This Has Crippled Me, And I Know I Can Speak For Dozens Of Owners Who Are Just At A Complete And Utter Loss
A report from Island News in Hawaii. “Oahu’s housing market ended 2024 with a bang. ‘While the positive sales momentum in 2024 highlights a resilient market, affordability challenges remain a significant hurdle for many buyers,’ Trevor Benn, president of the Honolulu Board of Realtors, said in a statement. ‘As condo inventory builds and remains on the market longer, we’re seeing buyers take advantage of increased options and time to negotiate. Higher maintenance fees and insurance costs are also playing a role in shaping buyer decisions and the prices they’re able to offer.'”
From Barron‘s. “Home buyers in 2024 didn’t catch much of a break when it came to real estate prices—with some notable exceptions. ‘Mortgage rates are still posing a drag on the housing market’ both in Austin and at the national level, says Clare Knapp, the Austin Board of Realtors’ housing economist. As of the third quarter of 2024, Austin home prices were about 12% lower than their 2022 peak, though still significantly higher than they were in 2019. The five most expensive metropolitan areas were all in California. The median buyer in San Diego, San Jose, Anaheim, San Francisco, and Los Angeles would have spent as much as 77.6% of their income on monthly payments.”
The Christian Science Monitor. “Even with the water damage and the mold and the recognition that the wealthiest part of town is on a barrier island that should never be expected to stay put, many in Englewood still see their city as a gem; an Old Florida holdout in one of the fastest-growing regions in the country. But the finances of insurance and disaster recovery after Milton are making it hard for many to imagine how they will keep their homes. On the one hand are people – or private equity firms – with the cash to pay for hugely expensive home upgrades, such as rebuilding on stilts, or who can afford to self-insure and repair their properties. On the other are people like Gene Jeffers, sitting in a lawn chair on his driveway, his ruined house to his right, a vacation camper on loan from Habitat for Humanity South Sarasota County to his left.”
“‘I lost my roof with Ian, my furniture with Helene,’ Mr. Jeffers says, still giving the easy smile that has endeared him to his neighbors for decades. ‘Milton took the house.’ Mr. Jeffers’ in-laws bought his low-slung green home across the street from Lemon Bay in 1972. He moved in in 1997, after retiring from an Indiana factory job. He expects he’ll be gone within two years. By then, Mr. Jeffers imagines, cash buyers will have scooped up the ruined homes across the street, and his lot is going to be too valuable – and too vulnerable to storms – to keep. ‘I love this house, but it don’t love me no more,’ he says, and shrugs.”
New York Post. “A sprawling Hudson Valley estate once touted as a modern engineering marvel has seen its price slashed to a quarter of its original ask. Ledgerock, a 15,000-square-foot mansion perched on the banks of the Hudson River, is back on the market for $11.25 million after failing to sell for three years, according to the Wall Street Journal. The limestone-clad residence, located in Hyde Park, was initially listed in 2021 by developers Monica and Jacob Frydman for an eye-popping $45 million. The Frydmans, who reportedly spent years developing the property after purchasing the land for $1.5 million in 2005, no longer own the home. The current seller is an affiliate of Curiam Capital, a litigation-finance firm that foreclosed on the property after lending $13.2 million to an entity tied to Jacob in 2019. While Hyde Park is known for historic estates like the Vanderbilt Mansion, few buyers are willing to shell out tens of millions for modern properties in the area. ‘Unfortunately,’ said real estate agent Jason Karadus, who now represents the listing, ‘I think he [Jacob Frydman] overshot.'”
LAist in California. “Officials with Los Angeles’ regional homeless services agency say they’ve recovered about $13 million of $50.8 million paid to service providers beginning in 2018. That’s up from about $2.5 million that had been recovered at the time of a November audit that found the agency had failed to recover millions paid out to contractors in cash advances. U.S. District Judge David O. Carter, who is overseeing the process, pressed LAHSA for more details on how and when the funds would be recouped. ‘What’s our plan to get the rest of this money back?’ Carter said. ‘I don’t believe you have a payment plan with most of these entities.'”
“The judge went line by line through a list of 36 homeless service providers who’d received cash advances, praising several nonprofit operators who’d paid large sums back and chastising those that still had large outstanding balances — including People Assisting the Homeless, LA Family Housing Corporation, and The People Concern. ‘I think this is just the tip of the iceberg, unfortunately — this $50 million,’ Carter said. City Controller Kenneth Mejia, who recently conducted an audit of interim housing programs, agreed that the lack of accountability and data-sharing was a problem. ‘We’re cutting blank checks,’ Mejia said.”
Bisnow on Illinois. “Two Chicago office buildings traded hands in separate deals at the end of 2024 for huge discounts — a sign that while office transactions appear to be picking up, owners are taking significant haircuts to make deals happen. A joint venture between 601W Cos. and David Werner Real Estate Investments secured a $62.5M loan from Northwind Group to buy 303 E. Wacker late last month in the larger of the two deals. The acquisition represents a plunge of about 66% in value for the office property, which last sold for $182M to Beacon Capital Partners in 2018. In the West Loop, Brog Properties bought the mostly vacant 16-story office building at 550 W. Washington Blvd. late last month from a venture of New York-based Metropolitan Life Insurance for about $18.5M, according to Crain’s Chicago Business. The sale price was 83% less than the $111M that the MetLife venture paid for the building just west of the Ogilvie Transportation Center when it was almost fully leased in 2013.”
CBC News in Canada. “Owners of a north Edmonton condo building evacuated in 2023 due to the risk of collapse are hopeful the troubled property will soon be sold, following months of delays in getting the deal done. Cormode and Dickson Construction Ltd., an Edmonton-based commercial construction company, has made an offer to purchase Castledowns Pointe, as is, for $6.25 million. Owners decided in January 2024 to sell the building and the land it sits on, rather than rebuild. The court-sanctioned sale was originally expected to close in November but remains pending. Officials with Cormode have denied that the deal is at risk but the condo board’s legal team is making backup plans in case the sale falls through.”
“Lisa Brown, who owned a unit on the first floor where cracks had formed along the entry hallways, hopes the property can be sold quickly. She and other owners have been left in limbo and their debts are mounting, she said. ‘We were told that it was going to be over and done with and we could stop the bleeding,’ Brown said. ‘And really, the bleeding will continue until we get a final answer as to whether this is closing or not. It really just puts us on edge. And we’ve been on edge for coming up two years now.'”
“Condo board president Susan Strebchuk said owners have been saddled with mortgage payments on homes they can longer return to, and ongoing condo fees, leaving many on the brink of bankruptcy. ‘We’re frustrated and discouraged,’ Strebchuk said. ‘You think you’ve got an end in sight and then not. We are very concerned because if this falls apart, we’re back again to listing or going back to court.’ Even if a sale is approved, Brown said she would have no choice but to pursue foreclosure. Following the evacuation, she could no longer afford to pay her mortgage or the special assessments levied by the board. Brown said owners are exhausted and still seeking answers over who could be held accountable for the construction flaws that forced them from their homes. ‘This has crippled me. And I know I can speak for dozens of owners who are just at a complete and utter loss.'”
The NL Times. “The surge in Dutch housing prices seen since mid-2023 has begun to taper off, according to data from Makelaarsland, the Netherlands’ largest online NVM real estate agency. ‘While the housing market remains tight, we are receiving signals that the market is cooling slightly,’ said Ivor Brevé, director of Makelaarsland in an interview with the Telegraaf. Makelaarsland observed a ‘slight shift’ in buyer and seller behavior in the last quarter of 2024. Buyers are increasingly making offers below asking prices. According to the real estate agency, 34 percent of transactions in the final three months of the year involved bids below the asking price, compared to 27 percent in the third quarter and 25 percent in the second quarter.”
“‘Until last summer, overbidding was the norm, and most properties attracted excessive interest,’ said Brevé to the newspaper. ‘Now, our agents see more opportunities for buyers. While there are still properties selling quickly and well above the asking price, we are also seeing homes with significantly less interest. Some sellers are surprised by the moderate interest their properties are receiving,’ Brevé added. ‘They thought it was still very much a seller’s market, but we’ve been sensing this change for about three months.’ The slowdown in buyer interest was most pronounced in the large cities of Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Utrecht, and The Hague.”
Radio New Zealand. “A number of housing developments are sitting unfinished and seemingly abandoned, leaving some neighbours frustrated. An air of mystery surrounds the seemingly abandoned developments, with many living nearby worrying about problems with squatters, vandalism, rain runoff and ageing materials. The Epsom Central Apartments Project halted five years ago, after Auckland Council found it had not complied with building consent. The original partnership, Epsom Central Apartments LP, was put into receivership in 2022, and purchased by Xiao Liu, the director of a company named Reeheng Limited, in September 2023. Since then, community members and business owners have said there has been an air of mystery around what will happen to the building, which at one point was filled with rats and squatters.”
