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The Investors Were Apparently Attracted To Potential Profits Through High-Interest, High-Risk Lending Schemes That Ultimately Were Unsuccessful

A report from WFTS. “Pressure is mounting on Florida lawmakers to address the rising costs for condo owners. Stories from Florida’s coast highlight the frustration of condo owners with increasing costs. One owner expressed concern, saying, ‘It’s going to put a pinch on a lot of people with fixed incomes…” Another from the Tampa area said, ‘Been here since about 2010 my condo fee was around $250, now it’s $670…’ The inability to sell condos is also a significant issue, with one realtor reporting, ‘I’ve had 10 showings, and I’ve done about 30 open houses, open houses nobody appears to come to see the properties.'”

“The root of the problem lies in still-rising property insurance rates and new rules implemented following the Surfside condo collapse in 2021. Florida Senate Minority Leader Jason Pizzo’s (D-Hollywood) reform ideas included establishing a uniform standard for condo repair assessments. He felt doing so would better ensure those assessments are not inflated with unnecessary costs. ‘When you’re seeing another association of mine, in Hallandale with a $51 or $52 million pending assessment,’ said Pizzo, ‘and there’s a separate line item for pool furniture— that’s not what we meant about keeping building structurally safe, right?'”

The Dallas Morning News in Texas. “You found a dream home for sale. But can you afford it? ‘There’s a world of difference between what someone can qualify for and what someone can actually afford,’ says James Miller, a mortgage branch manager at Cornerstone Home Lending with two decades of experience in the field. ‘In discussions with a loan officer, rather than asking ‘How much can I qualify for?’ a better question is often ‘How much can I actually afford to pay every month?’ Right now, most buyers end up putting down around 3-5%. If those percentages seem low, Miller notes that the mortgage industry has numerous safeguards in place against bad loans. A 2025 down payment of 3% may be stronger than 20% down 20 years ago, he adds, because of the protections and parameters that were initiated after the 2008 housing crisis. Miller adds that it’s not uncommon these days for people to receive financial gifts toward a down payment from family members.”

“Traditionally, ‘the farther away you get from the city center, the pricing is more affordable; you can get more for your money,’ says James Fairchild, an associate broker with Ebby Halliday Real Estate. ‘But that is changing, too.’ He has been surprised to see high prices of homes in areas like Celina and Prosper, which are considerably distant from central D-FW. Even if you’re not in a position to purchase what the home you really want, there’s value in the process of determining what you can afford. ‘If now isn’t the right time, you have a game plan to work towards, whether it’s improving credit scores [or] saving up,’ says MaryAnn Comparin Jones, senior loan officer at Fairway Independent Mortgage Corporation. ‘And your first home typically isn’t your forever home. It is a starting point to get you to where you dream of being, and building equity sooner than later will get you to your dream home faster.'”

Yahoo Finance. “‘Undocumented immigrants and non-citizens have several obstacles when trying to buy a home,’ said Rosa Galarza, a licensed real estate agent with eXp Realty. ‘There are usually more issues than when we work with U.S. citizens.’ Still, buying a home isn’t outright impossible for undocumented immigrants. Many loan programs require a Social Security number — something the undocumented do not have. (You generally need to be authorized to work in the U.S. to apply for an SSN). ITIN loans are mortgages that don’t require a Social Security number. Instead, they require an applicant’s ITIN, or Individual Taxpayer Identification Number. Anyone can apply for an ITIN with the Internal Revenue Service; you’ll simply need to fill out an ITIN application form and provide some supporting documentation, like your passport or national ID card. ‘When undocumented immigrants have an ITIN, it can help them tremendously,’ Galarza said.”

“You can also consider adding a co-signer to your loan application. This person agrees to make payments if you fail to, and adding a co-signer lessens the risk you present to lenders. It also allows the co-signer’s income, credit, and financial profile to be factored in when processing your loan. ‘If the amount of income you make is not enough to qualify, adding a cosigner may help,’ said Darren Tooley, loan officer at Union Home Mortgage.”

The Post Independent. “‘In her opening speech of the 2025 Colorado legislative session, re-elected Colorado House Speaker Julie McCluskie (D-Dillon) cast the state’s budget challenges as a defining issue for the 120-day lawmaking term. McCluskie said Democrats were prepared to take action in response to the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump and took aim at some of his most hardline campaign pledges. ‘Coloradans do not support mass deportations,’ McCluskie said, framing the proposal as one that would devastate communities and local economies. In a speech following McCluskie’s, El Paso County Republican and House Minority Leader Rose Pugliese said her caucus supports deporting ‘illegal immigrants who are violent criminals’ adding, ‘I think this should be a bipartisan issue.'”

The Los Angeles Times in California. “With more than 1,100 structures already destroyed by three wildfires that continue to rage out of control around Los Angeles, homeowners and business owners face a long road ahead to recoup their losses. Filing an insurance claim is one of the many tasks to take care of after the loss of a home or business. It is lengthy process that has become more fraught as insurance companies have canceled or scaled back coverage in fire-prone areas. What if I don’t have home insurance? ‘If you don’t have homeowner’s insurance, there is no clear path,’ said Annie Barbour, a coordinator for United Policyholders, a nonprofit insurance and consumer rights advocacy group . ‘It’s very difficult to recover.'”

KRON in California. “Daniel Lurie was sworn-in as San Francisco’s 46th mayor on Wednesday. In a lengthy inauguration speech, Lurie unveiled changes he will make to the city during his first 100 days in office. Lurie said, ‘I entered the Mayor’s race not as a politician, but as a dad who couldn’t explain to my kids what they were seeing on our streets. That has never hit me as hard as it did last month at San Francisco General Hospital. After meeting an extraordinary team of nurses, doctors, social workers, and addiction specialists — we ended our tour in the NICU. There I stood in the quiet of a nursery surrounded by babies in critical condition. Some of them recovering from fentanyl exposure. It was a heartbreaking picture of our city’s shortcomings in addressing the crisis on our streets.'”

“‘Today, what has been a temporary effort to deal with the increasing drug markets, will be a permanent fixture of this administration. The fentanyl crisis isn’t a 9-5 operation — it doesn’t take breaks — and neither will we. That is why I’m introducing a package of Fentanyl State of Emergency Ordinances. And to our Supervisors — I want to thank you for your shared commitment to defeating the scourge of fentanyl and untreated mental illness on our streets,’ Lurie said.”

KOMO in Washington. “Efforts to confront prostitution along Seattle’s Aurora Avenue will be getting a new infusion of resources this year, and many neighbors in the area said sex trafficking seems less pronounced but remains a problem. ‘I think it’s toned down just a little bit,’ said Paddy Walls, who lives near Aurora Ave N. ‘I used to see women walking up and down the street with virtually nothing on, and the school is right there, which makes it just disgusting, but it seems like it’s cleaned up a little.’ Darian Laughlin is a tow truck driver who spends most of his shift around the Aurora corridor. ‘Aurora is not what it used to be, that’s for sure. As a kid, I never saw what you see now,’ Laughlin said. ‘It sucks. I’ve got four kids, three of which are girls, and I don’t want them seeing that on the roads.'”

The Boston Herald in Massachusetts. “Sifting through the thousands of pages of ‘Serious Incident’ reports from the Bay State’s migrant-family shelter program is a brutal read. The huge trove of documents, which the Herald received through a public records request, detail heartbreaking and disturbing stories involving those in the state-funded emergency housing shelter system. A mother was ‘visibly distraught, sobbing,’ telling staff that her daughters were being ‘picked up in a blue SUV by several adult Haitian males.’ ‘… at least on two occasions, the girls were gone for 3-4 nights,’ the report reads. When staff went to the hotel room to speak with the daughters, one of them said if she has to live with her mother, ‘I’d rather be back in Haiti.’ When staff went to the room, the children opened the door and their mother — who had a baby 10 days ago — was in bed sleeping. ‘The children were in the room and on the floor was a huge knife and a gallon of milk,’ the report reads. ‘There were dirty dishes on stove, counter and sink. The fridge was wide open also.'”

