer for a smaller company at higher pay because I wanted the stability and big name on my resume. When things got tough I was laid off.

      These FedGov clowns need to grow up and realize there is no free lunch.

    2. how the country’s national parks will fare

      IIUC, a half-million federal workers were hired since before COVID. The National Parks were doing just fine in 2019.

  2. [Some humor from The Babylon Bee …]

    Protesters Demand Government Waste.

    https://babylonbee.com/news/protesters-demand-government-waste

    U.S. — Millions of people took to the streets over the weekend to demand more, not less, government waste.

    Chants of Make Waste, Not War! and Government Waste Is A Human Right! could be heard for miles around such major metropolitan cities as Los Angeles, Chicago, New York, and even Washington, D.C.

    “I cannot imagine a world without government waste and I don’t want to,” said a spokesperson for the organized movement. “That’s why we’ve wasted as many man hours as we could to show people we need more waste.”

    The “Hands Off!” movement was orchestrated by a coalition of over 150 progressive groups in support of government waste who simulated real government waste by blocking traffic and generally inconveniencing the lives of everyday Americans just like the real government.

    Protestors argue less government waste could improve the life of the average person, which would make them content and less likely to waste time on wasteful projects like climate change, high speed rail, and NPR.

    At publishing time, the protests had quickly fizzled out after DOGE defunded the NGO that was paying for the protests.

    1. “I cannot imagine a world without government waste and I don’t want to,” said a spokesperson for the organized movement. “That’s why we’ve wasted as many man hours as we could to show people we need more waste.”

      This needs to be etched in stone in a cave!

  3. ‘Hintz says his home, which he lives in with his mother, has lost roughly US$100,000 in value in the past couple of years, and they only expect to break even when it sells. It has already been on the market for more than two months. ‘Sarasota is a real hotbed for the MAGA movement and it’s pretty disconcerting when you see the guys in pickup trucks with big Trump flags’

    That’s a mighty a$$ pounding Mark. And when you get on the plane to yer frozen wasteland, these guys will be giving you the one finger salute. Disgusting. That’s if you sell of course.

    1. “I was born here and I always thought of myself as an American before a Canadian, and that’s kind of flip-flopped in the last few years.”

      You’re an anchor baby, Mark!

    2. So this guy has been living there for 12 years but somehow he is taking a LOSS on his house – even though the smart move right now is to sell while the CAD is weak against the USD??

      Something seems off…

      1. He said he was down 100k. This is the third or fourth time that number has come up in regard to Sarasota single family. About 20% off minor respiratory illness.

  4. From the LA Times article:

    Christopher Climie, who recently moved to Palm Springs, was supposed to be hosting visitors from his native Canada this week.

    Ten friends — all gay men, like Climie — had planned to fly in from Toronto. They were going to trade the cold and rain for a hot desert weekend at the Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, where their beloved Lady Gaga is set to perform.

    But because of tensions between Canada and President Trump, they canceled their plans.

    “They were like, ‘No, Gaga is not worth it,'” said Climie, 39. “For a gaggle of gays to say Gaga is not worth it? You know there’s a problem.”’

    Laura Mezzacapo, accounting manager for the Vancouver-based travel agency the Travel Group, said that at this time of year, travel agents with her company would be busy booking spring break and summer vacations to the West Coast — especially to Las Vegas, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Palm Springs.

    But since mid-February, bookings to the U.S. have plummeted. Corporate bookings, she said, are down 70% to 80%. And instead of vacations in the American West, clients are opting for Mexico.

    There you go Chris, take yer a gaggle of gays down there. They love gays in Mehico.

  5. From the San Diego article:

    California tourism could lose billions of dollars because of President Donald Trump’s policies on tariffs, immigration and gender identity, as well as his talk of annexing Canada.

    Carol Harris, who spoke with CalMatters from Nova Scotia, said she and her husband have visited family in San Diego every year for a long time, but not anymore.

    “Never again, until Trump’s gone,” said Harris, a retired university professor who said it will be a big loss. “I will miss the desert,” she added. “I love the topography of California. I like the politics of California.”

    Still, she said that as an “adamantly progressive” person, not visiting the United States is “just something we have to do.”

    Don’t let the door hit yer adamantly progressive a$$ Carol.

  6. ‘But with Netanel mired in financial troubles, lender TIG Romspen US Master Mortgage LP acquired part of the development for roughly $26 million after it received no bidders during a May foreclosure sale’

    No bidders. But this is Memphis, wa happened to my shortage All Time High Larry?

    1. Bond Market Turbulence Lifts 30-Year Yield Most Since March 2020
      Alice Gledhill, James Hirai and Liz Capo McCormick
      Mon, April 7, 2025 at 1:11 PM PDT 5 min read

      (Bloomberg) — US government bonds tumbled Monday, erasing a portion of their biggest weekly advance since August, amid signs investors were momentarily regaining their appetite for risk.

      The historic selloff lifted yields across all maturities by at least 20 basis points during the session, with those on 30-year bonds higher by nearly 23 basis points in late trading — set for the biggest one-day increase since March 2020.

      “We are in this environment where a little bit of good news has a disproportional environment on asset prices,” said Ian Pollick, head of fixed income, commodities and currency strategy at CIBC. “We saw some potential rebalancing of the markets today, with the equity market starting to improve, and it had the first impact on displacing bonds.”

      Traders’ bets on how much the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates this year fluctuated between three and five quarter-point cuts. Four reductions are now reflected in overnight interest-rate swaps this year, with the first fully priced in for June. A May reduction is seen as a coin toss.

      Fear of a global recession triggered by the US administration’s tariffs agenda announced last week — and uncertainty around whether some of the most severe levies are being negotiated — led to sharp swings in the bond market as the week kicked off. While US President Donald Trump touted talks with Japanese officials, the White House denied to CNBC any plans to pause tariffs for 90 days.

      Some of the whipsawing in Treasuries is tied to to the volatility in stocks, said Subadra Rajappa, head of US rates strategy at Societe Generale. The S&P 500 was only slightly lower after diving as much as 4.7% and then climbing 3.4%. Likewise, yields on 30-year bonds fell as low as 4.32%, then shot up to 4.62%. They were around 4.58% in late trading.

      “It’s perhaps a combination of factors,” Rajappa said. “First, unlike prior crises it is not clear the Fed put is viable this time. Second, it is the concern that Treasuries might not act as a haven asset.”

      https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-bonds-stumble-traders-debate-144943042.html

    2. The NASDAQ is trading at 10% up from yesterday’s session low.

      Keep telling yourselves this is sustainable.

    3. Mad Money
      Jim Cramer says a recession is likely but investors shouldn’t panic sell
      Published Mon, Apr 7 2025 6:28 PM EDT
      Updated Mon, Apr 7 2025 6:30 PM EDT
      Russell Leung

      KEY POINTS

      – CNBC’s Jim Cramer believes a recession is likely, but that investors shouldn’t panic.

      – President Donald Trump can roll back his new tariffs and ease Wall Street’s fears whenever he wants, Cramer said.

      – The current economic moment isn’t comparable to the institutional weakness that sparked the Great Recession, he added.

      https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/07/jim-cramer-recession-dont-panic-sell.html

      1. That bag of #### will say whatever he wants because what the last crash taught him is he can be entirely wrong as still have a job as a guru prognosticator for a major network. Kinda the same for Barbara Cornhole.

      2. President Donald Trump can roll back his new tariffs and ease Wall Street’s fears whenever he wants,

        He says this as a suggestion, just like those old chirons that read “Greenspan to cut interest rates again???hint*hint*hint??” They think they can use the market to bully Trump into going back to globalism as usual. They don’t realize that Trump is willing to die on this hill.

    4. The Telegraph
      What is a margin call and why is Wall Street terrified?
      Michael Bow
      Mon, April 7, 2025 at 9:01 AM PDT 6 min read

      As a sea of red engulfed stock market trading screens on Monday, Donald Trump had a simple message for investors: “Don’t panic.”

      Yet for many Wall Street investors facing “margin calls” this week, Trump’s message is likely to ring hollow.

      “Margin call” are among the most feared words whispered on Wall Street, enough to strike terror into billionaire entrepreneurs and high-rolling hedge fund bosses alike.

      They are feared because they have the potential to ruin careers and leave investors penniless.

      https://finance.yahoo.com/news/margin-call-why-wall-street-160124325.html

      1. We have been teetering on the edge of a recession for the past five years and these yokuls are still risking everything on margin?

    5. Fed watchers expect no intervention for now as tariff detox continues
      Prominent strategists say ongoing inflationary pressure hamstring’s central bank’s ability to support convulsing markets.
      APR 08, 2025
      By Bloomberg

      Massive volatility in financial markets triggered by President Donald Trump’s burgeoning trade war has raised speculation the Federal Reserve may intervene to stem the losses. Don’t count on it, several Fed watchers said.

      With inflation still running above the US central bank’s target and levy-induced price hikes on the horizon, economists and market analysts said they believe Fed officials will wait for the impact to hit the real economy before they lower interest rates. That could take months to show up in official data.

      “If we don’t get a recession, it’s going to be hard for the Fed to look through this inflation in the short run,” Michael Gapen, chief US economist for Morgan Stanley said Monday on Bloomberg TV. “The Fed’s going to be on hold for the foreseeable future.”

      https://www.investmentnews.com/industry-news/fed-watchers-expect-no-intervention-for-now-as-tariff-detox-continues/260031

      1. “Fed watchers expect no intervention…”

        While visiting DJT at the White House to encourage a U.S. airstrike on Iran Netanyahu was also asking for a Powell Put for Israeli companies as share prices sagged.

    6. Explaining Monday’s Wild Ride in The Bond Market
      By: Matthew Graham • Mon, Apr 7 2025, 5:47 PM

      It was an extremely volatile, frustrating, and downright weird trading day for the bond market. After starting the overnight session near the lowest yields of the year, the rest of the day was dominated by heavy selling. Ask any market expert to predict today’s movement based on a simple inventory of news and events, and a 17bp jump in 10yr yields would be on exactly zero bingo cards. That leaves us to try to piece together best guesses from a laundry list of potential contributors. These are detailed in today’s video, but they include things like the inflation implications from trade policy, budgetary implications (lack of tariff revenue implies Treasury issuance), timid buyers ahead of this week’s Treasury auctions, fear of reduced foreign bond buying, and a general move to cash as traders look for new opportunities created by recent chaos.

      https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/markets/mbs-recap-04072025

    7. Wall Street Turns on Trump: Musk, Ackman, Druckenmiller Sound the Alarm
      Khac Phu Nguyen
      Mon, April 7, 2025 at 12:23 PM PDT 2 min read

      In This Article: TSLA +3.07%

      Wall Street just got loud and it’s not cheering. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, Pershing Square’s Bill Ackman (Trades, Portfolio), and hedge legend Stanley Druckenmiller (Trades, Portfolio) are now openly throwing punches at the Trump administration’s tariff plans, warning they could trigger a full-blown market meltdown. What started as scattered criticism has snowballed into a rare, public revolt from some of the most influential voices in investing. Even JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, once cautiously optimistic, is waving a red flag in his latest letter: We’re not in Kansas anymore. Meanwhile, markets continue their slide, with uncertainty mounting by the hour.

      Elon Musk didn’t hold back mocking top trade adviser Peter Navarro’s Harvard credentials and calling out the damage tariffs could inflict on Tesla.

      https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-turns-trump-musk-192320991.html

    8. Investors grapple with bond chaos in aftermath of President Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’
      Alexandra Canal · Senior Reporter
      Tue, April 8, 2025 at 1:26 PM PDT 4 min read

      It’s been one of the most chaotic stretches for US markets in recent memory. And the massive surge in long-term Treasury yields has served as yet another example of the bizarre trading action in the aftermath of Trump’s tariff-fueled “Liberation Day.”

      The 10-year yield jumped 17 basis points to kick off the week, a massive 34 basis point swing from a low of 3.87% to a high of 4.21%. The yield extended those gains on Tuesday, climbing nearly 11 basis points to hover at around 4.26%.

      Similarly, the 30-year yield (^TYX) jumped another 12 basis points Tuesday after seeing its biggest move to the upside since March 2020. As of the market close, the 30-year yield traded at 4.72%.

      Based on intraday datasets, which date back to 1998, market veteran Jim Bianco said “instances when the 10-year was down at least 12 basis points intraday and closed higher by at least 12 basis points that same day” have only happened three times, including Monday.

