Bottom Line: Buying The Home Was A Disaster
A report from Fox 13. “Homebuyers in Utah continue to navigate a challenging real estate market. Brian Thompson, a new homeowner, says while there were numerous options available, many were ‘way overpriced.’ To stand out in the crowded housing market, Thompson crafted a personal letter to the sellers. ‘I told them how I was a teacher, and my wife works in education and her parents had worked in education, so that’s kind of why they chose our offer out of the six,’ he explained. Prospective home buyers also have to worry about the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve has signaled that rates will largely remain unchanged into 2025. Utahns like Thompson persist in their home-buying journeys, holding onto hope for relief in the future. ‘I don’t know if we necessarily want prices to drop too much, because that’s a downturn in the economy,’ Thompson said. ‘And a lot of people will be in trouble. But if interest rates drop, it would help everybody.'”
Boston 25 in Massachusetts. “Just over two weeks after Success Real Estate suddenly shut its doors on December 14th, three lawsuits have been filed against the agency with offices in Marshfield and Braintree. They claim the agency’s owner, Stephen Webster, stole and/or embezzled hundreds of thousands of dollars that were supposed to be in escrow. According to attorney Bob Ahearn, who is representing the plaintiffs, there are three different categories of why they’re owed money: 1) realtors who never received commission checks after closings, 2). bounced commission checks dating back to September, and 3). people who’ve loaned money to Success Real Estate Owner Stephen Webster. ‘I’ve got one client who has 15 commission checks that have bounced, and they total over $100,000,’ Ahearn explained.”
“He believes the money owed is just the tip of the iceberg, they’ve heard from realtors who have closings coming up in the next few weeks where there’s supposed to be money held in escrow at Success Real Estate to be brought to the closing. At this point, the closings aren’t going to happen unless something drastic does. ‘It’s going to affect not only just the agents themselves for their commissions, but other innocent buyers and sellers of their homes,’ Ahearn says. ‘It’s going to get really ugly; I think.’ Ahearn isn’t optimistic that the plaintiffs will get paid 100 percent of the money they’re owed because Webster likely doesn’t have it.”
The Denver Post. “Although some national surveys show residential real estate commissions may be dropping, agents in metro Denver describe few changes, with sellers still covering the full tab for the other side most of the time. Agents representing buyers were required to have a written agreement in place stating the terms of compensation, something Colorado has long required. ‘Three years ago, homes often went under contract in a matter of days, resulting in a very sparse inventory,’ said Bret Weinstein, CEO of Guide Real Estate. ‘When sellers are so in control, they don’t feel obligated to offer any compensation to a buyer agent.’ Right now, if they want to find a buyer, sellers need to offer to cover the buyer agent commissions, he said. One reason the lawsuits even came about was that there were a lot of agents who didn’t know what they were doing, he said. ‘The focus shouldn’t be on buyers and sellers making more money, but on real estate agents being worth the money they are being paid,’ he said. ‘There’s been zero conversation on that.'”
The Daily Montanan. “In front of a standing-room only crowd, the Flathead County Commissioners voted Tuesday to turn down a $9 million investment in affordable housing provided by the state and private entities, one of just three counties to vote against the homebuyer assistance program. Montana Rep. Tanner Smith, a Republican from Lakeside, voted against HB 819 during the session and said it was ‘rammed through at the governor’s request.’ ‘A lot of people say, ‘This isn’t politics,’ but this is politics. This is Democrat policies in California that created the exodus to Montana,’ Smith said. ‘As Republicans, what we can’t do is have a knee-jerk reaction to fix a Democrat policy problem by more Democrat policies.'”
The Mercury News. “Developers who have reaped millions of dollars from an affordable housing program for middle-income renters with sometimes little-to-no discounts from market rents have spent hundreds of thousands on lobbying and campaign donations in recent years in a bid to keep lawmakers from imposing regulations. Since 2021, two developers of these projects, Catalyst Housing of Larkspur and Waterford Property Co. of Newport Beach, have spent $610,000 on lobbying legislators and government officials about the value of their ‘essential housing’ strategy in addressing California’s affordable housing shortage. About half of the units at the 13 Northern California essential housing properties charge higher rents than comparable nearby market-rate buildings, the Bay Area News Group previously reported. Assemblyman Chris Ward, a San Diego Democrat, introduced a bill, AB 1850, to establish stricter affordability standards and cap developers’ fees on the essential housing deals — what he hoped would prevent ‘abuse’ by some for-profit players that ‘snookered’ cities into giving up property taxes without delivering on middle-income housing promised.”
The Fresno Bee. “As we turn the calendar into a new year, my unsolicited advice for Democratic leaders in Sacramento is to print up some hats with this slogan emblazoned on them: Make California Affordable Again. Yes, it is a blatant rip-off of MAGA sloganeering. But putting such a mantra atop the foreheads of Democrats in the Assembly, state Senate and even the governor’s mansion (though Gov. Newsom has moved his family to Marin County) might get the political leaders to actually work on this defining issue. And it might just keep them in office longer than ignoring or avoiding the elephant in the room, namely how it costs too much to live in California.”