“A neighbor reported that a resident ‘attempted to take his own life, by hanging himself from the ceiling on the 3rd floor porch. He also threatened to jump. The neighbor called 911, the police arrived immediately and talked him off the porch. The ambulance transported him to the hospital.'”

The New York Post. “New York faced a whopping 53% spike in homelessness last year — marking the highest per capita rate in the nation — thanks largely to the influx of migrants housed in Big Apple shelters, according to the feds. Migrants staying in emergency shelters throughout the five boroughs ‘accounted for almost 88% of the increase in sheltered homelessness in New York City,’ the HUD report released last month states. Other startling figures from the HUD report included a sickening 152% increase between 2007 and 2024 of homelessness in New York state.”

Bisnow New York. “Namdar Realty Group and Empire Capital have offloaded 345 Seventh Ave. for a nearly 21% haircut, less than a year after facing foreclosure at the office building. In 2021, Namdar, which has historically been known for its ownership of malls, and Empire Capital went on a buying spree, betting on the return of office. The investors bought 345 Seventh Ave., along with the three smaller properties, for $107M. The sale is an example of how far values have fallen for office buildings that are considered below Class-A quality.”

“‘Properties are now changing hands for a third of the cost per square foot compared to three years ago when Namdar Realty Group purchased 345 Seventh Avenue,’ Namdar Chief Operating Officer Dan Dilmanian told Commercial Observer in a July statement. ‘Many owners, Namdar included, are investing heavily in building improvements across their portfolios while appraisal valuations move in the other direction.'”

The Globe and Mail in Canada. “Legal challenges continue to mount for associates of a child actor who bought hundreds of homes across Ontario using more than $144-million in private mortgage debt and risky promissory notes before crashing into insolvency one year ago. In addition to mounting claims in civil court, The Globe and Mail has learned a team of investigators of the Ontario Provincial Police Anti-Rackets Branch has for weeks now been interviewing lenders and investors who lent money to companies controlled by Robby Clark and his primary mortgage broker and promissory note vendor Claire Drage.”

“On Jan. 23, 2024, a collection of companies connected to Mr. Clark filed for insolvency protection to reorganize a rental property portfolio of more than 400 homes spread mainly across the Northern Ontario cities of Sudbury, Sault Ste. Marie and Timmins. After a year of legal wrangling, as of December, 2024, the majority of those properties have been transferred out of Clark’s companies to the private mortgage lenders. Ms. Drage, who had not been covered by the stay of proceedings but whose companies filed for a separate bankruptcy in April, 2024, is also facing more than $250-million in civil damages claims from two separate lawsuits, one of which accuses her of running ‘a fraudulent Ponzi scheme’ and the mortgage brokerage company that formerly employed her – Mortgage Alliance Company of Canada Inc. – of negligence, breach of contract, fraudulent misrepresentation and unjust enrichment.”

“Natalie Leon, partner with Forbes, Chochla and Leon LLP, is defending Mortgage Alliance against the Milosevic action. ‘Mortgage Alliance is aware of certain claims being made by some investors associated with Claire Drage and her independent business known as Lion’s Share,’ Ms. Leon’s statement reads. ‘The investors were apparently attracted to potential profits through high-interest, high-risk lending schemes not related to Mortgage Alliance that ultimately were unsuccessful. Some of those investors are now looking to others not involved in those affairs to shift their losses.'”

“‘It’s a multiplaintiff claim, we represent at last count 436 individuals,’ said David Milosevic, of Milosevic & Associates, who is representing many of the lenders who were stung by the collapse of Mr. Clark and Ms. Drage’s businesses. ‘We do a lot of multiparty investment loss cases. … We put out the word we were interested in the file and hundreds of people dove in.’ According to Mr. Milosevic, evidence turned up in a securities or criminal fraud investigation or trial could add to the case for his clients, but he isn’t waiting for the police to finish their work.”

“‘Unfortunately, the OSC is overwhelmed; our criminal prosecution system is overwhelmed,’ he said. ‘I do fraud cases for a living. I have on average 40 people who call me a week; they are losing their homes. It’s an absolute epidemic and the police can’t do anything about it. I’m not pointing fingers or laying blame, it is just rampant victimization of Canadians and it’s terrible.'”

The BBC. “Immigration has long been a polarising issue in the West but Canada mostly avoided it – until now. With protests and campaign groups springing up in certain quarters, some argue that this – together with housing shortages and rising rents – contributed to Justin Trudeau’s resignation. At first glance, the single bedroom for rent in Brampton, Ontario looks like a bargain. True, there’s barely any floor space, but the asking price is only C$550 (£300) a month in a Toronto suburb where the average monthly rent for a one-bedroom flat is C$2,261. Inspect it more closely, however, and this is actually a small bathroom converted into sleeping quarters. A mattress is jammed up next to the sink, the toilet is nearby.”

“The ad, originally posted on Facebook Marketplace, has generated hundreds of comments online. ‘Disgusting,’ wrote one Reddit user. ‘Hey 20-somethings, you’re looking at your future,’ says another. But there are other listings like it – one room for rent, also in Brampton, shows a bed squashed near a staircase in what appears to be a laundry area. Another rental in Scarborough, a district in Ontario, offers a double bed in the corner of a kitchen. While Canada might have a lot of space, there aren’t enough homes and in the past three years, rents across the country have increased by almost 20%, according to property consultancy Urbanation.”

“In all, some 2.4 million Canadian families are crammed into homes that are too small, in urgent need of major repairs or are seriously unaffordable, a government watchdog report released in December has suggested. This accommodation shortage has come to a head at the same time that inflation is hitting Canadians hard – and these issues have, in turn, moved another issue high up the agenda in the country: immigration. ‘I would say it was very much taboo, like no one would really talk about it,’ explains Peter Kratzar, a software engineer and the founder of Cost of Living Canada, a protest group that was formed in 2024. ‘[But] things have really unfrozen.'”

“Under Trudeau’s administration, the Canadian government deliberately chose to radically boost the numbers of people coming to the country after the pandemic, believing that boosting quotas for foreign students and temporary workers, in addition to skilled immigrants, would jumpstart the economy. The population, which was 35 million 10 years ago, now tops 40 million. At one of the protests in Toronto, a crowd turned out with hand-painted signs, some proclaiming: ‘We want our future back!’ and ‘End Mass Immigration.'”

News.com.au in Australia. “A massive surge in migrants from India that has continued since Covid is hampering the government’s efforts to rein in overall numbers, while universities have emerged unscathed from failed efforts to put caps on international students. There were 300,000 Indians holding temporary visas in Australia in the September quarter — by far the biggest single group — up from 200,000 in the same period in 2019. The September figure included 115,000 Indians on student visas and 80,000 Indians on graduate visas.”

“Fuelling the surge in Indian students is an agreement signed in May 2023 by Prime Ministers Anthony Albanese and Narendra Modi, the Australia-India Migration and Mobility Partnership Agreement, which opened the doors to more Indian students as well as graduates and early-career professionals. The pact means Indians can apply for five-year student visas, with no limit on the number who can study in Australia, and graduates can apply to work in Australia for up to eight years without visa sponsorship. Jordan Knight, a former One Nation staffer who now runs one-man advocacy group Migration Watch, has described the Albanese government’s pacts with India as effectively an ‘open border’ agreement. ‘At the time when the government is supposed to be cutting immigration we’ve flung the door open to India,’ he said. ‘They’ve completely hamstrung themselves.'”

“Driven by concerns over housing affordability and cost-of-living, Mr Knight argued young people in particular were now raising concerns about immigration. ‘It’s a really interesting political phenomenon,’ he said. ‘For so long people expected young people to shift to the progressive left, whereas [the opposite] reaction has occurred in this environment of globalisation, immigration, free trade. I think young people just want their countries back and the living standards their parents enjoyed.'”