      “There are too few examples to discern market direction,” he added in a post on X. “Rather, it tells us the bond market thinks today was an extremely important day. How? For now, we can only speculate.”

      https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/how-trumps-policy-risk-is-showing-treasury-bonds-2025-04-08/

  7. Those Canadians ,so irksome in their views , and thoughts, the best thing for them is just to go, be-gone to cold Canada…Why Trump wants their land is understandable , maybe he can deport all the people there ,and start anew with decent ordinary Americans ?

    1. I thought we weren’t supposed to pigeonhole people here based on their nationality. You don’t think there are conservatives in Canada?

    2. Why Trump wants their land is understandable ,
      Maybe I am missing something, but I just gotta believe Trump is just trolling “The Elite” in Canada.
      If he is serious; Stop it, please!!

  8. Downtown Oakland hotel taken back by lender due to delinquent loan

    A dual-branded Marriott hotel in downtown Oakland was seized by the property’s lender because of a delinquent loan, fresh evidence of the feeble state of hotels in the Bay Area.

    Cook Children’s Health Care Services is now the owner of the 276-room hotel located at 1431 Jefferson St. following a deed in lieu of foreclosure, which is a streamlined version of the conventional process for a lender to seize a property with a delinquent loan, documents filed on March 28 with the Alameda County Recorder’s Office show.

    Beverly Hills-based real estate firm Hawkins Way Capital, acting through an affiliate, originally paid $30.8 million to buy the property where the hotel would be built. The firm then developed the hotel, financed by a $112 million loan that a unit of Goldman Sachs Group provided in 2019.

    In 2023, the Goldman Sachs subsidiary transferred the loan to Texas-based Cook Children’s Health Care System, a nonprofit whose operations include a children’s hospital in Fort Worth, Texas.

    At the time of the deed in lieu of foreclosure transaction, the unpaid debt on the loan was $117.1 million, including principal, interest, late fees and penalties, according to Alameda County property records.

    The foreclosure comes at a time when the majority of Bay Area hotels remain well below the lofty levels of success they had before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    The revenue per available room metric isn’t the only sign of difficulties in the Oakland hotel market. The Hilton Oakland Airport Hotel closed its doors in August 2024, a shutdown that erased 152 jobs.

    In October 2024, the Courtyard Oakland Downtown, a 162-room hotel, was bought for $10.6 million — a 76% decline from the hotel’s prior value.

    In February, the 500-room Oakland Marriott City Center went into default on a $100 million loan, raising the specter of foreclosure for the East Bay’s largest hotel.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/downtown-oakland-hotel-taken-back-by-lender-due-to-delinquent-loan/ar-AA1Cvz1i

  9. Tech giant Meta dumps 3 Bay Area offices

    Meta, the Menlo Park-based tech giant behind Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram, is shutting three side-by-side buildings at its large office complex across the bay in Fremont.

    The nearly 200,000 square feet of closures, reported by the San Francisco Standard and confirmed to SFGATE by Meta spokesperson Tracy Clayton, come as the company walks back a binge of office-leasing from the 2010s. In a January filing, Meta wrote that it finished 2024 with 11 million square feet of office and building space in the Bay Area, 2 million square feet of which was unoccupied space it planned to cut loose as part of “facilities consolidation restructuring efforts.”

    In 2018, Meta had less than half as many employees as it did at the start of this year. The company has ballooned in size, especially at the beginning of the pandemic, but over the past few years, both its head count and its real estate holdings have been in major flux. CEO Mark Zuckerberg slashed more than 20,000 jobs in 2022 and 2023 and chopped thousands more workers from its ranks earlier this year, with Zuckerberg vowing to backfill their roles.

    The company’s real estate moves have left vast amounts of office space up for grabs, and some smaller tech players are taking advantage. Meta ditched more than 400,000 square feet of office space at the San Francisco skyscraper 181 Fremont St., and in December, it subleased a 773,000-square-foot campus in Menlo Park to the cloud computing company Snowflake.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/tech-giant-meta-dumps-3-bay-area-offices/ar-AA1CtAWV

    1. In 2018, Meta had less than half as many employees as it did at the start of this year.

      If I worked for Meta I would be very worried, especially if my business unit isn’t profitable.

  10. Cold Springs developer faces setback as board rejects shift from housing to industrial

    The developer behind a massive housing project in Cold Springs north of Reno is seeking to drastically alter the proposal, significantly reducing the amount of homes planned and increasing the amount of industrial uses.

    But StoneGate developer Heinz Ranch LLC ran into a serious hurdle this week as the Reno Planning Commission rejected the attempt, with commissioners worried about the compatibility in the surrounding areas.

    The initial proposal, approved in 2018, was to build a 5,000-home master-planned community on the historic Heinz Ranch located north and south of U.S. 395 near White Lake Parkway.

    However, developers said economic conditions in the past several years prompted them to significantly downgrade the housing component and increase the industrial uses. Now, the proposal contains just 1,350 residential units and 11.75 million square feet of land for industrial uses, a twelvefold increase.

    StoneGate representatives Wednesday night tried to convince planning commissioners the amended project would result in a higher quality of life for Cold Springs residents, pointing to lower projected traffic volumes and water usage.

    But multiple planning commissioners didn’t buy the argument, with commissioner Kerry Rohrmeier, who ultimately voted no, saying she was torn about the proposal.

    “Right now we seem to have a surplus of distribution and warehouse facilities that are unoccupied millions of square feet of unoccupied distribution,” she said. “Is this the vision of North Valleys? Because we’ve heard tonight from residents and we’ve heard for years prior to this that this is not what is wanted in Ward 4.”

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/cold-springs-developer-faces-setback-as-board-rejects-shift-from-housing-to-industrial/ar-AA1CfksB

  11. Father And Son Charged In Alleged $284M Fraud Behind Sprawling Sports Complex

    Father-son duo Randall and Chad Miller face civil and criminal charges over an alleged $284M bond fraud scheme that led to the construction of a sprawling sports complex in Mesa, Arizona.

    The Department of Justice and Securities and Exchange Commission filed separate cases Tuesday against the pair, alleging they used forged letters of intent and contracts with well-known pro sports teams, including soccer juggernaut Manchester United, to secure $284M in municipal bonds through the state of Arizona.

    “Fathers and sons have found shared bonds in sports for generation,” FBI Assistant Director in Charge Christopher Raia said in a statement. “Randy and Chad Miller allegedly chose to use a planned sports complex as a means to exploit and defraud investors.”

    The sports complex, known as Legacy Park, opened in October 2022, less than two years after the bonds were issued. But the promised business never materialized. In May 2023, the development and its operators filed for bankruptcy. The complex was eventually sold for less than $26M, effectively wiping out bondholders’ equity.

    The Millers had told investors that at least seven organizations were lined up to use the park, including the English soccer club Manchester United and a youth affiliate of Major League Soccer’s Real Salt Lake. None of them had actually signed any of the deals cited in the bond prospectus, a Bloomberg report later found.

    The group of investors sued the Millers and Chicago-based bond dealer B.C. Ziegler in September, alleging that they inflated demand for the sports park and saying their investments relied on materially false and misleading information.

    Legacy Park’s revenue failed to cover debt costs, and the complex went into default the same year it opened. Legacy Cares, the nonprofit that owned the park, filed for bankruptcy in May 2023, The Arizona Republic reported.

    The company had $366M in liabilities and $242M in assets, including what it said was the $229M book value for the complex, which sold for a tenth that value five months later. Bondholders received $2.4M of the sale in cash and an 11% stake in the new owners, according to Bloomberg.

    Randy Miller, 70, and Chad Miller, 41, were criminally charged in the U.S. District Court for the District of Arizona, with the case being led by the Southern District of New York’s Securities and Commodities Fraud Task Force. They each face two charges related to securities fraud and a single count of aggravated identity theft.

    The SEC case charges the Millers and Jeffrey de Laveaga, Legacy Park’s former chief operating officer, with violating the antifraud provisions of the federal securities laws when they created fake documents to convince potential investors to buy in to the project.

    The pair forged signatures and created fake documents from sports teams and an organization that promotes sports for athletes with disabilities as part of their scheme to win investors, the criminal prosecutors allege.

    “Randy Miller and Chad Miller swindled investors out of over a quarter of a billion dollars by selling municipal bonds they knew were backed by forgeries and lies,” acting U.S. Attorney Matthew Podolsky said in a statement. “This Office is committed to protecting the integrity of the public finance system. When individuals abuse that system and investors’ trust, we will hold them accountable.”

    https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/commercial-real-estate/father-and-son-charged-in-284m-bond-fraud-that-built-sprawling-sports-complex-128761

  12. San Jose’s unhoused community struggle with clean water sources

    Dozens of homeless residents living at Columbus Park in San Jose have struggled to get drinking water, as local sources in the park have been off and on for weeks.

    Residents encamped in RVs and vehicles said they used to get their drinking water from fountains in the park, but the city shut the water off for at least two months. Some reverted to collecting water in containers from a spigot to bathe, wash their hands and cook. But when the spigot shut off mid-March, residents had to limit their baths and rely on advocates to bring them drinking water or find another water source elsewhere.

    Water at both the fountains and spigot returned the day after San Jose Spotlight inquired about the situation last week, but have since gone dry again. Columbus Park is home to at least 50 lived-in vehicles.

    Residents expressed frustration at not having water for an extended period of time.

    “When they shut off water, it’s hard to give water to our animals. They don’t realize how hard it is out here,” Courtney Hayes, 26, told San Jose Spotlight. “It’s scary because what if there’s a fire? Right now people start fires to keep themselves warm.”

    Teresa, a resident who didn’t want to give her last name for privacy reasons, has had to walk about a mile to another spigot and carry her jugs back to the encampment.

    “Older people, people (who) are disabled or mentally ill, they don’t know where to get (water),” she told San Jose Spotlight. “There’s a lot of (them) here.”

    Water has been turned off periodically in the park, homeless advocate Scott Largent said. The area used to have multiple water fountains, but the city removed them, leaving two water fountains at the dog park that he said had been the resident’s main source of drinking water. But with the city turning off the water fountains for more than two months, it forced people to drink from unsanitary water, he said.

    “Third-world countries supply people in war torn areas with fresh drinking water, and yet, we can’t pull that off here at all,” Largent told San Jose Spotlight. “Clean water should never been taken away from anyone in need. That’s a new low for San Jose.”

    Water coming out of the spigot is connected to the irrigation system. Irrigation water can be contaminated with fertilizer, animal waste, pathogens or heavy metals.

    Hayes avoided drinking water from the spigot because it made her sick. She relied on people bringing bottled water to the encampment after the city shut off the water fountains. But others continued to drink from the spigot, she said.

    “I don’t know what I had, I was throwing up even after boiling it,” she said. “People were getting sick.”

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/san-joses-unhoused-community-struggle-with-clean-water-sources/ar-AA1Cmfn5

    1. San Jose coddles their unhoused community. They should do the right thing and deliver bottled Perrier sparkling water with a smile!

  13. California has big plans for improving mental health. Medicaid cuts could upend them

    California under Gov. Gavin Newsom has made sweeping changes to its behavioral health system, pouring billions of dollars into new services and support programs.

    But the state’s ambitious plans face a looming threat: the proposed federal spending cuts that Congress is currently considering are seen as all but certain to impact Medicaid and could bring to a halt some of the headway the state has made in responding to its behavioral health crisis.

    It’s not that all of California’s behavioral health policies are explicitly tied to Medicaid, but many state and local mental health programs draw funding from it. Less Medicaid money means less money for those efforts.

    “When you remove resources of this size and scope everything is at risk,” said Alex Briscoe, principal with the nonprofit Public Works Alliance and who previously led the Alameda County Health Care Services Agency. “To be fair, the behavioral health reform landscape of California was just written, and we are still very much moving from promise to practice.

    “So it’s an extremely difficult time to see such fundamental threats to funding Medicaid,” Briscoe said.

    Medicaid, the joint state and federal health insurance program for low-income people, pays for the care of four in 10 Californians. It’s through this program, also known as Medi-Cal in the Golden State, that millions can access behavioral health services such as therapy, medication, psychiatric evaluations and crisis support. About two-thirds of California’s $161 billion Medicaid spending comes from the federal government.

    It’s also the Medicaid program that helps California pay for some of its social support services for its most vulnerable residents. They include housing navigation and food assistance, which help stabilize people and improve their chances of completing their course of mental health or substance use treatment.

    Meanwhile, opioid-related deaths skyrocketed between 2018 and 2023, largely because of fentanyl use, state data shows. Opioid overdose deaths peaked at more than 8,000 in 2023 and have been declining since last year.