“Two recent news reports highlight why the famous James Carville line of the Clinton-era — ‘It’s the economy, stupid’ — must become the top priority of California’s leaders, even more than opposing whatever policies soon-to-be President Trump puts in place. The San Jose Mercury News analyzed the Bay Area’s voting patterns in the November presidential election. What the analysis showed was that the lowest-income cities in the Bay Area — San Pablo, Richmond, Antioch, Oakland, San Leandro, Pittsburg and East Palo Alto — ‘all tallied at least 50% more Trump votes in 2024, while the highest-income cities and towns showed the least change overall.’ As reported by Sacramento Bee staff writer Andrew Sheeler, Madrid and Binder surveyed 600 Latino California voters, in English and Spanish, by phone and online, between Nov. 18-21. The findings? Affordability was a top issue for California Latino voters. They were either extremely or very concerned about the price of housing (86%), groceries (87%), gas (75%), and electricity and utilities (80%). Another 74% were extremely or very concerned about high taxes in California.”
The Miami Herald. “When Miguel Zablah bought his five-bedroom home in Miami’s leafy Shenandoah neighborhood in June of 2020, he said he paid $7,000 a year for homeowner’s insurance. The house, built in 1923, sits on high ground and has survived a century of famously volatile South Florida weather. But in just four short years, Zablah said his homeowner’s insurance premium has more than doubled to $15,000 a year. Quotes for next year’s premiums are looking even worse. ‘Some insurance companies are now quoting me at $20,000, $25,000 on my house, which is ridiculous,’ said Zablah, who works in private equity. Using a dataset that links insurance policies with mortgages for 6.7 million borrowers, Shan Ge, an assistant professor of finance at New York University and two other researchers established that spikes in insurance premiums led a significant number of borrowers to either pay off their mortgages early or fall behind. Obviously, many homeowners can’t afford to accelerate their mortgage payoff. The researchers found that the effect of premium increases on mortgage delinquency is twice as large for borrowers with a high loan-to-value ratio, meaning they owe a lot of money on their homes compared to the home’s value.”
The Arizona Republic. “Question: My sister and I paid $270,000 for our first investment home. It’s far north of the Valley, off of Interstate 17. The mortgage from a private lender was $240,000 with 12% interest. To save costs, we never hired a property manager. The plan was that my sister and I would rotate monthly as property managers. The problem is that my sister is lazier than I am, and neither of us was good at driving to show the home to prospective tenants or meet repair contractors. One time, I drove to the house to meet a prospective tenant who didn’t show up or even answer texts. Bottom line: Buying the home was a disaster, and we lost the home to foreclosure by our private mortgage lender. The problem now is that we are receiving bills from the Maricopa County Assessor’s Office for delinquent property taxes. Are we obligated to pay these delinquent property taxes?”
“Answer: No. Property taxes are obligations of the property and are not personal obligations of the owner of the property. If property taxes are not paid, however, the property will go into foreclosure by the County Assessor’s Office.”
Storeys in Canada. “As far as year-ahead predictions go, industry observers say not much will change from this year to next in the Vancouver housing market, despite interest rate drops. Realtor and investor Bryan Yan, who has a solid record of market forecasts, expects a buyers’ market to continue. ‘Most places are selling at or below assessment, about 5% below assessed value right now,’ said Yan. ‘So, if your listing agent sells above assessment, you should buy them lunch, because that’s not happening.’ Developer and consultant Michael Geller said that the experienced players in the development industry will target end-users such as first-time buyers, move-up buyers, and empty-nesters. The investor is no longer the focus of a presale program, he said. The glut of purpose-built rental units coming online, combined with restrictions around foreign buyers and short-term rental platforms has taken the steam out of the investor-driven presale condo market.”
The Herald Sun in Australia. “The Mornington Peninsula is back on buyers’ radar while the market slumbers during summer, with plunging prices, limited competition, and a lifestyle that is ‘impossible to resist. ‘In Sorrento, median prices have softened from $2.2m to between $1.6m and $1.9m, opening up some incredible buying opportunities,’ said Fletchers Mornington Peninsula’s Nick Callander. ‘Buyers have plenty of choice, which is unusual for the area.'”
Wall Street Journal. “China’s go-go days are behind it as the world’s second-largest economy struggles with the bursting of the biggest real-estate bubble ever. Now, China’s goal of overtaking the U.S. as the world’s largest economy might take decades longer than Beijing expected—if it happens at all. China’s economy today is burdened with excess: Millions of empty or unfinished apartment blocks, trillions of dollars in debt straining local governments and ballooning industrial production driving an export surge that is igniting trade tensions worldwide.”
“China’s property meltdown has since 2021 destroyed around $18 trillion of Chinese household wealth, according to an estimate by Barclays, eclipsing the losses suffered by Americans in the financial crash of 2008-09. That hit, along with the trauma of Beijing’s heavy-handed response to the Covid-19 pandemic, helps explain why Chinese consumers aren’t spending freely. China’s economy has for decades been powered by heady levels of investment. At first, that yielded modern infrastructure and propelled the expansion of China’s manufacturing engine and its megacities. But sticking with that strategy year after year has meant China today is beset by colossal debts, unneeded apartments and industrial overcapacity.”