“Greenwoods Corner Epsom Business Association president Dominique Bonn described the multi-storey building as a ‘blight on the Epsom landscape.’ It was covered in graffiti and ‘entombed’ in scaffolding. ‘It’s an eyesore – certainly not something we welcome in the area. We’re very keen to see something built to conclusion, but we have no real gauge on what’s going to happen.’ Over on the North Shore in the coastal suburb of Mairangi Bay, locals said they were concerned about what appeared to be an ‘abandoned’ construction site of new build homes. Nick Rogers, who lived near the site on Beach Road, said only the exterior shell of the houses was complete. ‘The site with its considerable excavation has been an eye sore for months. No one knows what will happen to it.’ Work began on the site more than two years ago, Rogers said, and he had not seen the ‘handful’ of workers since about July 2024. ‘There is an open window in the apartment block and debris and earth are accumulating around the garages, which are just bare concrete unroofed structures.'”
From ABS-CBN News. “In an interview with ABS-CBN News, Leechiu Property Consultants (LPC) CEO David Leechiu said rental rates for mid-market condo units have already dropped to their lowest in about 15 years. He expects this downward trend to continue this year, particularly in the Manila Bay area, Alabang, and Makati where the exit of Philippine Offshore Gaming Operators (POGO) have resulted in a lot of vacancies. Leechiu also noted that renting is more preferrable than buying, even if recent data by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) report also showed a decline in housing prices, including condo units, in the National Capital Region.”
“‘Yung bagsak ng presyo sa rental prices is so big compared to the capital values. If you want to buy units right now, the discounts are probably 10, 20, 30 percent of the purchase price. The rents are discounted at 50 to 60 percent,’ said Leechiu. He said renting allows people,particularly those in the middle class, to save more money which they could invest in something else. ‘Ang tawag doon is free capital. The money you could’ve put buying and borrowing money, you could use that to grow a business or invest in the stock market,’ he said.”
“Apart from money, Leechiu added that it would also save a lot more time, especially if people are able to find a unit that is closer to where they work or where they study. ‘Instead of you staying 2 to 3 hours a day, 4 hours a day in traffic, you can do much more. You can spend more time with your children, you can spend more time with your loved ones, you can spend more time with your girlfriend and boyfriend, you can work out, you can sleep in… You can do many things for yourself instead of sitting in traffic,’ he said. According to LPC’s estimate, it would take 34 months or about three years before the current supply of condo units is taken up.”
‘What’s our plan to get the rest of this money back?’ Carter said. ‘I don’t believe you have a payment plan with most of these entities’
So what are they going to sell to raise the money Judge? Empty Narcans?
‘Mejia, who recently conducted an audit of interim housing programs, agreed that the lack of accountability and data-sharing was a problem. ‘We’re cutting blank checks’
That’s yer problem Ken. Put some kinda number on it before you mail it out.
“‘…We’re cutting blank checks…”
Mejia
Here is a thought. How about cutting back on outrageous “executive” salaries for the dozens of “non-profits” that are supposedly “helping” the homeless?
Here is but one example, the mere tip of an iceberg in a sea of icebergs.
https://transparentcalifornia.com/salaries/2019/los-angeles-homeless-services-authority/
The Homeless Industrial Complex is the only business in which success is achieved when they go out of business. So why would overpaid homeless execs want to end the gravy train?
What a complete scam.
‘Unfortunately,’ said real estate agent Jason Karadus, who now represents the listing, ‘I think he [Jacob Frydman] overshot’
And it’s ugly Jason.
It’s not my kind of house, but it’s definitely not ugly. I’ve seen much worse. It was clearly built for the views, not the curb appeal. It would be an amazing house for parties and business deals.
‘Instead of you staying 2 to 3 hours a day, 4 hours a day in traffic, you can do much more. You can spend more time with your children, you can spend more time with your loved ones, you can spend more time with your girlfriend and boyfriend, you can work out, you can sleep in… You can do many things for yourself instead of sitting in traffic,’ he said. According to LPC’s estimate, it would take 34 months or about three years before the current supply of condo units is taken up’
We don’t hear much from this sh$thole but they have a yuuge housing bubble and have for over 15 years. Another similar situation is Indonesia.
Do surging Treasury yields portend a major stock market CR8R event? Better buckle up… earthquake and tsunami hazards are present.
Markets
Last Time Bond Yields Surged Like This, Stock Markets Sank
– US 10-year Treasury yield near 4.7%, highest since last April
– Negative economic news could trigger correction: Goldman
Bond Market Clearly on Edge, Says BlackRock’s Koesterich
By Michael Msika
January 8, 2025 at 1:05 AM PST
There’s room for stock markets to fall further as bond yields approach levels that have been painful for equities in recent years.
The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to levels just shy of 4.7%, the highest since April after an almost uninterrupted surge of more than one percentage point since mid-September.
…
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-08/last-time-bond-yields-surged-like-that-stock-markets-sank?embedded-checkout=true
Better link?
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/last-time-bond-yields-surged-090545838.html
The Fed cuts the prime rate but interest rates still rise. One of these things is not like the other…when the bond vigilantes start demanding returns commensurate with the risk of buying the debt of an insolvent banana republic, it’s Game Over for the Fed’s asset bubbles & Ponzi markets.
Fartcoin has a market cap of $1.1 billion.
The Fed sees no bubbles.
‘Murica.
Bond futures …
https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=BONDS&p=d
Here are some currency futures. It appears the US Dollar is doing well …
https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=CURRENCIES&p=d
The $USD is the least syphilitic whore on the street corner – for now. But the central banker race to debase is just getting started.
The dollar is strengthening because of the 47 effect. One of his plans is clearly to put America back to work and fill those empty dollars with labor. Gold is barely hanging on, and silver is acting more like an industrial metal. However, according to some of the technical analysts on YT, the markets are poised for a fall, they say within “weeks” but I think it will take a little longer.
Private sector companies added 122,000 jobs in December, less than expected, ADP says
Real Estate
Mortgage rates hit highest level since July, crushing application demand
Published Wed, Jan 8 2025 7:00 AM EST
Updated 16 Min Ago
Diana Olick
Real estate signage outside residential homes in Discovery Bay, California, US, on Thursday, Nov. 7, 2024. Mortgage rates in the US increased to the highest level since July.
Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Mortgage rates last week moved higher for the fourth week in a row. That caused already very weak mortgage demand to drop even further. Total mortgage application volume fell 3.7% compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index. An additional adjustment was made for the New Year’s holiday.
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($766,550 or less) increased to 6.99% from 6.97%, with points decreasing to 0.68 from 0.72 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment. That is the highest rate since July 2024.
Applications to refinance a home loan rose 2% from the previous week but were 6% lower than the same week one year ago. Rates are now 18 basis points higher than they were one year ago. As for the weekly gain, volume in refinances is so low right now, that percentages are skewing larger than they normally would.
Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home fell 7% for the week and were 15% lower than the same week one year ago. There is considerably more supply of homes for sale now than there was last January, but higher rates and higher home prices are clearly keeping buyers on the sidelines.
“Purchase applications declined for both conventional and government loans and dropped to the slowest weekly pace since February 2024,” said Joel Kan, vice president and deputy chief economist at the MBA. “Refinance applications increased despite higher rates, but the increase was compared to recent low levels and was entirely driven by an increase in VA refinances, which continue to show weekly swings.”
Mortgage rates moved higher to start this week, according to a separate survey from Mortgage News Daily, which had the 30-year fixed average at 7.14% on Tuesday. Economic data was the driving factor.
“ISM Services’ inflation component was one of the worst offenders, but higher job openings didn’t help. The spike in yields was instantaneous but fairly well contained,” noted Matthew Graham, chief operating officer at MND.
More economic data comes Wednesday with the release of the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes and Friday with the all-important monthly employment report. Those will either keep rates on an upward trajectory or, perhaps, change the trend for the new year.
…
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/08/mortgage-rates-hit-highest-level-since-july-crushing-application-demand.html
TheHill.com
Business
Trump: ‘Interest rates are far too high’
by Taylor Giorno 01/07/25 12:23 PM ET
President-elect Trump speaks during a news conference at Mar-a-Lago, Jan. 7, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla.
President-elect Trump on Tuesday declared interest rates are too high even as he decried still-elevated inflation, setting up renewed tensions with the central bank chair who resisted pressure cut rates during his first term.
“We are inheriting a difficult situation from the outgoing administration, and they’re trying everything they can to make it more difficult. Inflation is continuing to rage, and interest rates are far too high,” Trump said during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago club in Florida.
…
https://thehill.com/business/5071561-trump-criticizes-federal-reserve-inflation/
Yahoo Finance
Reuters
Bond ‘tantrum’ dawns as rout sends shockwaves through markets
Amanda Cooper and Yoruk Bahceli
Wed, January 8, 2025 at 6:54 AM PST 2 min read
LONDON (Reuters) — A sharp selloff in some of the world’s biggest government bond markets and a surge in the dollar are sending shockwaves through financial markets, with the pain seen deepening as uncertainty grows over Donald Trump’s policies.
On Wednesday, 10-year Treasury yields, which underpin trillions of dollars in daily global transactions, jumped to above 4.7%. That was their highest level since April, and came as UK peers hit their highest since 2008.
This unleashed a fresh wave of selling in currencies such as the UK pound (GBPUSD=X), which slid over 1%, and the euro (EURUSD=X) headed closer towards the $1 mark.