    In response to the grim landscape, Newsom set out to revamp the state’s behavioral health system. This has included growing the number of treatment beds, training new mental health workers, expanding the reach of crisis hotlines and mobile crisis services, increasing the availability of opioid overdose reversal medication, and increasing mental health access in schools, among other changes.

    “There are tons of people on the streets who are struggling,” said Corey Hashida, a senior research associate at the Steinberg Institute, a mental health advocacy organization. “At a time when we’re trying to move forward with doing these big things to help those folks, all this uncertainty and chaos is swirling around federal cooperation … it just infuses a little fear into the safety net.”

    In a recent policy brief, Hashida explained that in addition to possible funding cuts to Medicaid, key federal behavioral health grants are also at risk. And California has already started to see some of this fallout. On March 24, the California Department of Health Care Services, which oversees the state’s Medicaid program, received termination letters from the federal Substance Abuse Mental Health Services Administration, pulling back $120 million in behavioral health grants.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/other/california-has-big-plans-for-improving-mental-health-medicaid-cuts-could-upend-them/ar-AA1Ct36j

    Behavioral health = bums.

    ‘Medicaid, the joint state and federal health insurance program for low-income people, pays for the care of four in 10 Californians’

    Poorest state in the union. 40% are freeloading bums.

    1. A healthy and law-abiding society is cheap.
      A dug-addled, crime-ridden, sick society is expensive.

      No wonder we’re $37 trillion in debt.

    2. “Medicaid, the joint state and federal health insurance program for low-income people, pays for the care of four in 10 Californians.”

      Or 2/5-ths of the population! Who is holding down the fort?

  14. Will Newsom keep health coverage for undocumented immigrants? | Opinion

    In California, an estimated 1.8 million residents are undocumented immigrants, or about 5% of the population. They perform many jobs native residents would never do. The financial challenge facing Sacramento is that these immigrants also comprise nearly a quarter of the state general fund cost of health care via California’s program for low-income residents, Medi-Cal.

    The state has made steady progress over the last nine years to provide Medi-Cal coverage to more and more of this population. In 2024, all these residents became eligible for Medi-Cal. This is a signature achievement for Gov. Gavin Newsom and legislative Democrats. But it may be short-lived.

    An explosion in Medi-Cal costs is now testing this program to its limits as President Trump and the Republican-led Congress have yet to make huge budget trims necessary to partially pay for an expected cut in taxes. Cuts to the federal Medicaid program (known as Medi-Cal in the state) are a near certainty. Here in Sacramento, where lawmakers are a couple months away from facing their budget deadline for the 2025-26 fiscal year, something is about to give.

    “It’s impossible to know at this point just who could be impacted,” Kristof Stremikis, director of market analysis and insight for the California Health Care Foundation, told The Bee. “What is clear is that reducing revenue requires covering fewer people, reducing benefits or paying health care providers less.”

    Sacramento’s Republican delegation has been seizing on this run-up in Medi-Cal costs and blaming it on the Democrats’ decision to cover the undocumented immigrants.

    But there is no getting around the disproportionate cost of covering these residents to the state. That is because the federal government, which provides more than 60% of the overall money for this program, does not cover undocumented immigrants. California has stepped in to pay these costs with its own money. In health-speak, these Californians have an “unsatisfactory immigration status.”

    Medi-Cal is bleeding so much money that the Newsom administration has had to seek an immediate infusion of more than $3 billion simply to pay the bills for this fiscal year. Michelle Baass, director of the California Department of Health Services, recently told legislators that rising costs are due to “higher-than-anticipated enrollment (including the undocumented population) and increased pharmacy costs.” The total program is estimated to cost more than $188 billion to cover about 15 million Californians, about $42 billion coming from the state general fund.

    The health coverage of undocumented immigrants does not feel like a winning wedge issue for California’s Republican leadership. Polls have shown that more than 60% support this coverage, with that percentage rising over time.

    Its popularity undoubtedly will not be lost on the governor, as he is on an uncharted political journey away from the “toxic” Democrat brand as he takes new positions, such as opposing transgender females in athletic competition. Newsom simply can’t run away from himself. He was the candidate for governor who promised universal health care for all Californians through a centralized, single-payer system. Health care is such a core value; no podcast from Marin County could hope to change that.

    Medi-Cal’s financial problem is due to its popularity, namely, more Californians signed up for it this year than expected.

    “It’s very difficult to project what the caseload level is going to be,” said Jason Constantouros, a principal fiscal and policy analyst for the California Legislative Analyst’s Office, the Legislature’s nonpartisan think tank.

    Undocumented immigrants don’t deserve a target on their backs this budget season any more than the rest of the state’s residents. Personally, I’d prefer that state dollars go to health care than to rebates for electric vehicles, as promised by the governor if Trump ends the federal program.

    But this feels like the most unpredictable budget season facing Sacramento in a long time. The recent drop in the stock market, caused by President Trump’s spiking of tariffs across the globe, only makes the revenue side of the ledger even bleaker in Sacramento. It’s going to test the fiscal values of Democrats and what they stand for most.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/other/will-newsom-keep-health-coverage-for-undocumented-immigrants-opinion/ar-AA1CrTci

    1. They perform many jobs native residents would never do.
      This is B.S. I know people, while in college. who “walked Beans” every summer. Why? It paid and they needed the money.
      Hell, for $50. an hour I’d walk beans for a week or so. It ain’t that we won’t do the jobs, it’s we won’t do the jobs for minimum or sub-minimum wage.

  15. Sales Tax Hike Deepens Anxiety for LA’s Most Vulnerable Seniors

    LOS ANGELES – At 68, Robert Martinez, a retired electrician from Ladera Heights, meticulously plans his monthly expenses to align with his fixed income. Every dollar is accounted for, covering essentials like utilities, medications, and groceries. The recent implementation of Measure A introduces a new challenge: an increased sales tax affecting his daily purchases.​

    Effective April 1, Measure A raised the Los Angeles County sales tax from 9.5% to 9.75%. This half-cent increase is projected to generate over $1 billion annually, earmarked for homelessness services and affordable housing initiatives. Specifically, approximately 60% of the revenue will support county homeless services, with 15% of that portion allocated to cities based on their unhoused populations. Additionally, about 35.75% is designated for the Los Angeles County Affordable Housing Solutions Agency. ​

    While essential items such as groceries and prescription medications are exempt from sales tax, other daily necessities are not. For seniors like Martinez and single parents who rely on tight budgets, even minor increases in expenses can disrupt carefully balanced financial plans. The additional tax on non-exempt items means that discretionary spending must be adjusted, potentially affecting quality of life.​

    “I have to budget and spend within my means,” Martinez said. “Why are we raising taxes for a county and city that haven’t budgeted well?”​

    This sentiment is echoed by many seniors across the county. According to the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, seniors aged 65 and older comprise approximately 14.25% of the county’s population, totaling over 1.4 million individuals. In contrast, the homeless population stands at approximately 75,312 individuals, representing about 0.75% of the county’s nearly 10 million residents. ​

    California accounts for about a third of the nation’s homeless people, and among this population, seniors are estimated to be the fastest-growing group. One key indicator is the state’s tally of people accessing homelessness services. From 2017 to 2021, California’s overall senior population grew by 7%, but the number of people 55 and over who sought homelessness services increased by 84% – more than any other age group, according to the state’s Homeless Data Integration System. For comparison, the number of people accessing homelessness services across all ages increased 43% during this time period.

    Additionally, a recent audit by Alvarez & Marsal (A&M) ordered by Judge David O. Carter highlighted severe accountability issues, further fueling mistrust among taxpayers.

    In response to these revelations, the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors voted to create a new county department dedicated to homelessness services, reallocating hundreds of millions of dollars away from LAHSA.

    Many residents express frustration over the increased financial burden and question the prudence of allocating additional funds to agencies with a history of fiscal mismanagement.​

    “It’s disheartening to see our taxes go up when there’s been so much waste,” said Lisa Nguyen, 74, a retired nurse from Long Beach. “We need assurances that this money will be spent wisely.”​

    Similarly, James Fischer, 70, from Culver City, said, “I’ve always lived within my means. It’s frustrating to see the county not doing the same.”​

    Still, some residents remain hopeful that this measure will finally lead to meaningful change. “We’re at our wits’ end,” said Emily Peet, 45, a single mother. “Something needs to be done, and this measure comes with accountability. Let’s see if the county holds itself accountable this time.”

    For residents like Martinez, Carter, Nguyen, and O’Connor, sacrifices demanded by higher taxes must yield transparent and measurable outcomes. As Martinez succinctly stated, “We’re doing our part; now it’s time for the county to prove it can manage this money responsibly.”

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/economy/sales-tax-hike-deepens-anxiety-for-la-s-most-vulnerable-seniors/ar-AA1CrOJh

    ‘It’s disheartening to see our taxes go up when there’s been so much waste’

    Yer a natzie fer complaining about guberment waste Lisa.

    1. “I have to budget and spend within my means,” Martinez said. “Why are we raising taxes for a county and city that haven’t budgeted well?”​

      Boy Butter lubricant; get it on Amazon, Robert!

      “I’ve always lived within my means. It’s frustrating to see the county not doing the same.”​

      Man-up, James!

      “We’re doing our part; now it’s time for the county to prove it can manage this money responsibly.”

      Robert, I tee off at 0900 this morning, and I am looking forward to a two martini, per diem lunch of shrimp scampi with movers and shakers. Your incessant sniveling is irritating. STFU!!

  16. ‘The issue is we’re now in limbo’: DOGE cuts impact Kern County food and housing assistance programs

    BAKERSFIELD, Calif. (KGET) — Amid continued federal funding cuts from the Trump administration, the future of various federal programs remains unclear.

    In Bakersfield, families seeking food and housing assistance are already being turned away. Food pantries and organizations in town predict the impact will only grow — perhaps within the next month.

    For families struggling to make ends meet, the Salvation Army in Bakersfield is often the last glimpse of hope.

    “We are the last resort,” said Capt. Clinton Trimmer, a corps officer with the Bakersfield Salvation Army.

    “What we are talking about is people who have received either an eviction notice or people who have received a pay or quit notice. So, these are people who are in an emergency situation. It’s not just they have fallen behind. They are in danger of homelessness,” said Trimmer.

    What allows Captain Clinton Trimmer and his team to help are federal funds from The  Emergency Food and Shelter Program (EFSP) of FEMA, the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

    To help prevent homelessness, this program — started in 1983 — funds housing, food and supportive services.

    “It’s been a stable program, and it may still be a stable program. We don’t know. The issue is we’re now in limbo,” Trimmer noted.

    Trimmer also said this funding specifically is used for the Salvation Army’s Homeless Prevention Program — rent, mortgage and utility assistance.

    In recent weeks and days, he’s had to turn families away. “We just aren’t able to provide that assistance,” he stated.

    “There’s a total pause on all Emergency Food and Shelter Program funding,” said Eric Arias, CEO of United Way of Central Eastern California. “So, that means Phase 42, which would be that new phase of funding, which has been in existence for decades and has been a reliable source of funding for a lot of our nonprofits, but also, for those who are owed funding for awards that have been previously done in previous phases, they’re also not able to pull down that funding at the moment.”

    Another specific example — for food pantries like Catholic Charities, CAPK is the only supplier. Most of their food comes from CAPK for free. So, if there are cuts to CAPK because of the limbo situation with EFSP funds, that means CAPK can’t purchase as much food.

    That reduces how much food these food pantries get, and thus Kern County families get. “We’re able to bring them food. It’s a culturally appropriate menu, so we bring things like rice, beans, chicken,” said Beatriz Trevino, site director of Catholic Charities.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/the-issue-is-we-re-now-in-limbo-doge-cuts-impact-kern-county-food-and-housing-assistance-programs/ar-AA1CujgS

    ‘We’re able to bring them food. It’s a culturally appropriate menu, so we bring things like rice, beans, chicken’

    They’re doing the jobs Mericans won’t do Beatriz.

  17. Federal workers are cramming the roads and trains to return to the office

    Kevin Gomer filed into the MARC commuter train hours before the sun came up, three meals packed, listless not from lack of sleep, but rather from the stress of workplace uncertainty that awaited.

    His procurement work at the National Institutes of Health was mostly paused as the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, slashes federal spending. But new in-office policies meant he would carry out his lighter workload that day from behind a desk in suburban Montgomery County.

    “DOGE and the government dictate my life now,” he said during the commute one March morning. His refrain throughout the nearly three-hour morning trip: “This isn’t sustainable.”