“China’s real-estate boom was unprecedented—and so is the ongoing bust. New construction and sales have cratered since the government took steps to rein in the bubble in 2020. It has struggled to stabilize the market, despite measures to ease purchase restrictions and offer cheap credit to would-be buyers. One sign of the boom’s excesses: There are as many as around 80 million vacant units in China, according to the latest estimates at the end of November, equivalent to half the total housing stock of the entire U.S.”
‘I told them how I was a teacher, and my wife works in education and her parents had worked in education, so that’s kind of why they chose our offer out of the six,’ he explained. Prospective home buyers also have to worry about the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve has signaled that rates will largely remain unchanged into 2025. Utahns like Thompson persist in their home-buying journeys, holding onto hope for relief in the future. ‘I don’t know if we necessarily want prices to drop too much, because that’s a downturn in the economy,’ Thompson said. ‘And a lot of people will be in trouble. But if interest rates drop, it would help everybody’
You did the right thing dating the rate Brian. Jerry won’t break it off in yer a$$ again.
‘Using a dataset that links insurance policies with mortgages for 6.7 million borrowers, Shan Ge, an assistant professor of finance at New York University and two other researchers established that spikes in insurance premiums led a significant number of borrowers to either pay off their mortgages early or fall behind. Obviously, many homeowners can’t afford to accelerate their mortgage payoff. The researchers found that the effect of premium increases on mortgage delinquency is twice as large for borrowers with a high loan-to-value ratio, meaning they owe a lot of money on their homes compared to the home’s value’
That may be Shan, but let’s be clear: the lending was sound. At the time.
I find them pushing buyers into houses with decades of “save our homes” benefits. They collect escrow on $900 taxes for a year or sometimes even more and then BAM! $5,000 tax bill. Now the homeowner has a $342 hit monthly for the back escrow and another $342 hit for the escrow going forward. The buyer barely affording the $1,800 mortgage is going to have one heck of a time affording $2,484 mortgage…and this doesn’t even address the insurance side of the coin.
I’m really big on personal responsibility but nobody really prepares a first time or low income home buyer for the situation outlined above. It’s misrepresentation at a minimum.
and don’t forget the massive hit after that first year to insurance. Happened every time i’ve bought a house. 1st year insurance X, 2nd year insurance X+25% “oh we’ve reevaluated your risk class” (we got you trapped and now we’re upping it)
and as you say the escrow thing really screws people. “oh we didn’t calculate the reserves so we need more for that for this coming year”
“The buyer barely affording the $1,800 mortgage is going to have one heck of a time affording $2,484 mortgage…and this doesn’t even address the insurance side of the coin.”
Lastly, his wife’s thighs are now closed, welded shut!
At two minutes after midnight, Realtor Whitney Snider became the first UHS to lie to someone in 2025 when she informed a fellow reveler in Times Square that housing prices only go up.
Tried to watch the “Ball Drop”,on a major news site on youtube…never did show it, just a lot of “Same Sex” couples kissing away.at midnight….real weird , must say…
It’s like they have an agenda, or something.
‘China’s go-go days are behind it as the world’s second-largest economy struggles with the bursting of the biggest real-estate bubble ever…China’s property meltdown has since 2021 destroyed around $18 trillion of Chinese household wealth’
Is that a lot?
When housing losses we must eat;
Let us stamp our little feet!
No, that’s not a lot. $96 Trillion — the unfunded liability of Social Security and Medicare — that’s a lot.
No, that’s not a lot. $96 Trillion —
Don’t neglect to do the math. $18/3 years is quite a bit more than $96/100 years.
What math is that? How are you coming up with those denominators?
Well the three years for the China statistic is just posted above. What were you thinking the denominator is for your USA “unfunded” statistic? For sure it’s not one year.
Why does there need to be a denominator at all? What are you trying to calculate?
Why does there need to be a denominator at all?
I guess we all don’t have to have one.
And people who bought a decade ago are super rich on paper. Some collect nice rental income, too.
The overbuilding is real, but in 1st and 2nd tier cities there is work and internal migration.
‘people who bought a decade ago are super rich’
I’m glad you mentioned that. I need to go out back and work on my time machine this weekend.
‘I don’t know if we necessarily want prices to drop too much, because that’s a downturn in the economy,’ Thompson said. ‘And a lot of people will be in trouble. But if interest rates drop, it would help everybody.’”
No, Brian, going deeper into debt thanks to lower interest rates doesn’t help anybody. The Fed’s artificial suppression of interest rates is directly responsible for Housing Bubble 2.0, which is going to end even more badly than its predecessor.
I don’t know if it’s going to be worse than it’s predecessor, but it sure does have a chance of being more drawn out. Suckers that bought at the peak of 2004/2005 in my neck of the woods were back even by 2015.
It’s gonna be worse, way worse. And remember, it’s the same bubble. The necessary purge wasn’t fully realized last time. Just bailed out and extended. And really this has been 50 years in the making. This experiment was doomed to fail from the beginning. Show me how this thing ends well without a lot of wishful thinking. Math doesn’t lie. It has to fail.
Hoping the Private Equity firms get their deliverance!
Show me how this thing ends well without a lot of wishful thinking. Math doesn’t lie.
Inflation. Lots of inflation. The math works with lots of inflation.