This Post Has 122 Comments
  1. ‘Right now, most buyers end up putting down around 3-5%. If those percentages seem low, Miller notes that the mortgage industry has numerous safeguards in place against bad loans. A 2025 down payment of 3% may be stronger than 20% down 20 years ago, he adds, because of the protections and parameters that were initiated after the 2008 housing crisis’

    Click!

    ‘Miller adds that it’s not uncommon these days for people to receive financial gifts toward a down payment from family members’

    So in other words they don’t even have 3%. It used to be that gifts for down payments weren’t allowed. Is that another of the ‘protections and parameters’ yer talking about?

    1. When I bought my house in 2012, I’m pretty sure gifts were not allowed, or at least frowned upon. The bank really wanted to know everything: last two years of W-2, all of my retirement balances, and the last several monthly checking and saving account statements. They told me that they really wanted to see the checking account because they were looking to make sure that there were no big unexplained amounts being deposited there from family.

      That said, I’m not against using family gifts for down payment amounts of 20%. Presumably, if the buyer is unable to pay the monthly nut, they’ll be foreclosed on in less than a year, and the bank can take and sell the house, using the 20% to cover any losses.

      1. The reason gifts weren’t allowed was it made the loan riskier. If you can’t save a little money, how are you going to make the payments when life happens? Of course that went out the window in the thousand cuts of loan standards. This is the same period of ‘sound lending after the housing bubble.’

        Most guberment backed loans are subprime today. That was not the case in the 2000’s. Subprime then was 5% of loans or less.

        1. When I purchased in the past, the explanation I received was that large gifts were frowned upon because there was no way for the lender to know if the “gift” was actually an off-the-books loan that needed to be repaid.

  2. ‘Migrants staying in emergency shelters throughout the five boroughs ‘accounted for almost 88% of the increase in sheltered homelessness in New York City,’ the HUD report released last month states’

    Sleeping on street corners Americans won’t!

  3. “Pressure is mounting on Florida lawmakers to address the rising costs for condo owners.

    Why should taxpayers – especially those who are renters – be forced to subsidize condo owners who failed to set aside reserves to cover longstanding structural issues?

    1. Because, of course, a lot of condo owners are on “fixed” incomes (that go up every year), while ordinary taxpayers have “rising” incomes (that they frequently lose due to layoffs/downsizings/outsourcings). Do you understand now?

    2. Why should taxpayers – especially those who are renters – be forced to subsidize condo owners
      Because socialism/other people’s money is always the best solution!

  4. ‘When undocumented immigrants have an ITIN, it can help them tremendously’ Galarza said…You can also consider adding a co-signer to your loan application. This person agrees to make payments if you fail to, and adding a co-signer lessens the risk you present to lenders. It also allows the co-signer’s income, credit, and financial profile to be factored in when processing your loan. ‘If the amount of income you make is not enough to qualify, adding a cosigner may help’

    This is that loan I was saying I haven’t seen much of. It can be a roommate, an uncle or aunt that doesn’t live with you. Think about that. The borrower can add something like 7 unrelated people who aren’t living there to qualify for the loan. And this was specifically targeted at illegals. It started off as Freddie Mac product in 2015 IIRC.

    1. That’s not even worth the land value. If it were cleared empty land with utilities that could be made into a homestead, then maybe. But this is poisonous forest with a gator-infested swamp pond in the middle, and at least $30K of tear-down and haul-away.

      No way.

  5. You know, for being a country so resentful that they were “colonized” by the West, India seems to have a bottomless pit of “graduate students” who are flooding every Western country, angling to get in on that evil Western lifestyle. You would think that they would proudly stay in India and make their country better. Like build some real houses, with operable toilets in the them.

    1. From the BBC article:

      ‘Accusations against newcomers are spreading on social media too. Last summer, Natasha White, who describes herself as a resident of Wasaga Beach in Ontario, claimed on TikTok that some newcomers had been digging holes on the beach and defecating in them’

      ‘The post generated hundreds of thousands of views and a torrent of anti-foreigner hatred, with many arguing that newcomers should “go home”

      She videotaped it and others did too. I saw some, it was gross.

      1. Western countries spend hundreds of years developing and building a relatively sanitary society free from preventable infectious diseases. Perhaps it’s not so bad to be anti-foreigner. And aren’t these poopers supposed to be high-skilled “graduate students?”

  6. A 2025 down payment of 3% may be stronger than 20% down 20 years ago, he adds, because of the protections and parameters that were initiated after the 2008 housing crisis.

    Please let this be #Peak ClownWorld.

    1. A 2025 down payment of 3% may be stronger than 20% down 20 years ago, he adds, because of the protections and parameters that were initiated after the 2008 housing crisis.
      I hope Nobody, and I mean nobody, is dumb enough to believe this statement.

  7. ‘There I stood in the quiet of a nursery surrounded by babies in critical condition. Some of them recovering from fentanyl exposure’

    I can remember when people said San Francisco was a ‘world class city.’

        1. Purpose built aircraft designed with a very high power to weight ratio for low terrain flight in the mountains, and slow flight performance to aid water bombing hitting their target.

      1. I watched some show up from Ventura to a beach brush fire that was about to burn two life guard shacks down. They got out, got a hose out, and then did absolutely nothing except watch as the fire spread to the shacks and burned them down. I remember growing up the exciting rescue shows had people that ran to fires. I guess that was all fantasy because these days they roll up, look around a bit, scratch them selves in places, take a sip of coffee, and discuss where to start. I’ve seen this a bunch in the videos coming out. No urgency at all.

  8. “establishing a uniform standard for condo repair assessments”

    I don’t see any reason to object to this. I’m sure there were kickbacks galore.

    Inspector sez: oh look, they need a new roof for $400K.
    Contractor: ok, $200K roof, $100K for my pocket, and $100K for you.
    Inspector: DEAL!

  9. ‘Coloradans do not support mass deportations,’ McCluskie said, framing the proposal as one that would devastate communities and local economies.

    Like hell we don’t.

    1. Denver voted 79 to 19 in the 2024 presidential election.

      You have no idea how bad the TDS is with these voters unless you have the misfortune of interacting with them.

  10. Harrowing escapes from Los Angeles wildfires were made by foot, by car or by the grace of strangers

    Another Pacific Palisades resident, Sheriece Wallace, didn’t know about the fire until her sister called — just as a helicopter made a water drop over Wallace’s house.

    “I was like, ‘It’s raining,’” Wallace said. “She’s like, ‘No, it’s not raining. Your neighborhood is on fire. You need to get out.’”

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/harrowing-escapes-from-los-angeles-wildfires-were-made-by-foot-by-car-or-by-the-grace-of-strangers/ar-BB1r8o1T

  11. Inside the desperate, chaotic escape from Pacific Palisades: ‘If you go any further you will die’

    Just before noon, Gregg Champion, 56, sped his company car over to Start-Up Recovery, a drug treatment and addiction center that he runs. Staff members had evacuated all clients. Champion was running about 100 yards away from the door when he was stopped by a firefighter.

    “If you go any further, you will die,” the man told him.

    Champion struggled to breathe. He could feel the heat from the flames and looked through the clouds of smoke and saw that the fire was between two houses.

    “I was almost consumed by smoke,” Champion said. “I was very dizzy and I thought I wasn’t going to make it.”

    Champion said a prayer to himself and then: “All right, God, we’re going to lose [my business], but I better make it down the hill back to my family.”

    Shortly after 1 p.m., Ellen Delosh-Bacher found herself stuck at the intersection of Palisades and Sunset. She was in downtown L.A. when she heard about the fire and was rushing to her Palisades home to get her 95-year-old mother, her caregiver and their two dogs.

    As she sat in panic behind the wheel, the fire exploded right behind a Starbucks along the road. Cops began running down the street telling anyone stuck in traffic, “Run for your lives.”

    Delosh-Bacher abandoned her car, keys still in the ignition, and ran the half-mile down to the beach.

    She stood amid the nuclear orange smoke, trying to reach her mother.