    With four, 10-hour in-office days that week, Gomer’s total commute time added up to 20 hours. Nearly a full day, zapped.

    The Baltimore-D.C. commuter, once endangered, is in species-recovery mode.

    Roughly 100,000 federal workers live in the Baltimore metro region. The Trump administration’s return-to-office demand has clogged interstates and crowded commuter trains at levels not seen since before the COVID-19 pandemic changed the way many desk jobs are done.

    The Baltimore Banner interviewed dozens of area federal workers, even commuting with Gomer, to capture their new reality. Many asked for anonymity out of fear of retaliation by the administration.

    “I’m literally the walking dead,” said Gomer, waiting to cross an intersection.

    For A., a federal worker who asked to be identified by her first initial, the best way to avoid the worst traffic is to leave her South Baltimore home at 5 a.m. and arrive at the office for a roughly 6:15 a.m. clock-in.

    That’s a big change from working 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. at home. That had been her schedule since taking the job in the middle of the pandemic.

    The drive home can take as long as two hours, A. said. The most frustrating patch is just south of Baltimore, a bottleneck that has tightened since the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge cut off one of three Patapsco River crossings.

    A., the federal worker who lives in South Baltimore, has been trying some train commuting but found that it makes the days even longer. Like Gomer, she has to drive to the station or get her partner to drop her off, and a Metro ride awaits on the other end.

    One of the “benefits” of public transit over driving is the ability to work during the commute. Chunks of this story were written from the MARC train, despite the lack of power outlets (that’s a hint, MTA).

    But for federal workers required to be at their desks to carry out their duties, a long train commute can feel like a giant waste of time.

    It did for Gomer, whose journey that March morning stretched another half-hour thanks to Metro maintenance issues.

    Gomer’s long commuting days ended abruptly last week: A federal worker for more than a decade, he lost his job as part of the DOGE sweep of health agencies.

    https://www.thebaltimorebanner.com/community/transportation/federal-employee-remote-worker-commute-BLBCLQMZIVD57GT7E42USUUEDY/

    1. “Kevin Gomer filed into the MARC commuter train hours before the sun came up, three meals packed, listless not from lack of sleep, but rather from the stress of workplace uncertainty that awaited.”

      You will own nothing, Kevin. Nothing!

  18. Texas job market was feeling DOGE’s pinch. Then tariffs hit.

    Data from the Texas Workforce Commission’s database of announced reductions in force show how the effect of cutbacks in federal spending has rippled across the state.

    Among the hardest hit was Catholic Charities of the Archdiocese of Galveston-Houston. The charitable group cut more than 350 jobs, according to TWC Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification (WARN) notices, more than 20% of its workforce, in February. The cuts came after the Trump administration froze funding for refugee and migrant resettlement programs for which it had been contracted.

    Syzygy Plasmonics, a Houston hydrogen energy startup that raised more than $100 million in funding last year and received backing from Japanese industrial giant Mitsubishi Heavy Industries America, said in February it would lay off about 70 people, more than half its staff.

    CEO Trevor Best said the cuts came as part of “one of those read-the-room situations.”

    “There is definitely a correlation between the new administration’s stance on clean energy and the executive orders that have come out and customer mentality and investor mentality, so they are definitely tied together,” he said.

    Safal Partners, a Houston educational training firm, had its $2.9 million contract with the Department of Education cancelled last month. Active Deployment Systems of San Marcos, which provides temporary housing, laundry and other services, lost a $26.6 million Department of Homeland Security contract. San Antonio’s Dependable Health Services had its $16.6 million contract with DHS scuttled. And 7th Echelon, a Pearland consultant, saw its nearly $2 million contract with the Department of Agriculture terminated.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/texas-job-market-was-feeling-doges-pinch-then-tariffs-hit/ar-AA1Cw6Fu

  19. Market Watch – The stock market will go down 80% ‘when this is over,’ says bearish investor Mark Spitznagel.

    Spitznagel still believes we haven’t entered the main event and the recent stock-market plunge is just a ‘trap’.

    https://archive.is/IBSJz#selection-1979.0-1983.111

    One of Wall Street’s most notoriously pessimistic — and successful — investors, Mark Spitznagel, said the stock-market plunge that’s followed President Donald Trump’s tariff rollout isn’t the epic market crash he has been calling for, but rather the turmoil along the way to the big event.

    “I expect an 80% crash when this is over. I just don’t think this is it. This is a trap,” he wrote in commentary to MarketWatch on Monday, adding that when the real crash happens, investors will know it.

    Spitznagel is the founder and chief investment officer of hedge fund Universa Investments, which employs a strategy that aims to take positions that will benefit from rare, unpredictable but highly impactful events. It’s known as a “Black Swan” fund — a term to describe such events popularized by scientist, author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who was influential in the firm’s strategy.

    Universa made headlines in the first quarter of 2020 for returning 4,144% as the market crashed in March from fears of the COVID pandemic. Spitznagel told MarketWatch that Universa is still trading this market like a crash even though he’s not convinced one has arrived.

    “This is another selloff to shake people out. This isn’t Armageddon. That time will come as the bubble bursts,” he wrote. “This is a most contrarian view right now. Promise.”

    Spitznagel has been calling for a bigger crash — one that would be the worst since 1929. The investor emphasized he isn’t in the business of predicting the timing of market crashes. However, he has previously voiced concerns over mounting U.S. debt, which he sees posing a key risk to markets.

    In 2024, he warned investors about not getting caught off guard when the stock market does turn for the worse, and end up being the “sucker” that sells when the market is down and buys when it’s up. He advocated having positions agnostic to market turmoil — a difficult ask for the average person.

    “We’ve had our clients riding this bull market for years,” Spitznagel wrote on Monday. “All the doom and gloomers think it’s over and they have this figured out. Take it from a professional doomer, they don’t. And they definitely don’t have the right position for it.”
    In a 2023 interview with Fortune, he noted that retail investors could ride out storms without needing to resort to complex trading strategies by simply buying low-cost, broad index funds, and even adding to their positions when the market is down. The key for retail is to not overextend their exposure to a point of being forced to sell at a bad time in the market.

    1. “You gotta pump those numbers up, those are rookie numbers in this racket”

      Today’s rally has already faded.

    2. “I expect an 80% crash when this is over. I just don’t think this is it. This is a trap,” he wrote in commentary…

      During the second phase your house will lose more than 50% of its fake value as we unwind the FHA. Next, your trophy wife…

  20. CNBC – Treasury Secretary Bessent says China’s escalation was ‘big mistake,’ country playing with ‘losing hand’.

    Key Points:

    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Tuesday the U.S. holds a substantial advantage over China in the burgeoning trade war.

    “What do we lose by the Chinese raising tariffs on us? We export one-fifth to them of what they export to us, so that is a losing hand for them,” he said.

    Bessent added that he expects the U.S. to be able to strike “good deals” with many of its trading partners.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/08/treasury-secretary-bessent-says-chinas-escalation-was-big-mistake-country-playing-with-losing-hand.html

    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Tuesday the U.S. holds a substantial advantage over China as the two nations exchange threats in a burgeoning trade war.

    “I think it was a big mistake, this Chinese escalation, because they’re playing with a pair of twos,” Bessent said during an interview on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “What do we lose by the Chinese raising tariffs on us? We export one-fifth to them of what they export to us, so that is a losing hand for them.”

    The comments come a day ahead of the U.S. raising its duties on China and dozens of other nations as part of so-called reciprocal tariffs whose purpose, Bessent said, is to bring trading partners to the negotiating table and jobs back to the U.S.

    So far, he said Japan has been at the forefront of countries eager to negotiate, and the White House expects a multitude of others.

    “I think you are going to see some very large countries with large trade deficits come forward very quickly,” Bessent said. “If they come to the table with solid proposals, I think we can end up with some good deals.”

    Ultimately, the hope would be to generate both jobs and revenue from the tariffs, he added.

    “If we put up a tariff wall, the ultimate goal would be to bring jobs back to the U.S. But in the meantime, we will be collecting substantial tariffs,” Bessent said. “If we’re successful, tariffs would be a melting ice cube, in a way, because you’re taking in the revenues as the manufacturing facilities are built in the U.S., and there should be some level of symmetry between the taxes we begin taking in with the new industry from the payroll taxes as the tariffs decline.”

    While he said some 70 countries have reached out to the White House to begin talks, China has vowed it will “fight to the end” and has imposed 34% tariffs on U.S. products.

    In return, President Donald Trump said he will slap another 50% charge on Chinese imports if the tariff is not withdrawn. The U.S. in 2024 ran a nearly $300 billion trade deficit with China, or about one-third of the entire imbalance.

    With the tariffs, Trump is hoping to open up more markets for American products and reshore manufacturing operations to the U.S. However, the administration is not simply focusing on absolute tariff levels from other nations but rather nontariff barriers such as currency manipulation, Europe’s value-added tax and other methods the White House says undermine fair trade.

    “Everything is on the table,” Bessent said. “The academic literature shows that it’s actually the nontariff barriers which are harder, both harder to quantify and … they’re more insidious because they’re hidden, they’re obfuscated.”

    Stock market futures, which already had been indicating a strong open on Wall Street, added to gains after Bessent spoke.

  21. Ag groups, lawmakers, farmers and ranchers voice concern and support of Trump tariffs

    Dairy leaders called for a targeted approach to tariffs and an emphasis on positive negotiations with most trading partners as the Trump Administration moved ahead with a plan for stepped-up tariffs worldwide.

    “Tariffs can be a useful tool for negotiating fairer terms of trade,” said NMPF President & CEO Gregg Doud in a joint statement with U.S. Dairy Export Council President & CEO Krysta Harden released earlier today. “We are glad to see the administration focusing on long-time barriers to trade that the European Union and India have imposed on our exports. The administration has rightly noted both countries’ penchants for restricting sales of American products.”

    “In fact, 20% reciprocal tariffs are a bargain for the EU considering the highly restrictive tariff and nontariff barriers the EU imposes on our dairy exporters,” Doud continued. “If Europe retaliates against the United States, we encourage the administration to respond strongly by raising tariffs on European cheeses and butter. We also appreciate the President’s recognition of the sizable barriers facing U.S. dairy exports into the Canadian market.”

    “As the administration moves forward with negotiations on these tariffs, we encourage prioritizing getting back to fully open trade with U.S. FTA partners, targeting actors who have long put up entrenched barriers to American exports, and swiftly negotiating constructive outcomes with those we know are working for a long-term, fruitful relationship with American farmers.”

    “Historically, Canada has failed to live up to its commitments to provide access to its market; this remains the case even with new provisions in the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA),” Sens. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis.; Roger Marshall, R-Kan.; and Joni Ernst, R-Iowa, wrote. “Canada continues to manipulate access to its dairy market by reserving the vast majority of shares of their Tariff Rate Quotas (TRQs) for Canadian processors, causing fill rates to remain low across several dairy product categories, including whey powder, milk powder, and cheese for industrial use.”

    The senators noted that the dairy sector in Canada operates under strict and predetermined circumstances. These include limits on production, pre-set prices and restricted imports, in order to guard the country’s supply management system.

    Recent changes to the trade agreement were expected to improve this access to an extent, but the lawmakers claimed, “Canada is not fulfilling their commitments.”

    “For years, Canada has been skirting the rules and cheating American dairy farmers and businesses out of fair access to their market. We cannot miss this opportunity to help level the playing field, and I’m ready to work with President Trump to protect and grow Made in Wisconsin dairy and ensure fairness for our farmers,” Baldwin told Fox News Digital in a statement.

    R-CALF USA, the nation’s largest nonprofit trade association representing independent cattle and sheep producers, applauded President Trump’s universal 10 percent tariff on all imported goods stating that the tariffs are needed to reverse the ongoing and rapid contraction of both the U.S. cattle industry and sheep industry.

    “Our nation’s cattle and sheep sectors are losing farms and ranches at an alarming rate, with census data showing our beef cattle operations disappeared at the rate of over 21,000 farms and ranches per year during the five-year period between the two latest censuses. Tariffs will help put an end to the globalists’ practice of using cheaper imports to reduce demand for domestic cattle and sheep, which causes domestic farms and ranches to fail,” said R-CALF USA CEO Bill Bullard.

    “Both our cattle and sheep industries need ‘space’ from the downward price pressure of cheaper imports to incentivize domestic herd expansions, investments in feedlots and packing facilities, and to attract new entrants into the industry,” Bullard said.