Inflation. Lots of inflation. The math works with lots of inflation.
Borrowing, lots of borrowing.
Borrowing, lots of borrowing.
Exactly! Just don’t stop running and the treadmill will go forever!
‘I’ve got one client who has 15 commission checks that have bounced, and they total over $100,000,’ Ahearn explained.”
Must.not.laugh.
Tell the client to take-up shadow boxing!
Did BlackRock execute a rug-pull on the crypto bros?
https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/18169266231249
“A drop in Bitcoin’s price could cascade to Ethereum, high-cap altcoins, and low-cap assets”
A high-cap altcoin? That’s a new one.
“A drop in Bitcoin’s price could cascade to Ethereum, high-cap altcoins, and low-cap assets”
As long as Fartcoin isn’t hurt I am gonna be alright. sarc/
Market cap of $800MM, truly WTF.
The researchers found that the effect of premium increases on mortgage delinquency is twice as large for borrowers with a high loan-to-value ratio, meaning they owe a lot of money on their homes compared to the home’s value.”
Gosh, what happens if these underwater FBs start walking away from their shacks en masse? I fear this could very well accelerate the cratering – this is my “gravely concerned” face.
“…this is my “gravely concerned” face.”
LMAO @ ‘yer empathy!
Bottom line: Buying the home was a disaster, and we lost the home to foreclosure by our private mortgage lender. The problem now is that we are receiving bills from the Maricopa County Assessor’s Office for delinquent property taxes.
I loves me a good “speculator scum tale of woe” to start off the new year. Thanks, Ben!
Whitney Cummings Roasts CNN—While on CNN—and Her New Year’s Reactions Are Wild
During her New Year’s Eve Live appearance, Cummings, 42, also performed an off-the-cuff roast, in which she zeroed in on politics.
“The 2024 election fried our brains. The Democrats couldn’t hold a primary because they were too busy holding a body upright,” she said, before asking, “Are we still rolling? Am I off?”
After Cohen said, “Go for it,” Cummings continued. “It was amazing. The pro-choice party didn’t give their voters one when it came to the presidential candidate. Kamala [Harris] was forced on us so hard, you’d think she was patented by Pfizer—or Moderna… Oh God, Andy just gave me a very scary look.”
Her appearance immediately sparked conversation on social media, with many reacting to her fearless and candid remarks.
“Whitney Cummings just roasted the hell out of 2024. Liberals will cry,” one social media user said, while another wrote, “Pls Whitney Cummings ate that roast up, yall need to learn to laugh.”
Many pointed out how brazen it was for her to call out CNN while on the network itself.
“HAHA WOOOW WHITNEY CUMMINGS EMBARRASSES CNN ON THERE OWN SHOW,” one person wrote.
https://parade.com/news/whitney-cummings-roasts-cnn-new-years-eve-reactions
The video:
Whitney Cummings HUMILIATES CNN on LIVE TV…😂😂😂
Sivaady
11 hours ago
CNN brings on comedian Whitney Cummings and what follows is just hilariously brutal.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jp9__bT3WDk
1:50.
From the comments: “The culture, it’s shifting.”
Be afraid, globalist quislings. Be very afraid.
It’s already an interesting new year.
And getting more so.
https://x.com/TheQuartering/status/1874508290933281176
Ok, I accidentally came upon this blog about 20 years ago. I was trying to find out information on why the prices had gone so high. This Blog at the time was talking about lender fraud and for most part predicting a major crash in the. real estate market.
Of course the real estate crash happened and the fraudulent lenders got bailed out by our tax dollars.
So, who could predict 20 years ago just how nuts everything would get.
This is the only blog I ever liked . In spite of the fact I don’t comment on real estate to much these days, because I’m looking at the other crazy stuff going on, this blog allowed a wide range of topics.
Very few things last for 20 years like this blog has. Its no doubt because of the owner of this blog. But
what is going on now is just beyond anything one could imagine 20 years ago.
So, good luck to this World going forward.
As commented above, this is the same bubble that we were talking about here 20 years ago. 50 years from now the will not be talking about Bubble 1.0 or 2.0, but rather a failed economic experiment that spanned generations.
Future historians will marvel that we let a criminal private banking cartel called the Fed debase our currency into worthlessness and concentrate all wealth and power in the hands of a corrupt and venal .1% in the financier oligarchy. This despite all the unheeded warnings from the Founding Fathers and others of what would happened if we let the “monied interests” hijack our former Constitutional Republic.
Prior to the industrial age America’s kulak farmers were fairly independent much like a ship on the high seas. These days, the economy’s participants are frequently interdependent.
Great comment. Amazing how time flies.
It is this website and Western Rifle Shooters that have been a staple for me as well since about 2004.
Ben’s place has been refreshing as a place to help me maintain sanity in a world gone mad at times.
Happy New Year!
I accidentally came upon this blog about 20 years ago’
yes me too sold my townhome and moved to phoenix to rent and wait out the crash which actually did happen. Everyone told me ” move out of CA you cant come back” well I did and bought a SFH for less than I sold my townhome for. Wouldn’t have moved back but got rehired at a better deal and the rest is history. This blog is one of the good ones.