Central banks all but declared victory over inflation in 2024, but a number of metrics show price pressures are rising again.
…
“The start of 2025 was never going to be straightforward, considering the torrent of bond supply and policy announcements from the incoming U.S. administration,” Societe Generale strategist Kenneth Broux said.
“Conditions are building for a tantrum in bonds and an overshoot in yields. We’re looking at 5% in 10s,” he added, referring to 10-year yields.
…
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-investors-riled-bond-market-145408329.html
China 10yr govt bond yield is 1.6% – i cannot make sense of the 300bp difference
Markets
Global Bond Selloff Leaves US Treasury Yields Flirting With 5%
US 20-year bond yield crosses threshold last seen in 2023
Global bond selloff deepens as inflationary angst hits markets
By Sydney Maki and Alice Gledhill
January 8, 2025 at 5:40 AM PST
Updated on January 8, 2025 at 9:41 AM PST
The selloffs that keep flaring in the world’s bond markets are rapidly pushing yields toward key thresholds due to escalating worries about elevated inflation, tempestuous politics and swelling government debts.
In the US, the 10-year Treasury yield rose as high as 4.73% Wednesday, pushing it toward the 5% peak hit in October 2023, before pulling back down. In the UK, that yield hit as much as 4.82%, the highest since August 2008, in an echo of the selloff that ended Liz Truss’s brief stint as prime minister a little over two years ago.
…
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-08/key-us-treasury-yields-approach-2023-peaks-with-5-in-sight
Fed’s Waller: More cuts likely though timing depends on inflation progress
By Howard Schneider
January 8, 20256:47 AM PST
Updated 5 hours ago
The Clearing House Annual Conference in New York
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller speaks during The Clearing House Annual Conference in New York City, U.S. November 12, 2024. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File
– Fed governor says inflation should continue to fall in 2025
– Timing of further rate cuts depends on inflation data
– Tariffs not likely to cause persistent inflation
WASHINGTON, Jan 8 (Reuters) – Inflation should continue falling in 2025 and allow the U.S. Federal Reserve to further reduce interest rates, though at an uncertain pace, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Wednesday.
Waller said that while it was true inflation “appears to have stalled” above the Fed’s 2% target in the waning months of 2024, market-based inflation estimates, as well as one-month and shorter-term inflation readings, have left him confident that inflation is continuing to ease in the U.S. even if the pace of improvement is less certain.
…
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/feds-waller-more-cuts-likely-though-timing-depends-inflation-progress-2025-01-08/
[This post is long and is not housing related but, hey, relax; It’s China.]
Xi Jinping Muzzles Chinese Economist Who Dared to Doubt GDP Numbers.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/xi-jinping-muzzles-chinese-economist-who-dared-to-doubt-gdp-numbers/ar-AA1x92cM?ocid=BingNewsVerp
At a Washington forum last month, a prominent Chinese economist raised doubts about Beijing’s economic management and said China’s economy might have grown at less than half the roughly 5% pace flaunted by authorities.
When Xi Jinping found out, he was furious.
According to people familiar with the matter, the Chinese leader ordered an investigation of Gao Shanwen, chief economist at state-owned SDIC Securities, who has frequently advised the government on economic and financial policies. Xi then ordered authorities to discipline him.
Two comments that Gao made at the forum, hosted jointly by the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a Chinese think tank, angered Xi, the people said.
One questioned the reliability of Chinese growth data. “We do not know the true number of China’s real growth figure,” Gao said at the Dec. 12 event, whose webcast is available on the Peterson Institute’s website and on YouTube. “My own speculation is that in the past two to three years, the real [gross domestic product growth] number on average might be around 2% even though the official number is close to 5%.”
Xi was further incensed to learn that Gao cast doubt regarding Beijing’s ability to take the steps needed to bolster growth.
“Their efforts to stimulate the economy will be very opportunistic,” Gao said at the forum. “In the end, I don’t think they can very confidently deliver what they have promised.”
Xi’s order led to a ban on Gao speaking publicly for an unspecified period, said the people familiar with the matter. For now, he has been allowed to keep his job, they said.
The leader’s reaction to Gao’s criticism highlights the deep sensitivities in Beijing over economic troubles that have mounted on Xi’s watch.
Beijing is trying to quell worries that China is plunging into a prolonged downturn. The country’s economy is being dragged down by a property meltdown that has wiped out $18 trillion in household wealth, a buildup of debt that is approaching 300% of GDP, and severe industrial overcapacity that risks a deflationary spiral.
The gathering gloom also hampers Beijing’s efforts to project strength and prepare to confront head-on tariffs and other threats from the incoming Trump administration.
In recent months, authorities have sought to stamp out any negative talk about the state of the economy.
Last year, Zhu Hengpeng, a senior economist at one of China’s top think tanks was placed under investigation, detained and removed from his post after he allegedly made remarks in a private chat group that were critical of Xi’s management of the economy, The Wall Street Journal reported in September. The remarks included veiled references to the leader’s mortality, according to the Journal report.
Other targets have ranged from business tycoons and bankers to academics, many of whom either questioned the leadership or otherwise are seen as not falling in line with what the top echelon of power wants.
The campaign has accelerated after Gao’s muzzling.
The Securities Association of China, the industry watchdog supervised by the country’s top securities regulator, late last month warned brokerages and fund managers to ensure that their economists and analysts “play a positive role” in interpreting government policies and boosting investor confidence. Offenders, according to the association, can be fired.
At a meeting this weekend, Cai Qi, Xi’s chief of staff, urged propaganda chiefs across the country to “strengthen economic publicity and expectation management”—a call to snuff out negative commentary about the economy.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission said the securities association’s directive mainly targets “chief economists who make unprofessional and irresponsible remarks.” It responded to other questions, including on Gao and Xi’s involvement, by saying, “The rest is untrue,” without elaborating.
SDIC Securities didn’t respond to questions.
An early indication that Gao was in trouble came last month, when an event to be hosted by China’s Nankai University—where he was due to be the guest speaker—was canceled. According to a website advertising the program, and to a message sent to attendees and seen by the Journal, the Jan. 11 event was canceled because of “the personal schedule of the guest of honor, Mr. Gao Shanwen.”
In a New Year’s speech on Dec. 31, Xi tried to bolster confidence in the Chinese economy, saying it is “on an upward trajectory.” He appeared to acknowledge concerns over a trade war with the incoming Trump administration, but vowed that China would prevail over challenges from the “external environment.”
That did little to instill confidence in investors that Beijing has the resolve to address the country’s economic woes. Chinese stocks and bonds started the year with a selloff. The benchmark CSI 300 equity index dropped 2.9% on Jan. 2, its steepest decline on the year’s first day of trading in nearly a decade. China’s 10-year sovereign yield continued last year’s plunge to hit new lows.
Pro-growth measures launched since September, such as interest-rate cuts and debt swaps for municipalities, have had limited impact on reviving activities. The leadership then pledged bolder action at a December meeting, but many economists and analysts question whether those promises, such as one aimed at boosting consumption, will go far enough.
Gao’s remarks made in Washington were shared privately by many economists and analysts inside and outside China.
The punishment of Gao and other outspoken economists are a blow for investors trying to assess the true state of China’s increasingly opaque market.
Beijing’s official GDP figures have long been viewed with skepticism even within China’s own policymaking circles. Li Keqiang, China’s late premier, preferred to use indicators showing electricity consumption, volumes of goods shipped and bank-loan disbursements to gauge the health of the economy, rather than relying on the GDP numbers.
Doubts over the reliability of Chinese statistics have grown in recent years as authorities have restricted access to certain data and stopped releasing others, such as on foreign investors’ interest in Chinese stocks. The government also paused disclosing widely watched youth jobless data in late 2023. It later restarted publication but excluded university students from its methodology.
Economists at Barclays wrote to clients in October that they noticed discrepancies between a sudden improvement in China’s third-quarter headline economic-activity data and the country’s weakening economic indicators, such as wage growth, exports and a purchasing-managers index. Economists at Nomura also noted the inconsistencies, saying that data from alternative sources for the country’s property and financial sectors appeared at odds with official data points.
Official data shows China’s economy grew 5.2% in 2023 and was on track for an expansion of about 5% last year. Growth of roughly 5% is critical to Xi’s ambitious plans, laid out in 2020, to expand China’s wealth and double the size of the nation’s economy by 2035. Such a target would require the economy to grow an average of nearly 5% annually over 15 years, according to estimates by officials involved in policymaking.
Gao said at the forum: “If my speculation is correct, I think it might be more reasonable to expect a growth rate between 3% and 4% in the years to come, the next three to five years.” He added, “But we know the official number will always be around 5%.”
In a statement, the Peterson Institute said it values candid exchanges with Chinese experts and believes “fact-based analytical expert discussions of public policy are essential to fostering mutual understanding and better public policy.” It said it would continue to collaborate with Chinese scholars “insofar as they are able to engage on that basis.”
The financial reckoning day has arrived in China.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZFPwYTxDz4
The demographic collapse is starting to manifest. A whole generation of 20-somethings wasn’t born. You can’t make or sell goods and services when there is nobody to buy them.