    In recent letters to the Trump administration, R-CALF USA also asked for a tariff-rate quota system that would limit current beef imports by 1.5 billion pounds and substantially limit lamb imports to allow the domestic sheep industry to reclaim at least 50 percent of the domestic lamb market.

    The ranch group also asked for a 25 percent tariff on imports of live cattle from Canada and Mexico.

    https://www.wisfarmer.com/story/news/2025/04/08/ag-groups-have-been-vocal-about-where-they-stand-on-latest-tariffs/82986772007/

  22. The Daily Caller – ‘Assassination Culture’: Poll Shows About Half Of Liberals Believe Killing Trump, Musk Justified.

    https://dailycaller.com/2025/04/08/assassination-culture-poll-shows-about-half-of-liberals-believe-killing-trump-musk-justified/

    A new survey finds an “assassination culture” growing on the American left since the attempted killing of President Donald Trump in July 2024.

    Data released Monday from the Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI) found “48% and 55%” of “left of center” people “at least somewhat justifying murder for Elon Musk and President Trump, respectively.” The findings come after a historically violent election season in 2024, which saw two assassination attempts on Trump in July and September.

    “These attitudes are not fringe—they reflect an emergent assassination culture, grounded in far-left authoritarianism and increasingly normalized in digital discourse,” the NCRI wrote. The group produced its study with the Rutgers University Social Perception Lab and surveyed 1264 U.S. citizens about their attitudes toward political violence.

    [A chart appears here …]

    When surveying all respondents, only 38% said killing Trump would be “at least somewhat justified,” meaning there was “significantly higher justification” among self-identified liberals specifically, the NCRI said.

    The group also found that 39% of U.S. residents think “it is at least somewhat acceptable (or more) to destroy a Tesla dealership in protest” of Musk, who now leads Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) but is also Tesla’s CEO.

    The NCRI’s work adds to other data from July by United Kingdom-based researcher Eric Kaufman showing that a third of Democrats say they wish the first attempt on Trump’s life had succeeded in killing him. The first known assassination attempt against Trump nearly killed the president at a Pennsylvania campaign rally as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks shot him in the ear, barely missing his head, and killed an attendee.

    The NCRI said online platforms such as BlueSky “play a strong predictive role in amplifying” the culture of violence on the left. “In these ecosystems, violence is not just justified — it is stylized, gamified, and embedded within a broader ideological narrative,” the organization said.

    1. ‘Assassination Culture’: Poll Shows About Half Of Liberals Believe Killing Trump, Musk Justified.

      When leftists don’t get their way, they resort to violence.

  23. Rejected asylum seekers go into hiding in the Netherlands to reapply after 18 months

    A growing number of asylum seekers whose claims are rejected under European rules are disappearing from Dutch asylum centers to avoid deportation, aiming to reapply once a legal deadline passes. The practice, revealed by EenVandaag, exploits a loophole in the Dublin Regulation—a key EU law that assigns responsibility for asylum applications to the country where a person first entered Europe.

    Under current rules, if an asylum seeker is not transferred back to the responsible country within 18 months, the claim expires. At that point, the Netherlands becomes responsible for handling the application, regardless of where the person first arrived in the EU.

    The Dutch Immigration and Naturalization Service (IND) routinely checks European databases when someone applies for asylum in the Netherlands. If records show that the person was previously registered in another EU country, the IND issues a so-called “Dublin claim,” formally requesting that country to take the applicant back.

    That country has two months to respond. If it does not, the claim is considered accepted by default. But in practice, the system often fails due to poor cooperation between member states and applicants disappearing from official oversight, according to Mark Klaassen, assistant professor of migration law. “The Dublin Regulation is meant to work between member states, and its effectiveness depends on their willingness to cooperate,” Klaassen told EenVandaag. “In practice, the system often fails because the other country doesn’t cooperate—or the asylum seeker doesn’t.”

    Data obtained by EenVandaag from the IND show that only one in six Dublin claims filed by the Netherlands over the past five years has led to an actual transfer. Willingness to comply varies sharply between countries: Germany accepts nearly half of Dutch transfer requests, while Italy has not responded to any of the more than 4,000 Dutch requests submitted over the past three years. As a result, no asylum seekers have been transferred from the Netherlands to Italy during that period.

    The 18-month expiration deadline has effectively created a legal escape route. “You often see in the data the status ‘left to unknown destination,’” Klaassen said. “These are people who left asylum centers and disappeared. Once the 18 months pass and the person has not been returned to the original EU country, the Netherlands must process the application.”

    Asylum lawyer Sonya Taheri said many asylum seekers know how the regulation works and plan their actions accordingly. “They have a few months to build a network,” she told EenVandaag. “At a certain point, I tell them: now is the moment to leave the center. Then they go into hiding.”

    Taheri said these individuals often receive support from private citizens or religious groups. “There are many people in the Netherlands who want to help this group,” she said. “They understand why someone wants to stay—because they have family here, or because the country they’re being returned to has much worse conditions.”

    Several church-based organizations confirmed to EenVandaag that they assist rejected asylum seekers during the waiting period. None were willing to be publicly named, citing legal risks. These groups aim to help asylum seekers survive the 18-month gap without becoming homeless.

    In Amsterdam, the municipality also provides support to undocumented migrants, including those with unresolved Dublin claims. Alderman Rutger Groot Wassink said the city provides shelter to avoid people sleeping outside. “We want to avoid having vulnerable people sleep outside, because that’s the alternative,” he told EenVandaag. “We believe that’s unacceptable for those individuals and it also causes more nuisance for the city.”

    Groot Wassink voiced concern over planned changes to the Dublin system under the European Union’s new Asylum and Migration Pact, set to take effect in 2026. The reforms would extend the expiration period for Dublin claims from 18 months to three years. “That will mean people will have to live in illegality even longer, with all the consequences that entails,” he said. “We see on the ground what the effects are of rules that don’t work well.”

    Despite the impending change, Taheri said she does not expect a decline in the number of people trying to stay. “There are entire Facebook groups where people secretly arrange temporary housing,” she said. “It may become slightly harder, but people don’t scare off that easily if they truly see their future here in the Netherlands.”

    The Dublin Regulation was introduced in 2003 to prevent asylum seekers from filing multiple applications across the EU and to clarify which member state is responsible for handling claims. While intended to ensure fairness and efficiency, critics say the system has created major imbalances and loopholes that some governments and applicants have learned to navigate—or ignore.

    https://nltimes.nl/2025/04/07/rejected-asylum-seekers-go-hiding-netherlands-reapply-18-months

  24. America is lost. But we can still save the rest of the world from Trump’s tariffs

    On April 2, the United States closed its doors to world trade. Canada was spared the worst. It was exempted from the 10-per-cent universal tariff and the country-specific tariffs of up to 50 per cent. But Canada cannot escape the global fallout. Billions of dollars in goods destined for the U.S. will now have to find new markets. This will trigger the biggest trade diversion in the history of globalization.

    While Mr. Trump’s tariff policies will tank the U.S. economy, it is imperative that the wider world is spared the same fate. That requires three things.

    First, Canada and its trading partners across the globe should collectively reaffirm their respect for multilateral trade rules. The World Trade Organization was created to keep markets open and trade flowing. Despite its many shortcomings, it remains crucial. Reaffirming the principles underpinning an institution already declared dead by some is no sign of naïveté or nostalgia.

    Third, countries need to find ways to manage the Great Trade Diversion collaboratively. Canada’s task to diversify its trade relations away from the U.S. has just become more complicated. It simultaneously needs to pry open new export markets while breaking the import wave from Asia. The best path for managing these tensions is through co-operation. Just as Canada needs new markets, so does the rest of the world.

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-america-is-lost-but-we-can-still-save-the-rest-of-the-world-from/

    1. “On April 2, the United States closed its doors to world trade.”

      [Oh, Wait! …]

      The Epoch Times – US Treasury Secretary Says Around 70 Countries Have Reached Out Over Tariffs.

      Bessent also said on Tuesday that he believes ‘a couple of big trading partners’ will ’do deals very quickly.’

      https://archive.ph/wflpa

      Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that about 70 countries have reached out to the Trump administration to negotiate on tariffs that were announced this past week.
      While he did not confirm whether there was any headway in negotiations, Bessent told Fox News’ Larry Kudlow on Monday that “50, 60, maybe almost 70 countries” have gotten in contact with the Trump administration looking to hold talks.
      “It’s going to be a busy April, May, maybe into June,” he said.

      “As I advised on many shows on April 2, I suggested that the foreign officials keep your cool. Do not escalate and come to us with your offers on how you’re going to drop tariffs, how you’re going to drop non-tariff barriers, how you’re going to stop your currency manipulation, how you’re going to stop the subsidized financing. And at a point, President Trump will be ready to negotiate.”

      He then spoke of talks with the Japanese government, confirming that President Donald Trump told U.S. trade officials to lead negotiations with Japan.

      “Japan is a very important military ally. They’re a very important economic ally, and the U.S. has a lot of history with them. So I would expect that Japan is going to get priority just because they came forward very quickly,” the Treasury secretary said.

      “But it’s going to be very busy, and President Trump, again, gave himself maximum negotiating leverage, and just when he achieved the maximum leverage, he’s willing to start talking.”

      When asked about whether the United States could reach a deal with Japan, Bessent did not say but cautioned that “negotiations are going to be tough.”

      In a comment to reporters outside the White House on Tuesday, Bessent said that he believes “a couple of big trading partners” will “do deals very quickly” with the administration, although he didn’t go into specifics.

      “If they come to the table with solid proposals, I think we can end up with some good deals,” he told CNBC in a separate interview about the negotiations.

      This past week, the White House said that a 10 percent baseline tariff would be imposed on almost every country in the world, while more significant trading partners would see higher rates. In the subsequent days, Wall Street posted its worst two-day loss since the COVID-19 pandemic.

      On Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indexes clawed back some of their losses from the previous week as Bessent and other Trump administration officials confirmed negotiations would start. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up well over 1,000 points by Tuesday morning, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 saw gains as well
      Story continues below advertisement

      Trump administration officials say the president is following through on a promise to reverse decades of trade liberalization that he believes has undercut the U.S. economy. During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump often said he would impose tariffs on countries to offset longstanding trade deficits.

      Amid the uncertainty on Monday, Trump said that he wouldn’t initiate a pause on the tariffs amid online rumors that the administration would issue a 90-day reprieve.

      “Well, we’re not looking at that,” the president told reporters in the Oval Office. “We have many, many countries that are coming to negotiate deals with us, and they’re going to be fair deals. And in certain cases, they’re going to be paying substantial tariffs. There will be fair deals.”

    2. ‘The World Trade Organization was created to keep markets open and trade flowing. Despite its many shortcomings, it remains crucial. Reaffirming the principles underpinning an institution already declared dead by some is no sign of naïveté or nostalgia…Canada’s task to diversify its trade relations away from the U.S. has just become more complicated. It simultaneously needs to pry open new export markets while breaking the import wave from Asia. The best path for managing these tensions is through co-operation. Just as Canada needs new markets, so does the rest of the world’

      At the same time.

      1. At the same time.

        Without the US they can’t all be net exporters. Some are going to have trade deficits, and since their currencies are not reserve currencies they will devalue.

    3. It simultaneously needs to pry open new export markets while breaking the import wave from Asia.

      Asia is not part of the greater world?

  25. Former MPP Randy Hillier wins bid to appeal dismissal of COVID-19 lockdown Charter challenge

    Ontario’s highest court has ruled that gathering limits during the COVID-19 lockdown in 2021 unjustifiably violated the Charter right to peaceful assembly, and it’s allowing former Ottawa-area MPP Randy Hillier to appeal the dismissal of his challenge on the constitutionality of those limits.

    In a decision published Monday, Justice Peter Lauwers wrote that peaceful assembly and political protest are “integral to a functioning democracy,” and that the effect of shutdown and stay-at-home orders was to “stifle” assemblies protesting those bans.

    Hillier was charged with provincial offences under the Reopening Ontario (A Flexible Response to COVID-19) Act for acting as a host or organizer at two protests in eastern Ontario in 2021: in Kemptville on April 8, and in Cornwall on May 1.

    After he was charged, Hillier and his lawyers at Charter Advocates Canada — funded by the Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms — challenged the gathering limits. In 2023, Superior Court Justice John Callaghan determined the limits were reasonable and dismissed Hillier’s challenge.

    Lauwers disagreed with Callaghan’s analysis, finding that Callaghan “focused on the law’s overwhelming social good in preventing the spread of COVID-19, not on ways in which the fundamental freedom of peaceful assembly might still be accommodated in the delicate task of balancing,” among other errors.