Florida forecast calls for more Brightline, older strippers and less hooting in Palm Beach
As the year wraps up, it’s worth reflecting on our warm-weather, iguana-friendly refuge to assess where we’ve been and where we are going.
Florida, it turns out, did not lose its ability to amaze, entertain and surprise the rest of America in 2024.
I’m not just talking about the way voters turned against legalizing recreational marijuana — largely on the argument that it would make Florida too smelly.
Florida? Too smelly? C’mon, we control half the nation’s strategic reserve of body odor.
In a similar act of public decorum, the Town of Palm Beach took a stand against outdoor “hooting” within the town limits between midnight and 7 a.m. It was part of an overall town ordinance against “yelling, shouting, hooting, whistling or singing on public streets” in the middle of the night.
Well, at least “hollerin’” remained untouched.
And remember that banana taped to a gallery wall that debuted at the prestigious Art Basel Miami five years ago? Well, it sold at auction this year for $6.2 million to a crypto entrepreneur, who said he plans to eat the 35-cent banana. While it was a good year for banana-related art, it was a bad year for arts organizations in Florida.
That’s because Gov. Ron DeSantis vetoed $32 million in state grants to arts groups across Florida. Locally, they include the Kravis Center for the Performing Arts, the Boca Raton Museum of Art, the Cox Science Center and Aquarium, the Loggerhead Marinelife Center, the Morikami Museum and the Palm Beach Shakespeare Festival.
The reason: a satirical theatrical production called “Captain Havoc & the Big-Titty Bog Witches,” that was staged by a would-be grant recipient, the Tampa International Fringe Festival.
“You have your tax dollars being given in grants to things like the fringe festival, which is like a sexual festival where they’re doing all this stuff,” DeSantis said as the rationale for cutting arts grants across the state.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/north-america-and-caribbean-travel/florida-forecast-calls-for-more-brightline-older-strippers-and-less-hooting-in-palm-beach/ar-AA1wLmWN
Let’s not forget ‘Respectable Street’ which is Florida’s oldest Goth bar on Clematis Street in Palm Beach. Great scene where nobody cares how you look or what you do. They own ‘Kill Your Idol’ in Miami and a few other bars in Delray, Boca and Ft Liqourdale.
I think they still own a gay bar that does Drag Queen shows where the shows are relegated to the bars and not public school libraries. My wife got into a fight with a flamer there one night. After she made a kindly comment to a guy to keep an eye on his trashed boyfriend. The enraged and anebriated gentlemen yelled and pushed my wife. A millisecond later she punched him right between the eyes. He was about to swing a bottle at her and I grabbed him and tossed him out of the bar. I did not hurt him. My friend and owner of the bar berated me thinking I was just enjoying throwing twinks out of his bar until the bouncer came back to tell us that this same guy tossed a bottle at the bar and promptly was arrested for disorderly conduct.
I do miss South Florida.
MassGOP says voters can see ‘sanctuary’ policies and don’t believe Healey denial
Gov. Maura Healey can claim Massachusetts isn’t a sanctuary state all she wants, but it’s going to take a lot more than words to convince the voters, according to the MassGOP.
Healey, a Democrat, has said in recent interviews that the state’s immigration crisis isn’t the result of an established state policy, but rather a failure at the federal level to address the U.S. border and update immigration laws. The position of Massachusetts is quite clear, she said.
“We’re not a sanctuary state,” Healey told the Herald for her end-of-year interview. “We are not a sanctuary state. If you come here, there is not housing here,” she said in another interview just days before.
However, voters have spent the last year watching the cost of sheltering thousands of migrant families in local hotels skyrocket while their local school districts fill to bursting with new students. They aren’t going to be fooled so easily, a MassGOP spokesperson told the Herald on Sunday.
“Massachusetts residents do not buy what the governor is trying to sell,” said Logan Trupiano.
The state spent $856 million housing migrant families in fiscal 2024, up from the about $325 million normally spent on shelter costs in any given fiscal year. Massachusetts is alone among the 50 U.S. states in guaranteeing a right to shelter for pregnant women and families with children.
“She’s trying to backtrack years of her progressive rhetoric and policies that have led to Massachusetts becoming a magnet for migrants and illegal immigrants alike,” Trupiano said.
“Until policies are changed, her words are meaningless and taxpayers will continue to be left holding the bag,” he continued.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/massgop-says-voters-can-see-sanctuary-policies-and-don-t-believe-healey-denial/ar-AA1wHbgr
“taxpayers will continue to be left holding the bag”
Same as it ever was.
China seeks greater global cooperation on drug control
China’s public security minister vowed on Tuesday to deepen international cooperation in the area of drug control, state media Xinhua reported.
Wang Xiaohong, who is also the director of the national narcotics control committee, called for “eradicating the soil that breeds and spreads the drug problem” in a meeting, according to Xinhua.
The United States has been pressuring China to help reduce U.S. fentanyl deaths. China says it has some of the strictest drug laws in the world, and that the U.S. needs to curb narcotics demand at home.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/china-seeks-greater-global-cooperation-143354512.html
In 1996, two PLA staff colonels wrote a blueprint for taking down America entitled “Unrestricted Warfare.” It was very prescient for showing how the CCP could subvert and weaken the former USA to the point we could easily be defeated once the PRC made its move. Exploiting our social ills like rampant drug use was just one facet in this CCP master plan. The original text can be downloaded from the Internet & is worth reading in full.