If the foreigners let you dump product, you can easily sell it all!
The median buyer in San Diego, San Jose, Anaheim, San Francisco, and Los Angeles would have spent as much as 77.6% of their income on monthly payments.”
Heckova job, “Zimbabwe Ben” Bernanke, Yellen the Felon, & BlackRock Jay.
“A sprawling Hudson Valley estate once touted as a modern engineering marvel has seen its price slashed to a quarter of its original ask.
Let’s please observe a moment of silence for all those dear departed Yellen Bux.
[Another long and non-housing related article.]
Tipping point: Zukerberg dumps “fact checkers”, allows immigration talk, copies X and moves team from CA to Texas.
Suddenly free speech is cool again
This is not the Tipping Point they were expecting.
https://www.joannenova.com.au/
Now that the election is safely over, Mark Zuckerberg, the coward, admits that censorship went too far and free speech is important. He’s decided that Facebook and Instagram will drop the third party “fact checkers” that crushed content and banned people because the “fact checkers” made too many mistakes. (Of course, he doesn’t admit that these were not mistakes at all, but entirely the plan.)
As David Evans (the other half) says “Reminds me of 1989, when the Berlin Wall fell. It was the end of another leftist regime based on censorship and cancelling. The good news just kept on coming.”
It’s a very limited mea culpa — it was just good intentions and a bit of scope creep you know…
It’s not like he was interfering in elections, tilting the balance to buy political protection, increase his profits, or score points at dinner parties with billionaire friends.
From the Press Release:
More Speech and Fewer Mistakes
In recent years we’ve developed increasingly complex systems to manage content across our platforms, partly in response to societal and political pressure to moderate content. This approach has gone too far. As well-intentioned as many of these efforts have been, they have expanded over time to the point where we are making too many mistakes, frustrating our users and too often getting in the way of the free expression we set out to enable.
And it was only “harmless content” that was lost and a bit of frustration was caused — it’s not like people died, wallowed in jail, or got attacked by illegal immigrants due to their loss of free speech:
Too much harmless content gets censored, too many people find themselves wrongly locked up in “Facebook jail,” and we are often too slow to respond when they do.
The Fact Checkers turned out to have their own biases:
If his plan was to give more expert opinions so “the people could judge” it does seem odd that they hired 20 year old nobodies with no qualifications to censor Harvard Professors in medicine.
The intention of the program was to have these independent experts give people more information about the things they see online, particularly viral hoaxes, so they were able to judge for themselves what they saw and read.
We’re not buying this miracle, Zuck, of how the people were supposed to be able to judge what they couldn’t see and never read…
It was just terribly bad luck the fact checkers all happened to support the same side of politics that Zuckerberg donated $400 million dollars to in 2020:
That’s not the way things played out, especially in the United States. Experts, like everyone else, have their own biases and perspectives. This showed up in the choices some made about what to fact check and how. Over time we ended up with too much content being fact checked that people would understand to be legitimate political speech and debate. Our system then attached real consequences in the form of intrusive labels and reduced distribution. A program intended to inform too often became a tool to censor.
He openly admits that the Twitter community notes policy is much better and will adopt it
It’s unusual in the business world to see someone copy a competitor (and openly say so):
We plan to phase in Community Notes in the US first over the next couple of months, and will continue to improve it over the course of the year. As we make the transition, we will get rid of our fact-checking control, stop demoting fact checked content and, instead of overlaying full screen interstitial warnings you have to click through before you can even see the post, we will use a much less obtrusive label indicating that there is additional information for those who want to see it.
And unusual too, that his competitor is happy.Elon Musk says “This is cool”.
And also like Musk, Zuckerberg is sending the policy brains team to Texas — realizing ten years too late, that the Californian bubble is not the place to connect with most Americans:
… we will be moving the trust and safety teams that write our content policies and review content out of California to Texas and other US locations.
Suddenly people will be able to discuss immigration and gender identity
Just toss those sacred cows out the window…
We want to undo the mission creep that has made our rules too restrictive and too prone to over-enforcement. We’re getting rid of a number of restrictions on topics like immigration, gender identity and gender that are the subject of frequent political discourse and debate. It’s not right that things can be said on TV or the floor of Congress, but not on our platforms. These policy changes may take a few weeks to be fully implemented.
How telling that he picks these topics. Immigration, especially is the hot button issue in the US, UK and Europe. This change will come through in mere weeks, he says, leaving us wondering if Zuckerberg suddenly realized Facebook and Instagram were in danger of being 100% irrelevant in the real world. A cruel observer might say that his interest in free speech was purely profit driven (or an act of desperation).
When will he let people discuss their medical experiences?
At ZeroHedge, they point out that it’s just over a month since Zuckerberg met Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago, and only one day after one of Trump’s closest allies joined the board of Facebook — the UFC CEO Dana White. Perhaps Trump gave him one last chance (with conditions)?
It’s all a step in the right direction. But after censoring ICU Specialists who were trying to save lives and who turned out to be right, Zuckerberg is going to have to do a lot more than mouthing the weak words of “mistakes”. The nicest possible interpretation is that as a mere double-digit billionaire, (unlike Musk) Zuckerberg was squeezed by the Blob until he complied. The US government could have put him out of business in five minutes if he offended them. But where is that story? His country — the world — really needs to hear the real mea culpa.
UPDATE: Meta’s chief Global Affairs Officer, Joel Kaplan says “they’ll cooperate with the Australian government on the under-16 social media ban, but stresses, “the right way to do it is to trust parents to know what’s best for their children.” This kind of pressure from Big Tech and from the US Government may end the Australian governments attempt to force digital ID’s upon us.
Nothing can compensate for the damage to lives that could have been avoided, but there are plenty of people out whose losses can be cut quickly:
As Zuckerberg avoids a prison cell announcing the end of fact checkers and vastly reducing censorship, I am still waiting for my ‘appeal’ against a heinous false charge with no evidence, no due process and no way to get in touch which disabled 17 years worth of work, the past ten…
Letting all those people out of Facebook jail would be a start.
The acquisition represents a plunge of about 66% in value for the office property, which last sold for $182M to Beacon Capital Partners in 2018.
Trillions in fictitious Yellen Bux “value” is growing wings & flying off to whatever afterlife awaits debauched fiat currencies.
“Condo board president Susan Strebchuk said owners have been saddled with mortgage payments on homes they can longer return to, and ongoing condo fees, leaving many on the brink of bankruptcy.
All together now: “But it was cheaper than renting.”
‘This has crippled me. And I know I can speak for dozens of owners who are just at a complete and utter loss.’”
There, there, Susan. At least you weren’t throwing away money on rent.
Ouch.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14262029/hollywood-actor-palisades-fire-house-burnt-devastation-insurance-policy.html
The media is going to have a field day making the working stiffs feel sorry for these Ocean View multi-millionaires!
Mark Zuckerberg is backpedaling after years of creepy Orwellian censorship and suppressing truth-tellers on social media.
https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1876613152223240589
Realtors are liars.
Gosh, who’s going to risk a 5% cap rate in real estate when you can get that return in bonds?
https://x.com/FibonacciInves1/status/1876665948561916214
Sounds like real estate prices may have to dip some to get those cap rates back up to levels competitive with bond yields.
China’s official economic stats are as falsified as ours. Who knows the true state of any economy anymore?
https://www.wsj.com/world/china/xi-jinping-muzzles-chinese-economist-who-dared-to-doubt-gdp-numbers-2a2468ef
Panicked Pacific Palisades residents abandon their cars in the middle of the road, forcing bulldozers to remove them.
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1876802351442358618?
They need to clean up their woods , smoky the Bear has it wrong , small controlled fires are good for the woods ,
They need to get their priorities in order. Emergency services are no place for “wokeness” and DEI.
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1877003321967296576
Maybe putting people from urban Southern California in charge of forest policy was foolish.
Cutting down trees hurts the planet, man.
trees
Trees, what trees? I checked the google maps of Pacific Palisades, and all I see dried-out half-dead weeds, with a few dried-out and half-dead shrubs less than 10 feet high. Lots of dried up bare leafless stems. It’s the kind of brush that George Bush used to clear out of his Texas ranch. All of the hillsides and trails look like this. No wonder it’s all burning away.
Brush, trees, bushes, grass — whatever. The lack of controlled burns is a serious problem and it is exacerbated by the type of urbanites that run California.
Brush can be cleared with machinery, no controlled fire needed.
Brush can be cleared with machinery, no controlled fire needed.
Good to know. I wonder if that sort of land management is a normal operation in the area.
“Save the scrub brush” doesn’t have the same cache as “save the trees.”
But if you clear all this stuff out with Bobcats, then the soil will run down the hillsides as mudslides. I guess that will happen anyway, when all this brush is cleared by the fires.
The rainfall in LA is widely variable, anywhere from 5 inches/year to 35 inches/year, with an average of 15 inches/year. What would grow sustainably in such an environment? Prairie grasses like the Great Plains? Prairie grasses would at least hold down the soil.