    He also noted that Ontario managed to come up with more tailored restrictions on religious gatherings in order to facilitate freedom of religion, but “no such tailoring was performed to facilitate the right to peacefully assemble.”

    In fact, the evidence showed that the province failed to consider it, Lauwers wrote.

    “The pandemic posed significant challenges for Ontario, but the Constitution does not fade from view in times of crisis,” his decision reads.

    There is no evidence that an exemption to allow peaceful assembly outside would have increased risk, Lauwers found, or that matching the exemption for permitted gatherings like weddings, funerals and religious services would have increased risk. There is also no evidence of increased risk at the outdoor protests Hillier attended.

    One of Hillier’s lawyers, Chris Fleury, wrote in an emailed statement that he and Hillier are “extremely pleased with the decision” and that “a Canadian Court has finally found that a government went too far in imposing Covid-era gathering restrictions and curtailing civil liberties.”

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/former-mpp-randy-hillier-wins-bid-to-appeal-dismissal-of-covid-19-lockdown-charter-challenge-1.7503829

  26. Hands Off: Imperial Valley joins nationwide protest against Trump and Musk

    EL CENTRO — Several Imperial Valley residents showed up to voice their disapproval of President Trump and Elon Musk and DOGE as part of a nationwide Hands Off protest.

    “We have a criminal in the White House right now, Donald Trump,” said protester Dakotah Moon, who shared that he has been living in his van since the 1980s. “He’s not following the rules we have been, like, taken over by our legislation, so like we don’t have any checks and balances now.”

    Local resident Robert Garcia compared current developments to Nazi Germany.

    “He has a visa; why isn’t he deported? He’s committing treason, like Trump,” the Garcia said of Elon Musk. “I am worried about what happened in Germany back in 1932 all the way to 1945… That’s exactly what Musk and Trump are doing now. They’re accelerating all of these laws fast… Look how far he got. Look how much he has destroyed the country already.”

    A man with a microphone led a chant on the corner of Main Street and Imperial Avenue. “For democracy, hands off women’s rights; only a woman decides what’s best for her. Hands off our LGBTQ rights. Hands off education. Hands off democracy. Hands off immigration.”

    Meanwhile, outside the Social Security Office, Brian Vega, Chairman of the Imperial County Democratic Party, spoke to the Imperial Valley Press.

    “This protest was organized by a Democratic club that’s recognized by the Democratic Party… Democrats United of Imperial Valley,” Vega said. “Basically, they are a group of retired folk, former teachers, and former county officials who see this moment as an opportunity to elevate their cause.”

    Despite a slim Republican majority in the last election, Vega noted that the county still leans Democratic in registration. In November 2024, 49.1% of Imperial County voted for Donald Trump, with 48.3% voting for Kamala Harris, as outlined in the California voting map. Imperial County also elected republican Assemblyman Jeff Gonzalez for California AD36, a seat that has been held by Democrats since 2008.

    “For every one registered Republican, there’s two registered Democrats,” he said. “Our party failed to align itself with the people. With the community. And so that’s why we lost it. So we have always been the party of education. The party of the working class. And we just didn’t value our voter base. And we lost.”

    https://www.ivpressonline.com/featured/hands-off-imperial-valley-joins-nationwide-protest-against-trump-and-musk/article_a971965f-3eea-45c1-a57c-9399c6ec1063.html

    1. ‘We have a criminal in the White House right now, Donald Trump,” said protester Dakotah Moon, who shared that he has been living in his van since the 1980s’

      They’re not sending their best.

      1. Dakotah Moon, who shared that he has been living in his van since the 1980s

        So FJB didn’t help you, Dakotah?

    2. EL CENTRO — Several Imperial Valley residents showed up to voice their disapproval of President Trump and Elon Musk and DOGE as part of a nationwide Hands Off protest.

      Several? Looks like someone forgot to bus in protestors to El Centro.

    3. So we have always been the party of education. The party of the working class

      Actually, yours is the party of the Cavilers, privilege and slavery.

        1. The party of the working class
          They claim to be the party of the working class then call the people who disagree with them stupid and say the working class isn’t “educated” like they are, and “we” are so much smarter than they (the uneducated working class).
          I get a kick out of people who think they are so smart and yet you know they are broke a$$ losers.

        1. Effective April 1, Measure A raised the Los Angeles County sales tax from 9.5% to 9.75%. This half-cent increase is projected to generate over $1 billion annually,

          They must have changed to new math in Clownifornia

  27. In the past two months, some Florida realtors say they’ve been inundated with Canadian sellers who are hoping to offload their properties as quickly as possible. The timing is hardly ideal: Previously competitive real estate markets such as Clearwater, Naples and Sarasota are all facing a glut of properties

    The Canucks are stuck between a rock and a hard place.

    The beloved Loonie is only worth 70 cents and its value will continue to fall, especially once their central bank runs out of foreign reserves. This is especially problematic if they have a USD mortgage on their vacation shack.

    Many need to sell, but it ain’t easy to sell right now. They will have to discount the price, and if they are underwater it possibly means jingle mail, meaning they go home empty handed.

    And with the Canuck economy in a shambles. their incomes back home might nose dive.

        1. I don’t own any stocks now. And I do not own puts or calls directly.

          Short term bets on SQQQ only, let the trend be your friend $$$.

  28. WSJ – Dip-Buyers Brave the Markets After Carnage in Stocks.

    Tariff selloff tests long-held practice, with Wall Street warning about the blow to growth.

    April 8, 2025 2:39 pm ET

    https://archive.ph/KePB8#selection-2461.0-2537.3

    A brutal selloff that wiped out trillions of dollars in the stock market left some investors with a question: Is now the right time to buy?

    Hopes that negotiations can limit the economic damage from President Trump’s trade war initially sent stocks climbing Tuesday, driving the Dow Jones Industrial Average up around 1400 points in early trading. Major indexes pared gains at midday, leaving the blue-chip index trading about 0.6% higher.

    The relative calm, buoyed by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s remarks that trade deals could emerge, brought some relief to battered investors. It also marked the re-emergence of a playbook that helped stocks recover quickly from other recent routs, including the Covid crash and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank: When stocks go down, it is time to buy.

    Adherents range from ordinary investors to bitcoin speculators, defying Wall Street warnings that the hit to growth and corporate earnings could weigh on markets for some time. Some cite Warren Buffett’s advice about being greedy when others are fearful and say the calculation is simple—given enough time, markets usually go up.

    Brooks Barrios, 24 years old, a graduate student studying architecture and real-estate development in New Orleans, started trading during the Covid pandemic. Barrio says he has been waiting for an opportunity to buy stocks at discounted prices, and has added to his positions in some hard-hit tech stocks including Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet and Meta Platforms since Trump’s Rose Garden ceremony announcing the broad tariffs. He plans to continue buying and says he wouldn’t mind if the market fell more.

    “I’m kind of seeing this as going into my favorite store and getting a huge deal,” Barrios said. “It’s just a great opportunity.”
    Individual investors like Barrios have poured about $50 billion a month on net into U.S. stock exchange-traded funds during the past two months, JPMorgan analysts estimate, and $30 billion a month into equity funds including mutual funds. Ordinary investors have been steady buyers, even as some institutions have ditched stocks and warned that after some downturns—like the dot-com crash—markets can take years to recover.

    On Tuesday, dip-buying worked outside the U.S. Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average gained 6%, notching its best day since August. The pan-Europe Stoxx Europe 600 rose 2.7%. In the U.S., the S&P 500 gained around 0.4%.

    That came even as traders continued to bet on further turmoil. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, known as Wall Street’s fear gauge because it measures traders’ expectations for stock swings, on Monday closed at its highest level since April 2020.
    “The market is not cheap by any means,” said Sam Nofzinger, general manager of brokerage and crypto at Public. “We’re in uncertain times, the risks are still out there.”

    The stocks most favored among individual investors have been pummeled by Trump’s tariff proclamations. The Magnificent Seven tech stocks—Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Nvidia and Tesla—had shed $1.8 trillion in market value since Trump’s tariff announcement Wednesday through Monday’s close. Shares of Palantir, an AI software firm, and bitcoin-buying machine MicroStrategy slid 11% and 14%, respectively.

    Those numbers have tested Richard Anderson’s nerves. The owner of a clothing brand in Baltimore says he has lost more than $200,000 so far this year across various investing accounts. Some of his biggest positions are in Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet, which have notched double-digit declines this year.

    He bought shares of Meta Platforms and Shopify as stocks tanked following Trump’s tariff announcement—individuals bought $4.7 billion worth of stocks the following day, a record in JPMorgan Chase data going back to 2015—but said he regretted it after those stocks continued to tumble.

    “This [selloff] feels different, because it feels like it was totally avoidable,” he said. “I just feel like this could turn around in one day.”

    Some traders say that the uncertainty has made it more difficult to gauge when to bulk up their portfolios. On Monday, Bobby Cameron watched the value of his portfolio rise and fall by about $50,000 in a matter of minutes after an erroneous headline stating that Trump was considering a pause on tariffs sparked a sharp, short-lived rally.

    Cameron, 39, a tech worker in Tennessee, moved about half of his portfolio into cash before Trump’s tariff announcement Wednesday. Over the past few trading days, he has funneled much of that cash back into shares of Robinhood, which have dropped roughly 15% so far this month.
    “It’s insane,” he said. “But if you can make the right moves, it’s a great time to make some money.”

    Others have found themselves experiencing buyer’s remorse as stocks continue to fall. Amber Petrovich, a Miami-based trader who also runs an investment-education business, said stock-market volatility is so extreme that “if you blink or go away for two minutes, the situation can completely switch on you.”

    After aggressively scooping up stocks in February and March, Petrovich’s portfolio suffered steep losses over the past week. Now, she is adding just one or two shares at a time to her $200,000 portfolio, opting for more cautious plays such as international indexes and consumer staples stocks.

    She has spent hours over the past week dissecting the latest market movements on TikTok and Discord, where she runs a chat room with about 300 members. Some newer traders are struggling to adjust to conditions that look markedly different from the bull runs that characterized much of the last several years, she said.
    “If I could change one thing about how I played this whole correction, I would have bought the dip more slowly,” she said. “I thought it was slow, but it wasn’t slow enough.”

    1. Financial Times
      Updated 43 minutes ago
      Live news: US stocks resume sell-off as traders fret over tariffs
      Treasuries also slide after weak auction for three-year US government debt
      Edited by
      Alexandra White, Zehra Munir, William Sandlund, Maxine Kelly, Jonathan Wheatley
      Editor’s pick
      2 hours ago
      FT reporters
      US stocks sink as tariff worries swirl

      US stocks closed sharply lower, reversing an early rally after the White House said Donald Trump would push forward with his threat to hit China with duties exceeding 100 per cent.

      The benchmark S&P 500 index closed down 1.6 per cent, a significant pull back from a gain of as much as 4.1 per cent earlier in the trading day. The Nasdaq Composite lost more than 2 per cent.

      Tuesday’s swings were the latest bout of turbulence in US stocks after Trump last week announced a plan to impose steep tariffs on dozens of countries, threatening to ignite an all-out trade war.

      The White House said on Tuesday that additional 50 per cent tariffs on Chinese goods would go into effect on Wednesday just after midnight in Washington. That would come on top of “reciprocal” measures announced last week, and other levies, bringing the total duties above 104 per cent.

  29. This Is Happening Whether You Like It Or Not (Toronto Real Estate Market Update)

    Team Sessa Real Estate

    15 minutes ago TORONTO

    In this episode, we discuss how offer dates are no fun, but with the right preparation, they don’t have to result in a bad purchase. We also look at the current Toronto Real Estate Market, specifically the detached home prices and market trends for the week ending April 2, 2025.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tKJ9WnTM7YM

    16:26.

    1. At 3:30, ‘Yes there’s ten properties for sale, but the buyers are competing for one. The other nine sit.’

  30. Red State – Crackdown! Trump Justice Department Criminally Charging Illegal Border-Jumpers.

    https://redstate.com/wardclark/2025/04/08/crackdown-trump-justice-department-criminally-charging-illegal-border-jumpers-n2187635

    The border is getting under control faster than many of us (including me) would have believed possible, and all it took was a new president. Attempted border crossings have dropped to almost none, Tren de Aragua and MS 13 gangbangers are being rounded up and sent to El Salvador to enjoy the gentle and loving ministrations of that nation’s Terrorism Confinement Center, and the Biden administration’s “Get Out of Immigration Jail Free” app has been re-purposed into the “Go Home Now Before We Find You” app.