    “This is like an apocalypse,” she said.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/public-safety-and-emergencies/natural-disasters/inside-the-desperate-chaotic-escape-from-pacific-palisades-if-you-go-any-further-you-will-die/ar-BB1r7qpx

    1. Just before noon, Gregg Champion, 56, sped his company car over to Start-Up Recovery, a drug treatment and addiction center that he runs.

      Wow, drug treatment leadership get company cars. Amazing.

    1. “Experts break down how the Palisades fire will worsen California’s insurance crisis (1/9/2025):”

      We’re all in this together!

    2. Experts break down how the Palisades fire will worsen California’s insurance crisis (1/9/2025)

      “Last year, 13% of real-estate agents surveyed by the California Association of Realtors said they had sales transactions canceled because insurance was unaffordable or unavailable. That was double the 6.9% reported the previous year.”

  12. Epic Adam Carolla rant from a hotel after the LA wildfires forced to evacuate from his home, where he predicts Hollywood leftists will be so frustrated by the rebuild effort that they will not vote Democrat:

    “You guys all voted for Karen Bass, the mayor of Los Angeles. You all voted for Gavin Newsom, and now you f*cking get what you get, now that your house is on fire.

    https://x.com/EricAbbenante/status/1877207054105886836

    1. LOL this is pure Cope – As my local radio talk show host says, these people believe that replacing one Democrat with a different Democrat will make things better.

  13. SF politician wants city to arrest 100 people a day for public drug use.

    https://www.sfgate.com/local/article/sf-politician-wants-city-arrest-100-people-day-20021309.php

    The drug use and disorder on SoMa’s Sixth Street has gotten so bad that one San Francisco politician is floating an idea that would have been unheard of in liberal San Francisco just a few years ago: locking up at least 100 people a day for using drugs.

    San Francisco Supervisor Matt Dorsey sent a letter last week to five city departments asking them to explain if they can “maximize the use of large-scale arrests and involuntary holds” to crack down on “drug-related lawlessness” in the area.

    Disorder on Sixth Street has spiked in recent months, with drug use rampant and so many people in crisis that walking on the sidewalk can be tough. Local business owners say the chaos is worse than it’s ever been.

    Some public health advocates have long said there’s no evidence that using criminal penalties is successful in treating substance misuse, but Dorsey told SFGATE that he disagrees. He said the extraordinary step of locking people up for using drugs is necessary because the “inhumane” and “heartbreaking” conditions are creating a public health catastrophe for the people using drugs.

    “It’s an appalling condition. Not just of the streets but of human beings that we’re watching deteriorate in front of our eyes,” Dorsey said.

    Dorsey’s request for ramped-up enforcement comes as cities across the state call for stiffer criminal penalties for public drug use. California voters also appear eager for a tough-on-drugs approach to public drug use. Voters overwhelmingly passed Proposition 36 this past November, which allows prosecutors to force drug users to go to substance use disorder treatment or prison.

    Dorsey said the city should use Prop. 36 to fight drug misuse by enforcing penalties for drug use instead of just focusing on drug dealers and the supply side of the problem. He said fentanyl is uniquely difficult to control by focusing only on dealers because the country has an overwhelming supply of fentanyl. Dorsey has himself struggled with drug misuse and relapsed in 2020 by reusing methamphetamine. He said his own journey to recovery has informed his views on how to treat the rampant drug misuse on Sixth Street.

    Dorsey’s letter does not change city policy and is what’s called a “letter of inquiry,” which is a tool supervisors can use to demand answers from city departments. Dorsey said he wants to find out where the “choke points” would be in arresting at least 100 people a day for drug use, including if enough police officers, prosecutors and drug treatment facilities are available to make the plan work.

    Dorsey said he does not know how much the policy would cost.

    “Yes, it’s going to be expensive to fix it. But we can’t afford to not fix it,” he said.

    The supervisor said the situation is getting so bad that he thinks people could abandon the city entirely.

    “I think we’re five years away from people just voting with their feet and abandoning cities,” Dorsey said. “I think we really need to get this right.”

    1. And early Wednesday, as the once bustling Palisades Village stood abandoned, the recriminations began. Los Angeles Times owner Patrick Soon-Shiong questioned Mayor Karen Bass’ recent $17.6 million cut to the L.A. Fire Department’s budget. That, along with reports of empty fire hydrants, raised “serious questions” about her leadership, Soon-Shiong said on X.

      “Competence matters,” he wrote.

      1. “….cut to the L.A. Fire Department’s budget…”

        Local talk show host John Kobylt (KFI 640 AM Los Angeles) made an interesting point on yesterdays show:

        LA City can cut fire department budgets, not upgrade 100 year old fire hydrant infrastructure [in many parts of LA] so the hydrants don’t run dry, but yet they spend *billions* on worthless homeless programs with little or no accountability.

        As mentioned in previous posts, be careful want you vote for, you might actually get it.

        1. They put a woman from Puerto Rico in charge of the Water Dept. She speaks with such a heavy accent that you can be sure she is extremely familiar with the LA region and it’s specific water needs. What could possibly go wrong??

          1. “They put a woman from Puerto Rico in charge of the Water Dept.”

            Of course! We can’t hire an civil engineer from within the ranks with decades of actual experience in hydraulics because he might be white.

    1. That clip of Newsom throwing his hands up in the air is the end of his political career. Complete incompetence.

      The issue is these Democrats is that they believe that government positions are spoils of war. They won and now they can just plug & play their DEI candidates into place and everything will run smoothly without anyone actually doing any work. My goodness, the hydrants ran dry in the area of the city most likely to become engulfed in fire. The person in charge makes $750k a year and didn’t make sure the fire hydrants worked. Civilization is not plug & play.

        1. As I noted above, they opted for the woman from Puerto Rico after an exhausting search to fill the position. Her accent is so strong that I’m sure it was clear that she would have an intimate knowledge of the region.

    2. 🔥 CBS News headline 3/25/2024: California FAIR Plan warns major disaster could wipe out insurer of last resort

          1. Living in California is about to get even more unaffordable.

            Let’s think this through. Mortgages require insurance. Almost all insurers have already pulled out of the state. The CA Fair Plan along with a wrap-around policy has been the only option for some time. What homebuyer is signing up for the CA Fair Plan after this week? No insurance means no mortgages.

          2. ‘No insurance means no mortgages’

            One would think so but what’s playing out with the recent hurricanes suggests otherwise. Sound lending!

  14. Mexico’s President Jabs Back at Trump in Territorial Naming Spat

    Mexico’s president responded in kind to Donald Trump’s latest jibes, suggesting part of the US be renamed instead of the Gulf of Mexico.

    A day after the incoming US president said the body of water between his country, Mexico and the Caribbean should be called the “Gulf of America,” Claudia Sheinbaum presented early maps of the Americas at her daily press briefing.

    The Gulf of Mexico’s name has held since the early 17th century and is recognized by the United Nations, she said. Sheinbaum also joked that states including California and Texas could revert to their former name, “America Mexicana.”

    “It sounds good, doesn’t it?” Sheinbaum quipped to reporters Wednesday in Mexico City.

    Trump escalated the feud with his southern neighbor at a press conference Tuesday at his Mar-a-Lago resort. In addition to saying he would rename the gulf, he claimed Mexico was “run by the cartels,” argued it cannot continue to serve as a transit point for millions of undocumented migrants heading to the US, and reiterated his threat to impose 25% tariffs on Mexican goods.

    “We want to get along with everybody, but it takes two to tango,” Trump said.

    The US president-elect and Sheinbaum last spoke on the phone in November to discuss issues including Mexico’s crackdown on migration. Her response to Trump’s provocations has been acerbic when addressing the Mexican public, though her willingness to work with him on top issues has won her points with the president-elect.

    On Wednesday, she rebuffed Trump’s comments on the strength of the cartels.

    “President Trump was misinformed, with all due respect,” Sheinbaum said, adding that Mexico is no longer governed by Felipe Calderón, one of her predecessors, and Genaro García Luna, a former Mexican security chief convicted by the US of colluding with drug traffickers in 2023. Today in Mexico, “the people govern,” she said.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/mexico-s-president-jabs-back-at-trump-in-territorial-naming-spat/ar-AA1xbqBm

    1. “ABC 7 put it best in 2022 when it declared that “all over southern California people are finding ways to keep Ukraine front and center and it’s no different for the Los Angeles County Fire Department.”