You can cut it back chain gang style or you can burn it. Much cheaper to burn. And they do become uncontrolled. We had one around here a couple of years ago that was prescribed at 100 acres and it got away from them and burned 5000. But nobody here thinks there’s a better way.
There’s lots of places it’s not practical to burn so you weed whack, little tractors etc. But brush grows like crazy on uneven land and gullys that make mechanical removal too costly. It’s not that big a deal. You pick the conditions: time of day, wind direction/speed, humidity. Tell the public what yer doing and have the firetrucks there in case. They do it all the time around here and you’d never notice it for the most part cuz it’s not in town.
“…small controlled fires are good for the woods”
That area is naturally covered with Chaparral, and property owners have imported various trees and vegetation. Indigenous Indian tribes were wary of hunting in Chaparral due to the windswept fire danger. In addition, months of extremely low humidity have exacerbated the fire danger.
Patients being evaculated from one of the local hospitals… omg
https://x.com/amuse/status/1876946916258308148
“The median buyer in San Diego, San Jose, Anaheim, San Francisco, and Los Angeles would have spent as much as 77.6% of their income on monthly payments.”
Nothing to worry about. Completely sustainable.
“…would have spent as much as 77.6% of their income on monthly payments….”
No worries. In Los Angeles, just get an overpaid executive job a Homeless Industrial Complex ‘non-profit’.
Only if you check a few DEI boxes.
Oh dear….
https://x.com/HustleBitch_/status/1876988816860320027
Squeal it out, Toronto FBs.
https://x.com/ShaziGoalie/status/1876823731374354846
Remain calm…all is well!
https://x.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1876988469609669100
Another “Oh dear!” moment in time.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/08/mortgage-rates-hit-highest-level-since-july-crushing-application-demand.html
“Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home fell 7% for the week and were 15% lower than the same week one year ago. There is considerably more supply of homes for sale now than there was last January, but higher rates and higher home prices are clearly keeping buyers on the sidelines.”
Huh?…but Barbara Cornhole told me it was gonna be to the moon in 2025.
ROTFLMFAO!!
The property losses of the Pacific Palisades fires are going to be catastrophic, especially since so many mansions were uninsured.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14262037/Celebrities-flee-Los-Angeles-mansions-engulfed-inferno.html
Now many of these ocean-view victims will be forced to tough it out this winter in their east coast Hampton mansions. [sniff]
Some pricey LA real estate going up in smoke, and rebuilding will be nearly impossible with insurers yanking coverage.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14261167/Pacific-Palisades-fire-map.html
The fraudulently-installed dementia patient is delusional to the bitter end.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14262729/biden-insists-beat-trump-remained-2024-election.html
The lights are on, but nobody is home!
Is the Wall Street-Federal Reserve Looting Syndicate getting ready to do a rug-pull on Trump after he gets sworn in?
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bond-market-targets-5-us-214518359.html
Another finance sub-Reddit for your HBB LOLZ:
https://old.reddit.com/r/Buttcoin/
Those grapes are all sour, I never wanted them anyway (stomps feet)
Top comment on a random thread there:
“mommy, when is the dip of the dip going to stop dipping”?
$95K is the new price floor.
Another fire destroys more muti- million dollar homes in S CA. Insurance companies are not going to be happy.
“Insurance companies are not going to be happy.”
It sounds like they refused to renew their customer’s property policies ahead of this year’s Santa Ana winds. Prescient?
Brog Properties bought the mostly vacant 16-story office building at 550 W. Washington Blvd. late last month from a venture of New York-based Metropolitan Life Insurance for about $18.5M, according to Crain’s Chicago Business. The sale price was 83% less than the $111M that the MetLife venture paid for the building
Dumber-than-rocks insurance companies can’t make the connection between their endless rounds of layoffs and plummeting demand for office space.
Hopefully their annuitants will understand and forgive them. 🙂
‘Lost year’: Germany electric car sales go into reverse
Sales of new electric vehicles in Germany plunged last year, official figures showed Monday, as a slow switch to battery-powered cars deepened the woes of the country’s flagship auto industry.
Just 380,609 EVs were registered in 2024 in Europe’s largest auto market, 27.4 percent fewer than in the previous year, the KBA federal transport authority said.
After years of growth, demand for battery-powered cars lost momentum as the German economy has struggled and key subsidies were withdrawn.
The slump in EV sales amounted to a “lost year for electro-mobility”, said EY analyst Constantin Gall.
Progress in bringing down EV prices could lead to a rise in sales, but the sector would struggle to rise above volumes seen in 2023, he said.
A “hoped-for paradigm shift” in consumer preferences had yet to come, Gall added. “For large parts of the population, combustion engines remain significantly more popular than electric cars.”
https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/lost-year-germany-electric-car-sales-go-into-reverse/ar-AA1x3nga
How about a hoped-for paradigm shift in range and charging infrastructure? Oh right, nobody thought about that.
There’s a reason China wants to get into the cheap EV business. They can slap the cars together with serf labor, load them on to a container ship, and sit back and collect profit. Actually driving, charging, or servicing the cars once they get here? Not their problem.
“…There’s a reason China wants to get into the cheap EV business….”
I would be also concerned about any product manufactured in China that contains chipsets (which is practically everything).
Not too much of a stretch to imagine that these devices (especially EV’s) could become hidden / covert data collection devices that report back to the mother ship (China) without users knowledge. (Example: TP-Link network routers made in China)
How is Franz supposed charge his EV if Germany has a severe electricity shortage? Or will he just grin and bear it, because he’s helping to save the planet?
LOL,,, no pity for the Euro cucks!
Art gallery argues NFT holders can’t sue it due to ‘market decline’
An art gallery said a class-action lawsuit from a group of non-fungible token (NFT) holders should be dismissed, arguing that it isn’t responsible for any losses in the NFT prices due to a wider market downturn.
The Eden Gallery Group argued in a motion to dismiss, filed in a New York federal court on Jan. 7, that a “general market decline” in NFTs doesn’t show that fraud or misrepresentation occurred as alleged.
“Plaintiffs may have buyers’ remorse (even though the NFTs were a digital art product rather than an investment product), but their losses, if any, are due to market forces.”
A group of 36 individuals who purchased “Meta Eagle Club” NFTs sued Eden Gallery in October, alleging fraud, unjust enrichment and violation of New York’s General Business Law.
The group claimed Eden Gallery and artist Gal Yosef’s project “was a rug pull.” The Meta Eagle Club NFT collection sold 12,000 unique humanlike eagles and collected $13 million between February 2022 and November 2023.
In its motion, the Eden Gallery said “NFTs as an asset class were extremely popular when the Meta Eagle Club NFTs were released in early 2022, but the popularity of the NFT market in general then ebbed.”
The floor price for a Meta Eagle Club NFT is currently 0.0051 ETH, or about $17, down from 0.6 ETH, or around $1,800, when they launched in February 2022, according to OpenSea.
Despite a recent uptick in NFT sales on the back of the crypto market bull run, the sector remains 98% down from its highs in early 2022 in US dollar sales volumes, according to industry analytics portal CryptoSlam.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/art-gallery-nft-holders-cant-sue-market-decline
I will tape a banana to the wall and sell it to you for $6.2 million.
Attaboy,,, we will innovate our way into the future!
San Jose residents raise concerns over homeless encampments near railroad tracks
People in several Bay Area neighborhoods are raising concerns about homeless moving onto railroad tracks in their communities.
They added the problem is growing and is endangering everyone including railway employees.
One video shows a California Northern train slowing down and stopping as a conductor paused the trip to push homeless tents out of the way so the train can move down the tracks.
The video was shot in Vallejo last month. Some of the debris ended up caught under the train as well.
It’s a growing epidemic that was first chronicled by the San Jose Spotlight.
Eric Cortinas lives in San Jose and likes to photograph trains. He took some pictures in the South Bay to show what the train workers have to deal with.
“The government does play a role in this and they need to start stepping in because this isn’t an issue that just impacts the unhoused individuals. This also impacts the Union Pacific and other railroad crews out there,” he said.
Cortinas and John Leipelt met NBC Bay Area near Monterey Road and Branham Lane in San Jose to show an encampment near the tracks. They are now calling for more homeless abatements to prevent potential collisions.
“It’s getting worse. We see a lot of homeless camps along the railroad tracks. They continue to grow monthly,” Leipelt said.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/san-jose-residents-raise-concerns-over-homeless-encampments-near-railroad-tracks/ar-AA1x8RW2
Thsi seems to be a self-solving issue
why slow down?????????
RR vs. tent. my money is on the train
FAFO
Also the tracks are RR property (along with the ROW) and RR’s have their own police forces.
How dumb must they be? What happened to Ralph? Well he was sleeping one off and a train cut him in two.
Trump Border Czar Sees $86 Billion Cost to Target Migrants
President-elect Donald Trump’s pick to oversee what he has promised to be the country’s largest ever deportation effort says he will need tens of billions of dollars to carry out the mission, but it will ultimately reduce taxpayers’ burden.
“That’s a lot of money. It is,” Tom Homan, who Trump named to lead deportation operations as border czar, said Monday night at a Republican women’s club in central Texas. “But right now we are spending billions of dollars in perpetuity.”