    Now, the Department of Justice, as part of Operation Take Back America, has slammed criminal charges on over 900 people for violating American immigration law.

    Since the inauguration of President Trump, the Department of Justice is playing a critical role in Operation Take back America, a nationwide initiative to repel the invasion of illegal immigration, achieve total elimination of cartels and transnational criminal organizations (TCOs), and protect our communities from perpetrators of violent crime. Operation Take Back America streamlines efforts and resources from the Department’s Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Forces (OCDETFs) and Project Safe Neighborhood (PSN).

    Last week, the U.S. Attorneys for Arizona, Central California, Southern California, New Mexico, Southern Texas, and Western Texas charged more than 900 defendants with criminal violations of U.S. immigration laws.

    This is what we call “a good start.”

    Here are a few specifics:

    The Southern District of Texas filed 225 cases in relation to immigration and border security. Of those cases, 70 face allegations of illegally reentering the country with the majority having felony convictions such as narcotics, violent and/or sexual crimes and prior immigration offenses, among others.

    So, drug smugglers, probably cartel members or at least working for the cartels, as well as sexual predators.

    The Western District of Texas filed 259 immigration and immigration-related criminal cases. Among the new cases, Mexican national Miguel Angel Torres-Segura resided illegally in San Antonio and was arrested March 28 for conspiracy to transport illegal aliens. A criminal complaint alleges that Torres-Segura participated in a human smuggling organization (HSO) that transported illegal aliens using tractor trailers, carrying out at least 19 human smuggling events and leading to the apprehension of more than 900 aliens between May 2021 and June 2022.

    A coyote, then, and a busy one at that, who brought over 900 people into the United States illegally.

    And, in Arizona:

    The District of Arizona brought immigration-related criminal charges against 204 defendants. Specifically, the United States filed 83 cases in which aliens illegally re-entered the United States, and the United States also charged 107 aliens for illegally entering the United States. In its ongoing effort to deter unlawful immigration, the United States also filed 13 cases against 14 individuals responsible for smuggling illegal aliens into and within the District of Arizona.

    More human smugglers and more just illegal border-jumpers.

    There’s more where that came from.

    The Federalist’s Senior Legal Correspondent, Margot Cleveland, has an interesting X thread on this you should check out.

    She makes some interesting points, including that illegal re-entry – meaning they were kicked out once and tried to sneak back in – is now to be dealt with more severely, and that’s as it should be. In any type of crime, repeat offenders eventually end up being punished more severely, except in certain Democrat-controlled urban jurisdictions, where the jails have revolving doors. When it comes to immigration law in the United States, though, boy, howdy, things have changed.

    Cleveland also points out that the “leave now” message is liable to be taken a lot more seriously now that people in the country illegally know that they are liable to be charged with a crime if they stay – or if they try to come back after being repatriated once.

  31. Red State – DOGE Official Confirms What We’ve Known All Along: Illegal Immigrants Are on Medicaid and Voting.

    https://redstate.com/beckynoble/2025/04/08/doge-official-confirms-details-of-what-weve-known-all-along-illegal-immigrants-on-medicaid-and-voting-n2187612

    Democrats love to portray themselves as the compassionate ones. They just want to help people, especially the poor and downtrodden. When you ask them about illegal immigration, they will tell you that these are just poor people looking for a better life for themselves and their families. That’s why they were perfectly okay with a wide-open southern border and letting millions of people into the country. It was all about compassion. However, as the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) continues to dig into the twisted story of America’s finances, we are finding out that the compassion ruse is just that, another Democrat party scheme.

    Antonio Gracias is a DOGE official. He was recently interviewed on the “All In” podcast and told the real story on illegal immigration during the Biden administration that Democrats told us was absolutely not happening. Gracias said that potentially millions of illegal immigrants who came into the country during the Biden administration have valid Social Security numbers. What Gracias describes is nothing short of an organized racket to import as many people as possible. My colleague Nick Arama has also covered this extensively as well. Gracias laid out the whole thing, saying:

    “So now you’re in the country with some quasi-legal status, you’re waiting for your court date, while you’re waiting for your court date — six years is the average by the way, it could be longer than that — you can fill out an asylum application, so without an interview, just an application … once that application is in, you can file another form, a 765 [form] to get work authorization, once you get that, you get a 766 which is the authorization and we automatically send you a Social Security card in the mail. No interview, that is the majority of the growth you see in these numbers. [Emphasis added]”

    Adding to this grift is the fact that no identification verification process was in place, and roughly one-quarter of the illegal immigrants who were reviewed by DOGE were never fingerprinted by the Border Patrol. The result: around 1.3 million illegal immigrants now receive Medicaid paid for by you, the taxpayer, and voilà, as an illegal immigrant, you will be grateful enough to keep voting Democrat in perpetuity.

    It gets better. Even though several states, including Texas, Louisiana, Alabama, Virginia, and Ohio, purged thousands of non-citizens from their voting rolls before the election, some had, in fact, voted. Gracias stated:

    We looked at voter rolls and we found that thousands are registered to vote in friendly states. And we looked even further in those friendly states and found that many of those people had actually voted. It was shocking to us. If I hadn’t seen this with my own eyes, I wouldn’t believe it … it is shockingly bad.

    Included on those voter rolls were criminals and those who had names that matched ones on the federal Terror Watch List. But for Democrats, criminals, and terrorists voting is just collateral damage as long as they vote Democrat. Even Antonio Gracias, himself a former Democrat donor, says he believes this was all a grand plan to import a whole new Democrat party voting base. He stated, “Yeah, I think this was a move to import voters.”

    All of this answers the question of why Democrats want DOGE gone so badly—because they keep proving the American people right about Democrats.

    Thanks to President Trump, illegal immigration into our great country has virtually stopped. Despite the radical left’s lies, new legislation wasn’t needed to secure our border, just a new president.

  32. ‘In the past two months, some Florida realtors say they’ve been inundated with Canadian sellers who are hoping to offload their properties as quickly as possible. The timing is hardly ideal: Previously competitive real estate markets such as Clearwater, Naples and Sarasota are all facing a glut of properties after the region was hit hard by Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton last autumn, which led to an unaffordable spike in insurance and condo fees’

    Gosh, what a convergence of events.

  33. ‘They’re very expressive of their political views. I’ve had clients tell me they feel like they’re being hypocrites if they were to come back to Florida and there’s some sense of shame or guilt about returning’

    They burned their bridges before they left Alex.

  34. ‘Cassady, director of business development for Acme House Co., which manages vacation rental properties in Palm Springs, said Canadians often book stays of one to three months a full year in advance, returning to the same properties annually. ‘But when it comes to rebooking for next year? They’re just declining,’ said Cassady. ‘It’s going to be most noticeable come next season’

    That reminds me Ken, there was a WSJ article less than a year ago about all the short term rental foreclosures in Palm Springs. How’s that going?

  35. ‘We’re going through somewhat of a purgatory process right now for those loans that were originated at the height of market exuberance — call it the zero-interest-rate phenomenon’

    Eat yer crowz Jerry.

    ‘Conversations about loan extensions also start with questions about how much new capital the owner is bringing in, Taylor said. ‘Lenders are definitely willing to work with borrowers, but they’re requiring borrowers to come to the table with some sort of additional skin in the game’

    The lending was sound Tom, at the time.

  36. ‘For example, in a common scenario, a realtor may intentionally underprice a property to attract multiple purchasers, setting off a bidding war. ‘I don’t think we’ll ever see an end to that in Toronto,’ said Benjy Katchen, CEO of RPS-Wahi. ‘It’s just a question of the cycle. It might be a pause for three or four months, but I don’t think we’ll ever see an end to that. It’s just so culturally ingrained to how real estate is in this city’

    Benjy you are a winnah!

  37. ‘Amanda said she and her husband were currently undertaking processes with regulator Building and Energy after reporting more than 100 defects…‘We had a broken window from when the bricks went up, drainage and roofing issues, issues with the paint, the doors didn’t line up and flues were attached with duct tape and cable ties. Only 5 per cent of the problems have been fixed, out of 151 defects,’ she said. ‘100 per cent I will never build again. I’m pissed BGC is building and selling houses built so quickly’

    Amanda, wake up. It’s over, you’ve already won. You are the winnah! Everything else is noise.

  38. After end of deadline, White House confirms 104 percent tariffs on China: Reports

    Following up on his threat, US President Donald Trump has imposed “additional 50 percent tariffs” on China starting Wednesday, media reports said.

    The White House announced that this will make America’s new tariff on China an unprecedented 104 per cent.

    He had warned that failing to do this, Chinese goods would be punished with 104 percent tariffs.

    On Tuesday, Beijing dared the US to do so and within hours, Trump announced it.

    Triggering almost a global trade war, Trump on Wednesday announced tariffs of at least 10 percent on almost all goods from other countries, plus even higher rates for many nations, including friends, but deemed to be “worst offenders”.

    Now, with this “additional 50 per cent tariff” solely for China, Beijing faces an unprecedented levy of 104 per cent – a near 100 per cent rise in less than a week.

    https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/after-end-of-deadline-white-house-confirms-104-percent-tariffs-on-china-reports/ar-AA1CxPZ8

    Is that a lot?

    1. Slow corporate bond issuance, a response to economic uncertainty, could slow overall growth. Above, the New York Stock Exchange building.
      Slow corporate bond issuance, a response to economic uncertainty, could slow overall growth. Above, the New York Stock Exchange building.
      Johannes Eisele/AFP via Getty Images

      On Monday’s program, Marketplace’s Sabri Ben-Achour told us about the yield on two-year Treasury notes. It’s been falling, which means investors are expecting a weaker economy and lower interest rates over the next couple of years.

      Those same concerns are playing out in the market for corporate bonds.

      Over the last few days, the issuance of corporate bonds has slowed to a crawl. In fact, things are so slow that some traders are saying the corporate bond market has effectively closed down.

      The problem is uncertainty.

      “If you don’t know what XYZ company’s profits are going to be six months from now, you’re probably going to charge more in order to lend to them,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

      He said companies feel it when their borrowing costs increase, even a little. It’s just like a mortgage.

      “If you have to pay an extra quarter of a percent on a 30-year bond issuance as a company today, well, that’s a lot of expense over the next 30 years. It doesn’t sound like much, but it’s a lot,” said LeBas.

      As a result, companies are holding off borrowing money by issuing bonds.

      Winnie Cisar, head of strategy at CreditSights, said companies have been tapping other lending sources.

      “They have access to bank lines of credit, which is basically like a massive credit card. There’s also the commercial paper market, which is another short-term source of funding,” said Cisar.

      https://www.marketplace.org/story/2025/04/08/why-has-the-corporate-bond-market-slowed-down

    2. Markets
      Bond yields tank around the world as investors take cover amid equity rout
      Published Mon, Apr 7 2025 8:44 AM EDT
      Updated Mon, Apr 7 2025 12:22 PM EDT
      Jenni Reid

      KEY POINTS

      – Bonds are acting as a safe haven amid wider market turmoil, rallying globally as equity markets tank.

      – Even if U.S. President Donald Trump reverses course on some of his tariff policy, this would “only underline the unpredictability of the current policy environment which, itself, is a negative for confidence and risk appetite,” Rabobank analysts said.

      – However, some caution that the bond rally may not be sustainable.

      https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/07/tariff-fallout-bond-yields-tank-around-the-world-as-investors-take-cover.html

    3. Bonds are on sale amid market mayhem
      Provided by Dow Jones
      Apr 8, 2025 3:52pm
      By Brett Arends

      This could be a bargain opportunity for retirees, near-retirees and anyone else who needs steady and stable investment income

      Weird things can happen inside a market crisis. Things that you’d expect to go up in price go down instead, and vice versa. The normal relationships between financial assets can break down. A kind of quantum financial physics seems to take over.

      It may be happening right now in the bond market, and if so, that represents a bargain opportunity for retirees, near-retirees and anyone else who needs steady and stable income from their investments.

      Bonds are IOUs issued either by the United States government, state and local governments, corporations, or their foreign equivalents. They are generally seen as safer investments, at least over shorter periods, than stocks for a number of reasons – both technical and legal.

      Let me start with the numbers, because that’s what most people really care about, and then look at what may be behind them.

      As of late Tuesday, you could buy 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds paying 3.7% interest, 5-year Treasurys paying 3.9% and 10-year Treasurys paying 4.3%. Investment-grade corporate bonds are paying up to 7.6% over 10 years. Top-rated municipal bonds, which come with the additional bonus that the interest is (generally) exempt from federal income tax, are paying up to 5% over 10 years. As the marginal buyer of municipal bonds will be those subject to the top rate of federal income tax, and that rate – even if the 2017 tax cuts are renewed – will be 37%, this means these bonds are paying a “taxable-equivalent yield” for rich investors of nearly 8%.