      The fire department donated its own “surplus” supplies to help a foreign regime and is now caught flat-footed without the capacity to respond to the Pacific Palisades wildfire, which continues to cause deaths and untold damage to thousands of acres of land, including countless homes.”

      Top voted comment on a Reddit thread about this:

      “If LA doesn’t burn, Putin wins”

  15. Donald Trump has reopened his bid to seize Greenland. Here’s why it’s not an empty threat

    President-elect could capitalize growing desire in Greenland for independence

    Incoming U.S. president Donald Trump wants a U.S. takeover of the Danish autonomous territory of Greenland — and the idea is not nearly as far-fetched as it might sound.

    In a bombastic press conference Tuesday, Trump reiterated recent calls to secure control of the world’s largest island and the Panama Canal, refusing to rule out economic or military coercion. He threatened to “tariff Denmark at a very high level” if it did not comply.

    “Greenland is an incredible place, and the people will benefit greatly if and when it becomes part of our nation,” he wrote earlier Tuesday in a post to his social media network, Truth Social. “We will protect it, and cherish it, from a very vicious outside World.”

    Trump’s remarks came as his son, Donald Trump Jr., visited the island on a highly publicized “personal trip,” meeting with locals and distributing “Make America Great Again” hats, according to Greenlandic daily Sermitsiaq. Several media reports also said the president-elect connected with locals for a brief video call, telling the group, “We’re going to treat you well.”

    The combined offensive drew condemnation from Greenlandic and Danish politicians alike.

    “I don’t want to be a pawn in Trump’s wet dreams of expanding his empire,” Aaja Chemnitz, one of Greenland’s two representatives in Denmark’s parliament, says in a translation of a Facebook post written in Danish and Greenlandic.

    “It’s appalling — what’s going on right now” about the U.S. “taking over Greenland,” Søren Espersen, an opposition MP in Denmark, says in a Google translation of an X post written in Danish.

    But within Greenland, the reaction was more muted. That’s because, amid an ongoing push for independence from Denmark, the U.S. is certain to be a key player in the territory’s future.

    And while politicians like Greenlandic Prime Minister Múte B. Egede have been adamant that Greenland “is not for sale and will never be for sale,” there’s a reason to believe that Trump’s threat may carry some weight this time around.

    Trump first floated the idea of buying Greenland in 2019 and resurrected the idea in a Christmas Eve post announcing his new ambassador to Denmark. The idea actually goes back to the 19th century, when the U.S. regularly acquired vast territories through agreements like the Louisiana Purchase.

    But Greenland isn’t really “owned” by Denmark. Located much nearer to Canada’s Arctic territories than Europe, it has been a territory of the Kingdom since the 1800s, but over 90 per cent of its population of fewer than 60,000 people are Indigenous to the island.

    It has had its own parliament and government since 1973, and a 2008 referendum laid a pathway to full independence if Greenlanders want it. Under the current arrangement, Denmark maintains responsibility for some key portfolios including currency, foreign affairs and defence.

    Since winning power in 2021, Egede’s pro-independence Inuit Ataqatigiit party has led a push for Greenland to pursue ties with other allies as part of a long-term strategy to move away from dependence on Denmark.

    In a New Year’s Day address, Egede suggested that Greenland would finally make a formal move for independence with a referendum in 2025, likely during the upcoming April parliamentary election.

    “It is now time to take the next step for our country,” Egede said. “Our co-operation with other countries, and our trade relations, cannot only continue to happen via Denmark.”

    But independence from Denmark would come at a substantial cost to Greenlanders. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the island receives what is called a “block grant” of about 3.9 billion Danish kroner (roughly $775 million Cdn) in financial transfers from Denmark each year.

    “Greenland wants independence. Every poll shows it,” said Mikkel Runge Olsen, a senior researcher at the Danish Institute for International Studies. “But Greenland cannot afford to keep the Greenlandic welfare state going without a significant infusion of cash from elsewhere.”

    That’s why some politicians have suggested Greenland could swap its arrangement with Denmark for a “free association agreement” with the U.S. These agreements transfer responsibility for some portfolios, like defence, to another country in exchange for financial transfers.

    It’s not quite a purchase — there is no scenario, for example, where Greenland would become a state or federal dependency of the U.S. — but it would mean a substantial change in relations. It’s something some Greenlandic politicians have long advocated for.

    “We do not have a natural relationship with Denmark. We have a forced marriage,” Pele Broberg, leader of Greenland’s largest opposition group, told Sermitsiaq. “The Danes are nervous about the power that the United States has to bring us into the 21st century.”

    The island is also home to some of the world’s largest reserves of rare earth metals. Even if Egede’s government has been quick to ban some extractive industries, Greenlanders on the whole are open to the idea of exploiting the island’s natural resources — a 2022 survey found three in four Greenlanders in favour.

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/analysis-trump-greenland-1.7426118

  16. Elon Musk is on a tear as he shakes up politics in Europe

    As if having the ear of incoming U.S. president Donald Trump weren’t enough, tech billionaire Elon Musk has been on a tear this week, trashing European politicians on both the left and right, and using posts on his social media platform, X, to disrupt politics across the continent.

    The French president, politicians in Germany and officials with the European Commission have all felt Musk’s online wrath, on issues concerning their electability and alleged hypocrisy. But it’s his withering attacks on British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and other U.K. politicians that have stood out.

    In a 72-hour span starting over the weekend, Musk suggested King Charles should fire Starmer and call a new election, and pushed the false claim that Starmer was “deeply complicit in mass rapes” and should be sent to prison.

    Musk also posted that it might be up to the United States to “liberate” Britons from their “tyrannical government.”

    These accusations have centred on Starmer’s role in an ugly chapter of Britain’s recent judicial history, concerning the prosecution of gangs of mostly British Pakistani men who groomed and sexually exploited thousands of girls between roughly 1997 and 2013.

    Starmer was the head of the country’s Crown prosecution system starting in 2008 and oversaw many of the criminal prosecutions.

    Musk also smeared Jess Phillips, the Labour cabinet minister now in charge of women’s safeguarding, calling her a “rape genocide” apologist for refusing to heed calls for another national inquiry — even though Jay has said a new inquiry would only delay implementing the recommendations from her report.

    Longtime U.K. politics watcher Tim Bale at Queen Mary University of London says Musk’s incendiary accusations have put Labour on the defensive and provided fresh ammunition to opponents on the political right.

    “In all my years of covering British politics, I can’t remember an incident like this,” Bale told CBC News. “[Musk’s] goal seems to be to destabilize the British government and also to emphasize to Donald Trump that this is not an administration he wants to be friends with.”

    Starmer’s Labour Party is one of the few left-of-centre governments remaining in Europe, with recent elections witnessing seismic shifts to the right, including in Italy, Slovakia and the Netherlands.

    Germany’s Social Democrats may be the next to fall, with elections coming in February and Chancellor Olaf Scholz widely expected to go down in defeat.

    Musk has endorsed the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) and has said he plans to use X to host a discussion with its leader, Alice Weidel, who’s a fierce critic of multiculturalism. Some prominent AfD members have been ostracized for their failure to condemn the war crimes of the Nazis.

    On Monday, French President Emmanuel Macron slammed Musk for “directly intervening” in elections in Europe. Other EU leaders want to see regulators impose fines and other legal sanctions on Musk for improperly using his social media platform.

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/musk-europe-uk-social-media-accusations-1.7424791

  17. Here’s what some Americans in Canada think of Trump’s new threats
    Canada is home to more than a million Americans.

    Some say this is just Trump’s style of doing things

    Incoming U.S. president Donald Trump has been courting controversy in Canada since his election victory, with threats to impose whopping tariffs on Canadian goods and musings about the country becoming “the 51st state.”