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/855077.Unrestricted_Warfare
the U.S. needs to curb narcotics demand at home.
Correct.
A lot of problems would disappear if demand for narcotics went away.
Cue the Wolf of Wall Street.
A lot of problems would disappear if demand for narcotics went away.
So would some highly paid jobs at the state and NGO side.
How is China supposed to address the drug labs being run by Chinese nationals in the US and Canada in conjunction with distribution networks run by Mexican cartels?
We know the answer…
China, recalling Opium trade from Great Britain and American pushers: “How do you like?”
GOP mocks Gavin Newsom’s ‘brag’ over modest increase in homelessness hike
California Republican leaders appeared to mock Gov. Gavin Newsom’s fiery response to a critical analysis of his handling of the Golden State’s homelessness crisis, saying that any increase in homelessness is not admirable.
State Senate Minority Leader Brian Jones criticized Newsom, calling the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development’s year-end Homelessness Assessment Report an indictment of his capabilities.
“Gavin Newsom literally lost track of the $27 billion he spent on the homeless crisis,” Jones said, citing the report as listing California first in homelessness, with an increase of 3% to 187,000.
“Today’s HUD report makes it clear that instead of solving the problem, Newsom’s endless spending ‘solution’ has only made it worse,” said Jones, R-San Diego.
A statement from the Republican caucus of the California State Assembly keyed into Newsom’s recent thorough defense against an op-ed in the outlet CalMatters that made similar criticisms.
“In case you missed it, Governor Newsom’s office threw a tantrum over a column… that broke down his history of failure on homelessness,” the caucus, led by Assemblyman James Gallagher of Yuba City, collectively wrote.
“Given the sheer population size of California, to talk about homelessness without any of the broader context or how this administration’s efforts compare to the prior is a disservice to Californians, plain and simple,” Newsom’s office’s account wrote on X.
Assembly Republicans responded to Newsom’s comments.
“Since the governor is committed to gaslighting on this issue, we’ll state the obvious: an increase of 20% is not progress,” their statement read.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/gop-mocks-gavin-newsom-s-brag-over-modest-increase-in-homelessness-hike/ar-AA1wLOsd
Trump ‘serious threat’ to Canadian prosperity, business and foreign affairs leaders say
Donald Trump’s willingness to use trade as a weapon represents an existential threat to Canada’s prosperity and requires this country to secure its economic independence – both by increasing its capacity to export resources to other markets and spending more on defence, a group of Canadian leaders in foreign affairs and business says.
“Our country faces the most serious threat to its sovereignty and economic prosperity since the Second World War,” says a statement by the Expert Group on Canada-U. S. Relations.
“In less than three weeks, the United States will have a new President who has signaled his willingness to do severe damage to our country. Our response must be a strategy to put Canada’s interests first.”
Mr. Trump has also repeatedly expressed a desire to annex Canada, making it the “51st state” and has mocked Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as Canada’s governor. On Christmas Day, Mr. Trump suggested in a post that the United States should take control of Greenland, the Panama Canal and Canada.
“The incoming president is clear about his disdain for our country and has threatened to impose a 25-per-cent tariff on Canadian imports unless we satisfy his demands,” the expert group said.
Mr. Trump “has said that his policy is ‘America First.’ Our response should be to support and strengthen Canada’s sovereignty and economic security.”
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-trump-canada-serious-threat-leaders-warn/
“and has mocked Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as Canada’s governor”
Does anyone forget what he did in winter 2022?
And Canada is supposedly a “success story” of Western Liberal Democracy muh progressive, compassionate, etc. Rivaled only perhaps by the CCP Flu beatdowns administered in Australia, another clown country with pictures of the queen on its money.
With calls for Trudeau’s resignation, Poilievre’s Conservatives hold 26-point advantage over Liberals: Nanos
Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives are closing out 2024 hitting a new long-term high in ballot support, with a 26 point advantage over the Liberals amid calls for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to resign.
According to Nanos Research’s latest weekly ballot tracking, the federal Conservatives currently hold 47 per cent of support, over the Liberals’ 21 per cent. Jagmeet Singh’s NDP are not far behind, sitting at 17 per cent support.
“What it means is, going into 2025, the biggest winner is Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives, and the biggest losers are both Justin Trudeau and Jagmeet Singh, because both the numbers for them and their parties are down in the close of 2024,” said Nik Nanos, chief data scientist at Nanos Research.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/poilievre-s-conservatives-end-2024-hitting-long-term-high-in-the-polls-amid-trudeau-resignation-calls-nanos-1.7161525
The Democratic Panic in New York
On Election Day, Donald Trump’s surprising support in New York City wasn’t an outlier. Democrats woke up the next morning to significant defeats across the state. The shift was especially apparent on Long Island, where Trump became the first GOP presidential candidate to carry Nassau County since 1988.