“Every illegal alien gets a free hotel room, every illegal alien gets three squares a day,” Homan said at the dinner in Franklin, Texas, about 140 miles south of Dallas. “In the long run, I am going to save the taxpayers billions of dollars.”
Homan also cited two recent high-profile crimes blamed on undocumented migrants to justify the spending. “And besides $86 billion, what price do you put on Laken Riley?” he said. “What’s the life worth of a young lady that was burned alive on the subway in New York?”
Homan and the new Trump administration also face staunch opposition from state and local officials around the country who have pledged to do whatever they can to protect migrants living in their communities.
Homan had a warning for those officials.
They “better get the hell out of the way, we’re coming,” Homan said Monday. “The Chicago mayor, he said I am not welcome in Chicago. Well, guess where I am going to be on day one?”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/government/trump-border-czar-sees-86-billion-cost-for-migrant-crackdown/ar-AA1x8aVJ
Please do Denver next.
Arapahoe, Jefferson, Douglas Counties will be happy to assist.
Know of 2 people that houses burned down in current CA Fires, and another one is under threat. A couple months ago another person I know their house burned down in Venture County. These are all multi million dollar houses.
The Widow of my Friend who just died was told by Forest Lawn that there might be a 5 to 6 week wait to even be able to have a funeral because they are so busy. WHY ARE THEY SO BUSY?
And of course people are reporting about the mysterious fog that’s hitting US, UK, Dubi, India and a bunch of other places.People are reporting the fog smells like chemicals and people are getting sick with flu like symptoms that go out in it.
So, I started looking up some stuff and I found that in 1950 the US Government dropped pathogens in a fog in San Francisco.One guy died and many others got severe sickness. Apparently the Gov did stuff like that between 1949 and 1969.
So anyway this attempt to try to normalize gain of function research to create diseases ,so they can find a counter measure vaccine, is bat shit crazy ,like so many things going on today are.
And of course people are reporting about the mysterious fog that’s hitting US, UK, Dubi, India and a bunch of other places.
Southern California is always foggy this time of year.
As new immigrants face high unemployment, experts warn of taking ‘survival jobs’
The unemployment rate for recent immigrants has risen to 9.2 per cent as of November, up 1.2 percentage points from a year earlier
Sultan Aitekenov knew it would be tough to find a job in Canada – just not this tough.
Mr. Aitekenov immigrated to this country in 2023 through a federal skilled-worker program, settling with his wife, Makhabbat, in Edmonton. But their arrival has coincided with a difficult labour market for immigrants, and he’s struggled to find work in his field of data analytics, despite years of experience in his native Kazakhstan. Worse yet, he can’t find work outside of his area of expertise, either.
“I expected that I would face challenges, but I didn’t expect it would be this hard to find a job – even the so-called survival jobs,” said the 33-year-old Mr. Aitekenov, referring to lower-level employment.
To make ends meet, newcomers will often settle for positions that don’t match their education, training and skills. But research shows that these survival jobs – as they’re known in immigrant communities – can devalue résumés and trap workers in a cycle of overqualification.
More than 35 per cent of recent immigrants with postsecondary education reported little to no relevance between their jobs and their education or training, according to new labour-market indicators on skill matching from the September labour force survey (LFS). The figure is 28 per cent for Canadian-born workers.
Upon arriving in Canada, Mr. Aitekenov immediately began applying for jobs. Within two weeks, he expanded his search beyond data-analyst and data-scientist roles to include positions such as research analyst and database administrator. Later, he started applying for survival jobs, such as cashier at Walmart and sales representative at Telus, even though these roles would underuse his skills.
Mr. Aitekenov felt overqualified for these survival positions, so he simplified his résumé by keeping only the skill-based experience that highlighted his communication and problem-solving abilities.
Mr. Aitekenov and his wife are living off savings and her contract work as a communications specialist. The Leisure Access Program, run by the City of Edmonton and offering free gym access, helps the couple reduce expenses while maintaining their well-being.
Despite a challenging year, Mr. Aitekenov remains optimistic. He has stopped looking for survival jobs and is taking an upskilling program at NorQuest College that includes a one-month internship.
“I am not applying for survival jobs; I keep applying for data-analyst positions. I came to Canada not to work as a cashier. I came for a better life.”
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-as-new-immigrants-face-high-unemployment-experts-warn-of-taking/
“I expected that I would face challenges, but I didn’t expect it would be this hard to find a job – even the so-called survival jobs,” said the 33-year-old Mr. Aitekenov, referring to lower-level employment.
The joke is on our Kazak friend. The job he was hoping to land was offshored.
Migrant worker group tells of complaints about Okanagan winery in foreign worker ban
A British Columbia organization that helps migrant workers says it’s been repeatedly contacted by employees of a winery in the Okanagan Valley that has been permanently banned from hiring temporary foreign workers and fined $118,000 for breaking program rules.
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada said in a Dec. 16 ruling that Toor Vineyards was banned for not putting in enough effort to protect workers from physical, sexual, psychological or financial abuse, or from reprisal.
It also said Toor Vineyards failed to provide requested documents, and that pay and working conditions didn’t live up to what was promised to the foreign workers.
Raul Gatica, the founder of Dignidad Migrante Society, said a “minimum of five, six” workers at the winery had reached out to his organization for help in recent years.
Gatica said at least one of the workers wanted advice after suffering sexual abuse.
“We say, ‘you know that is a crime thing, so you have to go to the police,'” said Gatica, who added that police were told of the allegations.
Gatica said that while he was pleased by the latest fine and ban, and that “finally the federal government was doing something,” he doubted whether the new penalty would be paid.
Gatica said migrant farm workers, often poorly paid and living in cramped on-site housing, were vulnerable to abuse.
He said that after coming to Canada from Mexico as a refugee in 2005, he worked on a farm in the Okanagan where he witnessed “horrible conditions.”
He said some migrant farm labourers worked up to 16 hours a day, with up to 20 people sharing living quarters.
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/crime/general/migrant-worker-group-tells-of-complaints-about-okanagan-winery-in-foreign-worker-ban/ar-AA1x8xj5
Always so many victims!
Trump is open to using ‘economic force’ to acquire Canada; Trudeau responds
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said “there isn’t a snowball’s chance in hell that Canada would become part of the United States,” on the same day U.S. president-elect Donald Trump declared that he’s open to using “economic force” to acquire Canada.
Trump, speaking at a press conference at Mar-a-Lago, refused to rule out the use of military force to seize control of the Panama Canal and Greenland. He was also asked if he was considering using military force to acquire Canada.
“No, economic force,” he responded. “Because Canada and the United States, that would really be something.”
“You get rid of that artificially drawn line, and you take a look at what that looks like, and it would also be much better for national security. … We basically protect Canada.”
On Tuesday evening, Trump posted a pair of maps to his Truth Social platform: one shows the American flag covering both Canada and the U.S., while the other displays the two countries with the words “United States” emblazoned over them.
“We’re losing $200 billion a year and more to protect Canada, and I said that to, as I called him, ‘Governor Trudeau.’ I said, ‘Listen, what would happen if we didn’t subsidize you?’ He said, ‘Canada would dissolve,'” Trump claimed.
In a Truth Social post on Monday, Trump once again referred to Canada as the United States’ 51st state, adding the U.S. “can no longer suffer the massive Trade Deficits and Subsidies that Canada needs to stay afloat.”
“Justin Trudeau knew this, and resigned,” he wrote. “If Canada merged with the U.S., there would be no Tariffs, taxes would go way down … Together, what a great Nation it would be!!!”
On Tuesday, Trump also repeated his conversation with hockey star Wayne Gretzky.
“I have so many great friends [in Canada]. One of them is ‘The Great One’: Wayne Gretzky,” Trump mused.
“I told him run for prime minister … You’ll win in two seconds,” he said, possibly referring to the widely publicized Christmas Day visit between the president-elect and Gretzky.
“He said, ‘Well, am I going to run for prime minister or governor? You tell me,'” Trump recounted. “I said, ‘Let’s make it governor. I like it better.'”
https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/trump-is-open-to-using-economic-force-to-acquire-canada-trudeau-responds-1.7167098
$200 billion — per years — sounds pretty steep. That amount of money is enough to deport at least of the illegal immigrants in the country. Is the figure really that high?
He’s having way too much fun trolling them
“He’s having way too much fun trolling them”
Gulf of America!
😁
‘China is the problem’: Ford says now is not the time for U.S. to ‘disrupt’ trade with higher tariffs
Ontario Premier Doug Ford says Canada is not to blame for America’s economic woes and instead is pointing the finger at China for shipping and distributing “cheap parts” through Mexico.
“I’ve talked to so many governors, and congresspeople, and senators and never once did they say Canada is the problem,” he said during a interview on Monday evening with CNN’s Erin Burnett.
“I’ll tell you who the problem is: China is the problem. China shipping in cheap parts, putting them through Mexico. Mexico slapping on a ”Made in Mexico” sticker on and shipping up through the U.S. and Canada. (It’s) costing American and Canadian jobs.”
For weeks, Trump has also mocked Canada by referring to the prime minister as “Governor Justin Trudeau” and calling Canada “the 51st state.”