      All of these bond yields are much higher than they were Monday morning. In many cases, they are higher than they were when President Trump launched his “liberation day” tariff festival last Wednesday. The bond market plunged Monday, and bonds are like seesaws: When their price falls, their yield or interest rate rises.

      Among the benchmark bond index funds offered by iShares, the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF AGG is now down 1.8% so far this week, when compared with Friday’s close. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF IEF is off 1.7%. The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF LQD and the iShares National Municipal Bond ETF MUB have both fallen about 3.2%. The iShares 20+ Years Treasury ETF TLT is down nearly 5%.

      Does this make any sense? This comes as many CEOs think the U.S. economy has already tipped over into recession, the money markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to slash short-term interest rates by a full percentage point by Christmas to a range of 3.25% to 3.5%, and the markets have also – rightly or wrongly – slashed inflation expectations. They now see inflation averaging 2.3% over the next five years and 2.2% over the next 10 years. In these circumstances you might expect that bonds, which jumped in the immediate market panic late last week, would at least be holding up, if not rising further.

      Bond-market observers are scratching their heads. Some say the big bond-market move is the result of rising inflation fears as a result of President Trump’s tariffs.

      “Tariffs are inflationary,” Joachim Klement, investment strategist for Panmure Liberum in London, tells me. In the immediate panic after President Trump’s April 2 announcement, he says, investors forgot that, and rushed to buy bonds at higher and higher prices. But that, he notes, “makes no sense.” Higher inflation should be bad for bonds, because it will erode the real value of future bond interest-rate payments. The fall in bonds since the weekend is more rational, Klement adds.

      Other commentators also point to other technical factors, such as the unwinding of risky hedge-fund bets on interest rates.

      Still others suspect that some investors have been selling bonds to cover losses they had made on the stock market at the end of last week.

      Another portfolio adviser, who was perhaps most honest of all, told me privately he had no idea why the bond market was really down.

      https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20250408542/bonds-are-on-sale-amid-market-mayhem

    4. Does this moment in market history remind you of how the sea recedes from the shore, just before a tsunami rolls in?

      That’s what it reminds me of.

      1. Global bond rout starting to sound market alarm bells
        By Tom Westbrook, Rae Wee and Dhara Ranasinghe
        April 9, 20252:53 AM PDT
        Updated 31 min ago

        Summary

        – Hedge funds unwind ‘basis trades’

        – 10-year Treasury yield spikes above 4.5%; 30-year hits 5%

        – Dollar falls vs euro, yen and Swiss franc

        – Japan officials say exchanging information with G7, IMF

        SINGAPORE, LONDON April 9 (Reuters) – U.S. Treasuries, the bedrock of the global financial system, were hit by fresh selling pressure on Wednesday in a sign that investors were dumping their safest assets as turmoil unleashed by U.S. tariffs prompts forced selling and a dash for cash.
        The 10-year Treasury yield has risen 36 basis points (bps) to 4.35% this week alone as prices fall sharply. If sustained, that would mark the biggest weekly jump since 2013 .

        https://www.reuters.com/markets/global-markets-tariffs-bonds-2025-04-09/

      2. Sharp US bond selloff revives flashbacks of COVID-era ‘dash-for-cash’
        By Davide Barbuscia and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
        April 9, 2025 3:00 AM PDT
        Updated 30 min ago
        A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 8, 2025. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

        Summary

        – Margin calls, need for liquidity exacerbate bond selloff

        – Unwinding of basis trade reminds investors of 2020 market crash

        – Swap spreads tighten sharply, signaling selling pressure

        NEW YORK, April 9 (Reuters) – A violent U.S. Treasury selloff, evoking the COVID-era “dash for cash,” has reignited fears of fragility in the world’s biggest bond market.

        The $29-trillion Treasury market had surged in recent weeks as investors dumped stocks for the safety of government bonds in a tariff-fueled risk-off shift. But on Monday, even as equities stayed under pressure, Treasuries were hit by a wave of selling that sent benchmark yields soaring by 17 basis points on the day, while trading within a yield range of about 35 basis points, one of the wildest trading swings for 10-year yields in two decades.

        The selloff continued, though less sharply, on Tuesday, leaving benchmark 10-year yields back above 4%.

        Some market participants said they believed based on the dramatic Treasury market moves and sharp tightening of swap spreads that investors including hedge funds have been selling liquid assets such as U.S. government bonds to meet margin calls due to portfolio losses across asset classes. Some hedge funds have offloaded stocks as the market plunge forces them to curtail trading using borrowed cash.

        “The big moves in the market across asset classes triggered the unwind,” said Jan Nevruzi, U.S. rates strategist at TD Securities in New York.

        Investors and analysts said the move was reminiscent of the dash-for-cash at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, when the market seized up as fears about the coronavirus grew, prompting the U.S. central bank to buy $1.6 trillion of government bonds.

        Similar to that episode, at play on Monday was also a reduction of the so-called basis trade, a popular hedge fund arbitrage trading strategy between cash and futures Treasury positions whose unwinding likely exacerbated the 2020 crash, investors and analysts said.

        “When you have big moves like that and you’re relying on some arbitrage relationship, spreads tightening for whatever reason, you might have to trim your positions,” Nevruzi said.

        The basis trade has been closely watched by regulators over the past few years because it could be a source of instability for markets if highly leveraged hedge fund positions are unwound rapidly. That scenario could reduce banks’ ability to provide liquidity, or intermediation, in the Treasury market, the building block of global finance.

        Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, estimated in a note on Tuesday the basis trade is currently worth around $800 billion.
        Hedge funds typically borrow from the repo market to buy Treasuries and use the latter as collateral. Falling prices of Treasuries due to the selloff provided less collateral value for borrowing, prompting margin calls, analysts and investors said.

        “There was certainly some unwinding of a lot of basis trades over the last few days, some margin calls to banks,” said David Rolley, global head of fixed income and portfolio manager at Loomis Sayles.

        To be sure, other triggers could be at play. One explanation is the bond market is coming around to the view that U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs on large U.S. trade partners are inflationary, which would curb the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates despite slowing growth.
        “Can you really bid bonds when we might have a 4% handle on inflation again two months from now?” said Spencer Hakimian, CEO of Tolou Capital Management.

        ‘DEMAND DESTRUCTION’

        Many in the markets remain worried the vulnerabilities that emerged in previous incidents, such as in March 2020, could still reappear in the case of spikes in volatility.

        “We have been banging the tables for years that the depth of liquidity in the Treasury market is poor and has been for years,” Andrew Brenner, head of international fixed income at National Alliance Capital Markets, said in a note to clients on Tuesday. “These basis trades, which can be leveraged up to 100x, overwhelmed the bond markets,” he said in reference to Monday’s sharp bond selloff.

        Besides the sharp increase in yields, several analysts also pointed to changes in the price differential between Treasuries and interest rate swaps as evidence of specific selling of Treasuries, as opposed to a broader move reflecting, for instance, changes in monetary policy expectations.
        An executive catering for hedge fund clients at a large bank, speaking on condition of anonymity, said investors have been looking for alternatives to U.S. assets amid market volatility, including alternatives to U.S. Treasuries.

        https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/global-markets-tariffs-treasuries-analysis-2025-04-09/

    5. Finance·Federal Reserve
      Wall Street expects the Fed to rescue the economy from Trump tariffs, but an emergency rate cut now could spark more panic, analyst warns
      BY Jason Ma
      April 7, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT
      Fed Chairman Jerome Powell during the Society For Advancing Business Editing And Writing conference in Arlington, Virginia, on Friday.

      Investors are pricing in more rate cuts this year from the Federal Reserve as President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariffs spark recession fears, and are even seeing the possibility of a cut coming before a scheduled meeting. But emergency easing now could set off more panic rather than calm nerves, Bankrate’s Greg McBride says.

      https://fortune.com/2025/04/07/emergency-fed-rate-cut-panic-trump-tariffs-economy-recession-jerome-powell/

    6. Financial Times
      Fund management
      Quant hedge fund Renaissance suffers steep losses in tariff tumult
      Computer-driven asset manager’s institutional equity strategy down 8% in April
      A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange
      Stocks around the world fell sharply on Thursday and Friday, with the US S&P 500 dropping more than 10%
      © Bloomberg
      Costas Mourselas in London and Amelia Pollard in New York
      Published
      7 hours ago

      Computer-driven hedge fund Renaissance Technologies was wrongfooted after Donald Trump’s “liberation day” tariff announcement last week sent shockwaves across global financial markets.

      The Renaissance Institutional Equities Fund, one of the group’s flagship strategies offered to external investors, was down about 8 per cent for April as of Friday last week, according to three people familiar with the figures. The losses reduce the fund’s 2025 gains to 4.4 per cent.

      Renaissance’s losses underscore the tumult in financial markets since Trump last Wednesday said the US would impose universal 10 per cent levies and far higher duties for many of America’s leading trading partners.

      One of Renaissance’s smaller strategies fared better in the recent market turbulence. The Renaissance Institutional Diversified Alpha Fund, which as of last September managed just $3.6bn, was down 2.4 per cent in April and has returned 11.5 per cent for the year, the people said.

      The institutional equities fund, which managed $19.6bn as of September last year, gained 22.7 per cent last year, while the Diversified Alpha fund rose 15.6, according to a person who had seen the numbers.

      Founded by quant pioneer Jim Simons, who was known as the “quant king” and died last May, Renaissance is one of the world’s best-known quantitative hedge funds. Quant funds shun human decision making and instead rely on computer algorithms to make trades, often identifying patterns in market data and trying to surf trends.

    7. Financial Times
      US Treasuries drop for second straight day after weak demand at $58bn auction
      Lower than expected purchases of three-year government debt add to investor angst
      A montage of the US Treasury building and the logo of the Department of the Treasury on a red background
      © FT montage/AP
      Kate Duguid, George Steer and Joshua Franklin in New York
      Published 5 hours ago

      US government debt fell sharply for the second straight day after a $58bn short-term Treasury auction drew weak demand and hedge funds continued to rapidly unwind popular trades.

      The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which underpins trillions of dollars in assets worldwide, jumped 0.11 percentage points to 4.3 per cent on Tuesday. It has risen almost 0.3 percentage points over the past two days — a large jump for an asset that typically moves in small increments.

      Tuesday’s sell-off is the latest sign of how some investors are ditching even very low-risk assets in a dash for cash, as President Donald Trump’s tariffs on major trading partners spark intense volatility in markets. Hedge funds have been critical players in the decline as they have sought to reduce risk in their portfolios and cut back on widespread trades in the Treasury market.

      The sense of gloom worsened on Tuesday after a US Treasury department auction for three-year notes attracted the weakest demand since 2023.

      The auction drew a higher than expected yield, and dealers — banks that are obliged to buy up any supply not absorbed by other investors — sopped up 20.7 per cent of the offering, the highest percentage since December 2023, according to Vail Hartman at BMO Capital Markets.

      That disappointing deal will cast a shadow over upcoming auctions this week, including the $39bn of 10-year notes on offer on Wednesday and the $22bn of 30-year bonds on Thursday.

      The weak auction will also add to fears that foreign investors are shifting away from US government debt at a time of rising concern over America’s high debt levels and the Trump administration’s targeting of government institutions such as independent regulators.

      “The poor three-year auction today will definitely feed the rumours about foreign investors pulling back from the Treasury market,” said Matthew Scott, head of core fixed income and multi-asset trading at AllianceBernstein.

      “People don’t want Treasuries right now, they’re in ‘get me out’ mode,” said one hedge fund manager who asked not to be named. The person added that the auction had been so “ill-received” that it might have weighed on equity markets. The S&P 500 had been up as much as 4.1 per cent on Tuesday but closed down 1.6 per cent in volatile trading.


    1. What is a dead cat bounce?

      A dead cat bounce refers to a brief jump in the markets after a period of decline — but the jump is often followed by another drop.

      “(It) comes from a saying among traders that even a dead cat will bounce if it’s dropped from a height that’s high enough,” personal finance writer Ashley Kilroy said in a blog post for American finance company SoFi.

      https://www.thestar.com/business/bear-market-dead-cat-bounce-here-s-what-these-economic-terms-actually-mean/article_bcbf0b3a-f149-4c06-a87b-1d3b48df37f1.html

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