The bad news didn’t stop there in the nation’s fourth most populous state. Vice President Kamala Harris had the poorest showing for a Democratic presidential candidate in New York City since Ronald Reagan was on the ballot. Asian and Latino voters, who have been shifting rightward since 2020, accelerated their flight from the Democrats. Trump got nearly twice as many votes in Spanish-speaking neighborhoods of the Bronx and Queens as he did four years ago, and the bad news continued downballot. Asian voters helped oust State Senator Iwen Chu, a Democratic incumbent in a heavily Chinese section of south Brooklyn where only 17 percent of the registered voters are Republican. That district, recently redrawn as a safe seat for Democrats, will now send Republican Steven Chan to Albany.
Contributing to New York Democrats’ vulnerability are a series of bail and evidence reforms that many voters, with some cause, hold responsible for the pandemic-era crime wave; the botched rollout of marijuana legalization, which saw some 1,500 illegal cannabis shops pop up citywide, including next to schools and daycare centers; and the visible resurgence of street prostitution. Jackson Heights, arguably the most ethnically diverse neighborhood in wonderfully multicultural New York, was on the rise. Now, its main commercial strip, Roosevelt Avenue, is teeming with open drug deals and 24-7 prostitution.
But more than any other issue, the Biden administration’s policy changes in immigration policy upon taking office in 2021 saddled incumbent New York Democrats with a political liability. Since spring 2022, more than 210,000 migrants have arrived, overwhelming city resources and triggering tensions around the city’s “right-to-shelter” policy, which legally mandates housing for all who ask.
While illegal immigration has dropped dramatically since Biden signed an executive order in June limiting asylum claims at the border, the political damage in New York had already been done. Nearly 64,000 migrants remained in city shelters this fall, prompting new rules limiting stays, forcing many migrants onto the streets. Mayor Adams declared the situation a “humanitarian crisis,” estimating it would cost $10 billion over the next three years.
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2024/12/31/democratic-panic-new-york/
Two hours ago, Kathy Hochul took a victory lap for making subways “safer.” She congratulates herself on the same day two subway riders were stabbed in Queens (one in the face and one in the chest) and another was barbarically burned alive.
Has there ever been a more tone-deaf Governor in the history of New York?
https://x.com/RitchieTorres/status/1870967985344799102
“took a victory lap for making subways “safer”
I paid for rides to and from the Denver airport because: there is no parking, if there is parking your car will get stolen, the trains to/from the airport don’t function, public transportation smells like drugs. $10.50 each way you can take the train to the airport but nobody wants to deal with that. Reddit thread
Give me your RTD Feedback, 500+ comments, many about how all the trains smell like drugs, all the time
https://old.reddit.com/r/Denver/comments/1hq0q1f/give_me_your_rtd_feedback/
SUSPECT IDENTIFIED: The suspect in the New Orleans NYE attack was identified as 42-year-old Shamsud Din Jabbar, who had an ISIS flag.
He was reportedly born and raised in Texas and served in the US Army.
https://x.com/Breaking911/status/1874504089322860982
aka Sham Dindu Jogger
Is the picture of the burning cyber truck in front of the Trump Tower going to be the icon for 2025? Stay tuned!
Is it normal for home prices to increase by 30% in one year? That’s what happened in San Diego in 2022, I guess because of the Pandemic. (Reading this in my dead tree edition of the San Diego Union Tribune…)
“My sister and I paid $270,000 for our first investment home. It’s far north of the Valley, off of Interstate 17. The mortgage from a private lender was $240,000 with 12% interest”
Just this sentence is enough to inform you that we’ve been in a speculative mania.
I found myself hoping that neither of these siblings have spawned the next generation of cretins. ‘Murica is already overstocked.
The Fed sees no bubbles.
https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1874461185342341272
Do the rate daters finally have cause for hope on this first day of the new year?
U.S. & Canada
Market Extra
It has been another disappointing year for bonds. Why now isn’t the time to throw in the towel.
Last Updated: Dec. 31, 2024 at 7:17 p.m. ET
First Published: Dec. 31, 2024 at 6:00 a.m. ET
By Joy Wiltermuth
Longer bond yields are on pace for their biggest four-year climb since 1981 — the tail end of Jimmy Carter’s presidency
It has been another year of bare-bones returns in basic bonds.
An ugly December selloff in the Treasury market set up the benchmark Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index for a 2024 return of 1.4%, according to FactSet data.
That’s a sharp retreat from its 5.25% return in mid-September, right before the Federal Reserve delighted the stock market with a jumbo interest-rate cut of 50 basis points — its first crack at lowering rates in four years.
While the Fed dictates short-term rates, most households and businesses finance things likes homes or cars with fixed-rate loans that are repaid over a decade or more. Those rates often hinge on the 10-year Treasury yield which serves as a base rate for many loans.
After a sharp rise in recent months, the 10-year yield has shot up nearly 70 basis points this year to 4.58%, putting it on pace for its biggest one-year yield jump since the bond market’s historic rout of 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
The benchmark rate also was on pace for its largest four-year yield gain since 1981, according to the data — the tail end of former President Jimmy Carter’s one term in the White House, when inflation was pegged at a stunning 10.3% yearly rate. Yields move in the opposite direction of bond prices.
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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/it-has-been-another-disappointing-year-for-bonds-why-now-isnt-the-time-to-throw-in-the-towel-2a654370
Seven percent, baby…the sky’s the limit.