In a recent post on X, Trump’s son Eric also shared a photoshopped image of his father purchasing Canada on Amazon, along with Greenland and the Panama Canal.
Earlier today, Ford said Canada would buy Alaska and two other states in response to Trump’s frequent taunts about treating the country as a U.S. state.
“You know something, to the president I’ll make him a counteroffer; How about if we buy Alaska and throw in Minnesota and Minneapolis at the same time?” the premier said Monday while speaking with reporters about the threat of looming tariffs and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s announcement that he’ll step down.
He later told CNN said that those comments were made in jest.
https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/doug-ford-snaps-back-at-donald-trump-s-canada-taunts-with-offer-to-buy-alaska-1.7166212
Trump made a great point regarding Canadian trade. The USA restricts access to forests, which means the USA relies on Canadian lumber. If you remove those restrictions, USA supply will increase and decrease demand for Canadian lumber.
47 didn’t threaten tarriffs because of economic woes. 47 threatened tariffs to stop the flow of migrants and drugs over the northern border. Why doesn’t Canada just make a border security plan to please 47 and avoid the tarriffs? Instead they’re just resigning and folding all over the place.
Maybe Pierre Polivire will be stronger. He’s got good ideas, but I don’t know how he’ll stack up agasint 47. Pierre looks all strong and confident when compared to Prime Minister Peoplekind, but he too will fold if he crosses 47.
The tariffs are about the drugs and illegals. His argument for combining is our trade deficit is not working for us. There’s not enough people up there to buy more US. So instead of us driving the trade deficit even (by a variety of non-tariff measures), join us and it won’t be a problem.
Prime Minister Peoplekind
I prefer to call him Prime Minister Zoolander
Trudeau dropping out ‘an opportunity to reset things’: Nickel Belt MP
Noting the prevalence of “Trudeau-phobia” across Canada, and most notably in the west, Nickel Belt MP Marc Serré said the prime minister stepping down will offer the Liberals a needed reset.
“There is this whole Trudeau-phobia that you can’t really put your finger on, because you ask a lot of people if they support Justin, and they say no,” Serré said, adding that a common response to why is, “Well, everything.”
“He’s a polarizing figure,” Serré said, adding that this is particularly prevalent in the west, where his late father, past prime minister Pierre Elliot Trudeau, was also polarizing.
https://www.sudbury.com/local-news/trudeau-dropping-out-an-opportunity-to-reset-things-nickel-belt-mp-10042269
In bid for Florida Dem chair, Audrey Gibson seeks end to party’s ‘dysfunction’
In the wake of a disastrous election night on Nov. 5, where Florida Democrats saw further political decline, former state lawmaker Audrey Gibson said she wants to be the next state chair.
Gibson, who recently served as Florida Senate Minority Leader, plans to address the “dysfunction” within the Florida Dems and rebuild it from the ground up.
“Dysfunction and a lack of the eye of the tiger, I’ll call it…” Gibson said during an interview on Tuesday, emphasizing the need for a more focused and competitive approach.
Gibson thinks Florida Democrats need a comprehensive review of the 2024 election and is seeking a data-driven analysis to better understand voter needs and tailor messaging accordingly.
“Paying attention to what people are telling you,” she explained. “And if you miss that mark, you’re done, which we were in this election.”
https://www.abcactionnews.com/news/state/in-bid-for-florida-dem-chair-audrey-gibson-seeks-end-to-partys-dysfunction
Janet Yellen: Covid stimulus may have contributed ‘a little bit’ to inflation (1/8/2025):
“Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Wednesday that the stimulus spending signed into law by President Joe Biden to aid the U.S. recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic may have contributed “a little bit” to the country’s subsequent inflation woes.
But the widespread rise in prices that marred the Democrat’s administration was mostly “a supply-side phenomenon” caused by the pandemic itself, Yellen told CNBC’s “Money Movers” in an exit interview before leaving her role.
There were “simply huge supply chain problems,” she said, adding that shortages of critical goods “started pushing up prices a great deal.”
Yellen said she believed the $1.9 trillion Covid relief bill and other spending was necessary, and she did not answer directly when asked if she has any regrets about it.
Instead, she urged Americans to recall that the pandemic was “raging out of control” when Biden took office, with thousands of people dying from the virus each month and a high unemployment rate threatening livelihoods.
“It was really important to spend the money to alleviate that suffering,” she said.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/08/janet-yellen-covid-stimulus-inflation-biden-trump.html
CCP Flu didn’t destroy the economy. Big Government destroyed the economy.
#EndTheFed
More money chasing fewer goods. How could that possibly end?
Are the MMT evangelists still trying to share their good news? It also seems that Universal Basic Income isn’t discussed much anymore
Linked from ZeroSludge.
Bitcoin investor ordered to hand over crypto keys in landmark tax case (1/7/2025):
“An early Texas Bitcoin investor was ordered to surrender his crypto and other wallet private keys and access codes as part of a restraining order after being sentenced in December to two years in prison for tax fraud.
Frank Richard Ahlgren III, who falsely underreported capital gains on over $3.7 million in Bitcoin BTC tickers down $94,513 sales between 2017 and 2019, owes the US government about $1.1 million in restitution.
Austin Federal Court Judge Robert Pitman on Jan. 6 ordered Ahlgren and any of his family, friends or representatives to identify and provide any physical devices used to store his cryptocurrency, along with any public keys, private keys, seed phrases or passphrases.
Ahlgren’s case marked the first criminal tax evasion prosecution centered solely on cryptocurrency, according to the acting special agent in charge of IRS-Criminal Investigation’s Houston Field Office, Lucy Tan.”
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-investor-ordered-hand-over-crypto-keys-landmark-tax-case
The first criminal tax evasion prosecution, ever, did you say?
But I thought crypto meant that the gooberment couldn’t touch your coin? Sure, he can refuse to hand over his keys, but he’ll go to jail.
“…that the gooberment couldn’t touch your coin?…”
No encryption, including the method used in blockchain (the internal engine of Bitcoin and all the other cryptos), is totally secure.
All you need is a suitably fast computer to crack in a reasonable time period.
Wouldn’t be surprised that BitCoin (and all the others) have already been cracked by the NSA (or other secret 3 letter agencies), but has not been publicized.
Wouldn’t be surprised that BitCoin (and all the others) have already been cracked by the NSA (or other secret 3 letter agencies), but has not been publicized.
*Puts on tinfoil hat* We don’t know the identity of who created BTC.
Fact-Checkers MELT DOWN After Zuckerberg’s Free Speech Announcement
Glenn Greenwald
1 hour ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMl4h9u3zb0
13:40.
Canadian Doctors Suggest Harvesting Organs From Euthanasia Patients Before They’re Dead (1/8/2025):
“The best use of my organs, if I’m going to receive a medically assisted death, might be to not first kill me and then retrieve my organs, but to have my mode of death — as we medically consider death now — to be to retrieve my organs,” said Rob Sibbald, an ethicist of the London Health Sciences Centre in Ontario.
Other Canadian doctors have publicly embraced “death by donation,” and a study came out earlier this year exploring euthanasia programs such as MAID as a means of organ harvesting. Canada legalized euthanasia in 2016, and since then the number of Canadians using MAID to kill themselves has significantly increased.
Sibbald’s biography says he co-directs the “Canadian unit of the International Network of the UNESCO chair in bioethics.” During his speech, he suggested blurring the lines on the “dead donor rule,” a long-standing medical ethics guideline requiring that donors die of another natural cause before doctors harvest their organs.
“We’re so invested in this dead donor rule,” Sibbald said. “That rule has become so ingrained in the medical community that we hold it out as a foundational principle. … And I think just as likely there are people who question that value now. And I know there’s perhaps not an appetite to go there, but raising the question — is the dead donor rule even relevant?”
https://thefederalist.com/2025/01/08/canadian-doctors-suggest-harvesting-organs-from-euthanasia-patients-before-theyre-dead/
Was at the grocery store today (Safeway).
18 pack of eggs are $9.69 for store brand
There were very few (of any brand) on hand.
They hate us and want us dead.
Colorado is now cage free only effective January 1st.
I had to mix and match some eggs from two cartons each containing a broken egg to buy my last dozen, last ones on the shelf for less than $8.
interesting, but i’m not in colorado, although i bet the distribution centers are. (not a heck of lot up here for big cities)
Kindly divert your attention to Greenland. 🙂
Mark Cuban: I’d rather own bitcoin than gold if something bad happens to the economy—‘I think it has more value’ (1/8/2025):
“Many people who hold bitcoin — the world’s largest cryptocurrency — view it the same way, as a “great store of value,” Cuban says. In a true economic crisis, bitcoin may even have an advantage, he says: “People look at bitcoin as a better version of gold, and I agree with that.”
In the more extreme example Cuban cites, where, say, the U.S. dollar collapses, gold’s long-time reputation as a valuable currency could keep the holder from going broke. Here’s the problem, though. Gold — especially in bar form — is heavy, easy to steal and difficult to exchange for goods and services.