    While Trump’s comments have drawn anger and fear among Canadians, reaction from Americans who live, study or work in Canada has been mixed — and largely influenced by how they voted in the presidential election.

    Jacob Wesoky, the executive vice chair of Democrats Abroad Canada who is studying political science at McGill University in Montreal, said he is “extremely” disappointed by the president-elect’s approach to his country’s “closest” ally.

    “As an American living in Canada, it is really sad to watch,” said Wesoky, who voted for Trump’s rival Kamala Harris.

    But Canadian-American Georganne Burke, a staunch Trump supporter, said that while the incoming president may be “a bit of a troll,” she doesn’t see his actions as harmful to Canada. “He’s not asking for anything unreasonable,” she said.

    Burke said Trump “isn’t anti-Canada” but he has good reasons to be “very worried” about the threat of what she called “terrorism” along the border and Canada’s failure to meet NATO’s military spending benchmark.

    “He’s saying: you know what, time’s up, the U.S. is not going be the ATM anymore for anybody, not Canada, not anybody else,” the Ontario resident said.

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/trump-annex-canada-reaction-1.7425803

    1. Why don’t the Americans just accept Mexico and Canada have God-given rights to sell drugs and traffick humans into the USA?

  18. Trudeau’s tumultuous relationship with the Canadian oilpatch

    It’s a scene that would be hard to imagine if there wasn’t video evidence.

    In 2017, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau took to the stage at the CERAweek energy conference in Houston. Speaking to a packed room of 1,200 energy executives and leaders, he meditated on the importance of the Canadian oil and gas sector — and was met with multiple standing ovations.

    “No country would find 173 billion barrels of oil in the ground and just leave them there,” said Trudeau onstage. “The resource will be developed. Our job is to ensure that this is done responsibly, safely and sustainably.”

    At the time, Trudeau said environmental protection and resource development went hand-in-hand, and described progress on these dual priorities as being worked out “in co-operation with our provinces.”

    Cut to 2025, and suffice to say the oilpatch is much less happy with the now-outgoing PM. And as for the federal government co-operating with the provinces? Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, for one, would likely beg to differ.

    So how did things go so sour?

    Even during the early days of his government, Trudeau faced criticism in the oilpatch from those who blamed him for the cancellation of the Northern Gateway project. His public suggestion in 2017 that the oilsands should be “phased out” also sparked outrage in Alberta.

    Later, Trudeau did purchase the Trans-Mountain Pipeline — which has boosted Canadian oil exports significantly — but his government also introduced a range of policies that have been deeply unpopular in the oilpatch.

    A prime example is the oil and gas emissions cap, which many in the oilpatch see as a de facto cap on production. If Canada isn’t able to meet global demand for oil and gas, the thinking goes, it doesn’t mean demand will slow — it will simply mean other countries will ramp up production instead, and there’s no guarantee those countries will have better environmental or human rights records.

    “We’ve been the only country in the world that has, for a decade, been shooting itself in the foot so that a small number of politicians can pat themselves on the back,” said Martha Hall Findlay, the former head of climate at oil company Suncor and a former Liberal MP, who is now director of the University of Calgary school of public policy.

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/trudeau-oil-and-gas-industry-relationship-1.7424457

  19. What Justin Trudeau didn’t get about managing the economy

    Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who announced his resignation this week, was pushed out for the same reason Donald Trump was again elected as U.S. president: growing populist discontent. And this goes beyond North America. Populist forces have recently had electoral successes in many other countries, including Italy, Argentina, India, Germany, and France.

    Although this discontent is often attributed to rising inequality, stagnant wages and higher costs of living, the source of populism isn’t necessarily economics or right-wing ideology. Cross-country evidence shows that people are expressing dissatisfaction and voting out incumbent governments even when their economy is doing well (so-called “vibecession”). And research shows that populist leaders draw roughly equal support from low- and high-income individuals.

    U.S. President Joe Biden kept the tariffs Mr. Trump put in place and enacted large subsidies and redistributive policies. Mr. Trudeau’s middle-class agenda left the poverty rate and after-tax inequality lower than when he took power in 2015. The median after-tax income also grew 8 per cent faster than inflation. But none of this has calmed the discontent.

    The roots of populist movements have not really changed since the Roman populares in 50 BCE: It lies in people’s lack of trust in the prevailing establishment. Losing the trust of Canadians is where Mr. Trudeau failed.

    Massive and rapid societal changes – such as large volumes of immigration, globalization, technological disruptions, social-justice recognition, weather destruction – generated widespread dislocation, insecurity and anxiety. People felt things were out of control, and that “the elite” were looking after their own instead of working in the people’s interests. They thus started supporting populist movements, who promised to restore control and a sense of safety and comfort.

    Who would blame them?

    Governing establishments (of any political spectrum) have seemed powerless in controlling their borders, providing quality public services, affordable housing, and preventing fraud and environmental degradation. The Liberals lost public trust when they struggled to provide services as essential as passports, digitize the government, manage procurement (for example, ArriveCan) avoid conflicts of interest (such as WE charity, Aga Khan), and control the number of people entering the country.

    More broadly, governments have promoted globalization and environmental protections but have failed to help those negatively affected. The rich fraudsters who caused the financial crisis were not prosecuted, and the victims did not receive tangible help. Caving to special-interest groups is common, even if it means reneging on core principles. And when questioned about any of this, responses are often derisive, arrogant and self-righteous. No wonder that less than 30 per cent of Canadians trust their government, according to a Statistics Canada survey. It is delusional to think that a tweak in tax rates, sending cheques in the mail or lifting sales taxes will gain back that trust.

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-what-justin-trudeau-didnt-get-about-managing-the-economy/

  20. Fartcoin dipping to its critical support level of $0.78 today.

    THIS IS YOUR LAST CHANCE. This is not a warning. You can go ALL IN, now, or loose that opportunity FOREVER when the whales swoop in at $0.77.

  21. Ending Pandemic Assistance Caused a Homelessness Spike

    A new report from the Department of Housing and Urban Development affirms the obvious: ripping away pandemic-era welfare amid inflation and a housing affordability crisis was a complete disaster. The result: homelessness in the US is at a record high.

    Homelessness in the United States is now at a record high, according to a new report from the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). The data show that 771,480 people were homeless in 2024 — 18 percent more than in 2023 and a staggering 33 percent jump since 2020. Even in a country that has normalized rampant homelessness, this isn’t normal.

    Testimony from several Continuums of Care (CoC) — local or regional planning bodies that coordinate shelter and other services for people experiencing homelessness (example here) — suggests that this combination is primarily what launched homelessness into the stratosphere since 2022. Here are a few examples:

    Northeast CoC: “In response to COVID-19, our CoC saw an influx of rapid rehousing and prevention resources, as well as an effective statewide eviction moratorium. These efforts were effective in keeping households from entering into homelessness and moving households out of homelessness quickly. Since the sunsetting of these resources and the ending of the eviction moratorium, our CoC has seen a large influx of new families and individuals seeking emergency shelter assistance.”

    Midwest CoC: “Due to the economic impacts of inflation in combination with the lack of affordable housing, there has been an increase in folks experiencing homelessness, and that has resulted in seeing an increase in folks experiencing unsheltered homelessness as well.”

    Southeast CoC: “The rise in unsheltered numbers can be attributed to several pivotal developments. The end of the eviction moratorium played a significant role, as many individuals who had been protected under pandemic-era policies suddenly faced eviction proceedings. With the legal system resuming operations, those who were delayed in court processes found themselves without housing. Economic pressures have also escalated the situation, particularly the unprecedented spikes in rental prices. . . . This surge in housing costs has pushed many out of affordability.”

    Pandemic welfare included an eviction moratorium, rental assistance, broader cash assistance, and tax credit programs. Collectively, this blunted the impact of the spiraling cost-of-living crisis. Taking that assistance away evidently cost many people their homes.