Today’s Mortgage Rates Rise Averaging 7.01%: January 01, 2025
January 1, 2025 by Marco Santarelli
Mortgage rates are a hot topic for anyone looking to buy a home or refinance an existing mortgage. As of January 01, 2025, the average mortgage rate for a 30-year fixed loan is 7.01%. This rate is a significant factor that affects how much homebuyers will pay each month and the total cost of the loan over the long term.
Understanding the current state of mortgage rates, what influences them, and how to strategize your purchase or refinance can lead to better financial decisions.
Today’s Mortgage Rates
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https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/todays-mortgage-rates-rise-averaging-7.01-percent-january-01-2025/
Do you worry that the credit card bubble is about to burst?
The dam is about to break as US credit card loan defaults soar, experts warn
By Breck Dumas, Fox Business
Published Dec. 31, 2024, 12:53 p.m. ET
Defaults on credit card loans surge
Experts are sounding the alarm over a new report indicating credit card loan defaults soared this year, warning the dam is about to break on Americans’ record-high consumer debt.
During the first nine months of 2024, lenders wrote off more than $46 billion in seriously delinquent credit card loans, according to a report from the Financial Times citing data analyzed by BankRegData.
That’s an increase of 50% from the first three quarters of 2023, and the highest since 2010.
“High-income households are fine, but the bottom third of US consumers are tapped out,” Mark Zandi, head of Moody’s Analytics, told FT. “Their savings rate right now is zero.”
Pointing to the findings, the Kobeissi Letter declared on X, “The credit card debt bubble is popping.”
The New York Federal Reserve reported last month that Americans’ credit card debt hit another record high in September, climbing to $1.17 trillion during the third quarter and marking the highest level on record in Fed data dating back to 2003.
…
https://nypost.com/2024/12/31/us-news/us-credit-card-defaults-soar-to-highest-level-in-14-years/
Yellen the Felon assures us that record high credit card debt is evidence of a strong consumer.
Not personally. I’d be really worried if I relied on credit though.
Honduran president threatens to close US base in Honduras if Hondurans are deported from the US. By some estimates a million Hondurans live illegally in the US, which is 10% of Honduras’ population.
They are starting to panic.
In a past life I had to help train one of the Honduran replacements. He was such a stubborn midget and extremely sensitive but the biggest issue was his low intelligence was very dangerous to everyone around him. Send them back.
Interesting. So of course now Trump will want to annex Honduras to maintain the military base. Which will mean that all Honduran illegals here will automatically become U.S. citizens. Brilliant! Problem solved.
Nobody wants anything to do with Honduras.
“So of course now Trump will want to annex Honduras to maintain the military base.”
Not if we get back the Panama Canal Zone.
Nicaragua unveils new canal route in bid to rival Panama
The Panama Canal has experienced a 29% decrease in ship transits over the past fiscal year due to severe drought conditions, according to the Panama Canal Authority (ACP). From October 2023 to September 2024, only 9,944 vessels passed through the canal, compared to 14,080 the previous year.
Nicaragua’s ambitious project represents a shift from a previous canal initiative. In May, the government revoked a controversial concession granted to Hong Kong Nicaragua Canal Development (HKND) Group, which had proposed a different route through Lake Cocibolca.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/nicaragua-unveils-new-canal-route-in-bid-to-rival-panama/ar-AA1urKRA
Broke debt donkeys, cratering shack values as we enter 2025.
https://rubino.substack.com/p/recession-watch-broke-consumers-tanking
‘I’ve got one client who has 15 commission checks that have bounced, and they total over $100,000’
That dings yer clients credit Bob. I’d stop after the first bounce.
‘Three years ago, homes often went under contract in a matter of days, resulting in a very sparse inventory,’ said Bret Weinstein, CEO of Guide Real Estate. ‘When sellers are so in control, they don’t feel obligated to offer any compensation to a buyer agent.’ Right now, if they want to find a buyer, sellers need to offer to cover the buyer agent commissions’
I’m a big fan of seller foot-rubs Bret. Just throw it in at the end when they’re sick of the a$$ pounding.
Are Cybertrux safe?
1 person dies when Tesla Cybertruck catches fire and explodes outside Trump’s Las Vegas hotel
The Associated Press
January 1, 2025, 5:47 PM
Police treating vehicle explosion at Trump Las Vegas hotel as possible act of terror: Official
KABC
LAS VEGAS (AP) — One person died and seven others were injured Wednesday when a Tesla Cybertruck that appeared to be carrying fireworks caught fire and exploded outside President-elect Donald Trump’s Las Vegas hotel, authorities said.
…
https://wtop.com/national/2025/01/a-vehicle-catches-fire-and-explodes-outside-the-lobby-of-trumps-hotel-in-las-vegas/
‘What the analysis showed was that the lowest-income cities in the Bay Area — San Pablo, Richmond, Antioch, Oakland, San Leandro, Pittsburg and East Palo Alto — ‘all tallied at least 50% more Trump votes in 2024’
This gets to what I’ve been saying about big tent politics. President Trump asked them to back him, so they’re in the tent. A big tent means compromise.
This Bizarre Chart Predicted Every Recession
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https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=n1pUO9rPUDw