It’s not practical. “People aren’t gonna walk around with gold bars. ‘Oh, look, he owns gold.’ Bam! ‘Now I own gold,’” Cuban joked. “What are you gonna do with it? Let me slice you off a little piece?”
Despite its high price, bitcoin is portable and easier than precious metal to use for smaller transactions, Cuban said. So in addition to a serving as a store of value, bitcoin can be a functioning currency. “It’s easier to buy and sell,” he said. “You can fractionalize it, you can buy things, you can transfer it internationally. And so I think it has more value than gold.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/08/mark-cuban-bitcoin-is-a-better-version-of-gold-in-a-crisis.html
Digital tulips > shiny rocks, because reasons.
I always knew Mark Cuban (tell us your name before you changed it Mark) was an idiot who just got lucky, but man, that’s just dumb.
NPR drags out the urine soaked mattress, one again.
A looming ‘demographic cliff’: Fewer college students and ultimately fewer graduates (1/8/2025):
“This “demographic cliff” has been predicted ever since Americans started having fewer babies at the advent of the Great Recession around the end of 2007 — a falling birth rate that has not recovered since, except for a slight blip after the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Demographers say it will finally arrive nationwide in the fall of this year. That’s when recruiting offices will begin to confront the long-anticipated drop-off in the number of applicants from among the next class of high school seniors.
As fresh data emerges, the outlook is getting only worse. An analysis by the higher education consulting firm Ruffalo Noel Levitz, using the latest available census figures, now projects another drop in the number of 18-year-olds beginning in 2033, after a brief uptick. By 2039, this estimate shows, there will likely be 650,000, or 15%, fewer of them per year than there are now.”
https://www.npr.org/2025/01/08/nx-s1-5246200/demographic-cliff-fewer-college-students-mean-fewer-graduates
One of my recent apprentices who is 18, told me his sister attended one semester of college, had her b**bs surgically removed, and is no longer speaking to (her)? parents.
Trust the science? Muh resistance? It’s all so tiresome…
One of my recent apprentices who is 18, told me his sister attended one semester of college, had her b**bs surgically removed, and is no longer speaking to (her)? parents.
The girl’s problems started well before she attended college.
PSA on Boobs: Did you know that the B is the top down view, the o’s are the front view, and the little b is the side view? The s is now the scalpel. Sad!
Re-post from the last thread.
Eviction filings in Denver broke a record last year with nearly 16,000 people being evicted from their homes (1/6/2025):
https://www.denver7.com/news/front-range/denver/eviction-filings-in-denver-broke-a-record-last-year-with-nearly-16-000-people-being-evicted-from-their-homes
Homelessness in Colorado increased 30% in 2024 (1/6/2025):
https://kdvr.com/news/local/report-homelessness-in-colorado-increased-30-in-2024/
If you live here, which almost all of you don’t, you see the consequences of this every day. Neo-Feudalism has arrived…
Some examples:
The almost complete disappearance of public restrooms. In a city where anything goes regarding public consumption of hard drugs, this is the first sign.
Armed security guards at the entrance of local King Soopers / Kroger during all open hours now. They weren’t all there five years ago.
You have to press a button to buzz a Store Associate to buy socks or underwear at Wal-Mart now.
All cosmetics, more expensive hair products and toiletries now locked up at Safeway, must see Store Associate to buy.
It starts with a trickle, and ends with the dam bursting.
I had to go to wallyworld this morning. I’ve never seen what you are describing here or anywhere. Get away from the sh$tholes and don’t go back. I’ve mentioned Dallas, especially south Dallas, was a sh$thole in the 1970’s. I don’t go there.
I don’t see this nonsense where I live either.
Lots of America is still pretty great.
I’ve moved around a lot in my life. Nothing wrong with moving to greener pastures.
‘‘Mortgage rates are still posing a drag on the housing market’ both in Austin and at the national level, says Clare Knapp, the Austin Board of Realtors’ housing economist. As of the third quarter of 2024, Austin home prices were about 12% lower than their 2022 peak’
Yer down 20% or more Clare. It was widely reported and it hasn’t gone up. It’s probably south of 20% now.
‘The acquisition represents a plunge of about 66% in value for the office property, which last sold for $182M to Beacon Capital Partners in 2018…The sale price was 83% less than the $111M that the MetLife venture paid for the building just west of the Ogilvie Transportation Center when it was almost fully leased in 2013’
How do you like those 5% cap rates now boys?
‘‘We were told that it was going to be over and done with and we could stop the bleeding,’ Brown said. ‘And really, the bleeding will continue until we get a final answer as to whether this is closing or not. It really just puts us on edge. And we’ve been on edge for coming up two years now’
We’re going to hear this a few thousand times in Florida. Same thing happened in the 2000’s. But now the airboxes are older, the owners are older, and they got the insurance/assessment schlonging.
‘Until last summer, overbidding was the norm, and most properties attracted excessive interest,’ said Brevé to the newspaper. ‘Now, our agents see more opportunities for buyers. While there are still properties selling quickly and well above the asking price, we are also seeing homes with significantly less interest. Some sellers are surprised by the moderate interest their properties are receiving’
Ivor is a lion. These sh$tholes have been sinking like a turd in a well since Jerry broke it off in their a$$.
‘The site with its considerable excavation has been an eye sore for months. No one knows what will happen to it.’ Work began on the site more than two years ago, Rogers said, and he had not seen the ‘handful’ of workers since about July 2024. ‘There is an open window in the apartment block and debris and earth are accumulating around the garages, which are just bare concrete unroofed structures’
Get used to it Nick, some of those things are still standing around Ireland.
Illegal Alien Crimes
@ImmigrantCrimes
Recently deported illegal alien returns, accused of killing ex-girlfriend.
🚨 Salt Lake County and Tooele County, UT: On Sunday, illegal alien Nestor Rocha-Aguayo was arrested for Aggravated Murder, Abuse or Desecration of a Dead Human Body, Aggravated Robbery, and Attempted Escape in the death of his ex-girlfriend, Talia Benward.
Rocha-Aguayo had
Show more
11:40 AM · Jan 7, 2025
·
https://x.com/ImmigrantCrimes/status/1876670281907068984
And Then There Were NONE! JPMorgan becomes last of the Big-6 U.S. banks to quit Net-Zero Banking Alliance.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/01/08/and-then-there-were-none-jpmorgan-becomes-last-of-the-big-6-u-s-banks-to-quit-net-zero-banking-alliance/
Last of the Big-6 U.S. banks to leave the group
Says remains ‘focused on pragmatic’ climate solutions
Exit comes amid rising U.S. political pressure
LONDON, Jan 7 (Reuters) – JPMorgan (JPM.N), opens new tab said on Tuesday it was leaving the Net-Zero Banking Alliance, the latest U.S. lender to quit the sector’s biggest climate coalition amid rising U.S. political pressure.
The move means the six biggest banks in the world’s largest economy – Goldman Sachs (GS.N), opens new tab, Wells Fargo (WFC.N), opens new tab, Citi (C.N), opens new tab, Bank of America (BAC.N), opens new tab, Morgan Stanley (MS.N), opens new tab and now JPMorgan – have all left the group in the space of a month.
JPMorgan gave no clear reason for leaving the initiative, yet it comes after months of pressure from some Republican politicians who said membership of such coalitions could breach anti-trust rules.
“We will continue to work independently to advance the interests of our Firm, our shareholders and our clients and remain focused on pragmatic solutions to help further low-carbon technologies while advancing energy security,” a company spokesperson said in a statement.
“We will also continue to support the banking and investment needs of our clients who are engaged in energy transition and in decarbonizing different sectors of the economy.”
Make sense of the latest ESG trends affecting companies and governments with the Reuters Sustainable Switch newsletter. Sign up here.
From the last link:
‘Meanwhile, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael Ricafort believes the string of interest rate cuts by the BSP would also help boost demand for the property sector.’
“Bababa yung borrowing cost, mas mae-engganyo lalo na humiram yung mga tao para bumili ng mga bahay— mapa-condo yan, mapa-house and lot, or single detached or town house,” said Ricafort.’
He also does not see too long of a lag time for these rate cuts to take effect.
“Yung pricing ng mga loans, competitive yan eh. Pagka nagcut ng rates yung central bank, sunod kagad yung mga bangko,” he said.
As it is, Ricafort said there has already been a healthy correction in home prices, especially for condo units in Metro Manila.’
Pagka nagcut ng rates yung central bank!
Condo Problems Expected To Get Worse In 2025 (GTA Condo Real Estate Market Update)
Team Sessa Real Estate
50 minutes ago
This episode looks at the current GTA Condo Markets – Toronto, York Region & Peel Region for the week ending Jan 1, 2025. We also discuss how the problems for condo’s may compound as we are bringing many issues from 2024 into 2025.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cHirggCaljs
11:16. DONG!
A comment:
@Inkill2009
13 minutes ago
This has happened time and time again in the past, and it will keep happening in the future.
Prices will ALWAYS go up in the long term. History repeats itself.
Obama represents a sickness, a decay, of all that is wrong with America. The “fundamental transformation” he promised is a one way ticket to poverty and slavery.
This is your Obama. This is Democrat Party.
How long into the correction do you plan to wait before buying the dip?