    Nobody who actually reads HUD’s report in good faith would conclude that immigration was the primary driver of record homelessness, as the Biden administration implied. The problem is that many establishment media outlets appear to have based their coverage of record homelessness not on the actual report but on the accompanying press release. They didn’t bother fact-checking the administration’s narrative before syndicating it.

    As a result, “Migrant Crisis Pushed US Homelessness to Record High in 2024” isn’t a headline I found in a fringe, far-right publication — it was in Bloomberg.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/ending-pandemic-assistance-caused-a-homelessness-spike/ar-AA1xbre4

    This website is a bunch of commies BTW.

    1. That’s pretty much how it is with these Santa Ana firestorm events. Once started, firefighters may be able to save a few structures in the path, or slow the progress of the firestorm, but generally they are too big to contain, and go wherever the 50mph+ Santa Ana winds blow them until either the winds die down or they run out of real estate.

      I grew up in the Midwest with a healthy fear of tornadoes. Having lived in California for several decades, I now understand these firestorms are far greater in scope, duration and devastation than typical tornadic storm systems. I had no concept of this before experiencing it firsthand in 2007.

      1. I’d call this more than a firestorm event. It’s on the same scale as the Great Chicago fire. LA is burning to the ground with 0% containment and billions upon billions in damages. To what extent firefighters can contain these things, I don’t know, but it’s certainly a bad look when the fire hydrants have no water, the fire department budget was cut by $17M, the mayor is preening around Ghana, the LA FD is run by woke lesbians name Kristen, one of whom has a viral video where say admits she is too weak to save your husband in a fire, $500M goes to drug addicts on the street instead of pressured hydrants, and arson fires are seemingly popping up everywhere on all sides of the city. I’m in the midwest now and from my perspective, this is a full scale cluster that only comes about once every two centuries….

    1. Market Commentary
      Bond Vigilantes Could Return as Fed Policy Falls Short of Projections
      The rise in yields and interest rates are becoming a bigger issue for the markets.
      Bret Jensen
      Jan 8, 2025 10:30 AM EST

      Markets reversed early gains for the second day in a row in the first full trading week of 2025 on Tuesday.

      After a nice early rally, equities turn south. By market close, the NASDAQ had dropped nearly 2% on the day while the S&P 500 fell just over 1%. The yield on the 10-year treasury backed up by just over five basis points on the day to close near the 4.7% level. Thirty-year treasury yields are now at their highest level since late in 2023.

      The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy does not seem to be working as projected. While the federal funds rate has been reduced by 1% since the first reduction at the FOMC in mid-September, the yield on the 10-year treasury has shot up just over 100 BPS since. As my late father like to quip, “Life is what happens when you are making other plans.”

      https://pro.thestreet.com/market-commentary/bond-vigilantes-could-return-as-fed-policy-falls-short-of-projections

    2. MarketWatch
      The stock market is at the same valuation as when Greenspan made his ‘irrational exuberance’ comment
      Published: Jan. 9, 2025 at 4:25 a.m. ET
      By Steve Goldstein
      Goldman Sachs strategist says stocks are priced for perfection

      U.S. stocks by one valuation measure are at the exact same place they were when former Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan made his infamous “irrational exuberance” comment.

      Bloomberg Opinion’s John Authers did the calculation, using Greenspan’s preferred valuation, which compares the earnings yield to the 10-year Treasury.

      https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-at-the-same-valuation-as-when-greenspan-made-his-irrational-exuberance-comment-284d830c

    3. Money
      A $28 Trillion Corner of Wall Street Is Flashing a Warning About the U.S. Economy
      Bond yields have surged since the Fed began cutting interest rates.
      BY PHIL ROSEN, CO-FOUNDER AND EDITOR, OPENING BELL DAILY
      JAN 9, 2025
      The New York Stock Exchange.
      Photo: Getty

      Everyone loves talking about the stock market, but the $28 trillion Treasury market is the fortuneteller of the pair—bonds are now flashing warnings of a Fed policy error, resurgent price pressures, and a ballooning debt pile.

      Even though the Federal Reserve has lowered its benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points since September, the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed roughly 100 basis points in the same stretch.

      We can chalk much of this up to still-strong economic data and rising inflation expectations.

      Many on Wall Street had expected the Fed’s multiple rate cuts to drag yields lower, not higher, ahead of the new year. Instead, on Wednesday the yield on the 20-year note touched the rare psychological level of 5 percent.

      Those on the 10- and 30-year are trending in that direction, with the former already surpassing its 2024 high in the first week of 2025.

      “The 10-year breaching the 5 percent level would be far more meaningful [than the 20-year], and would represent a break of the October 2023 yield highs, leaving the benchmark treading in waters not seen in years,” said Will Hoffman, senior interest rate strategy associate at Bloomberg Intelligence. “But the marginal impact on financial conditions is negligible versus trading at 4.99 percent.”

      In December, central bankers pulled back their forecasts for rate cuts, yet Fed governor Christopher Waller said Wednesday that his team could still lower borrowing costs more than expected, so long as inflation falls.

      Markets, for their part, have pulled back their expectations for policy easing. On Wednesday, CME data showed traders assign a 15 percent probability that the Fed won’t cut rates this year, up from 4 percent last month.

      “Against a backdrop of inflation that remains above the Fed’s policy target and steady—if not accelerating—growth, the case for continued cuts by the Fed becomes tougher to make,” said Jim Baird, chief investment officer for Plante Moran Financial Advisors.

      https://www.inc.com/phil-rosen/economic-outlook-trump-powell-fed-bond-yields-treasury-investors-markets/91105151

    4. Yahoo Finance
      Goldman Sachs Warns: Are U.S. Stocks on the Brink of a 30% Correction?
      Khac Phu Nguyen
      Thu, January 9, 2025 at 7:44 AM PST 1 min read

      Goldman Sachs is flashing warning lights for the U.S. stock market as 2025 kicks off, pointing to a 30% chance of major corrections. Think stretched valuations, stubborn inflation, and a political wildcard in President-elect Donald Trump, who’s already eyeing fresh tariffs. Historically, when drawdown risks climb past 35%, markets take a beating, and while we’re not quite there yet, the S&P 500 (SPY) is looking wobbly. After a roaring 23% gain in 2024, the index is up just 0.6% so far this year, but that momentum could evaporate if policy and inflation pressures continue to mount.

      The real issue? Stocks are priced for perfection, according to Goldman. Translation: there’s no room for mistakes. Growth? Baked in. Tech? Dominating everything. Five U.S. giants now make up a quarter of the market. But with inflation pivoting upward and trade policy uncertainty hitting new highs, cracks are forming. And while the macro environment still supports equities, Goldman warns a combo of earnings misses, geopolitical shocks, or inflation surprises could send markets into a tailspin. Investors banking on smooth sailing might want to rethink their portfolios.

      So, how do you protect yourself? Goldman suggests hedging for the storm. Short-dated S&P 500 put spreads could guard against near-term corrections triggered by earnings misses or political turmoil. If you’re more worried about a deep recession, longer-dated puts might be your ticket. And for those keeping an eye on interest rates and trade risks, hybrid strategies like S&P 500 down/EURUSD down hybrids are a smart move. Bottom line: the stakes are high, and complacency isn’t an option. Stay nimble, and don’t get caught flat-footed.

      https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sachs-warns-u-stocks-154409890.html

      1. “Are U.S. Stocks on the Brink of a 30% Correction?

        …pointing to a 30% chance of major corrections.”

        I don’t think a 30% correction is the same thing as a 30% chance of major corrections, as the real journalist suggested.

        But what is ‘major’…30%? 50%? Too big to estimate?

        Whatever happens from here on out on Wall Street should certainly be interesting to witness.

    5. Business
      Warren Buffett Has a Record Amount of Cash — What Does It Mean for Your Portfolio?
      John Csiszar
      January 8, 2025 at 6:00 AM

      Warren Buffett is one of the most well-known investors in the world. The billionaire CEO of Berkshire Hathaway has an enviable track record of outperforming the S&P 500 index and is fond of pithy, quotable sayings that the average investor can relate to. As a result, his investment moves are closely tracked — particularly the amount of cash that he holds in his portfolio.

      As of Q3 2024, Berkshire Hathaway held a whopping $325.2 billion in cash and equivalents, up from $276.9 billion at the end of Q2 2024. What does it mean when one of the world’s most successful investors is sitting on such a giant pile of cash, and how should investors react? Here are some of the potential reasons for Buffett’s actions.

      https://www.aol.com/warren-buffett-record-amount-cash-140019836.html

    6. Fed Governor Bowman says December interest rate cut should be the last
      Published Thu, Jan 9 2025 1:35 PM EST
      Updated 5 Hours Ago
      Jeff Cox
      CNBCcom

      KEY POINTS

      – Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Thursday she supported the recent interest rate cuts but said the December reduction should be the “final step” in the easing process.

      – Even with the full percentage points of cuts from September through December, there are still “upside risks to inflation,” she added.

      – Other Fed speakers this week provided views contrary to that of Bowman, who is generally regarded as one of the committee’s more hawkish members.

  22. Trump calls on Gavin Newsom to resign over LA wildfires

    President-elect Donald Trump said Wednesday California Gov. Gavin Newsom should resign as wildfires burn across the Los Angeles area, claiming the fires are the governor’s fault.

    “One of the best and most beautiful parts of the United States of America is burning down to the ground,” Trump wrote on social media platform Truth Social. “It’s ashes, and Gavin Newscum should resign. This is all his fault!!!”

    In a post earlier in the day, Trump said the governor refused to sign a “water restoration declaration” which would have allowed millions of gallons of water to flow into many parts of California, including areas burning in a “virtually apocalyptic way.”

    “Now the ultimate price is being paid. I will demand that this incompetent governor allow beautiful, clean, fresh water to FLOW INTO CALIFORNIA!” Trump wrote. “He is the blame for this. On top of it all, no water for fire hydrants, not firefighting planes. A true disaster!”

    Trump also posted “L.A. is a total wipeout!!!”

    “Fire is spreading rapidly for 3 days — ZERO CONTAINMENT. Nobody has ever seen such failed numbers before! Gross incompetence by Gavin Newscum and Karen Bass,” the president-elect wrote, referring to the governor and the Los Angeles mayor.

    https://wchstv.com/news/nation-world/trump-calls-on-gavin-newsom-to-resign-over-la-wildfires-los-angeles-fires-california-pacific-palisades-hollywood-hills-karen-bass

  23. the mortgage industry has numerous safeguards in place against bad loans. A 2025 down payment of 3% may be stronger than 20% down 20 years ago, he adds, because of the protections and parameters that were initiated after the 2008 housing crisis

    Do these people really believe this nonsense? How do they sleep at night? What utter BS

  24. Resurfaced Clip of Gavin Newsom Boasting About Removing Water Supplies Goes Viral

    The Rubin Report

    58 minutes ago

    Dave Rubin of “The Rubin Report” talks to Dr. Drew Pinsky about the catastrophic wildfires raging through Los Angeles and Gavin Newsom’s resurfaced boasting about the Klamath dam removal to protect certain fish species at the expense of California’s water supply as LA’s fire hydrants run out of water.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kuPxwQNEim4

    5:18. Interesting bit at the beginning about how they don’t have fire breaks where this fire happened anymore.

  25. ‘The inability to sell condos is also a significant issue, with one realtor reporting, ‘I’ve had 10 showings, and I’ve done about 30 open houses, open houses nobody appears to come to see the properties’

    Even in a good market open houses are fer losers. The only reason UHS have them is to meet potential buyers to steer toward the listing they have in mind.

  26. ‘Namdar, which has historically been known for its ownership of malls, and Empire Capital went on a buying spree, betting on the return of office…Properties are now changing hands for a third of the cost per square foot compared to three years ago’

    Ennio Morricone – the ecstasy of gold

    theItalyWiki

    14 years ago

    Ennio Morricone conducting his own composition, “The Ecstasy of Gold” from the film, “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly”.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rKFpaCMRWgU

    3:45.

  27. ‘We do a lot of multiparty investment loss cases. … We put out the word we were interested in the file and hundreds of people dove in’ …‘Unfortunately, the OSC is overwhelmed; our criminal prosecution system is overwhelmed,’ he said. ‘I do fraud cases for a living. I have on average 40 people who call me a week; they are losing their homes. It’s an absolute epidemic and the police can’t do anything about it. I’m not pointing fingers or laying blame, it is just rampant victimization of Canadians and it’s terrible’

    Maybe we should wait a bit before we buy this sh$thole. We can probably pick it up cheaper after this crashes.

  28. ‘This accommodation shortage has come to a head at the same time that inflation is hitting Canadians hard – and these issues have, in turn, moved another issue high up the agenda in the country: immigration. ‘I would say it was very much taboo, like no one would really talk about it…[But] things have really unfrozen’

    Political correctness and lack of free speech is destructive Pete.

  29. Opportunity To Drown In More Debt (York Region Real Estate Market Update)

    Team Sessa Real Estate

    49 minutes ago VAUGHAN

    In this episode, we look at the current Vaughan Home Prices, Richmond Hill Home Prices & Markham Home Prices and real estate market trends for the week ending Jan 1, 2025. We also discuss one of the things we will be watching this year. Seeing if buyers take advantage of the new rules allowing you to put less money down on a purchase of up to $1.5M.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YAyQJ_HLSMg

    12:23.

  30. Real Estate
    5 housing markets likely to see prices fall this year
    Jennifer Sor Jan 8, 2025, 11:29 AM PST
    An aerial view of a neighborhood with large homes, including one in the foreground with a pool.

    Michael Godek/Getty Images
    Home prices could soften in a handful of metro areas throughout the US in 2025, according to CoreLogic.
    The firm highlighted five areas that have a more-than-70% chance of seeing price declines this year.
    Home prices are generally rising across the US, with the median sales price climbing to $395,000 in November.
    US home prices have stayed stubbornly high nationwide, but there are a handful of places that will likely see declines in 2025, according to CoreLogic.

    https://www.businessinsider.com/housing-market-outlook-falling-home-prices-real-estate-forecast-corelogic-2025-1

  31. https:// nitter.poast.org/ m3_melody/ status/ 1877391682661921215#m:

    The destruction in LA is unimaginable

    According to InsideAirbnb there are 45,533 Airbnbs in LA, 73.8% of which are whole-homes

    Some will be used for displaced folks, some are completely destroyed

    Updating my existing disaster analysis to include impacted areas…stay tuned

    https:// nitter.poast.org/ m3_melody/ status/ 1877410090824745121#m:

    According to the American Community Survey, LA has a 36.3% owner occupancy rate versus the national average of 65%

    This disaster is yet another blow to the landlord class

    1. According to the American Community Survey, LA has a 36.3% owner occupancy rate versus the national average of 65%
      Wow, that is interesting. how many will even think about rebuilding.
      Slightly different note, Can Goldman et. al grab huge pieces of ocean front and build multi-million dollar mansions? With lots of ocean front in FL and now CA potentially available I don’t see the number of multimillionaires wanting to risk their money to buy these places should they be built, so, I don’t think a large scale build out of multi-million dollar houses/condos on both sides of the country is possible.

      1. Can Goldman et. al grab huge pieces of ocean front and build multi-million dollar mansions?

        Will they have better luck getting past the California Coastal Commission?

    2. Hubby suspects the federal government is going to have to backstop the CA Fair Plan. Without it or any other insurer, property values in CA and the CA economy tank. Trump will undoubtedly want a pound a flesh in exchange, including Newsom’s resignation.

  32. The stock market so far this year is reminiscent of the parts of SoCal which have so far been spared the prospect of a wildfire. Although no fires have come our way yet in San Diego, the bone dry conditions due to the absence of a normal rainy season has created conditions where any spark could ignite a conflagration.

    Similarly, the backdrop of long-term Treasury yields climbing up towards 5 percent has created financial market conditions where any spark could ignite a firestorm in risk asset prices.

    Try not to get burned.

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